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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 116-113
30-26 30-29 28-29 28-29
Position#6
Record43-23
FormLLWWW
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game108.7
vs
Position#19
Record30-37
FormWWWLL
Points / game104.9
Allowed / game106.3
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
11 Apr 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
04 Oct 2025
MIA118
ORL126
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
09 Jul 2019
MIA96
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
08 Oct 2018
MIA90
ORL89
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
18 Oct 2016
MIA107
ORL77
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
07 Oct 2015
MIA97
ORL100
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
07 Oct 2014
MIA101
ORL108
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
18 Oct 2008
MIA92
ORL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
L
109-115
109
115
-6
A10/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
113-101
113
101
+12
A11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
101-116
101
116
-15
A13/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
124-129
124
129
-5
A21/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
124-105
124
105
+19
H23/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
119-125 OT
119
125
-6
A25/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
L
126-129
126
129
-3
H27/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
126-118
126
118
+8
H29/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
116-113
116
113
+3
H01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
105-89
105
89
+16
H03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-38
24-25
23-30
26-22
24-20
38-23
21-32
30-26
28-25
24-22
22-32
27-37
36-32
28-31
33-27
27-39
38-32
44-20
24-26
18-27
29-21
39-35
31-24
12-31
28-29
32-28
34-38
32-34
31-31
32-24
25-38
38-25
24-27
33-22
34-31
25-33
31-26
22-26
28-18
24-19
230.3Avg total
116.3Scored
114.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)112.8108.7221.5+4.265%
Season at home (33)117.3106.8224.2+10.585%
Season away (33)108.3110.5218.8-2.245%
Last 10 (10)116.3114.0230.3+2.350%
Last 5 (5)118.4114.8233.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)105.089.0194.0+16.0100%
vs Similar (10)113.1110.7223.8+2.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)113.1112.2225.3+0.947%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#26
L
103-105
103
105
-2
A07/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
95-111
95
111
-16
H08/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
135-126
135
126
+9
H11/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
116-112 OT
116
112
+4
H13/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
L
106-122
106
122
-16
H22/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
115-113
115
113
+2
A25/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
130-120
130
120
+10
A27/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
136-125
136
125
+11
H29/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#18
L
113-114
113
114
-1
A01/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
L
107-130
107
130
-23
H03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
28-24
36-22
20-29
24-29
22-33
25-21
24-28
22-28
34-33
37-35
42-30
32-20
27-35
28-26
21-27
18-34
34-30
32-27
22-31
22-27
19-27
40-33
34-26
23-27
41-37
39-31
27-25
35-35
34-30
34-31
33-29
27-38
26-23
28-24
32-29
28-35
30-34
30-23
19-38
233.4Avg total
115.6Scored
117.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)104.9106.3211.2-1.445%
Season at home (34)103.5105.8209.3-2.347%
Season away (33)106.3106.8213.2-0.542%
Last 10 (10)115.6117.8233.4-2.250%
Last 5 (5)120.2120.4240.6-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)99.6111.0210.6-11.418%
vs Similar (12)112.6109.3221.9+3.258%
vs Weaker (7)110.6106.3216.9+4.357%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A10/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
62-43
62
43
+19
A11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A13/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A21/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
82-52
82
52
+30
H23/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A25/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H27/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H29/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H03/03
NBA
115.8Avg total
62.1Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.653.6112.2+5.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.352.3110.6+6.173%-
Last 30 away (15)58.954.9113.8+4.167%-
Last 10 (10)62.153.7115.8+8.490%-
Last 5 (5)60.253.8114.0+6.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.052.0105.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar (10)56.151.9108.0+4.280%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)60.354.5114.8+5.763%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#26
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A07/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H08/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H11/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H13/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
L
52-64
52
64
-12
H22/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A25/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
D
64-64
64
64
+0
A27/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H29/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#18
L
53-61
53
61
-8
A01/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H03/03
NBA
115.4Avg total
54.5Scored
60.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.456.0110.4-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.355.6110.9-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)53.556.3109.8-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)54.560.9115.4-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)57.062.6119.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)52.356.9109.2-4.627%-
vs Similar (12)56.256.2112.4-0.150%-
vs Weaker (7)54.754.0108.7+0.743%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 116.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.425.8
51.2%
52.3%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.615.1
40.2%
35.7%45.3
🏀 Free throws25.019.4
77.6%
77.2%19.4
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 115.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.130.4
54.2%
52.3%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.412.6
33.7%
35.7%37.8
🏀 Free throws21.217.0
80.2%
77.2%17.0
They take 93.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWWLLWLLWL
Orlando Magic
LLWWWLWWLL
#6
League position
#19
+2.2
Net rating
-2.1
112.7
Offensive rating
111.0
110.4
Defensive rating
113.1
55.1%
Effective FG%
52.7%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
11.9%
Turnover %
11.1%
19.2%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
40.2%
3-point %
33.7%
72.4%
Assist %
67.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 111.0Defence110.4 · 113.1Shooting55.1% · 52.7%3-point %40.2% · 33.7%Ball care11.9% · 11.1%Off. rebounds19.2% · 23.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Orlando Magic wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/20HMilwaukee Bucks105-89
01/03/20HBrooklyn Nets116-113
29/02/20HDallas Mavericks126-118
27/02/20HMinnesota Timberwolves126-129
25/02/20ACleveland Cavaliers119-125 OT
23/02/20HCleveland Cavaliers124-105
21/02/20AAtlanta Hawks124-129
13/02/20AUtah Jazz101-116
11/02/20AGolden State Warriors113-101
10/02/20APortland Trail Blazers109-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/20HPortland Trail Blazers107-130
01/03/20ASan Antonio Spurs113-114
29/02/20HMinnesota Timberwolves136-125
27/02/20AAtlanta Hawks130-120
25/02/20ABrooklyn Nets115-113
22/02/20HDallas Mavericks106-122
13/02/20HDetroit Pistons116-112 OT
11/02/20HAtlanta Hawks135-126
08/02/20HMilwaukee Bucks95-111
07/02/20ANew York Knicks103-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW65%
HomeWLWWW85%
AwayLWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663333
Win %65%85%45%
Points / game112.8117.3108.3
Allowed / game108.7106.8110.5
Point differential+4.2+10.5-2.2
Avg total221.5224.2218.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%48%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won61% (18)70% (10)50% (8)
Overtime %14%15%12%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL45%
HomeWWLWL47%
AwayLLWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673433
Win %45%47%42%
Points / game104.9103.5106.3
Allowed / game106.3105.8106.8
Point differential-1.4-2.3-0.5
Avg total211.2209.3213.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%24%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)83% (6)33% (9)
Overtime %1%3%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks6758987%119.2106.6+12.6
2 Los Angeles Lakers66501676%113.9106.8+7.2
3 Boston Celtics65461971%113.3105.7+7.6
4 Toronto Raptors65452069%113.1107.1+6.0
5 Denver Nuggets65452069%110.6106.9+3.6
6 Los Angeles Clippers64422266%114.9109.6+5.3
7 Miami Heat66432365%112.8108.7+4.2
8 Houston Rockets65422365%119.2114.7+4.5
9 Philadelphia 76ers66402661%108.9106.5+2.4
10 Indiana Pacers66402661%109.9107.6+2.3
11 Oklahoma City Thunder65392660%110.2108.6+1.6
12 Utah Jazz64382659%111.7109.6+2.1
13 Dallas Mavericks67392858%115.8109.9+5.9
14 Memphis Grizzlies64313348%112.3114.3-2.0
15 New Orleans Pelicans66313547%116.8117.3-0.5
16 Brooklyn Nets63293446%110.6111.0-0.4
17 Orlando Magic67303745%104.9106.3-1.4
18 Sacramento Kings65293645%109.2110.9-1.7
19 San Antonio Spurs65283743%112.1114.2-2.1
20 Portland Trail Blazers66283842%113.2115.4-2.2
21 Phoenix Suns66264039%111.8113.2-1.4
22 Washington Wizards64244038%115.6119.0-3.4
23 Chicago Bulls66234335%107.0109.8-2.8
24 Detroit Pistons68234534%107.5110.8-3.3
25 Charlotte Hornets66224433%102.1109.1-7.0
26 New York Knicks65204531%105.3111.8-6.5
27 Minnesota Timberwolves64194530%113.1117.6-4.5
28 Atlanta Hawks68204829%110.0118.7-8.7
29 Cleveland Cavaliers65174826%105.9114.9-9.0
30 Golden State Warriors67165124%106.5114.8-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat30302828116
Orlando Magic26292929113
← all games of the day
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