PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 115-107
19-34 35-22 34-25 27-26
Position#4
Record8-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game101.9
vs
Position#8
Record6-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game103.9
Allowed / game99.8
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics
18 Nov 2026
DEN v BOS
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
DEN103
BOS84
07 Jan 2025
DEN106
BOS118
07 Mar 2024
DEN115
BOS109
01 Jan 2023
DEN123
BOS111
20 Mar 2022
DEN104
BOS124
11 Apr 2021
DEN87
BOS105
22 Nov 2019
DEN96
BOS92
05 Nov 2018
DEN115
BOS107
29 Jan 2018
DEN110
BOS111
10 Mar 2017
DEN119
BOS99
21 Feb 2016
DEN101
BOS121
23 Jan 2015
DEN99
BOS100
07 Jan 2014
DEN129
BOS98
19 Feb 2013
DEN97
BOS90
17 Mar 2012
DEN98
BOS91
24 Feb 2011
DEN89
BOS75
21 Feb 2010
DEN114
BOS105
23 Feb 2009
DEN76
BOS114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
106-112 OT
106
112
-6
93avg 104
A12/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
107-98
107
98
+9
98avg 104
A18/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
119-91
119
91
+28
121avg 104
H21/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
100-98
100
98
+2
85avg 104
H22/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
126-112
126
112
+14
122avg 104
H24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
114-121
114
121
-7
104avg 104
A26/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
116-111
116
111
+5
107avg 104
H30/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
108-107 OT
108
107
+1
99avg 104
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
110-91
110
91
+19
103avg 104
A01/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
103-88
103
88
+15
105avg 104
H04/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
28-33
27-24
20-15
29-24
30-30
15-18
33-26
30-16
35-33
27-30
27-12
17-25
30-24
33-21
20-28
33-26
35-29
37-26
21-31
26-22
31-36
32-29
25-34
20-24
38-21
26-31
32-35
28-24
23-24
29-30
18-20
15-27
35-15
33-24
27-25
25-25
22-21
21-27
35-15
213.8Avg total
110.9Scored
102.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)111.4101.9213.3+9.689%
Season at home (5)112.8100.0212.8+12.8100%
Season away (4)109.8104.2214.0+5.575%
Last 10 (10)110.9102.9213.8+8.080%
Last 5 (5)110.2103.6213.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)110.0114.0224.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)113.0110.3223.3+2.772%
vs Weaker (11)115.2105.5220.6+9.773%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
79-87
79
87
-8
63avg 95
H28/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
105-87
105
87
+18
94avg 95
H17/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
101-113
101
113
-12
91avg 95
A20/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
103-101
103
101
+2
95avg 95
A20/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
90-93
90
93
-3
80avg 95
H22/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
101-95
101
95
+6
86avg 95
A26/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
109-89
109
89
+20
106avg 95
A27/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
108-105
108
105
+3
102avg 95
H30/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
117-113
117
113
+4
110avg 95
H02/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
101-102
101
102
-1
92avg 95
A03/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
17-21
13-20
23-28
21-21
26-21
30-24
28-21
25-18
28-31
26-33
22-31
31-18
19-30
27-22
26-31
19-28
26-20
25-27
20-18
16-22
18-28
40-23
27-22
30-21
33-20
21-26
25-22
31-28
25-30
25-13
27-34
23-16
32-37
38-25
24-35
28-18
17-27
27-27
29-30
199.9Avg total
101.4Scored
98.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)103.999.8203.7+4.167%
Season at home (4)105.099.5204.5+5.575%
Season away (5)103.0100.0203.0+3.060%
Last 10 (10)101.498.5199.9+2.960%
Last 5 (5)107.2100.8208.0+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)117.0113.0230.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (24)101.5101.0202.4+0.554%
vs Weaker (5)104.097.0201.0+7.080%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.1-2.1
Denver NuggetsBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A12/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A18/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
65-49
65
49
+16
H21/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H22/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A26/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H30/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A01/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H04/11
NBA
106.4Avg total
55.6Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.353.2111.5+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.252.2109.5+5.069%-
Last 30 away (17)59.153.9113.0+5.165%-
Last 10 (10)55.650.8106.4+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)52.647.8100.4+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.058.0116.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)56.954.5111.4+2.461%-
vs Weaker (11)60.550.6111.1+9.882%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H28/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H17/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A20/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A20/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H22/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A26/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
63-41
63
41
+22
A27/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H30/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H02/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A03/11
NBA
96.4Avg total
49.1Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.948.997.8-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.946.698.5+5.469%-
Last 30 away (14)45.451.697.1-6.229%-
Last 10 (10)49.147.396.4+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)50.649.4100.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)55.053.0108.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)47.749.096.8-1.346%-
vs Weaker (5)53.447.6101.0+5.860%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.532.8
53.3%
51.7%65.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.0
31.7%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.718.3
74.1%
76.6%18.3
They take 89.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 101.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.524.2
47.0%
51.7%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.512.7
33.9%
35.4%38.1
🏀 Free throws19.714.9
75.6%
76.6%14.9
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLWWWWL
Boston Celtics
LWWWWLWLWL
#4
League position
#8
+7.9
Net rating
+2.9
109.2
Offensive rating
100.7
101.3
Defensive rating
97.8
51.5%
Effective FG%
48.6%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
13.4%
Turnover %
12.4%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
21.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
31.7%
3-point %
33.9%
59.1%
Assist %
62.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 100.7Defence101.3 · 97.8Shooting51.5% · 48.6%3-point %31.7% · 33.9%Ball care13.4% · 12.4%Off. rebounds27.2% · 21.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Denver Nuggets wins
7
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/18HUtah Jazz103-88
01/11/18ACleveland Cavaliers110-91
01/11/18AChicago Bulls108-107 OT
30/10/18HNew Orleans Pelicans116-111
26/10/18ALos Angeles Lakers114-121
24/10/18HSacramento Kings126-112
22/10/18HGolden State Warriors100-98
21/10/18HPhoenix Suns119-91
18/10/18ALos Angeles Clippers107-98
12/04/18AMinnesota Timberwolves106-112 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/18AIndiana Pacers101-102
02/11/18HMilwaukee Bucks117-113
30/10/18HDetroit Pistons108-105
27/10/18ADetroit Pistons109-89
26/10/18AOklahoma City Thunder101-95
22/10/18HOrlando Magic90-93
20/10/18ANew York Knicks103-101
20/10/18AToronto Raptors101-113
17/10/18HPhiladelphia 76ers105-87
28/05/18HCleveland Cavaliers79-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game111.4112.8109.8
Allowed / game101.9100.0104.2
Point differential+9.6+12.8+5.5
Avg total213.3212.8214.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %11%0%25%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game103.9105.0103.0
Allowed / game99.899.5100.0
Point differential+4.1+5.5+3.0
Avg total203.7204.5203.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors109190%124.1110.6+13.5
2 Toronto Raptors109190%116.7107.7+9.0
3 Milwaukee Bucks98189%121.9106.1+15.8
4 Denver Nuggets98189%111.4101.9+9.6
5 Portland Trail Blazers107370%117.2107.8+9.4
6 Boston Celtics96367%103.999.8+4.1
7 San Antonio Spurs96367%113.4111.4+2.0
8 Indiana Pacers117464%106.6102.3+4.4
9 Memphis Grizzlies85362%104.0100.2+3.8
10 Sacramento Kings106460%118.7119.3-0.6
11 Los Angeles Clippers95456%115.8109.9+5.9
12 Oklahoma City Thunder95456%113.2111.3+1.9
13 Philadelphia 76ers116555%111.6112.9-1.3
14 Charlotte Hornets105550%115.7108.1+7.6
15 Utah Jazz94544%109.8108.7+1.1
16 Miami Heat94544%113.3112.6+0.8
17 Detroit Pistons94544%110.1113.0-2.9
18 Houston Rockets94544%105.3110.1-4.8
19 Los Angeles Lakers104640%118.9120.0-1.1
20 Brooklyn Nets104640%109.9111.3-1.4
21 New Orleans Pelicans104640%118.6120.7-2.1
22 Minnesota Timberwolves104640%110.8117.5-6.7
23 Orlando Magic104640%101.8110.5-8.7
24 Atlanta Hawks93633%110.8120.2-9.4
25 New York Knicks113827%106.9110.2-3.3
26 Chicago Bulls113827%108.0115.0-7.0
27 Dallas Mavericks92722%110.8116.8-6.0
28 Washington Wizards92722%111.3120.7-9.3
29 Phoenix Suns92722%102.7114.9-12.2
30 Cleveland Cavaliers101910%105.5116.3-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets19353427115
Boston Celtics34222526107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.