PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 117-106
39-30 33-25 26-32 19-19
Position#12
Record30-22
FormWLWWL
Points / game103.8
Allowed / game104.2
vs
Position#17
Record23-28
FormLLWLW
Points / game110.2
Allowed / game111.3
USANBA· Philips Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Denver Nuggets
07 Feb 2027
ATL v DEN
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ATL133
DEN134
08 Dec 2024
ATL111
DEN141
11 Dec 2023
ATL122
DEN129
02 Dec 2022
ATL117
DEN109
17 Dec 2021
ATL115
DEN133
21 Feb 2021
ATL123
DEN115
06 Jan 2020
ATL115
DEN123
08 Dec 2018
ATL106
DEN98
27 Oct 2017
ATL100
DEN105
08 Feb 2017
ATL117
DEN106
17 Mar 2016
ATL116
DEN98
07 Dec 2014
ATL96
DEN84
15 Mar 2014
ATL97
DEN92
05 Dec 2012
ATL108
DEN104
16 Mar 2011
ATL87
DEN102
07 Nov 2009
ATL125
DEN100
29 Dec 2008
ATL109
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
102-93
102
93
+9
95avg 96
H21/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
110-93
110
93
+17
101avg 96
H22/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
105-115
105
115
-10
96avg 96
H24/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
119-114
119
114
+5
117avg 96
A26/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
86-112
86
112
-26
70avg 96
H28/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
142-139 OT
142
139
+3
132avg 96
H29/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
93-116
93
116
-23
76avg 96
A02/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
113-108
113
108
+5
115avg 96
A03/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
113-86
113
86
+27
116avg 96
H05/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
95-120
95
120
-25
79avg 96
H07/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-13
30-23
22-21
15-36
25-25
37-29
28-23
20-16
21-30
19-28
35-27
30-30
22-29
29-30
27-24
41-31
25-37
20-30
23-26
18-19
30-37
31-28
22-16
21-23
22-29
25-33
24-32
22-22
26-32
21-18
26-36
40-22
35-24
30-15
26-26
22-21
21-29
29-25
23-37
22-29
217.4Avg total
107.8Scored
109.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)103.8104.2208.0-0.558%
Season at home (26)106.0105.5211.6+0.558%
Season away (26)101.5103.0204.4-1.558%
Last 10 (10)107.8109.6217.4-1.860%
Last 5 (5)111.2113.8225.0-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)114.2114.0228.2+0.275%
vs Similar ◀ (21)103.0105.5208.6-2.562%
vs Weaker (5)114.299.8214.0+14.480%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
123-98
123
98
+25
122avg 100
H22/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
108-111
108
111
-3
104avg 100
A23/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
103-93
103
93
+10
102avg 100
H25/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
127-120
127
120
+7
126avg 100
H27/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
123-112
123
112
+11
116avg 100
A29/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
116-120
116
120
-4
105avg 100
A01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
99-119
99
119
-20
92avg 100
H02/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
121-117
121
117
+4
116avg 100
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
97-121
97
121
-24
83avg 100
A05/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
110-87
110
87
+23
112avg 100
H07/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
32-27
36-26
28-27
29-28
29-34
26-22
24-27
18-22
33-17
29-28
23-26
35-29
22-32
39-31
31-28
21-33
38-28
36-22
28-29
30-30
29-24
17-27
40-39
18-27
31-35
20-25
30-32
31-31
39-22
28-36
23-28
27-30
23-26
22-35
25-30
29-24
30-13
23-30
28-20
222.5Avg total
112.7Scored
109.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)110.2111.3221.5-1.145%
Season at home (26)114.0111.9225.8+2.154%
Season away (25)106.2110.6216.9-4.436%
Last 10 (10)112.7109.8222.5+2.960%
Last 5 (5)108.6112.8221.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)104.8123.2228.0-18.50%
vs Similar ◀ (16)109.8107.6217.4+2.256%
vs Weaker (10)121.2117.2238.4+4.060%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
Atlanta HawksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
65-36
65
36
+29
H21/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H22/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H24/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A26/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
45-67
45
67
-22
H28/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H29/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A02/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A03/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
65-39
65
39
+26
H05/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H07/02
NBA
107.7Avg total
53.3Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.152.6103.7-1.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.151.8103.8+0.338%-
Last 30 away (14)50.053.6103.6-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)53.354.4107.7-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)54.054.0108.0+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)50.051.5101.5-1.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)49.153.2102.3-4.124%-
vs Weaker (5)60.451.0111.4+9.480%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H22/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A23/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H25/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H27/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A29/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
49-62
49
62
-13
H02/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A05/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
59-37
59
37
+22
H07/02
NBA
110.1Avg total
57.1Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.256.2114.4+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.153.8112.8+5.362%-
Last 30 away (14)57.359.0116.3-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)57.153.0110.1+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)57.452.4109.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)56.260.2116.5-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)57.653.4111.0+4.262%-
vs Weaker (10)60.059.1119.1+0.950%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 107.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.530.6
50.6%
50.2%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.2
34.8%
35.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws25.519.0
74.5%
77.0%19.0
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.930.4
50.8%
50.2%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.8
38.3%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws28.322.5
79.5%
77.0%22.5
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
LWWLWLWLWW
Denver Nuggets
WLWLLWWWLW
#12
League position
#17
-1.7
Net rating
+2.9
104.2
Offensive rating
113.5
105.9
Defensive rating
110.6
51.1%
Effective FG%
52.7%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
14.3%
Turnover %
14.6%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.8%
3-point %
38.3%
60.6%
Assist %
65.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 113.5Defence105.9 · 110.6Shooting51.1% · 52.7%3-point %34.8% · 38.3%Ball care14.3% · 14.6%Off. rebounds21.6% · 30.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Atlanta Hawks wins
4
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/17HUtah Jazz95-120
05/02/17HOrlando Magic113-86
03/02/17AHouston Rockets113-108
02/02/17AMiami Heat93-116
29/01/17HNew York Knicks142-139 OT
28/01/17HWashington Wizards86-112
26/01/17AChicago Bulls119-114
24/01/17HLos Angeles Clippers105-115
22/01/17HPhiladelphia 76ers110-93
21/01/17HChicago Bulls102-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/17HDallas Mavericks110-87
05/02/17ASan Antonio Spurs97-121
04/02/17HMilwaukee Bucks121-117
02/02/17HMemphis Grizzlies99-119
01/02/17ALos Angeles Lakers116-120
29/01/17APhoenix Suns123-112
27/01/17HPhoenix Suns127-120
25/01/17HUtah Jazz103-93
23/01/17AMinnesota Timberwolves108-111
22/01/17HLos Angeles Clippers123-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL58%
HomeLLWWL58%
AwayWLWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %58%58%58%
Points / game103.8106.0101.5
Allowed / game104.2105.5103.0
Point differential-0.5+0.5-1.5
Avg total208.0211.6204.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%27%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won68% (19)60% (5)71% (14)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW45%
HomeWWLWW54%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %45%54%36%
Points / game110.2114.0106.2
Allowed / game111.3111.9110.6
Point differential-1.1+2.1-4.4
Avg total221.5225.8216.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (16)38% (8)38% (8)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5143884%118.2105.3+12.8
2 San Antonio Spurs52401277%107.098.8+8.2
3 Cleveland Cavaliers51361571%111.0105.7+5.3
4 Houston Rockets55381769%114.3108.2+6.2
5 Boston Celtics51331865%108.3105.6+2.7
6 Utah Jazz52331963%99.995.4+4.5
7 Toronto Raptors53322160%109.2104.6+4.6
8 Los Angeles Clippers52312160%108.3105.0+3.3
9 Memphis Grizzlies54322259%100.599.3+1.2
10 Washington Wizards51302159%107.6105.4+2.2
11 Atlanta Hawks52302258%103.8104.2-0.5
12 Oklahoma City Thunder53302357%105.5105.3+0.2
13 Indiana Pacers52292356%105.7105.8-0.1
14 Chicago Bulls52262650%102.6102.1+0.5
15 Charlotte Hornets52242846%105.2104.4+0.8
16 Detroit Pistons52242846%101.3101.9-0.5
17 Denver Nuggets51232845%110.2111.3-1.1
18 Milwaukee Bucks50222844%105.3105.1+0.2
19 Portland Trail Blazers53233043%107.6109.9-2.3
20 Miami Heat52223042%100.7102.2-1.4
21 New York Knicks53223142%105.8108.8-3.0
22 Dallas Mavericks52203238%97.7100.5-2.8
23 Sacramento Kings52203238%103.2106.2-3.0
24 New Orleans Pelicans52203238%103.3106.4-3.1
25 Orlando Magic54203437%99.7105.8-6.1
26 Minnesota Timberwolves52193337%104.2105.6-1.4
27 Philadelphia 76ers52183435%100.5106.6-6.2
28 Los Angeles Lakers54183633%104.4110.3-5.9
29 Phoenix Suns52163631%106.6112.6-6.0
30 Brooklyn Nets5294317%105.2114.1-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks39332619117
Denver Nuggets30253219106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.