PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zalgiris Kaunas vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-53
25-12 12-10 18-15 18-16
Position#13
Record11-13
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#18
Record4-20
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game92.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 25· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Alba Berlin
04 Feb 2025
ZAL73
ABE53
02 Jan 2024
ZAL77
ABE71
04 Nov 2022
ZAL88
ABE81
05 Nov 2021
ZAL71
ABE79
30 Mar 2021
ZAL96
ABE86
09 Jan 2015
ZAL75
ABE62
31 Jan 2013
ZAL92
ABE56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 80
A05/01
LKL
Real Madrid
#8
L
64-83
64
83
-19
52avg 80
H10/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
88-86
88
86
+2
84avg 80
H12/01
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
77-68
77
68
+9
72avg 80
H15/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
79avg 80
A17/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
94avg 80
H20/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Panathinaikos
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
72avg 80
A23/01
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#10
W
88-82
88
82
+6
82avg 80
A26/01
LKL
Bayern
#7
L
82-97
82
97
-15
74avg 80
H30/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#4
W
97-84
97
84
+13
90avg 80
H02/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
19-22
25-15
21-24
26-15
8-20
12-20
18-28
26-21
23-24
18-20
21-21
25-13
16-19
20-19
16-17
20-17
27-17
21-28
18-36
21-19
29-22
18-22
24-22
25-17
26-17
19-26
6-29
19-17
15-24
33-21
21-20
18-22
13-23
28-26
23-26
28-29
36-16
20-17
13-22
169.6Avg total
83.9Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.379.0156.4-1.746%
Season at home (13)75.876.8152.5-1.054%
Season away (11)79.281.7160.9-2.536%
Last 10 (10)83.985.7169.6-1.860%
Last 5 (5)87.087.4174.4-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.283.3163.5-3.233%
vs Similar (10)76.483.1159.5-6.720%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)94.873.7168.5+21.1100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
W
88-81
88
81
+7
84avg 77
H05/01
BBL
Fenerbahce
#1
L
73-90
73
90
-17
64avg 77
A09/01
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#16
W
75-61
75
61
+14
63avg 77
A12/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
68-100
68
100
-32
52avg 77
A14/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
79avg 77
A16/01
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
92-65
92
65
+27
93avg 77
H18/01
BBL
Bayern
#7
L
84-99
84
99
-15
74avg 77
H24/01
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
L
92-97
92
97
-5
92avg 77
A27/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
93-87
93
87
+6
93avg 77
A30/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#1
L
86-99 OT
86
99
-13
80avg 77
A02/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
19-20
26-18
25-16
11-16
23-21
26-24
13-29
26-14
15-22
16-12
18-13
19-23
24-24
10-31
15-22
19-23
21-27
22-20
23-15
27-19
17-15
28-15
20-16
27-27
23-25
18-18
16-29
23-22
17-18
35-28
17-29
19-22
27-26
24-15
23-24
17-17
24-21
15-24
24-18
171.5Avg total
84.0Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.292.1172.3-11.917%
Season at home (12)81.290.6171.8-9.417%
Season away (12)79.293.7172.9-14.417%
Last 10 (10)84.087.5171.5-3.540%
Last 5 (5)89.489.4178.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)82.194.5176.6-12.417%
vs Similar (4)82.585.5168.0-3.050%
vs Weaker (8)88.084.9172.9+3.138%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
Zalgiris KaunasAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/01
LKL
Real Madrid
#8
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H10/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H12/01
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H15/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A17/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H20/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A23/01
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#10
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A26/01
LKL
Bayern
#7
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H30/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#4
W
64-45
64
45
+19
H02/02
LKL
84.2Avg total
44.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.537.582.1+7.067%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.936.580.4+7.576%-
Last 30 away (13)45.338.984.2+6.454%-
Last 10 (10)44.439.884.2+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.287.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)45.537.282.7+8.383%-
vs Similar (10)38.140.078.1-1.930%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)48.735.984.6+12.886%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H05/01
BBL
Fenerbahce
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A09/01
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#16
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A12/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A14/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A16/01
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H18/01
BBL
Bayern
#7
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H24/01
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A27/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A30/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A02/02
BBL
84.5Avg total
41.6Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.045.286.2-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.846.985.8-8.125%-
Last 30 away (18)42.444.186.6-1.733%-
Last 10 (10)41.642.984.5-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.486.6+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.648.288.7-7.611%-
vs Similar (4)35.542.277.8-6.850%-
vs Weaker (8)44.840.184.9+4.662%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.516.3
55.3%
54.5%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.611.8
38.6%
36.2%35.4
🏀 Free throws19.515.1
77.4%
78.0%15.1
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.2
55.0%
54.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.7
33.0%
36.2%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.412.4
75.6%
78.0%12.4
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWLWLWWLW
Alba Berlin
LWLLWLLWLW
#13
League position
#18
-2.2
Net rating
-5.5
115.9
Offensive rating
109.1
118.1
Defensive rating
114.6
56.6%
Effective FG%
52.8%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
15.1%
Turnover %
18.1%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.6%
3-point %
33.0%
68.0%
Assist %
65.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 109.1Defence118.1 · 114.6Shooting56.6% · 52.8%3-point %38.6% · 33.0%Ball care15.1% · 18.1%Off. rebounds25.5% · 33.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
4
Alba Berlin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25HBC Wolves97-84
30/01/25HBayern82-97
26/01/25AMazeikiai88-82
23/01/25APanathinaikos76-89
20/01/25HSiauliai92-85
17/01/25AFenerbahce86-98
15/01/25HVirtus Bologna77-68
12/01/25HNevezis88-86
10/01/25HReal Madrid64-83
05/01/25ALietkabelis89-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25ABayern86-99 OT
30/01/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv93-87
27/01/25AOldenburg92-97
24/01/25HBayern84-99
18/01/25HHeidelberg92-65
16/01/25ALyon-Villeurbanne89-96 OT
14/01/25AOlimpia Milano68-100
12/01/25AFrankfurt75-61
09/01/25AFenerbahce73-90
05/01/25HBayern88-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL46%
HomeLLLWL54%
AwayWWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %46%54%36%
Points / game77.375.879.2
Allowed / game79.076.881.7
Point differential-1.7-1.0-2.5
Avg total156.4152.5160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %17%17%17%
Points / game80.281.279.2
Allowed / game92.190.693.7
Point differential-11.9-9.4-14.4
Avg total172.3171.8172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%8%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2417771%87.782.5+5.2
2 Fenerbahce2316770%81.680.0+1.7
3 Monaco2415962%87.082.5+4.5
4 Paris2314961%86.084.7+1.3
5 Panathinaikos24141058%86.282.5+3.7
6 Crvena zvezda24141058%82.580.9+1.6
7 Bayern24141058%86.587.8-1.3
8 Barcelona24131154%86.584.4+2.1
9 Olimpia Milano24131154%86.085.3+0.7
10 Real Madrid25131252%85.282.7+2.4
11 Partizan24121250%83.280.2+3.1
12 Anadolu Efes25121348%84.682.3+2.3
13 Zalgiris Kaunas24111346%77.379.0-1.7
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne24111346%81.584.9-3.4
15 Baskonia24101442%80.882.2-1.4
16 Virtus Bologna2471729%80.784.6-4.0
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2461825%84.990.0-5.0
18 Alba Berlin2442017%80.292.1-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2512181873
Alba Berlin1210151653
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.