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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 110-87
29-24 30-13 23-30 28-20
Position#17
Record22-28
FormWLLWL
Points / game110.2
Allowed / game111.8
vs
Position#22
Record20-30
FormLWWWW
Points / game97.6
Allowed / game100.1
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
104-118
104
118
-14
93avg 100
A20/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
123-98
123
98
+25
122avg 100
H22/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
108-111
108
111
-3
104avg 100
A23/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
103-93
103
93
+10
102avg 100
H25/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
127-120
127
120
+7
126avg 100
H27/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
123-112
123
112
+11
116avg 100
A29/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
116-120
116
120
-4
105avg 100
A01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
99-119
99
119
-20
92avg 100
H02/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
121-117
121
117
+4
116avg 100
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
97-121
97
121
-24
83avg 100
A05/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
35-31
23-33
23-26
27-18
32-27
36-26
28-27
29-28
29-34
26-22
24-27
18-22
33-17
29-28
23-26
35-29
22-32
39-31
31-28
21-33
38-28
36-22
28-29
30-30
29-24
17-27
40-39
18-27
31-35
20-25
30-32
31-31
39-22
28-36
23-28
27-30
23-26
22-35
25-30
225.0Avg total
112.1Scored
112.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)110.2111.8221.9-1.644%
Season at home (25)114.1112.9227.0+1.252%
Season away (25)106.2110.6216.9-4.436%
Last 10 (10)112.1112.9225.0-0.850%
Last 5 (5)111.2117.8229.0-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)104.8123.2228.0-18.50%
vs Similar ◀ (15)109.8109.0218.8+0.853%
vs Weaker (11)119.8115.5235.3+4.464%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
99-98
99
98
+1
94avg 89
A18/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
95-99
95
99
-4
79avg 89
A20/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
107-112 OT
107
112
-5
95avg 89
H21/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
122-73
122
73
+49
122avg 89
H22/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
103-95
103
95
+8
90avg 89
H26/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
98-109
98
109
-11
84avg 89
A27/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
105-101
105
101
+4
94avg 89
A30/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
104-97
104
97
+7
92avg 89
H31/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
113-95
113
95
+18
108avg 89
H02/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
108-104
108
104
+4
96avg 89
A04/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
30-19
22-27
23-24
22-29
31-15
20-26
22-29
22-19
19-27
27-26
30-26
29-22
38-11
23-22
32-18
30-25
22-26
26-22
25-22
26-23
29-30
18-34
25-22
27-28
22-31
28-22
28-20
26-29
29-21
26-20
23-27
20-23
30-24
31-22
32-26
35-22
25-25
24-29
24-28
203.7Avg total
105.4Scored
98.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)97.6100.1197.7-2.540%
Season at home (24)98.997.1196.0+1.850%
Season away (26)96.4102.8199.2-6.331%
Last 10 (10)105.498.3203.7+7.170%
Last 5 (5)105.6101.2206.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)101.3105.1206.4-3.844%
vs Similar ◀ (21)101.098.5199.6+2.557%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A20/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H22/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A23/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H25/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H27/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A29/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
49-62
49
62
-13
H02/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A05/02
NBA
112.2Avg total
57.0Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.056.7114.7+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.154.9113.9+4.260%-
Last 30 away (15)56.958.6115.5-1.733%-
Last 10 (10)57.055.2112.2+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)57.457.2114.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)56.260.2116.5-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)57.554.5112.0+3.160%-
vs Weaker (11)59.258.5117.7+0.645%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A18/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A20/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H21/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
67-33
67
33
+34
H22/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H26/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A27/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A30/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H31/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H02/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A04/02
NBA
101.3Avg total
53.6Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.951.3104.2+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.348.7101.1+3.660%-
Last 30 away (15)53.553.8107.3-0.333%-
Last 10 (10)53.647.7101.3+5.980%-
Last 5 (5)53.851.2105.0+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)50.958.0108.9-7.111%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)53.848.4102.1+5.462%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.330.0
49.8%
50.2%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.7
37.5%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws29.323.0
78.5%
77.0%23.0
They take 86.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 105.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.527.2
50.8%
50.2%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.5
38.2%
35.7%34.5
🏀 Free throws19.816.5
83.3%
77.0%16.5
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLLWWWLWL
Dallas Mavericks
WWWWLWWLLW
#17
League position
#22
-0.8
Net rating
+7.5
112.1
Offensive rating
111.4
112.9
Defensive rating
103.9
51.7%
Effective FG%
53.2%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
14.5%
Turnover %
9.8%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
18.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.5%
3-point %
38.2%
65.7%
Assist %
52.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 111.4Defence112.9 · 103.9Shooting51.7% · 53.2%3-point %37.5% · 38.2%Ball care14.5% · 9.8%Off. rebounds30.3% · 18.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Denver Nuggets wins
7
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/17ASan Antonio Spurs97-121
04/02/17HMilwaukee Bucks121-117
02/02/17HMemphis Grizzlies99-119
01/02/17ALos Angeles Lakers116-120
29/01/17APhoenix Suns123-112
27/01/17HPhoenix Suns127-120
25/01/17HUtah Jazz103-93
23/01/17AMinnesota Timberwolves108-111
22/01/17HLos Angeles Clippers123-98
20/01/17ASan Antonio Spurs104-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/17APortland Trail Blazers108-104
02/02/17HPhiladelphia 76ers113-95
31/01/17HCleveland Cavaliers104-97
30/01/17ASan Antonio Spurs105-101
27/01/17AOklahoma City Thunder98-109
26/01/17HNew York Knicks103-95
22/01/17HLos Angeles Lakers122-73
21/01/17HUtah Jazz107-112 OT
20/01/17AMiami Heat95-99
18/01/17AChicago Bulls99-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL44%
HomeWWWLW52%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502525
Win %44%52%36%
Points / game110.2114.1106.2
Allowed / game111.8112.9110.6
Point differential-1.6+1.2-4.4
Avg total221.9227.0216.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (16)38% (8)38% (8)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW40%
HomeLWWWW50%
AwayWLLWW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502426
Win %40%50%31%
Points / game97.698.996.4
Allowed / game100.197.1102.8
Point differential-2.5+1.8-6.3
Avg total197.7196.0199.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)0% (1)60% (10)
Overtime %6%8%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5143884%118.2105.3+12.8
2 San Antonio Spurs50391178%107.698.9+8.7
3 Cleveland Cavaliers50351570%110.6105.4+5.1
4 Houston Rockets54371769%114.1108.3+5.8
5 Boston Celtics51331865%108.3105.6+2.7
6 Utah Jazz52331963%99.995.4+4.5
7 Toronto Raptors53322160%109.2104.6+4.6
8 Los Angeles Clippers52312160%108.3105.0+3.3
9 Washington Wizards51302159%107.6105.4+2.2
10 Memphis Grizzlies53312258%100.799.8+1.0
11 Atlanta Hawks52302258%103.8104.2-0.5
12 Indiana Pacers51292257%105.5105.3+0.2
13 Oklahoma City Thunder53302357%105.5105.3+0.2
14 Chicago Bulls51252649%102.4102.0+0.4
15 Detroit Pistons52242846%101.3101.9-0.5
16 Charlotte Hornets51232845%105.1104.3+0.7
17 Milwaukee Bucks50222844%105.3105.1+0.2
18 Denver Nuggets50222844%110.2111.8-1.6
19 Miami Heat52223042%100.7102.2-1.4
20 Portland Trail Blazers52223042%107.5109.8-2.3
21 New York Knicks53223142%105.8108.8-3.0
22 Dallas Mavericks50203040%97.6100.1-2.5
23 Sacramento Kings51203139%103.1106.1-3.0
24 New Orleans Pelicans52203238%103.3106.4-3.1
25 Orlando Magic53203338%99.6105.4-5.8
26 Minnesota Timberwolves52193337%104.2105.6-1.4
27 Philadelphia 76ers51183335%100.4106.5-6.1
28 Los Angeles Lakers54183633%104.4110.3-5.9
29 Phoenix Suns52163631%106.6112.6-6.0
30 Brooklyn Nets5194218%105.1114.2-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets29302328110
Dallas Mavericks2413302087
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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