PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 104-124
27-33 16-35 32-30 29-26
Position#11
Record42-29
FormLLWWL
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game108.7
vs
Position#6
Record43-28
FormWWLWW
Points / game109.7
Allowed / game103.6
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics
18 Nov 2026
DEN v BOS
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
DEN103
BOS84
07 Jan 2025
DEN106
BOS118
07 Mar 2024
DEN115
BOS109
01 Jan 2023
DEN123
BOS111
20 Mar 2022
DEN104
BOS124
11 Apr 2021
DEN87
BOS105
22 Nov 2019
DEN96
BOS92
05 Nov 2018
DEN115
BOS107
29 Jan 2018
DEN110
BOS111
10 Mar 2017
DEN119
BOS99
21 Feb 2016
DEN101
BOS121
23 Jan 2015
DEN99
BOS100
07 Jan 2014
DEN129
BOS98
19 Feb 2013
DEN97
BOS90
17 Mar 2012
DEN98
BOS91
24 Feb 2011
DEN89
BOS75
21 Feb 2010
DEN114
BOS105
23 Feb 2009
DEN76
BOS114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
107-119
107
119
-12
100avg 107
H03/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
116-101
116
101
+15
108avg 107
H05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
138-130 OT
138
130
+8
138avg 107
H07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
131-124
131
124
+7
134avg 107
H08/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
106-100
106
100
+6
108avg 107
A10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
102-113
102
113
-11
92avg 107
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
115-127
115
127
-12
117avg 107
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
114-110
114
110
+4
113avg 107
A14/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
127-109
127
109
+18
124avg 107
A16/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
116-119 OT
116
119
-3
118avg 107
A18/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
33-31
22-31
28-33
25-26
26-20
36-24
29-31
35-19
27-38
22-37
40-30
40-31
31-38
33-32
27-23
32-29
31-22
17-26
26-23
29-30
31-21
24-37
18-25
25-28
38-37
36-28
16-34
22-37
31-21
28-30
33-22
34-28
39-24
31-29
23-28
29-31
34-21
24-26
20-29
232.4Avg total
117.2Scored
115.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)111.4108.7220.1+2.859%
Season at home (33)113.4109.5222.9+3.861%
Season away (38)109.7107.9217.7+1.858%
Last 10 (10)117.2115.2232.4+2.060%
Last 5 (5)114.8115.6230.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)102.0108.0210.0-6.00%
vs Similar (19)118.4116.6235.0+1.758%
vs Weaker (10)117.1106.8223.9+10.390%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
113-104
113
104
+9
108avg 103
A26/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
107-128
107
128
-21
95avg 103
A27/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
107-98
107
98
+9
106avg 103
H02/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
120-107
120
107
+13
124avg 103
H04/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
126-120
126
120
+6
116avg 103
H06/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
115-101
115
101
+14
112avg 103
A10/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
114-103
114
103
+11
105avg 103
H12/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
92-95
92
95
-3
76avg 103
H13/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
110-88
110
88
+22
110avg 103
A17/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
126-97
126
97
+29
130avg 103
A19/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
26-28
22-28
35-22
30-27
25-39
27-27
25-35
19-28
32-37
31-13
25-20
26-20
21-25
36-27
37-35
29-34
29-26
31-30
37-30
29-22
23-26
35-30
28-23
32-34
29-28
31-28
22-13
20-18
27-20
26-38
19-19
23-17
25-15
31-37
31-19
32-26
35-22
25-31
34-18
217.1Avg total
113.0Scored
104.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)109.7103.6213.3+6.161%
Season at home (36)108.7103.2211.9+5.567%
Season away (35)110.8104.0214.8+6.854%
Last 10 (10)113.0104.1217.1+8.980%
Last 5 (5)111.496.8208.2+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)111.095.5206.5+15.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)113.0101.1214.2+11.977%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +5.9+5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +5.9+5.9
Denver NuggetsBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H03/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H08/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
63-51
63
51
+12
A10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A14/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A16/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A18/03
NBA
117.2Avg total
61.6Scored
55.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.557.7118.2+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.058.9119.9+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)60.056.5116.5+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)61.655.6117.2+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)62.455.6118.0+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)60.051.0111.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar (19)60.160.6120.7-0.553%-
vs Weaker (10)61.352.8114.1+8.580%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A26/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A27/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H02/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H04/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H06/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A10/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H12/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H13/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A17/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
67-48
67
48
+19
A19/03
NBA
106.0Avg total
54.2Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.648.9102.5+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.151.1103.2+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)55.146.7101.7+8.480%-
Last 10 (10)54.251.8106.0+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)55.045.6100.6+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)49.040.089.0+9.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)54.350.2104.5+4.162%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.531.6
61.4%
53.1%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.0
32.4%
35.3%33.0
🏀 Free throws26.621.0
78.9%
77.4%21.0
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 113.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.528.1
55.6%
53.1%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.313.0
35.8%
35.3%39.0
🏀 Free throws21.517.8
82.8%
77.4%17.8
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWLLWWWWL
Boston Celtics
WWLWWWWWLW
#11
League position
#6
+2.0
Net rating
+9.2
115.4
Offensive rating
116.6
113.5
Defensive rating
107.4
56.3%
Effective FG%
54.8%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
13.9%
Turnover %
11.5%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.4%
3-point %
35.8%
69.0%
Assist %
64.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 116.6Defence113.5 · 107.4Shooting56.3% · 54.8%3-point %32.4% · 35.8%Ball care13.9% · 11.5%Off. rebounds22.3% · 25.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/22ACleveland Cavaliers116-119 OT
16/03/22AWashington Wizards127-109
14/03/22APhiladelphia 76ers114-110
13/03/22HToronto Raptors115-127
11/03/22HGolden State Warriors102-113
10/03/22ASacramento Kings106-100
08/03/22HGolden State Warriors131-124
07/03/22HNew Orleans Pelicans138-130 OT
05/03/22HHouston Rockets116-101
03/03/22HOklahoma City Thunder107-119
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/22ASacramento Kings126-97
17/03/22AGolden State Warriors110-88
13/03/22HDallas Mavericks92-95
12/03/22HDetroit Pistons114-103
10/03/22ACharlotte Hornets115-101
06/03/22HBrooklyn Nets126-120
04/03/22HMemphis Grizzlies120-107
02/03/22HAtlanta Hawks107-98
27/02/22AIndiana Pacers107-128
26/02/22ADetroit Pistons113-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL59%
HomeWWWLL61%
AwayWWWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713338
Win %59%61%58%
Points / game111.4113.4109.7
Allowed / game108.7109.5107.9
Point differential+2.8+3.8+1.8
Avg total220.1222.9217.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%30%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (18)80% (5)62% (13)
Overtime %6%6%5%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW61%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWLWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713635
Win %61%67%54%
Points / game109.7108.7110.8
Allowed / game103.6103.2104.0
Point differential+6.1+5.5+6.8
Avg total213.3211.9214.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%36%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (18)40% (10)0% (8)
Overtime %8%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns72581481%114.9106.5+8.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies72492368%114.7109.3+5.3
3 Golden State Warriors70472367%111.2105.1+6.2
4 Miami Heat71472466%109.5104.8+4.7
5 Utah Jazz71452663%114.0107.2+6.8
6 Philadelphia 76ers69432662%108.7106.7+2.0
7 Milwaukee Bucks71442762%114.9111.3+3.6
8 Boston Celtics71432861%109.7103.6+6.1
9 Dallas Mavericks71432861%106.6104.1+2.5
10 Denver Nuggets71422959%111.4108.7+2.8
11 Chicago Bulls70412959%112.0111.2+0.8
12 Minnesota Timberwolves72423058%115.5112.0+3.5
13 Cleveland Cavaliers71413058%107.2104.2+3.0
14 Toronto Raptors70393156%109.0107.5+1.5
15 Brooklyn Nets71373452%112.1111.8+0.3
16 Charlotte Hornets71363551%115.1114.7+0.4
17 Los Angeles Clippers73363749%106.7107.9-1.2
18 Atlanta Hawks71353649%112.9112.1+0.8
19 Washington Wizards70304043%108.5111.6-3.1
20 New York Knicks71304142%106.0106.8-0.8
21 New Orleans Pelicans71304142%108.6109.9-1.3
22 Los Angeles Lakers71304142%111.2114.0-2.8
23 San Antonio Spurs71274438%112.7113.7-1.0
24 Portland Trail Blazers70264437%107.2114.2-7.0
25 Indiana Pacers72254735%110.9113.2-2.2
26 Sacramento Kings73254834%110.5115.9-5.4
27 Oklahoma City Thunder71205128%102.8110.7-7.9
28 Detroit Pistons71195227%104.0112.4-8.4
29 Orlando Magic72195326%104.3112.1-7.9
30 Houston Rockets71175424%108.9118.5-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets27163229104
Boston Celtics33353026124
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.