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San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 121-97
30-27 26-23 35-22 30-25
Position#2
Record42-13
FormWLLWW
Points / game106.2
Allowed / game98.3
vs
Position#16
Record26-31
FormWWLLW
Points / game109.6
Allowed / game110.5
USANBA· AT&T Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Denver Nuggets
09 Apr 2027
SAS v DEN
upcoming
28 Feb 2027
SAS v DEN
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SAS118
DEN128
12 Mar 2026
SAS131
DEN136
04 Jan 2025
SAS111
DEN122
12 Apr 2024
SAS121
DEN120
15 Mar 2024
SAS106
DEN117
10 Mar 2023
SAS128
DEN120
07 Nov 2022
SAS109
DEN115
11 Dec 2021
SAS112
DEN127
09 Dec 2021
SAS123
DEN111
29 Jan 2021
SAS119
DEN109
05 Aug 2020
SAS126
DEN132
25 Apr 2019
SAS120
DEN103
20 Apr 2019
SAS103
DEN117
18 Apr 2019
SAS118
DEN108
04 Mar 2019
SAS104
DEN103
26 Dec 2018
SAS111
DEN103
30 Jan 2018
SAS106
DEN104
13 Jan 2018
SAS112
DEN80
08 Oct 2017
SAS122
DEN100
04 Feb 2017
SAS121
DEN97
19 Jan 2017
SAS118
DEN104
26 Dec 2015
SAS101
DEN86
18 Nov 2015
SAS109
DEN98
03 Apr 2015
SAS123
DEN93
06 Mar 2015
SAS120
DEN111
26 Mar 2014
SAS108
DEN103
27 Mar 2013
SAS100
DEN99
17 Nov 2012
SAS126
DEN100
12 Oct 2012
SAS91
DEN97
04 Mar 2012
SAS94
DEN99
07 Jan 2012
SAS121
DEN117
16 Jan 2011
SAS110
DEN97
22 Dec 2010
SAS109
DEN103
31 Jan 2010
SAS89
DEN103
05 Dec 2009
SAS99
DEN106
19 Nov 2008
SAS81
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
105-108
105
108
-3
A14/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
122-114
122
114
+8
H18/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
118-104
118
104
+14
H20/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
118-115 OT
118
115
+3
A22/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
112-86
112
86
+26
A24/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
108-106
108
106
+2
A25/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
103-119
103
119
-16
A28/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
101-105
101
105
-4
H30/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
108-94
108
94
+14
H01/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
102-86
102
86
+16
H03/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
33-26
27-29
20-28
30-30
37-41
25-19
30-24
28-23
31-35
33-23
26-23
22-33
35-25
27-31
23-18
27-26
25-16
39-27
21-17
29-25
32-29
18-25
29-27
20-23
37-25
27-37
19-34
28-27
31-22
22-28
20-28
31-17
21-25
27-33
29-19
24-21
24-32
31-20
23-13
213.4Avg total
109.7Scored
103.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)106.298.3204.5+7.976%
Season at home (27)106.597.6204.0+8.974%
Season away (28)106.099.0205.0+7.079%
Last 10 (10)109.7103.7213.4+6.070%
Last 5 (5)104.4102.0206.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)107.8101.8209.6+6.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)110.899.2210.0+11.676%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
127-121
127
121
+6
A18/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
104-118
104
118
-14
A20/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
123-98
123
98
+25
H22/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
108-111
108
111
-3
A23/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
103-93
103
93
+10
H25/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
127-120
127
120
+7
H27/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
123-112
123
112
+11
A29/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
116-120
116
120
-4
A01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
99-119
99
119
-20
H02/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
121-117
121
117
+4
H04/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-26
26-28
35-30
26-37
23-28
35-31
23-33
23-26
27-18
32-27
36-26
28-27
29-28
29-34
26-22
24-27
18-22
33-17
29-28
23-26
35-29
22-32
39-31
31-28
21-33
38-28
36-22
28-29
30-30
29-24
17-27
40-39
18-27
31-35
20-25
30-32
31-31
39-22
28-36
23-28
228.0Avg total
115.1Scored
112.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)109.6110.5220.1-0.946%
Season at home (27)114.1112.1226.2+2.152%
Season away (30)105.5109.0214.5-3.640%
Last 10 (10)115.1112.9228.0+2.260%
Last 5 (5)117.2117.6234.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)107.3124.0231.3-16.70%
vs Similar (17)110.1109.1219.2+1.153%
vs Weaker (10)119.1115.6234.7+3.560%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
San Antonio SpursDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A14/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H18/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H20/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A22/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A24/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
61-54
61
54
+7
A25/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A28/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H30/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H01/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H03/02
NBA
109.6Avg total
57.0Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.350.8105.1+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.852.8110.6+4.962%-
Last 30 away (14)50.348.598.8+1.864%-
Last 10 (10)57.052.6109.6+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)55.449.2104.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)55.051.0106.0+4.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)54.150.8104.9+3.464%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A18/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A20/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H22/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A23/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H25/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H27/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A29/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
49-62
49
62
-13
H02/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H04/02
NBA
113.6Avg total
58.6Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.956.5114.4+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.154.9113.9+4.260%-
Last 30 away (15)56.758.1114.8-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)58.655.0113.6+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)58.858.2117.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)58.361.7120.0-3.30%-
vs Similar (17)57.254.1111.3+3.159%-
vs Weaker (10)58.959.0117.9-0.140%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 109.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.631.6
49.7%
50.2%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.5
37.9%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws27.421.0
76.6%
77.0%21.0
They take 86.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.930.8
51.4%
50.2%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.8
37.8%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws30.924.1
78.0%
77.0%24.1
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WWLLWWWWWL
Denver Nuggets
WLLWWWLWLW
#2
League position
#16
+5.9
Net rating
+2.2
107.9
Offensive rating
114.3
102.0
Defensive rating
112.2
51.6%
Effective FG%
53.0%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
12.0%
Turnover %
14.0%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.9%
3-point %
37.8%
57.9%
Assist %
66.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 114.3Defence102.0 · 112.2Shooting51.6% · 53.0%3-point %37.9% · 37.8%Ball care12.0% · 14.0%Off. rebounds20.3% · 30.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/17HPhiladelphia 76ers102-86
01/02/17HOklahoma City Thunder108-94
30/01/17HDallas Mavericks101-105
28/01/17ANew Orleans Pelicans103-119
25/01/17AToronto Raptors108-106
24/01/17ABrooklyn Nets112-86
22/01/17ACleveland Cavaliers118-115 OT
20/01/17HDenver Nuggets118-104
18/01/17HMinnesota Timberwolves122-114
14/01/17APhoenix Suns105-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/17HMilwaukee Bucks121-117
02/02/17HMemphis Grizzlies99-119
01/02/17ALos Angeles Lakers116-120
29/01/17APhoenix Suns123-112
27/01/17HPhoenix Suns127-120
25/01/17HUtah Jazz103-93
23/01/17AMinnesota Timberwolves108-111
22/01/17HLos Angeles Clippers123-98
20/01/17ASan Antonio Spurs104-118
18/01/17ALos Angeles Lakers127-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW76%
HomeWWLWW74%
AwayLWWWL79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552728
Win %76%74%79%
Points / game106.2106.5106.0
Allowed / game98.397.699.0
Point differential+7.9+8.9+7.0
Avg total204.5204.0205.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%56%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (18)50% (6)58% (12)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW46%
HomeWWWLW52%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572730
Win %46%52%40%
Points / game109.6114.1105.5
Allowed / game110.5112.1109.0
Point differential-0.9+2.1-3.6
Avg total220.1226.2214.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%37%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (19)33% (9)50% (10)
Overtime %7%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5749886%117.7104.8+12.9
2 San Antonio Spurs55421376%106.298.3+7.9
3 Houston Rockets60411968%114.3108.5+5.8
4 Cleveland Cavaliers55361965%109.1105.0+4.1
5 Boston Celtics57372065%107.9104.9+3.0
6 Utah Jazz56342261%99.295.3+3.9
7 Los Angeles Clippers56342261%106.6104.4+2.2
8 Atlanta Hawks58352360%103.2102.5+0.7
9 Washington Wizards57342360%106.9104.0+2.9
10 Memphis Grizzlies58342459%101.3100.0+1.3
11 Toronto Raptors57332458%108.3104.4+3.9
12 Oklahoma City Thunder55312456%105.6105.3+0.3
13 Indiana Pacers56312555%105.9105.6+0.3
14 Chicago Bulls58283048%102.6101.9+0.7
15 Charlotte Hornets57263146%103.5103.6-0.1
16 Detroit Pistons57263146%100.4100.7-0.3
17 Denver Nuggets57263146%109.6110.5-0.9
18 Portland Trail Blazers58263245%106.9108.9-2.0
19 New York Knicks58263245%106.1108.4-2.3
20 Milwaukee Bucks55243144%103.0104.0-1.0
21 Miami Heat59253442%101.0101.5-0.5
22 Minnesota Timberwolves57243342%103.7104.0-0.3
23 Dallas Mavericks57223539%97.2100.4-3.2
24 Sacramento Kings55213438%102.9105.9-3.1
25 Orlando Magic60223837%99.5105.5-6.0
26 Phoenix Suns56203636%106.2111.1-5.0
27 New Orleans Pelicans57203735%103.4106.9-3.5
28 Philadelphia 76ers57203735%100.0106.5-6.5
29 Los Angeles Lakers61194231%104.3109.9-5.6
30 Brooklyn Nets56104618%104.9114.0-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs30263530121
Denver Nuggets2723222597
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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