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Pesaro vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 65-85
19-21 13-19 16-26 17-19
Position#16
Record5-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#1
Record10-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game75.0
ItalyLega ARound 17· Vitrifrigo Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pesaro v Olimpia Milano
21 Jan 2024
PES65
MIL85
20 May 2023
PES80
MIL94
18 May 2023
PES88
MIL83
06 Nov 2022
PES71
MIL85
16 Jan 2022
PES85
MIL82
25 Apr 2021
PES81
MIL88
08 Dec 2019
PES65
MIL71
28 Oct 2018
PES82
MIL97
02 Jan 2018
PES64
MIL78
30 Apr 2017
PES90
MIL79
23 Dec 2015
PES69
MIL66
23 Mar 2015
PES61
MIL84
16 Dec 2013
PES73
MIL94
10 Dec 2012
PES70
MIL72
04 Jun 2012
PES67
MIL73
02 Jun 2012
PES85
MIL77
15 Oct 2011
PES69
MIL66
15 May 2011
PES82
MIL71
29 Mar 2010
PES83
MIL77
12 Oct 2008
PES62
MIL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
W
96-92
96
92
+4
91avg 70
H12/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
69-96
69
96
-27
60avg 70
A19/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
95-76
95
76
+19
100avg 70
H26/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
68-101
68
101
-33
63avg 70
A02/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
74-87
74
87
-13
65avg 70
H10/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
74-73
74
73
+1
65avg 70
A17/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
81-88
81
88
-7
70avg 70
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
66-83
66
83
-17
51avg 70
A30/12
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
69-79
69
79
-10
54avg 70
H07/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
75-93
75
93
-18
64avg 70
A14/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
28-16
16-27
32-20
17-26
16-27
23-20
13-23
26-21
22-18
28-13
19-24
18-29
20-22
14-19
16-31
12-19
22-17
13-25
27-26
17-23
30-15
17-14
10-21
21-18
24-19
21-24
15-27
19-15
13-26
16-17
18-25
20-13
8-28
14-27
27-11
22-22
11-25
16-22
26-24
163.5Avg total
76.7Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.886.2165.0-7.431%
Season at home (8)82.487.8170.1-5.425%
Season away (8)75.284.6159.9-9.438%
Last 10 (10)76.786.8163.5-10.130%
Last 5 (5)73.083.2156.2-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)77.189.1166.2-12.025%
vs Similar (10)83.985.8169.7-1.940%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Cremona
#11
W
74-51
74
51
+23
75avg 77
H24/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
73avg 77
H28/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
L
64-72
64
72
-8
49avg 77
A30/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
69avg 77
A02/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
76-62
76
62
+14
71avg 77
H05/01
Euroleague
Trento
#6
W
79-74
79
74
+5
74avg 77
A07/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
82-76
82
76
+6
74avg 77
H09/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
62-76
62
76
-14
54avg 77
H11/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
83-82
83
82
+1
82avg 77
H14/01
Lega A
Valencia
#14
L
72-84
72
84
-12
63avg 77
A19/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-11
16-11
22-25
20-4
20-12
26-19
14-17
16-19
18-15
14-18
16-19
16-20
19-18
16-22
15-23
24-16
19-12
15-15
16-20
26-15
14-25
24-16
19-14
22-19
16-17
21-18
23-23
22-18
15-23
16-24
16-10
15-19
20-18
22-17
16-21
25-26
19-21
21-11
19-29
13-23
146.5Avg total
74.2Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.075.0154.0+4.062%
Season at home (8)82.876.1158.9+6.675%
Season away (8)75.273.9149.1+1.450%
Last 10 (10)74.272.3146.5+1.960%
Last 5 (5)75.678.4154.0-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.076.0144.0-8.00%
vs Similar (18)78.777.2155.9+1.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.773.9153.6+5.864%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
PesaroOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H12/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A19/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H26/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A02/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H10/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A17/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A30/12
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H07/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A14/01
Lega A
81.4Avg total
38.6Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.044.082.9-5.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.341.179.5-2.840%-
Last 30 away (15)39.646.886.4-7.220%-
Last 10 (10)38.642.881.4-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.877.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.946.083.8-8.115%-
vs Similar (10)41.240.081.2+1.260%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#11
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H24/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H28/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A30/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A02/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H05/01
Euroleague
Trento
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A07/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H09/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H11/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/01
Lega A
Valencia
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A19/01
Euroleague
71.0Avg total
36.7Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.137.577.6+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.536.678.2+4.982%-
Last 30 away (13)38.338.676.9-0.331%-
Last 10 (10)36.734.371.0+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.075.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.041.082.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (18)40.538.178.6+2.461%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.536.375.7+3.264%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.617.9
46.4%
53.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.1
34.7%
35.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.412.6
72.4%
76.3%12.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.6
53.3%
53.1%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.8
35.5%
35.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws14.311.0
76.9%
76.3%11.0
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLLWLLWLW
Olimpia Milano
LWLWWWLLWW
#16
League position
#1
-13.3
Net rating
+3.6
99.6
Offensive rating
105.6
112.9
Defensive rating
102.0
48.7%
Effective FG%
53.2%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
17.0%
Turnover %
17.9%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.7%
3-point %
35.5%
61.5%
Assist %
60.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 105.6Defence112.9 · 102.0Shooting48.7% · 53.2%3-point %34.7% · 35.5%Ball care17.0% · 17.9%Off. rebounds24.2% · 24.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Pesaro   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
7
Olimpia Milano wins
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24ABasket Napoli75-93
07/01/24HSassari69-79
30/12/23AVirtus Bologna66-83
23/12/23HVarese81-88
17/12/23APistoia74-73
10/12/23HTrento74-87
02/12/23AReggiana68-101
26/11/23HTreviso95-76
19/11/23ACremona69-96
12/11/23HTortona96-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24AValencia72-84
14/01/24HTortona83-82
11/01/24HCrvena zvezda62-76
09/01/24HAlba Berlin82-76
07/01/24ATrento79-74
05/01/24HBayern76-62
02/01/24AOlympiacos74-79
30/12/23ABrescia64-72
28/12/23HBaskonia76-67
24/12/23HCremona74-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL31%
HomeWWLLL25%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%25%38%
Points / game78.882.475.2
Allowed / game86.287.884.6
Point differential-7.4-5.4-9.4
Avg total165.0170.1159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game79.082.875.2
Allowed / game75.076.173.9
Point differential+4.0+6.6+1.4
Avg total154.0158.9149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1713476%86.474.7+11.6
2 Virtus Bologna1712571%86.976.1+10.8
3 Venezia1712571%81.977.9+4.0
4 Basket Napoli1711665%86.081.6+4.4
5 Olimpia Milano1610662%79.075.0+4.0
6 Reggiana1710759%83.082.3+0.7
7 Trento179853%82.883.2-0.4
8 Pistoia179853%78.181.2-3.1
9 Cremona178947%81.078.4+2.6
10 Scafati178947%84.485.6-1.2
11 Sassari167944%76.982.2-5.4
12 Tortona1771041%78.080.2-2.2
13 Varese1761135%85.690.5-4.9
14 Pesaro1651131%78.886.2-7.4
15 Treviso1641225%80.184.6-4.4
16 Brindisi1731418%73.483.4-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1913161765
Olimpia Milano2119261985
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