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Panathinaikos vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 82-81
16-26 20-18 24-17 22-20
Position#7
Record15-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#2
Record16-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game83.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 26· Telekom Center Athens
European cup2025
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Real Madrid
03 Feb 2026
PAO82
MAD81
06 Mar 2025
PAO85
MAD70
07 Dec 2023
PAO78
MAD90
06 Oct 2022
PAO68
MAD71
31 Mar 2022
PAO87
MAD86
15 Dec 2020
PAO93
MAD97
23 Apr 2019
PAO82
MAD89
28 Mar 2019
PAO73
MAD74
19 Apr 2018
PAO82
MAD89
17 Apr 2018
PAO95
MAD67
24 Nov 2017
PAO82
MAD80
16 Mar 2017
PAO88
MAD82
20 Mar 2015
PAO85
MAD69
25 Jan 2013
PAO54
MAD58
15 Nov 2012
PAO79
MAD68
17 Dec 2009
PAO67
MAD76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
74-87
74
87
-13
70avg 85
H06/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
84-71
84
71
+13
80avg 85
H08/01
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
94-86
94
86
+8
88avg 85
H11/01
Basket League
Bayern
#14
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
A15/01
Euroleague
PAOK
#3
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
A18/01
Basket League
Baskonia
#18
W
93-74
93
74
+19
88avg 85
H20/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
71-75
71
75
-4
61avg 85
A22/01
Euroleague
Maroussi
#12
W
92-81
92
81
+11
93avg 85
H25/01
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
79-78
79
78
+1
73avg 85
A30/01
Euroleague
Aris
#5
L
95-102 OT
95
102
-7
85avg 85
A01/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
23-23
15-23
16-26
23-15
16-18
17-15
28-23
22-23
24-27
28-17
20-19
24-25
19-15
21-18
14-27
28-9
15-18
12-31
19-11
26-14
22-17
25-23
20-20
21-20
18-22
21-17
11-16
19-25
29-15
23-21
21-20
15-17
20-12
20-17
24-32
23-22
19-20
14-21
31-24
164.2Avg total
83.4Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.383.8170.2+2.560%
Season at home (12)89.382.8172.1+6.667%
Season away (13)83.584.8168.4-1.354%
Last 10 (10)83.480.8164.2+2.660%
Last 5 (5)86.082.0168.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.087.0169.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.586.2172.6+0.355%
vs Weaker (18)88.877.2166.0+11.783%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
80-69
80
69
+11
76avg 82
A06/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
98-86
98
86
+12
98avg 82
H08/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
90-85
90
85
+5
74avg 82
A11/01
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
80-61
80
61
+19
no box
H16/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#1
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H18/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
106-77
106
77
+29
114avg 82
H20/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
90-78
90
78
+12
93avg 82
H22/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
103-85
103
85
+18
103avg 82
A24/01
ACB
Paris
#16
L
92-98
92
98
-6
91avg 82
A27/01
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
99-78
99
78
+21
78avg 82
H01/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
19-23
20-20
24-8
21-25
27-22
28-18
22-21
13-21
27-20
21-17
29-27
21-14
22-17
20-16
17-14
9-24
34-19
33-17
18-19
30-23
24-13
24-19
28-22
23-13
31-18
17-22
19-25
19-19
24-24
27-22
33-20
18-24
24-26
24-25
26-23
21-22
24-19
20-14
34-23
172.8Avg total
93.2Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)87.983.3171.2+4.664%
Season at home (13)92.280.8173.0+11.392%
Season away (12)83.386.0169.3-2.733%
Last 10 (10)93.279.6172.8+13.690%
Last 5 (5)98.083.2181.2+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (8)88.089.0177.0-1.050%
vs Weaker (21)92.581.9174.4+10.790%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +4.8+4.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +4.8+4.8
PanathinaikosReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H06/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H08/01
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H11/01
Basket League
Bayern
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A15/01
Euroleague
PAOK
#3
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A18/01
Basket League
Baskonia
#18
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H20/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A22/01
Euroleague
Maroussi
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H25/01
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A30/01
Euroleague
Aris
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A01/02
Basket League
79.8Avg total
42.6Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.341.787.0+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.342.688.9+3.657%-
Last 30 away (16)44.440.885.2+3.656%-
Last 10 (10)42.637.279.8+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)42.436.879.2+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.544.487.9-0.845%-
vs Weaker (18)46.539.986.4+6.667%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H08/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A11/01
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H16/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H18/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H20/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H22/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A24/01
ACB
Paris
#16
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A27/01
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H01/02
ACB
85.2Avg total
44.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.042.886.8+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.143.990.0+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)41.941.783.5+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)44.840.485.2+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)47.640.287.8+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.541.083.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (21)44.643.588.0+1.152%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.3
54.9%
60.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.9
35.5%
35.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.216.3
73.4%
78.2%16.3
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 94.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.722.4
62.7%
60.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.511.0
43.1%
35.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws22.516.5
73.3%
78.2%16.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LWWLWWLWWL
Real Madrid
WLWWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#2
+4.4
Net rating
+13.5
103.8
Offensive rating
117.2
99.4
Defensive rating
103.7
54.2%
Effective FG%
63.6%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
14.1%
Turnover %
14.5%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.5%
3-point %
43.1%
63.2%
Assist %
64.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 117.2Defence99.4 · 103.7Shooting54.2% · 63.6%3-point %35.5% · 43.1%Ball care14.1% · 14.5%Off. rebounds23.7% · 35.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Panathinaikos wins
5
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26AAris95-102 OT
30/01/26ALyon-Villeurbanne79-78
25/01/26HMaroussi92-81
22/01/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv71-75
20/01/26HBaskonia93-74
18/01/26APAOK74-69
15/01/26ABayern78-85
11/01/26HPeristeri94-86
08/01/26HVirtus Bologna84-71
06/01/26HOlimpia Milano74-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26HBasket Zaragoza99-78
27/01/26AParis92-98
24/01/26ABreogan103-85
22/01/26HMonaco90-78
20/01/26HOlimpia Milano106-77
18/01/26HValencia94-79
16/01/26HBarcelona80-61
11/01/26AMoraBanc Andorra90-85
08/01/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-86
06/01/26ALyon-Villeurbanne80-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWWLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %60%67%54%
Points / game86.389.383.5
Allowed / game83.882.884.8
Point differential+2.5+6.6-1.3
Avg total170.2172.1168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL64%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %64%92%33%
Points / game87.992.283.3
Allowed / game83.380.886.0
Point differential+4.6+11.3-2.7
Avg total171.2173.0169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%62%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2417771%82.178.7+3.4
2 Olympiacos2516964%89.283.9+5.2
3 Real Madrid2516964%87.983.3+4.6
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv2516964%86.082.1+3.9
5 Barcelona2516964%86.684.7+1.9
6 Valencia26161062%90.286.4+3.8
7 Crvena zvezda26161062%87.585.5+2.0
8 Panathinaikos25151060%86.383.8+2.5
9 Zalgiris Kaunas26151158%88.882.9+5.8
10 Monaco26151158%90.985.7+5.2
11 Virtus Bologna25121348%82.883.4-0.6
12 Olimpia Milano25121348%85.086.0-1.0
13 Dubai26121446%87.288.2-1.0
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv26111542%88.991.8-2.8
15 Bayern25101540%79.483.0-3.6
16 Baskonia2591636%86.990.4-3.5
17 Paris2481633%89.792.8-3.1
18 Partizan2681831%80.489.5-9.1
19 Anadolu Efes2671927%79.384.7-5.4
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne2561924%78.787.0-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos1620242282
Real Madrid2618172081
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