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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 30 Mar 2009
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 95-101
21-26 22-20 26-24 26-31
Position#14
Record39-34
FormWWLLW
Points / game98.2
Allowed / game98.2
vs
Position#4
Record54-18
FormWWWWW
Points / game102.2
Allowed / game94.8
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
W
107-99
107
99
+8
H11/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
W
140-129 OT
140
129
+11
H14/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A15/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
108-112 OT
108
112
-4
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
101-96
101
96
+5
A22/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
W
94-82
94
82
+12
H23/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
88-90
88
90
-2
A25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
87-106
87
106
-19
A27/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
102-85
102
85
+17
H28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-32
19-23
32-18
25-26
19-29
32-26
32-25
24-27
22-29
21-17
25-15
9-24
21-34
33-15
22-26
24-25
17-21
22-30
24-16
25-29
20-23
23-24
24-26
34-23
30-16
26-24
24-22
14-20
24-27
25-21
19-19
20-23
25-26
24-21
14-32
24-27
28-23
30-20
19-20
25-22
197.2Avg total
99.2Scored
98.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)98.298.2196.3+0.053%
Season at home (37)100.796.4197.1+4.470%
Season away (36)95.6100.0195.6-4.436%
Last 10 (10)99.298.0197.2+1.250%
Last 5 (5)94.491.8186.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)100.6107.8208.4-7.220%
vs Similar (21)100.2101.4201.6-1.152%
vs Weaker (4)102.589.8192.2+12.875%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
94-98
94
98
-4
A09/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
107-79
107
79
+28
H11/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
112-103
112
103
+9
A13/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
W
105-87
105
87
+18
H15/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
93-97
93
97
-4
A17/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
106-80
106
80
+26
A19/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
110-103
110
103
+7
H21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
106-102
106
102
+4
A23/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H26/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
110-94
110
94
+16
H27/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
24-21
26-31
23-25
26-13
22-23
37-17
22-26
30-25
30-27
21-23
31-28
30-20
27-23
28-24
20-20
23-28
27-25
25-19
18-25
36-20
29-15
17-25
24-20
29-28
30-24
27-28
24-23
24-24
26-30
20-25
36-23
25-21
22-18
23-23
14-20
21-20
28-23
31-27
30-24
195.2Avg total
102.7Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)102.294.8196.9+7.475%
Season at home (36)101.891.8193.6+10.181%
Season away (36)102.597.8200.3+4.769%
Last 10 (10)102.792.5195.2+10.280%
Last 5 (5)103.292.2195.4+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)93.289.9183.1+3.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)106.298.7204.9+7.573%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H11/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H14/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A15/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A22/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H23/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A27/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H28/03
NBA
97.3Avg total
49.2Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.549.698.1-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.450.4101.8+1.056%-
Last 30 away (14)45.148.793.9-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)49.248.197.3+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)51.045.096.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)48.255.2103.4-7.020%-
vs Similar (21)48.049.597.6-1.543%-
vs Weaker (4)51.043.094.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A09/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H11/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A13/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H15/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A17/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
65-35
65
35
+30
A19/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A23/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H26/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H27/03
NBA
97.9Avg total
53.0Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.048.4101.4+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.047.9101.9+6.169%-
Last 30 away (14)51.849.1100.9+2.750%-
Last 10 (10)53.044.997.9+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)54.044.698.6+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)49.047.596.5+1.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)54.448.8103.2+5.668%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Miami Heat wins
2
Orlando Magic wins
DateGameScore
22/02/09Orlando Magic v Miami Heat122-99
25/01/09Miami Heat v Orlando Magic103-97
03/01/09Orlando Magic v Miami Heat86-76
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/09HMilwaukee Bucks102-85
27/03/09AChicago Bulls87-106
25/03/09AIndiana Pacers88-90
23/03/09HMemphis Grizzlies94-82
22/03/09ADetroit Pistons101-96
20/03/09ABrooklyn Nets88-96
18/03/09ABoston Celtics108-112 OT
15/03/09APhiladelphia 76ers77-85
14/03/09HUtah Jazz140-129 OT
11/03/09HBoston Celtics107-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/09HMilwaukee Bucks110-94
26/03/09HBoston Celtics84-82
23/03/09ANew York Knicks106-102
21/03/09HNew York Knicks110-103
19/03/09AMilwaukee Bucks106-80
17/03/09ACleveland Cavaliers93-97
15/03/09HUtah Jazz105-87
13/03/09AWashington Wizards112-103
11/03/09HChicago Bulls107-79
09/03/09ADetroit Pistons94-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW53%
HomeWWWWW70%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733736
Win %53%70%36%
Points / game98.2100.795.6
Allowed / game98.296.4100.0
Point differential+0.0+4.4-4.4
Avg total196.3197.1195.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%30%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (21)100% (7)57% (14)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayLWLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723636
Win %75%81%69%
Points / game102.2101.8102.5
Allowed / game94.891.897.8
Point differential+7.4+10.1+4.7
Avg total196.9193.6200.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%56%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won68% (19)83% (6)62% (13)
Overtime %3%3%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers73601382%100.390.9+9.4
2 Los Angeles Lakers73581579%107.599.8+7.7
3 Orlando Magic72541875%102.294.8+7.4
4 Boston Celtics75561975%100.892.6+8.2
5 San Antonio Spurs73482566%96.893.0+3.8
6 Houston Rockets74482665%98.594.5+3.9
7 Denver Nuggets74482665%103.8100.6+3.2
8 Portland Trail Blazers73462763%99.195.0+4.1
9 Utah Jazz72452762%103.399.6+3.7
10 New Orleans Pelicans72452762%95.893.4+2.3
11 Dallas Mavericks73433059%101.1100.0+1.1
12 Atlanta Hawks74433158%98.196.2+2.0
13 Phoenix Suns74403454%109.0107.2+1.8
14 Miami Heat73393453%98.298.2+0.0
15 Philadelphia 76ers72373551%97.596.9+0.6
16 Detroit Pistons73363749%94.094.6-0.6
17 Chicago Bulls75363948%101.9102.6-0.7
18 Charlotte Hornets73334045%93.794.5-0.9
19 Milwaukee Bucks74314342%98.8100.4-1.6
20 Indiana Pacers74314342%104.0105.8-1.8
21 Brooklyn Nets73304341%98.6101.1-2.5
22 New York Knicks73294440%105.6108.2-2.6
23 Toronto Raptors73284538%98.5101.4-2.9
24 Golden State Warriors73254834%108.6112.5-3.9
25 Minnesota Timberwolves74215328%98.2103.0-4.8
26 Oklahoma City Thunder73205327%97.2103.0-5.8
27 Memphis Grizzlies72185425%93.099.4-6.4
28 Los Angeles Clippers74185624%95.7104.4-8.6
29 Washington Wizards75175823%95.6103.3-7.8
30 Sacramento Kings72165622%100.3108.6-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2122262695
Orlando Magic26202431101
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