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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Mar 2009
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 112-108 (OT)
34-21 15-33 26-22 25-24 12-8
Position#3
Record50-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game101.3
Allowed / game93.1
vs
Position#14
Record36-30
FormLWWWL
Points / game98.5
Allowed / game98.5
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Miami Heat
02 Apr 2027
BOS v MIA
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
BOS v MIA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
BOS98
MIA96
19 Dec 2025
BOS129
MIA116
02 Apr 2025
BOS103
MIA124
02 Dec 2024
BOS108
MIA89
01 May 2024
BOS118
MIA84
24 Apr 2024
BOS101
MIA111
21 Apr 2024
BOS114
MIA94
27 Oct 2023
BOS119
MIA111
29 May 2023
BOS84
MIA103
25 May 2023
BOS110
MIA97
19 May 2023
BOS105
MIA111
17 May 2023
BOS116
MIA123
02 Dec 2022
BOS116
MIA120
30 Nov 2022
BOS134
MIA121
27 May 2022
BOS103
MIA111
23 May 2022
BOS102
MIA82
21 May 2022
BOS103
MIA109
30 Mar 2022
BOS98
MIA106
31 Jan 2022
BOS122
MIA92
11 May 2021
BOS121
MIA129
09 May 2021
BOS124
MIA130
25 Sep 2020
BOS121
MIA108
17 Sep 2020
BOS101
MIA106
15 Sep 2020
BOS114
MIA117
04 Dec 2019
BOS112
MIA93
01 Apr 2019
BOS110
MIA105
21 Jan 2019
BOS107
MIA99
20 Dec 2017
BOS89
MIA90
26 Mar 2017
BOS112
MIA108
30 Dec 2016
BOS117
MIA114
13 Apr 2016
BOS98
MIA88
27 Feb 2016
BOS101
MIA89
25 Mar 2015
BOS86
MIA93
01 Feb 2015
BOS75
MIA83
19 Mar 2014
BOS101
MIA96
18 Mar 2013
BOS103
MIA105
27 Jan 2013
BOS100
MIA98
07 Jun 2012
BOS79
MIA98
03 Jun 2012
BOS93
MIA91
01 Jun 2012
BOS101
MIA91
24 Apr 2012
BOS78
MIA66
01 Apr 2012
BOS91
MIA72
09 May 2011
BOS90
MIA98
07 May 2011
BOS97
MIA81
13 Feb 2011
BOS85
MIA82
26 Oct 2010
BOS88
MIA80
27 Apr 2010
BOS96
MIA86
20 Apr 2010
BOS106
MIA77
17 Apr 2010
BOS85
MIA76
03 Feb 2010
BOS107
MIA102
10 Apr 2009
BOS105
MIA98
18 Mar 2009
BOS112
MIA108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
L
91-93
91
93
-2
A26/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
104-99
104
99
+5
H28/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
95-105
95
105
-10
H01/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
W
115-111
115
111
+4
A05/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
105-94
105
94
+11
H07/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H08/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
L
99-107
99
107
-8
A11/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
W
102-92
102
92
+10
H13/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A15/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
121-127
121
127
-6
A18/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
28-19
22-25
19-22
26-18
22-31
29-26
27-24
22-20
25-35
23-22
25-28
27-20
31-31
34-30
23-30
21-19
24-24
33-26
27-25
15-22
18-29
23-18
23-17
32-31
23-19
18-32
26-25
21-27
26-17
29-25
26-23
25-22
16-19
22-24
14-21
26-34
29-20
35-35
31-38
198.8Avg total
98.8Scored
100.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)101.393.1194.4+8.174%
Season at home (33)104.393.7198.0+10.682%
Season away (35)98.592.6191.1+5.866%
Last 10 (10)98.8100.0198.8-1.240%
Last 5 (5)95.699.6195.2-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)99.391.8191.2+7.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)103.696.0199.6+7.775%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A28/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
120-115
120
115
+5
H01/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
100-107
100
107
-7
H03/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
W
135-129
135
129
+6
H05/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
W
108-102
108
102
+6
A07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
89-99
89
99
-10
A08/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
130-127 OT
130
127
+3
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
107-99
107
99
+8
H11/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
W
140-129 OT
140
129
+11
H14/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A15/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
17-17
21-28
30-27
22-34
37-33
24-31
37-17
26-30
29-28
27-18
18-31
40-29
27-32
37-34
31-34
22-24
34-26
30-26
22-26
14-28
22-22
25-20
28-29
22-26
32-26
30-22
20-30
31-32
19-23
32-18
25-26
19-29
32-26
32-25
24-27
22-29
21-17
25-15
9-24
217.2Avg total
108.9Scored
108.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)98.598.5196.9+0.055%
Season at home (35)100.997.1198.0+3.869%
Season away (31)95.7100.0195.7-4.339%
Last 10 (10)108.9108.3217.2+0.660%
Last 5 (5)108.6107.8216.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)96.8103.7200.5-6.833%
vs Similar (19)101.2101.4202.6-0.358%
vs Weaker (5)103.893.4197.2+10.480%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.7-2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.7-2.7
Boston CelticsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A26/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H28/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H01/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A05/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H07/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H08/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A11/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H13/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A15/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A18/03
NBA
96.3Avg total
47.9Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.945.897.8+6.170%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.947.8100.8+5.162%-
Last 30 away (17)51.244.395.5+6.976%-
Last 10 (10)47.948.496.3-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.248.094.2-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)47.746.394.0+1.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)53.045.798.7+7.371%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A28/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H01/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H03/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H05/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A08/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H11/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H14/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A15/03
NBA
103.3Avg total
50.3Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.950.097.9-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.650.5100.2-0.953%-
Last 30 away (13)45.549.494.9-3.823%-
Last 10 (10)50.353.0103.3-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)46.851.698.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)46.256.0102.2-9.817%-
vs Similar (19)47.849.096.8-1.237%-
vs Weaker (5)50.246.897.0+3.480%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Boston Celtics wins
1
Miami Heat wins
DateGameScore
11/03/09Miami Heat v Boston Celtics107-99
22/01/09Miami Heat v Boston Celtics83-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/09AChicago Bulls121-127
15/03/09AMilwaukee Bucks77-86
13/03/09HMemphis Grizzlies102-92
11/03/09AMiami Heat99-107
08/03/09HOrlando Magic79-86
07/03/09HCleveland Cavaliers105-94
05/03/09ABrooklyn Nets115-111
01/03/09HDetroit Pistons95-105
28/02/09HIndiana Pacers104-99
26/02/09ALos Angeles Clippers91-93
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/09APhiladelphia 76ers77-85
14/03/09HUtah Jazz140-129 OT
11/03/09HBoston Celtics107-99
09/03/09HChicago Bulls130-127 OT
08/03/09ACleveland Cavaliers89-99
07/03/09AToronto Raptors108-102
05/03/09HPhoenix Suns135-129
03/03/09HCleveland Cavaliers100-107
01/03/09HNew York Knicks120-115
28/02/09AAtlanta Hawks83-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL74%
HomeWLWLW82%
AwayLWLLL66%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683335
Win %74%82%66%
Points / game101.3104.398.5
Allowed / game93.193.792.6
Point differential+8.1+10.6+5.8
Avg total194.4198.0191.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%55%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)60% (5)70% (10)
Overtime %7%6%9%
Miami Heat
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL55%
HomeLWWWW69%
AwayLLWLL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663531
Win %55%69%39%
Points / game98.5100.995.7
Allowed / game98.597.1100.0
Point differential+0.0+3.8-4.3
Avg total196.9198.0195.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%26%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (18)100% (7)64% (11)
Overtime %8%9%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers67541381%100.391.3+9.0
2 Los Angeles Lakers67531479%108.0100.3+7.7
3 Boston Celtics68501874%101.393.1+8.1
4 Orlando Magic67491873%102.195.0+7.1
5 San Antonio Spurs67452267%97.093.0+4.0
6 Houston Rockets69442564%98.494.6+3.8
7 Denver Nuggets68432563%103.0100.1+2.9
8 Portland Trail Blazers67422563%98.995.2+3.7
9 New Orleans Pelicans66412562%96.093.5+2.5
10 Utah Jazz68422662%103.299.6+3.6
11 Dallas Mavericks68412760%101.4100.0+1.4
12 Atlanta Hawks68402859%98.496.4+2.0
13 Miami Heat66363055%98.598.5+0.0
14 Phoenix Suns67363154%108.2106.4+1.8
15 Philadelphia 76ers65343152%96.695.9+0.7
16 Detroit Pistons66333350%93.894.3-0.5
17 Chicago Bulls68313746%101.3102.4-1.2
18 Milwaukee Bucks69313845%99.5100.0-0.5
19 Charlotte Hornets67293843%93.494.6-1.2
20 New York Knicks66283842%106.1107.9-1.8
21 Brooklyn Nets67283942%98.8101.5-2.7
22 Indiana Pacers68284041%104.2106.5-2.2
23 Golden State Warriors67244336%108.7112.3-3.5
24 Toronto Raptors68244435%97.7101.4-3.7
25 Minnesota Timberwolves67204730%98.8103.2-4.4
26 Oklahoma City Thunder67194828%97.6103.0-5.4
27 Memphis Grizzlies66174926%93.399.6-6.3
28 Los Angeles Clippers67165124%95.3103.9-8.6
29 Washington Wizards68165224%94.9102.5-7.5
30 Sacramento Kings67145321%99.8108.6-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Boston Celtics3415262512112
Miami Heat213322248108
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