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Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2009
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 140-129 (OT)
19-29 32-26 32-25 24-27 33-22
Position#14
Record37-33
FormWWLWW
Points / game97.7
Allowed / game97.9
vs
Position#12
Record44-27
FormWWWWL
Points / game102.7
Allowed / game98.8
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Miami Heat v Utah Jazz
25 Mar 2027
MIA v UTA
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
MIA111
UTA115
04 Jan 2025
MIA100
UTA136
02 Mar 2024
MIA126
UTA120
13 Mar 2023
MIA119
UTA115
06 Nov 2021
MIA118
UTA115
26 Feb 2021
MIA124
UTA116
23 Dec 2019
MIA107
UTA104
02 Dec 2018
MIA102
UTA100
10 Jul 2018
MIA98
UTA90
07 Jan 2018
MIA103
UTA102
12 Nov 2016
MIA91
UTA102
12 Nov 2015
MIA92
UTA91
17 Dec 2014
MIA87
UTA105
16 Dec 2013
MIA117
UTA94
22 Dec 2012
MIA105
UTA89
09 Nov 2010
MIA114
UTA116
23 Dec 2009
MIA80
UTA70
14 Mar 2009
MIA140
UTA129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#4
L
99-122
99
122
-23
A22/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
103-91
103
91
+12
H25/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A28/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#20
W
120-115
120
115
+5
H01/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
100-107
100
107
-7
H03/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#11
W
135-129
135
129
+6
H05/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
W
108-102
108
102
+6
A07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
89-99
89
99
-10
A08/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
130-127 OT
130
127
+3
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
107-99
107
99
+8
H11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-39
22-25
26-27
27-31
24-25
28-26
28-17
23-23
15-19
17-17
21-28
30-27
22-34
37-33
24-31
37-17
26-30
29-28
27-18
18-31
40-29
27-32
37-34
31-34
22-24
34-26
30-26
22-26
14-28
22-22
25-20
28-29
22-26
32-26
30-22
20-30
31-32
19-23
32-18
25-26
215.6Avg total
107.4Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)97.797.9195.7-0.253%
Season at home (37)99.596.1195.6+3.565%
Season away (33)95.7100.1195.8-4.339%
Last 10 (10)107.4108.2215.6-0.860%
Last 5 (5)113.8111.2225.0+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)96.0103.6199.6-7.625%
vs Similar ◀ (16)101.4100.9202.3+0.662%
vs Weaker (6)106.397.0203.3+9.383%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#9
W
102-88
102
88
+14
H22/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
108-89
108
89
+19
H24/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
120-103
120
103
+17
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
102-89
102
89
+13
H01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
W
112-104
112
104
+8
A02/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#6
W
101-94
101
94
+7
H05/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
W
97-91
97
91
+6
H07/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
W
109-101
109
101
+8
A08/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
112-100
112
100
+12
A10/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
93-100
93
100
-7
A11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
33-30
23-25
18-12
31-24
35-28
27-17
15-20
23-26
28-29
32-26
37-22
32-25
22-25
25-23
23-16
34-29
29-27
24-29
25-19
22-26
26-20
27-22
26-26
16-24
21-23
36-22
24-22
29-24
20-24
32-39
28-14
29-22
25-26
28-32
30-20
18-25
24-30
33-18
18-27
201.5Avg total
105.6Scored
95.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)102.798.8201.5+3.962%
Season at home (36)104.494.9199.4+9.581%
Season away (35)100.9102.8203.7-1.943%
Last 10 (10)105.695.9201.5+9.790%
Last 5 (5)102.497.2199.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)100.098.7198.7+1.367%
vs Similar ◀ (16)105.099.2204.2+5.862%
vs Weaker (11)107.5101.9209.5+5.682%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +4.6+4.6
Miami HeatUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#4
L
46-64
46
64
-18
A22/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H25/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A28/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#20
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H01/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H03/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#11
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H05/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A08/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H11/03
NBA
105.1Avg total
50.7Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.450.498.8-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.650.299.8-0.756%-
Last 30 away (14)47.050.697.6-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)50.754.4105.1-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)52.653.6106.2-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)46.055.2101.2-9.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)48.448.496.8+0.044%-
vs Weaker (6)51.549.3100.8+2.267%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#9
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H22/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H24/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A02/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H05/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H07/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A08/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A10/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A11/03
NBA
103.3Avg total
52.5Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.551.2103.6+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.850.3105.1+4.565%-
Last 30 away (13)49.452.3101.7-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)52.550.8103.3+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)46.048.894.8-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.349.799.0-0.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)52.451.6104.0+0.950%-
vs Weaker (11)53.451.0104.4+2.455%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Miami Heat wins
0
Utah Jazz wins
DateGameScore
04/12/08Utah Jazz v Miami Heat89-93
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/09HBoston Celtics107-99
09/03/09HChicago Bulls130-127 OT
08/03/09ACleveland Cavaliers89-99
07/03/09AToronto Raptors108-102
05/03/09HPhoenix Suns135-129
03/03/09HCleveland Cavaliers100-107
01/03/09HNew York Knicks120-115
28/02/09AAtlanta Hawks83-91
25/02/09HDetroit Pistons103-91
22/02/09AOrlando Magic99-122
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/09AAtlanta Hawks93-100
10/03/09AIndiana Pacers112-100
08/03/09AToronto Raptors109-101
07/03/09HDenver Nuggets97-91
05/03/09HHouston Rockets101-94
02/03/09AGolden State Warriors112-104
01/03/09HSacramento Kings102-89
26/02/09AMinnesota Timberwolves120-103
24/02/09HAtlanta Hawks108-89
22/02/09HNew Orleans Pelicans102-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW53%
HomeWLWWW65%
AwayWLLWL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703733
Win %53%65%39%
Points / game97.799.595.7
Allowed / game97.996.1100.1
Point differential-0.2+3.5-4.3
Avg total195.7195.6195.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%24%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (21)88% (8)62% (13)
Overtime %7%8%6%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWWWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713635
Win %62%81%43%
Points / game102.7104.4100.9
Allowed / game98.894.9102.8
Point differential+3.9+9.5-1.9
Avg total201.5199.4203.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%47%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)62% (8)43% (7)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers69551480%107.3100.0+7.3
2 Cleveland Cavaliers71551677%99.591.1+8.4
3 Boston Celtics72551776%100.992.7+8.3
4 Orlando Magic69521775%102.194.9+7.2
5 New Orleans Pelicans69462367%96.592.8+3.8
6 Houston Rockets72472565%98.594.6+3.9
7 Denver Nuggets73472664%102.899.9+2.9
8 San Antonio Spurs70452564%97.093.2+3.8
9 Utah Jazz71442762%102.798.8+3.9
10 Portland Trail Blazers71442762%98.795.0+3.7
11 Dallas Mavericks73433059%101.499.9+1.5
12 Atlanta Hawks73423158%97.896.7+1.1
13 Detroit Pistons69373254%93.693.4+0.2
14 Miami Heat70373353%97.797.9-0.2
15 Phoenix Suns72383453%106.2104.8+1.4
16 Philadelphia 76ers68343450%96.896.3+0.5
17 Chicago Bulls73334045%100.7102.1-1.4
18 New York Knicks70313944%106.2107.7-1.5
19 Indiana Pacers74324243%104.3105.5-1.2
20 Brooklyn Nets72314143%98.7101.3-2.7
21 Milwaukee Bucks74314342%99.2100.7-1.5
22 Charlotte Hornets72284439%92.794.8-2.1
23 Golden State Warriors68254337%108.0111.0-3.0
24 Toronto Raptors70244634%97.1100.9-3.8
25 Minnesota Timberwolves71234832%98.3102.5-4.2
26 Oklahoma City Thunder66184827%97.7103.2-5.5
27 Memphis Grizzlies71185325%93.199.5-6.4
28 Los Angeles Clippers70175324%94.5102.6-8.2
29 Washington Wizards72175524%93.8101.6-7.8
30 Sacramento Kings71145720%99.8108.5-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Miami Heat1932322433140
Utah Jazz2926252722129
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