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Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 91-102
21-23 26-29 12-24 32-26
Position#13
Record2-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game96.1
Allowed / game98.0
vs
Position#8
Record6-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game93.3
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Utah Jazz
25 Mar 2027
MIA v UTA
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
MIA111
UTA115
04 Jan 2025
MIA100
UTA136
02 Mar 2024
MIA126
UTA120
13 Mar 2023
MIA119
UTA115
06 Nov 2021
MIA118
UTA115
26 Feb 2021
MIA124
UTA116
23 Dec 2019
MIA107
UTA104
02 Dec 2018
MIA102
UTA100
07 Jan 2018
MIA103
UTA102
12 Nov 2016
MIA91
UTA102
12 Nov 2015
MIA92
UTA91
17 Dec 2014
MIA87
UTA105
16 Dec 2013
MIA117
UTA94
22 Dec 2012
MIA105
UTA89
09 Nov 2010
MIA114
UTA116
23 Dec 2009
MIA80
UTA70
14 Mar 2009
MIA140
UTA129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
91-99
91
99
-8
78avg 92
A12/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
103-91
103
91
+12
90avg 92
H14/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
89-116
89
116
-27
76avg 92
A15/05
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
108-96
108
96
+12
101avg 92
A26/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
91-97
91
97
-6
80avg 92
H29/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
99-106
99
106
-7
86avg 92
H30/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
108-96 OT
108
96
+12
99avg 92
H01/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
87-96
87
96
-9
72avg 92
A04/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
85-97
85
97
-12
66avg 92
A08/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
95-98
95
98
-3
84avg 92
H11/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
27-27
17-20
29-24
21-20
32-24
29-28
21-19
24-25
23-28
31-33
11-30
23-27
27-26
30-16
28-27
23-21
34-25
20-27
14-24
19-24
25-28
28-25
27-29
28-26
26-24
19-17
18-24
27-25
19-27
26-23
15-21
28-39
19-16
14-28
24-14
22-23
31-30
17-17
25-28
194.8Avg total
95.6Scored
99.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)96.198.0194.1-1.929%
Season at home (4)98.299.2197.5-1.025%
Season away (3)93.396.3189.7-3.033%
Last 10 (10)95.699.2194.8-3.630%
Last 5 (5)94.898.6193.4-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.0106.0205.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (25)97.495.8193.2+1.544%
vs Weaker (4)107.0100.0207.0+7.075%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
104-113
104
113
-9
91avg 89
A26/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
96-89
96
89
+7
84avg 89
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
75-88
75
88
-13
68avg 89
A30/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
106-91
106
91
+15
102avg 89
A02/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
97-81
97
81
+16
86avg 89
H03/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
86-100
86
100
-14
70avg 89
H05/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
114-109
114
109
+5
106avg 89
A06/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
109-84
109
84
+25
100avg 89
A08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
98-104
98
104
-6
94avg 89
A10/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
87-74
87
74
+13
82avg 89
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
20-28
37-23
21-36
28-27
20-16
17-22
31-24
22-19
13-23
21-27
19-19
38-28
16-22
19-21
33-20
15-14
26-19
25-26
31-22
17-27
24-26
25-29
20-18
20-30
29-24
29-26
36-29
30-24
22-19
25-18
32-23
32-24
26-27
20-25
20-28
23-17
19-21
18-26
27-10
190.5Avg total
97.2Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)97.293.3190.5+3.960%
Season at home (3)93.090.0183.0+3.067%
Season away (7)99.094.7193.7+4.357%
Last 10 (10)97.293.3190.5+3.960%
Last 5 (5)98.894.2193.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)92.2100.8193.0-8.620%
vs Similar ◀ (10)92.894.9187.7-2.130%
vs Weaker (15)101.587.9189.4+13.787%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +4.1+4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +4.1+4.1
Miami HeatUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A12/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H14/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A15/05
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A26/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H29/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H30/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H01/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A04/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A08/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H11/11
NBA
100.9Avg total
49.6Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.648.599.1+2.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.547.299.7+5.364%-
Last 30 away (16)48.949.798.6-0.831%-
Last 10 (10)49.651.3100.9-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)48.852.4101.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.052.096.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (25)50.248.598.7+1.744%-
vs Weaker (4)54.548.0102.5+6.575%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A26/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A30/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A02/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H03/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H05/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A06/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A10/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A12/11
NBA
92.7Avg total
46.6Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.444.791.1+1.663%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.143.690.7+3.569%-
Last 30 away (17)45.845.691.4+0.259%-
Last 10 (10)46.646.192.7+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)48.447.896.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.046.087.0-5.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)45.848.193.9-2.350%-
vs Weaker (15)48.542.190.6+6.587%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 95.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.227.3
45.3%
50.2%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.4
35.0%
35.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.415.8
73.8%
77.0%15.8
They take 84.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 97.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.026.2
49.4%
50.2%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.3
36.3%
35.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.616.9
74.8%
77.0%16.9
They take 78.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LLLWLLWLWL
Utah Jazz
WLWWLWWLWL
#13
League position
#8
-3.8
Net rating
+4.2
99.6
Offensive rating
104.8
103.3
Defensive rating
100.6
47.4%
Effective FG%
51.1%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
13.2%
Turnover %
13.4%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
20.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.0%
3-point %
36.3%
51.8%
Assist %
53.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 104.8Defence103.3 · 100.6Shooting47.4% · 51.1%3-point %35.0% · 36.3%Ball care13.2% · 13.4%Off. rebounds23.3% · 20.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Utah Jazz wins
DateGameScore
10/01/16Utah Jazz v Miami Heat98-83
13/11/15Miami Heat v Utah Jazz92-91
18/12/14Miami Heat v Utah Jazz87-105
13/12/14Utah Jazz v Miami Heat95-100
09/02/14Utah Jazz v Miami Heat94-89
17/12/13Miami Heat v Utah Jazz117-94
15/01/13Utah Jazz v Miami Heat104-97
23/12/12Miami Heat v Utah Jazz105-89
03/03/12Utah Jazz v Miami Heat99-98
09/12/10Utah Jazz v Miami Heat98-111
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/16HChicago Bulls95-98
08/11/16AOklahoma City Thunder85-97
04/11/16AToronto Raptors87-96
01/11/16HSacramento Kings108-96 OT
30/10/16HSan Antonio Spurs99-106
29/10/16HCharlotte Hornets91-97
26/10/16AOrlando Magic108-96
15/05/16AToronto Raptors89-116
14/05/16HToronto Raptors103-91
12/05/16AToronto Raptors91-99
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/16AOrlando Magic87-74
10/11/16ACharlotte Hornets98-104
08/11/16APhiladelphia 76ers109-84
06/11/16ANew York Knicks114-109
05/11/16HSan Antonio Spurs86-100
03/11/16HDallas Mavericks97-81
02/11/16ASan Antonio Spurs106-91
30/10/16ALos Angeles Clippers75-88
29/10/16HLos Angeles Lakers96-89
26/10/16APortland Trail Blazers104-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game96.198.293.3
Allowed / game98.099.296.3
Point differential-1.9-1.0-3.0
Avg total194.1197.5189.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %14%25%0%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %60%67%57%
Points / game97.293.099.0
Allowed / game93.390.094.7
Point differential+3.9+3.0+4.3
Avg total190.5183.0193.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Clippers98189%105.790.4+15.2
2 Cleveland Cavaliers87188%110.6103.1+7.5
3 Atlanta Hawks97278%109.698.9+10.7
4 Golden State Warriors97278%114.6106.9+7.7
5 Toronto Raptors97278%105.399.2+6.1
6 Charlotte Hornets86275%105.998.8+7.1
7 San Antonio Spurs96367%101.496.3+5.1
8 Oklahoma City Thunder96367%103.2100.8+2.4
9 Houston Rockets85362%107.9106.8+1.1
10 Utah Jazz106460%97.293.3+3.9
11 Los Angeles Lakers106460%109.6105.8+3.8
12 Portland Trail Blazers106460%108.4111.7-3.3
13 Chicago Bulls95456%106.2101.4+4.8
14 Boston Celtics95456%108.2108.3-0.1
15 Milwaukee Bucks84450%103.6102.8+0.9
16 Memphis Grizzlies84450%97.1102.1-5.0
17 Detroit Pistons94544%96.897.2-0.4
18 Indiana Pacers104640%108.4112.0-3.6
19 Denver Nuggets83538%105.1108.0-2.9
20 Brooklyn Nets83538%104.4108.0-3.6
21 Sacramento Kings114736%99.8103.6-3.8
22 Phoenix Suns93633%107.6113.0-5.4
23 New York Knicks93633%101.9109.8-7.9
24 Orlando Magic93633%92.3102.7-10.3
25 Minnesota Timberwolves72529%105.9104.0+1.9
26 Miami Heat72529%96.198.0-1.9
27 Washington Wizards82625%100.5103.9-3.4
28 Dallas Mavericks82625%97.1102.4-5.2
29 Philadelphia 76ers91811%96.4108.2-11.8
30 New Orleans Pelicans101910%101.3109.5-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2126123291
Utah Jazz23292426102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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