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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 May 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 118-103
29-25 29-25 35-21 25-32
Position#1
Record75-17
FormWWLWW
Points / game120.2
Allowed / game107.2
vs
Position#7
Record57-36
FormWWWWL
Points / game113.4
Allowed / game108.5
USANBANBA - Semi-finals· Paycom Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Minnesota Timberwolves
02 Mar 2027
OKC v MIN
upcoming
25 Nov 2026
OKC v MIN
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
OKC116
MIN103
26 Nov 2025
OKC113
MIN105
28 May 2025
OKC124
MIN94
22 May 2025
OKC118
MIN103
20 May 2025
OKC114
MIN88
24 Feb 2025
OKC128
MIN131
31 Dec 2024
OKC113
MIN105
29 Jan 2024
OKC101
MIN107
26 Dec 2023
OKC129
MIN106
16 Dec 2022
OKC110
MIN112
23 Oct 2022
OKC106
MIN116
04 Mar 2022
OKC101
MIN138
07 Jan 2022
OKC105
MIN135
06 Feb 2021
OKC120
MIN118
05 Feb 2021
OKC103
MIN106
13 Mar 2020
OKC v MIN
upcoming
06 Dec 2019
OKC139
MIN127
08 Jan 2019
OKC117
MIN119
23 Dec 2018
OKC112
MIN114
01 Dec 2017
OKC111
MIN107
22 Oct 2017
OKC113
MIN115
25 Dec 2016
OKC112
MIN100
05 Nov 2016
OKC112
MIN92
11 Mar 2016
OKC96
MIN99
15 Jan 2016
OKC113
MIN93
13 Mar 2015
OKC113
MIN99
26 Jan 2015
OKC92
MIN84
05 Feb 2014
OKC106
MIN97
01 Dec 2013
OKC113
MIN103
22 Feb 2013
OKC127
MIN111
09 Jan 2013
OKC106
MIN84
23 Mar 2012
OKC149
MIN140
25 Mar 2011
OKC111
MIN103
22 Nov 2010
OKC117
MIN107
04 Apr 2010
OKC116
MIN108
26 Feb 2010
OKC109
MIN92
28 Nov 2008
OKC103
MIN105
02 Nov 2008
OKC88
MIN85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
114-108
114
108
+6
104avg 111
A25/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
117-115
117
115
+2
97avg 111
A26/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
119-121
119
121
-2
103avg 111
H06/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
149-106
149
106
+43
149avg 111
H08/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
104-113 OT
104
113
-9
88avg 111
A10/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
92-87
92
87
+5
83avg 111
A11/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
112-105
112
105
+7
107avg 111
H14/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
107-119
107
119
-12
95avg 111
A16/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
125-93
125
93
+32
116avg 111
H18/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
114-88
114
88
+26
113avg 111
H21/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-40
22-37
36-18
27-13
34-31
26-28
28-26
29-30
27-26
33-24
30-35
29-36
45-21
42-35
37-20
25-30
28-22
28-29
27-29
19-22
17-8
25-28
21-33
29-18
27-28
27-28
24-30
34-19
28-31
33-27
21-32
25-29
21-26
39-20
37-26
28-21
20-23
24-25
32-18
38-22
220.8Avg total
115.3Scored
105.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (92)120.2107.2227.3+13.082%
Season at home (47)123.1106.4229.5+16.785%
Season away (45)117.1108.0225.0+9.178%
Last 10 (10)115.3105.5220.8+9.870%
Last 5 (5)110.098.4208.4+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)118.0112.0230.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)121.1107.8229.0+13.379%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
85-94
85
94
-9
66avg 106
A23/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
116-104
116
104
+12
103avg 106
H26/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
116-113
116
113
+3
103avg 106
H27/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
103-96
103
96
+7
96avg 106
A01/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
88-99
88
99
-11
74avg 106
H07/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
117-93
117
93
+24
114avg 106
H09/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
102-97
102
97
+5
99avg 106
A11/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
117-110
117
110
+7
110avg 106
A13/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
121-110
121
110
+11
129avg 106
H15/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
88-114
88
114
-26
73avg 106
A21/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-34
28-24
22-23
20-13
32-26
22-32
32-26
30-20
28-32
33-26
23-36
32-19
31-22
28-27
22-31
22-16
20-18
11-26
29-36
28-19
29-15
27-24
29-26
32-28
21-21
19-21
29-31
33-24
27-28
31-32
39-17
20-33
30-23
32-24
31-25
28-38
23-20
25-24
18-32
22-38
208.3Avg total
105.3Scored
103.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (93)113.4108.5221.8+4.961%
Season at home (46)115.3108.1223.4+7.263%
Season away (47)111.4108.8220.2+2.760%
Last 10 (10)105.3103.0208.3+2.370%
Last 5 (5)109.0104.8213.8+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)88.0114.0202.0-26.00%
vs Similar (17)113.9107.9221.9+6.071%
vs Weaker (12)120.2105.6225.8+14.792%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
Oklahoma City ThunderMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A25/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A26/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H06/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
87-56
87
56
+31
H08/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A10/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A11/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H14/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A16/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H18/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H21/05
NBA
111.2Avg total
57.5Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.254.8117.0+7.380%-
Last 30 at home (16)65.754.6120.2+11.181%-
Last 30 away (14)58.155.1113.3+3.079%-
Last 10 (10)57.553.7111.2+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)52.248.8101.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)63.060.0123.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)62.154.7116.8+7.579%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A23/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H26/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H27/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A01/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H07/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H09/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A11/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A13/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H15/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A21/05
NBA
101.1Avg total
51.2Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.352.1107.3+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.752.7109.4+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)53.951.4105.3+2.553%-
Last 10 (10)51.249.9101.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)52.846.499.2+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)48.044.092.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (17)53.152.6105.8+0.541%-
vs Weaker (12)58.951.9110.8+7.083%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 115.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.529.9
53.9%
54.3%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.711.6
32.5%
35.9%34.8
🏀 Free throws26.920.7
77.0%
77.8%20.7
They take 91.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 105.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.426.2
54.1%
54.3%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.011.7
32.5%
35.9%35.1
🏀 Free throws23.217.8
76.7%
77.8%17.8
They take 84.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWLWWLWLWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWWLWWWL
#1
League position
#7
+9.6
Net rating
+2.4
112.7
Offensive rating
110.0
103.1
Defensive rating
107.6
51.9%
Effective FG%
51.8%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
10.6%
Turnover %
14.5%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.5%
3-point %
32.5%
60.5%
Assist %
62.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 110.0Defence103.1 · 107.6Shooting51.9% · 51.8%3-point %32.5% · 32.5%Ball care10.6% · 14.5%Off. rebounds24.7% · 27.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/25HMinnesota Timberwolves114-88
18/05/25HDenver Nuggets125-93
16/05/25ADenver Nuggets107-119
14/05/25HDenver Nuggets112-105
11/05/25ADenver Nuggets92-87
10/05/25ADenver Nuggets104-113 OT
08/05/25HDenver Nuggets149-106
06/05/25HDenver Nuggets119-121
26/04/25AMemphis Grizzlies117-115
25/04/25AMemphis Grizzlies114-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder88-114
15/05/25HGolden State Warriors121-110
13/05/25AGolden State Warriors117-110
11/05/25AGolden State Warriors102-97
09/05/25HGolden State Warriors117-93
07/05/25HGolden State Warriors88-99
01/05/25ALos Angeles Lakers103-96
27/04/25HLos Angeles Lakers116-113
26/04/25HLos Angeles Lakers116-104
23/04/25ALos Angeles Lakers85-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW82%
HomeLWWWW85%
AwayWWLWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games924745
Win %82%85%78%
Points / game120.2123.1117.1
Allowed / game107.2106.4108.0
Point differential+13.0+16.7+9.1
Avg total227.3229.5225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%74%49%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)0% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %2%2%2%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL61%
HomeWWLWW63%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games934647
Win %61%63%60%
Points / game113.4115.3111.4
Allowed / game108.5108.1108.8
Point differential+4.9+7.2+2.7
Avg total221.8223.4220.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%46%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (28)40% (15)69% (13)
Overtime %5%4%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder92751782%120.2107.2+13.0
2 Cleveland Cavaliers91692276%121.7111.9+9.7
3 Boston Celtics93672672%115.0106.3+8.7
4 Indiana Pacers93593463%117.6115.0+2.6
5 New York Knicks94593563%115.0111.3+3.7
6 Houston Rockets87543362%113.9109.5+4.4
7 Minnesota Timberwolves93573661%113.4108.5+4.9
8 Los Angeles Clippers89533660%112.5108.2+4.3
9 Denver Nuggets96573959%118.8116.1+2.6
10 Los Angeles Lakers87513659%112.6111.9+0.7
11 Golden State Warriors94544057%112.8110.2+2.6
12 Memphis Grizzlies88493956%120.7116.9+3.7
13 Milwaukee Bucks85473855%115.3113.5+1.8
14 Detroit Pistons88464252%114.9113.2+1.7
15 Orlando Magic87434449%104.9105.4-0.5
16 Sacramento Kings83404348%115.6115.3+0.3
17 Dallas Mavericks83404348%114.3115.3-1.0
18 Atlanta Hawks82394348%118.2119.7-1.5
19 Chicago Bulls83394447%117.5119.2-1.8
20 Miami Heat88394944%110.0110.6-0.5
21 Portland Trail Blazers82364644%110.9113.9-3.0
22 Phoenix Suns82364644%113.6116.6-3.0
23 San Antonio Spurs82344841%113.9116.7-2.8
24 Toronto Raptors82305237%110.9115.2-4.3
25 Brooklyn Nets82265632%105.1112.2-7.1
26 Philadelphia 76ers82245829%109.6115.8-6.2
27 New Orleans Pelicans82216126%109.8119.3-9.4
28 Charlotte Hornets82196323%105.1114.2-9.1
29 Washington Wizards82186422%108.0120.4-12.4
30 Utah Jazz82176521%111.9121.2-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder29293525118
Minnesota Timberwolves25252132103
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