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Trento vs Varese Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 19 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 16:15
Postponed
Position#8
Record11-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#10
Record9-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game80.1
ItalyLega ARound 33
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Trento v Varese
18 Oct 2026
TRE87
VAR85
08 Feb 2026
TRE84
VAR78
13 Oct 2024
TRE106
VAR100
04 Feb 2024
TRE90
VAR84
22 Jan 2023
TRE90
VAR80
28 Jan 2022
TRE84
VAR90
22 Nov 2020
TRE74
VAR77
19 Apr 2020
TRE v VAR
upcoming
02 Feb 2019
TRE74
VAR71
10 Mar 2018
TRE82
VAR74
18 Dec 2016
TRE84
VAR68
15 Nov 2015
TRE89
VAR63
02 Mar 2015
TRE78
VAR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Varese win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H14/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A22/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
80-53
80
53
+27
H26/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H05/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
81-103
81
103
-22
H18/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A25/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H02/02
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-30
22-17
15-13
15-28
21-28
17-15
9-19
22-19
19-3
21-22
18-11
22-17
20-16
26-20
19-17
21-28
17-21
8-21
25-13
27-28
24-22
18-9
15-17
17-23
15-32
18-23
22-25
26-23
26-19
19-18
27-26
18-24
19-15
14-18
15-12
15-11
17-16
21-20
15-19
26-16
155.5Avg total
78.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.979.3157.1-1.452%
Season at home (11)77.875.6153.5+2.255%
Season away (10)77.983.3161.2-5.450%
Last 10 (10)78.177.4155.5+0.760%
Last 5 (5)77.477.6155.0-0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.777.7149.5-6.027%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.579.4158.9+0.262%
vs Weaker (6)84.779.7164.3+5.083%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
W
99-69
99
69
+30
H01/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A08/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
103-87
103
87
+16
H15/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
72-93
72
93
-21
A21/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
91-60
91
60
+31
H26/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H29/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A05/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A12/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
91-85
91
85
+6
H19/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A26/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-19
24-20
21-15
20-15
14-14
21-23
12-17
20-20
25-24
31-30
26-20
21-13
24-18
17-29
16-24
15-22
26-14
18-19
24-15
23-12
16-20
20-26
17-19
28-21
23-17
14-27
22-11
25-24
25-28
18-22
27-25
17-18
20-20
22-18
33-21
16-26
20-24
28-20
13-20
15-15
165.6Avg total
85.1Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.680.1162.7+2.547%
Season at home (9)88.376.7165.0+11.778%
Season away (10)77.583.2160.7-5.720%
Last 10 (10)85.180.5165.6+4.650%
Last 5 (5)83.884.4168.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.286.2159.5-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.086.7167.7-5.727%
vs Weaker (15)83.373.1156.5+10.267%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
TrentoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H14/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H26/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H05/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
33-55
33
55
-22
H18/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A25/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H02/02
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H09/02
Lega A
77.7Avg total
39.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.739.076.8-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.940.177.9-2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)37.638.075.6-0.440%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.577.7+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.476.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.938.572.4-4.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.840.279.0-1.546%-
vs Weaker (6)42.537.580.0+5.083%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H01/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A08/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H15/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A21/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H26/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H29/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A12/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H19/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A26/01
Lega A
87.2Avg total
44.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.379.9+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.936.678.5+5.380%-
Last 30 away (15)39.341.981.3-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)44.043.287.2+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.485.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.043.277.2-9.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.041.381.3-1.355%-
vs Weaker (15)42.836.779.5+6.173%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.721.5
48.1%
52.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.78.3
40.1%
35.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws13.69.4
69.1%
73.6%9.4
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.116.0
56.9%
52.0%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.512.4
38.2%
35.1%37.2
🏀 Free throws18.314.9
81.4%
73.6%14.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
WWWLWLWWLL
Varese
LWLWLWLWLW
#8
League position
#10
+1.6
Net rating
+6.7
111.2
Offensive rating
122.5
109.7
Defensive rating
115.8
51.9%
Effective FG%
57.1%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.2%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.1%
3-point %
38.2%
50.3%
Assist %
59.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 122.5Defence109.7 · 115.8Shooting51.9% · 57.1%3-point %40.1% · 38.2%Ball care16.1% · 15.2%Off. rebounds33.6% · 27.7%Free throws0.21 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Trento   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Trento wins
4
Varese wins
DateGameScore
29/12/19Varese v Trento81-86
02/02/19Trento v Varese74-71
21/10/18Varese v Trento93-85
10/03/18Trento v Varese82-74
04/11/17Varese v Trento93-66
15/04/17Varese v Trento83-80
18/12/16Trento v Varese84-68
06/03/16Varese v Trento96-82
15/11/15Trento v Varese89-63
02/03/15Trento v Varese78-65
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HCantu79-71
02/02/20HBrescia63-56
25/01/20ASassari90-87
18/01/20HReggiana81-103
12/01/20APistoia74-71
05/01/20HVirtus Bologna77-83
29/12/19AVarese86-81
26/12/19HTrieste80-53
22/12/19AOlimpia Milano69-81
14/12/19HVirtus Roma82-88
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/20AFortitudo Bologna76-79
19/01/20HTrieste91-85
12/01/20ASassari87-93
05/01/20ATreviso84-79
29/12/19HTrento81-86
26/12/19HPistoia91-60
21/12/19ACremona72-93
15/12/19HPesaro103-87
08/12/19ACantu67-74
01/12/19HVirtus Roma99-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW52%
HomeWLLWW55%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%55%50%
Points / game77.977.877.9
Allowed / game79.375.683.3
Point differential-1.4+2.2-5.4
Avg total157.1153.5161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Varese
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL47%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%78%20%
Points / game82.688.377.5
Allowed / game80.176.783.2
Point differential+2.5+11.7-5.7
Avg total162.7165.0160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%56%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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