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Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 101-81
31-20 29-24 20-23 21-14
Position#5
Record27-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game101.0
Allowed / game97.2
vs
Position#8
Record23-20
FormLWLLL
Points / game95.8
Allowed / game95.7
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Miami Heat
15 Jan 2027
TOR v MIA
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
TOR128
MIA114
07 Apr 2026
TOR121
MIA95
21 Feb 2025
TOR111
MIA120
01 Dec 2024
TOR119
MIA116
17 Jan 2024
TOR121
MIA97
06 Dec 2023
TOR103
MIA112
28 Mar 2023
TOR106
MIA92
16 Nov 2022
TOR112
MIA104
03 Apr 2022
TOR109
MIA114
01 Feb 2022
TOR110
MIA106
22 Jan 2021
TOR101
MIA81
20 Jan 2021
TOR102
MIA111
18 Dec 2020
TOR105
MIA117
03 Dec 2019
TOR110
MIA121
07 Apr 2019
TOR117
MIA109
25 Nov 2018
TOR125
MIA115
13 Feb 2018
TOR115
MIA112
09 Jan 2018
TOR89
MIA90
07 Apr 2017
TOR96
MIA94
04 Nov 2016
TOR96
MIA87
15 May 2016
TOR116
MIA89
11 May 2016
TOR99
MIA91
05 May 2016
TOR96
MIA92
03 May 2016
TOR96
MIA102
12 Mar 2016
TOR112
MIA104
22 Jan 2016
TOR101
MIA81
13 Mar 2015
TOR102
MIA92
29 Nov 2013
TOR83
MIA90
05 Nov 2013
TOR95
MIA104
17 Mar 2013
TOR91
MIA108
03 Feb 2013
TOR85
MIA100
30 Mar 2012
TOR101
MIA113
13 Apr 2011
TOR79
MIA97
16 Feb 2011
TOR95
MIA103
27 Jan 2010
TOR111
MIA103
20 Nov 2009
TOR120
MIA113
06 Mar 2009
TOR102
MIA108
16 Nov 2008
TOR107
MIA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#15
W
94-91
94
91
+3
82avg 90
H31/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
104-94
104
94
+10
96avg 90
H02/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
113-115
113
115
-2
97avg 90
H03/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
100-122
100
122
-22
90avg 90
A05/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
91-74
91
74
+17
84avg 90
A07/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
97-88
97
88
+9
88avg 90
A09/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
108-95
108
95
+13
101avg 90
A10/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
106-103 OT
106
103
+3
92avg 90
A14/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
112-100
112
100
+12
102avg 90
H19/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
115-109
115
109
+6
108avg 90
H21/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
24-14
25-24
17-26
29-28
26-27
19-27
30-12
26-26
34-22
27-33
26-34
29-33
27-25
22-32
22-32
24-17
21-19
25-20
21-18
18-26
29-21
26-14
24-27
25-26
32-18
18-25
33-26
31-18
30-36
16-19
19-23
19-29
33-20
29-35
31-16
35-27
21-35
40-28
19-19
203.1Avg total
104.0Scored
99.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)101.097.2198.1+3.864%
Season at home (19)103.297.9201.1+5.368%
Season away (23)99.196.6195.7+2.561%
Last 10 (10)104.099.1203.1+4.980%
Last 5 (5)107.699.0206.6+8.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)103.0103.0206.0+0.050%
vs Similar ◀ (13)97.796.4194.1+1.369%
vs Weaker (15)102.196.0198.1+6.167%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
86avg 88
H05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
90-98
90
98
-8
74avg 88
H07/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
103-95
103
95
+8
100avg 88
A09/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
83-98
83
98
-15
65avg 88
A10/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
103-111
103
111
-8
100avg 88
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
90-104
90
104
-14
92avg 88
A14/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
98-95
98
95
+3
94avg 88
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
74-99
74
99
-25
62avg 88
A18/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
79-91
79
91
-12
64avg 88
H20/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
87-106
87
106
-19
83avg 88
A21/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
25-18
22-27
29-21
21-22
18-25
20-24
31-27
21-20
32-20
24-33
26-22
29-19
20-26
19-27
15-26
25-27
29-29
23-24
26-31
25-17
27-28
17-34
21-25
20-31
26-31
30-16
22-17
18-24
24-20
16-31
16-24
18-19
21-30
18-26
22-16
22-26
15-25
27-30
23-25
190.7Avg total
91.0Scored
99.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)95.895.7191.5+0.153%
Season at home (24)98.595.5194.0+3.062%
Season away (19)92.395.9188.2-3.642%
Last 10 (10)91.099.7190.7-8.730%
Last 5 (5)85.699.0184.6-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)93.297.2190.5-4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (16)94.998.9193.8-3.938%
vs Weaker (10)96.095.0191.0+1.060%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
Toronto RaptorsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H31/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H02/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H03/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A05/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A07/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A09/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A10/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
61-54
61
54
+7
A14/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H19/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H21/01
NBA
103.5Avg total
54.1Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.148.298.3+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.148.499.5+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)49.148.097.1+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)54.149.4103.5+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)54.651.2105.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)51.052.5103.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)48.449.497.8-1.023%-
vs Weaker (15)51.546.698.1+4.973%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H07/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A09/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A10/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A14/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
46-62
46
62
-16
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A18/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H20/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A21/01
NBA
94.1Avg total
45.5Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.549.397.8-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.250.1100.4+0.136%-
Last 30 away (16)47.148.695.6-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)45.548.694.1-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)43.250.293.4-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)51.548.299.8+3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)48.350.298.6-1.944%-
vs Weaker (10)47.748.295.9-0.550%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 104.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.929.0
49.2%
49.0%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.8
37.1%
35.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws24.219.6
81.0%
75.5%19.6
They take 82.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.129.1
47.6%
49.0%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.05.8
30.5%
35.3%17.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.4
76.6%
75.5%16.4
They take 80.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
WWWWWWLLWW
Miami Heat
LLLWLLLWLW
#5
League position
#8
+5.1
Net rating
-4.9
109.1
Offensive rating
97.8
103.9
Defensive rating
102.7
51.1%
Effective FG%
47.2%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
13.4%
Turnover %
14.8%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.1%
3-point %
30.5%
51.1%
Assist %
57.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 97.8Defence103.9 · 102.7Shooting51.1% · 47.2%3-point %37.1% · 30.5%Ball care13.4% · 14.8%Off. rebounds25.7% · 22.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Toronto Raptors wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/16HBoston Celtics115-109
19/01/16HBrooklyn Nets112-100
14/01/16AOrlando Magic106-103 OT
10/01/16APhiladelphia 76ers108-95
09/01/16AWashington Wizards97-88
07/01/16ABrooklyn Nets91-74
05/01/16ACleveland Cavaliers100-122
03/01/16HChicago Bulls113-115
02/01/16HCharlotte Hornets104-94
31/12/15HWashington Wizards94-91
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/16AWashington Wizards87-106
20/01/16HMilwaukee Bucks79-91
18/01/16AOklahoma City Thunder74-99
16/01/16ADenver Nuggets98-95
14/01/16ALos Angeles Clippers90-104
12/01/16AGolden State Warriors103-111
10/01/16AUtah Jazz83-98
09/01/16APhoenix Suns103-95
07/01/16HNew York Knicks90-98
05/01/16HIndiana Pacers103-100 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeWWLWW68%
AwayLWWWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games421923
Win %64%68%61%
Points / game101.0103.299.1
Allowed / game97.297.996.6
Point differential+3.8+5.3+2.5
Avg total198.1201.1195.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%26%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)44% (9)50% (6)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL53%
HomeLWWLL62%
AwayLLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432419
Win %53%62%42%
Points / game95.898.592.3
Allowed / game95.795.595.9
Point differential+0.1+3.0-3.6
Avg total191.5194.0188.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%29%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)83% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %7%8%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4339491%114.6102.4+12.1
2 San Antonio Spurs4337686%104.289.6+14.5
3 Cleveland Cavaliers41301173%101.495.7+5.7
4 Oklahoma City Thunder44321273%108.699.9+8.7
5 Los Angeles Clippers43281565%105.0101.0+3.9
6 Toronto Raptors42271564%101.097.2+3.8
7 Atlanta Hawks44261859%102.399.9+2.4
8 Chicago Bulls42241857%101.8101.5+0.4
9 Dallas Mavericks44251957%101.0101.0+0.0
10 Memphis Grizzlies44251957%96.498.8-2.3
11 Indiana Pacers42231955%102.599.5+3.1
12 Detroit Pistons43232053%101.9100.2+1.7
13 Miami Heat43232053%95.895.7+0.1
14 Boston Celtics44232152%103.8100.8+3.1
15 Houston Rockets44222250%104.5105.7-1.1
16 New York Knicks45222349%99.4100.7-1.3
17 Washington Wizards41202149%102.2103.8-1.6
18 Orlando Magic42202248%98.799.2-0.5
19 Charlotte Hornets43202347%102.0101.4+0.6
20 Sacramento Kings42192345%106.0107.4-1.4
21 Utah Jazz43192444%97.797.4+0.2
22 Milwaukee Bucks44192543%98.1102.8-4.6
23 Portland Trail Blazers45192642%101.4102.8-1.4
24 Denver Nuggets43162737%99.4103.5-4.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans42152736%102.0105.1-3.1
26 Minnesota Timberwolves44133130%98.9102.9-4.0
27 Phoenix Suns44133130%101.6106.9-5.3
28 Brooklyn Nets44113325%95.1103.1-8.0
29 Los Angeles Lakers4493520%96.3106.1-9.9
30 Philadelphia 76ers4463814%94.3104.8-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors31292021101
Miami Heat2024231481
← all games of the day
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