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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2009
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 101-103
26-25 26-32 24-29 25-17
Position#9
Record43-28
FormLWLWW
Points / game101.5
Allowed / game99.9
vs
Position#5
Record46-26
FormWWWLW
Points / game103.5
Allowed / game100.4
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
31 Mar 2027
DAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
DAL109
DEN118
23 Dec 2025
DAL131
DEN130
14 Jan 2025
DAL99
DEN118
12 Jan 2025
DAL101
DEN112
17 Mar 2024
DAL107
DEN105
20 Nov 2022
DAL97
DEN98
18 Nov 2022
DAL127
DEN99
03 Jan 2022
DAL103
DEN89
15 Nov 2021
DAL111
DEN101
25 Jan 2021
DAL113
DEN117
11 Mar 2020
DAL113
DEN97
08 Jan 2020
DAL106
DEN107
22 Feb 2019
DAL104
DEN114
06 Mar 2018
DAL118
DEN107
04 Dec 2017
DAL122
DEN105
11 Apr 2017
DAL91
DEN109
12 Dec 2016
DAL112
DEN92
26 Feb 2016
DAL122
DEN116
28 Nov 2015
DAL92
DEN81
16 Jan 2015
DAL97
DEN89
21 Mar 2014
DAL122
DEN106
25 Nov 2013
DAL96
DEN110
12 Apr 2013
DAL108
DEN105
28 Dec 2012
DAL85
DEN106
15 Feb 2012
DAL102
DEN84
26 Dec 2011
DAL93
DEN115
06 Apr 2011
DAL96
DEN104
06 Nov 2010
DAL92
DEN103
29 Mar 2010
DAL109
DEN93
11 May 2009
DAL119
DEN117
09 May 2009
DAL105
DEN106
27 Mar 2009
DAL101
DEN103
15 Dec 2008
DAL88
DEN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
88-104
88
104
-16
A06/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
119-103
119
103
+16
H08/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
W
122-117
122
117
+5
A11/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
93-89
93
89
+4
A12/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
L
110-119
110
119
-9
A14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
100-107
100
107
-7
A15/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
103-101
103
101
+2
H18/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A19/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
94-92
94
92
+2
A20/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
W
128-106
128
106
+22
H26/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
24-21
22-30
21-29
20-26
31-25
30-20
38-32
33-30
25-32
34-25
30-30
24-25
30-19
20-23
19-22
31-29
23-31
24-29
32-30
28-37
26-29
26-21
20-20
29-21
25-24
26-21
23-35
29-23
16-33
27-20
15-19
25-23
26-23
26-30
17-16
37-26
26-30
32-27
33-23
207.7Avg total
104.4Scored
103.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)101.599.9201.5+1.661%
Season at home (34)105.7100.1205.8+5.676%
Season away (37)97.699.8197.5-2.246%
Last 10 (10)104.4103.3207.7+1.160%
Last 5 (5)102.4100.2202.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)97.3110.0207.3-12.70%
vs Similar ◀ (17)100.3101.5201.8-1.265%
vs Weaker (10)112.7101.6214.3+11.180%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#11
L
91-97
91
97
-6
A07/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
L
106-114
106
114
-8
A09/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
95-97
95
97
-2
H10/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
112-99
112
99
+13
H12/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
107-94
107
94
+13
H15/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
W
121-96
121
96
+25
H17/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
W
111-109
111
109
+2
A19/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
116-105
116
105
+11
H21/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
L
115-118
115
118
-3
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
101-88
101
88
+13
A26/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
23-21
22-36
22-24
25-35
24-26
26-24
31-29
27-18
13-27
22-29
33-23
31-19
22-25
30-26
29-29
24-17
27-29
34-25
22-23
30-20
19-23
34-29
38-24
26-35
27-24
28-32
30-18
28-31
30-20
28-25
30-29
22-29
38-34
32-25
23-30
28-21
18-24
31-23
24-20
209.2Avg total
107.5Scored
101.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)103.5100.4203.9+3.164%
Season at home (35)105.999.7205.6+6.277%
Season away (37)101.2101.1202.3+0.151%
Last 10 (10)107.5101.7209.2+5.860%
Last 5 (5)112.8103.2216.0+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)98.695.6194.3+3.064%
vs Weaker (19)105.1101.9207.1+3.263%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A06/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H08/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A11/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A12/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A15/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H18/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A19/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A20/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H26/03
NBA
106.0Avg total
52.9Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.451.8106.2+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.649.3106.9+8.371%-
Last 30 away (16)51.653.9105.6-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)52.953.1106.0-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)53.453.8107.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)50.760.0110.7-9.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)53.450.2103.5+3.253%-
vs Weaker (10)57.352.0109.3+5.360%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A07/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A09/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H10/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H12/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H15/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H17/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A19/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H21/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A26/03
NBA
100.0Avg total
50.6Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.949.0100.9+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.146.999.0+5.285%-
Last 30 away (17)51.750.6102.4+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)50.649.4100.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)53.252.2105.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)51.046.097.0+5.073%-
vs Weaker (19)52.450.8103.2+1.658%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dallas Mavericks wins
3
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/09HGolden State Warriors128-106
20/03/09AIndiana Pacers94-92
19/03/09AAtlanta Hawks87-95
18/03/09HDetroit Pistons103-101
15/03/09ALos Angeles Lakers100-107
14/03/09AGolden State Warriors110-119
12/03/09APortland Trail Blazers93-89
11/03/09APhoenix Suns122-117
08/03/09HWashington Wizards119-103
06/03/09ANew Orleans Pelicans88-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/09ANew Orleans Pelicans101-88
24/03/09APhoenix Suns115-118
21/03/09HWashington Wizards116-105
19/03/09AMemphis Grizzlies111-109
17/03/09HBrooklyn Nets121-96
15/03/09HLos Angeles Clippers107-94
12/03/09HOklahoma City Thunder112-99
10/03/09HHouston Rockets95-97
09/03/09ASacramento Kings106-114
07/03/09AUtah Jazz91-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW61%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayWLLLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713437
Win %61%76%46%
Points / game101.5105.797.6
Allowed / game99.9100.199.8
Point differential+1.6+5.6-2.2
Avg total201.5205.8197.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%35%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won84% (19)92% (13)67% (6)
Overtime %6%9%3%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeLWWWW77%
AwayLLWLW51%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723537
Win %64%77%51%
Points / game103.5105.9101.2
Allowed / game100.499.7101.1
Point differential+3.1+6.2+0.1
Avg total203.9205.6202.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%49%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)62% (8)44% (9)
Overtime %3%3%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers72591382%100.391.2+9.1
2 Los Angeles Lakers72581481%107.9100.0+8.0
3 Orlando Magic72541875%102.294.8+7.4
4 Boston Celtics74551974%100.792.7+8.0
5 San Antonio Spurs71472466%96.892.9+3.8
6 Houston Rockets73472664%98.394.6+3.8
7 Denver Nuggets72462664%103.5100.4+3.1
8 Portland Trail Blazers72452762%99.295.4+3.9
9 Utah Jazz71442762%103.399.6+3.6
10 New Orleans Pelicans71442762%95.893.5+2.3
11 Dallas Mavericks71432861%101.599.9+1.6
12 Atlanta Hawks73423158%98.396.5+1.9
13 Phoenix Suns72403256%109.0106.9+2.1
14 Miami Heat72383453%98.198.3-0.2
15 Philadelphia 76ers71373452%97.596.9+0.6
16 Chicago Bulls73353848%101.4102.1-0.7
17 Detroit Pistons71343748%93.994.6-0.7
18 Charlotte Hornets72324044%93.694.7-1.0
19 Milwaukee Bucks73314242%99.0100.4-1.4
20 Indiana Pacers72304242%103.7105.6-1.9
21 Brooklyn Nets72304242%98.6101.0-2.4
22 New York Knicks72294340%105.9108.4-2.5
23 Toronto Raptors72274538%98.0101.0-3.0
24 Golden State Warriors72254735%108.5112.2-3.7
25 Oklahoma City Thunder72205228%97.3103.0-5.6
26 Minnesota Timberwolves73205327%98.1103.1-5.0
27 Los Angeles Clippers72185425%95.7104.2-8.4
28 Memphis Grizzlies70175324%93.199.7-6.6
29 Washington Wizards73175623%95.3103.1-7.8
30 Sacramento Kings70155521%100.0108.4-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks26262425101
Denver Nuggets25322917103
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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