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Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 110-111
21-32 24-24 37-24 28-31
Position#12
Record26-23
FormLLWWW
Points / game106.1
Allowed / game105.5
Denver Nuggets
USA
vs
Boston Celtics 🏆
USA
Position#4
Record35-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game102.9
Allowed / game98.5
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics
18 Nov 2026
DEN v BOS
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
DEN103
BOS84
07 Jan 2025
DEN106
BOS118
07 Mar 2024
DEN115
BOS109
01 Jan 2023
DEN123
BOS111
20 Mar 2022
DEN104
BOS124
11 Apr 2021
DEN87
BOS105
22 Nov 2019
DEN96
BOS92
05 Nov 2018
DEN115
BOS107
29 Jan 2018
DEN110
BOS111
10 Mar 2017
DEN119
BOS99
21 Feb 2016
DEN101
BOS121
23 Jan 2015
DEN99
BOS100
07 Jan 2014
DEN129
BOS98
19 Feb 2013
DEN97
BOS90
17 Mar 2012
DEN98
BOS91
24 Feb 2011
DEN89
BOS75
21 Feb 2010
DEN114
BOS105
23 Feb 2009
DEN76
BOS114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
114-124
114
124
-10
105avg 103
A09/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
97-110
97
110
-13
81avg 103
H11/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
87-78
87
78
+9
80avg 103
H13/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
80-112
80
112
-32
66avg 103
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
105-102
105
102
+3
97avg 103
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
104-109
104
109
-5
95avg 103
A18/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
100-108
100
108
-8
94avg 103
H20/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
104-101
104
101
+3
97avg 103
H23/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
130-118
130
118
+12
133avg 103
H26/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
91-89
91
89
+2
89avg 103
H28/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-37
29-27
24-29
33-31
21-29
25-25
32-28
19-28
16-26
27-21
24-13
20-18
16-32
28-24
25-26
11-30
30-27
31-21
25-21
19-33
27-29
32-21
22-30
23-29
31-29
19-31
23-25
27-23
20-19
25-30
31-29
28-23
39-28
34-32
26-32
31-26
30-26
20-16
16-32
25-15
206.3Avg total
101.2Scored
105.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)106.1105.5211.6+0.753%
Season at home (25)109.0102.5211.4+6.576%
Season away (24)103.2108.6211.8-5.429%
Last 10 (10)101.2105.1206.3-3.950%
Last 5 (5)105.8105.0210.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)105.0102.5207.5+2.550%
vs Similar ◀ (17)104.8105.7210.5-0.941%
vs Weaker (11)105.5103.9209.5+1.664%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
102-88
102
88
+14
98avg 97
H04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
91-84
91
84
+7
84avg 97
H06/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
87-85
87
85
+2
61avg 97
A06/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
114-103
114
103
+11
107avg 97
A11/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
113-116 OT
113
116
-3
103avg 97
H17/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
80-89
80
89
-9
63avg 97
H19/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
95-103
95
103
-8
87avg 97
H21/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
107-108
107
108
-1
96avg 97
A24/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
113-102
113
102
+11
104avg 97
A25/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
105-109
105
109
-4
92avg 97
A28/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-21
23-26
26-21
21-20
19-19
22-19
25-24
25-22
16-22
23-19
25-20
23-24
23-28
25-29
37-22
29-24
25-32
23-26
32-29
24-17
19-21
13-18
21-32
27-18
29-28
30-30
12-32
24-13
21-15
32-30
21-31
33-32
25-22
37-33
29-22
22-25
37-27
17-23
19-30
32-29
199.4Avg total
100.7Scored
98.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)102.998.5201.4+4.470%
Season at home (26)103.498.5202.0+4.969%
Season away (24)102.398.5200.9+3.871%
Last 10 (10)100.798.7199.4+2.050%
Last 5 (5)100.0102.2202.2-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.098.0197.0+1.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (19)103.7100.9204.7+2.858%
vs Weaker (10)100.799.7200.4+1.060%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.6+3.6
Denver NuggetsBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A09/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H11/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H13/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A18/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H20/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H23/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H26/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H28/01
NBA
105.8Avg total
52.8Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.153.9107.1-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.453.5106.9-0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)52.954.3107.2-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)52.853.0105.8-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)55.452.2107.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.052.5107.5+2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)53.053.5106.5-0.547%-
vs Weaker (11)53.054.9107.9-1.936%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H06/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A06/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A11/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
48-58
48
58
-10
H17/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H19/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H21/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A24/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A25/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A28/01
NBA
97.9Avg total
49.1Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.950.1101.0+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.551.5103.0-0.159%-
Last 30 away (13)50.248.298.3+2.054%-
Last 10 (10)49.148.897.9+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)52.049.4101.4+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.062.0100.0-24.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)51.648.8100.4+2.758%-
vs Weaker (10)50.951.2102.1-0.360%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 101.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.428.0
49.6%
51.0%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.4
33.1%
36.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.217.0
76.6%
76.5%17.0
They take 84.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 100.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.827.1
48.6%
51.0%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.311.3
32.9%
36.1%33.9
🏀 Free throws16.112.6
78.3%
76.5%12.6
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWLLWLWLL
Boston Celtics
LWLLLLWWWW
#12
League position
#4
-4.0
Net rating
+2.0
103.9
Offensive rating
99.8
107.9
Defensive rating
97.8
49.6%
Effective FG%
48.9%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
15.1%
Turnover %
13.6%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.18
33.1%
3-point %
32.9%
64.4%
Assist %
55.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 99.8Defence107.9 · 97.8Shooting49.6% · 48.9%3-point %33.1% · 32.9%Ball care15.1% · 13.6%Off. rebounds26.3% · 22.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Boston Celtics wins
DateGameScore
14/12/17Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets124-118
11/03/17Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics119-99
07/11/16Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets107-123
21/02/16Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics101-121
28/01/16Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets111-103
05/02/15Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets104-100
24/01/15Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics99-100
08/01/14Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics129-98
07/12/13Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets106-98
20/02/13Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics97-90
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/18HDallas Mavericks91-89
26/01/18HNew York Knicks130-118
23/01/18HPortland Trail Blazers104-101
20/01/18HPhoenix Suns100-108
18/01/18ALos Angeles Clippers104-109
17/01/18HDallas Mavericks105-102
14/01/18ASan Antonio Spurs80-112
13/01/18HMemphis Grizzlies87-78
11/01/18HAtlanta Hawks97-110
09/01/18AGolden State Warriors114-124
Boston Celticslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/18AGolden State Warriors105-109
25/01/18ALos Angeles Clippers113-102
24/01/18ALos Angeles Lakers107-108
21/01/18HOrlando Magic95-103
19/01/18HPhiladelphia 76ers80-89
17/01/18HNew Orleans Pelicans113-116 OT
11/01/18APhiladelphia 76ers114-103
06/01/18ABrooklyn Nets87-85
06/01/18HMinnesota Timberwolves91-84
04/01/18HCleveland Cavaliers102-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW53%
HomeWLWWW76%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492524
Win %53%76%29%
Points / game106.1109.0103.2
Allowed / game105.5102.5108.6
Point differential+0.7+6.5-5.4
Avg total211.6211.4211.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%36%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)71% (7)25% (4)
Overtime %6%4%8%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL70%
HomeWWLLL69%
AwayWWLWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502624
Win %70%69%71%
Points / game102.9103.4102.3
Allowed / game98.598.598.5
Point differential+4.4+4.9+3.8
Avg total201.4202.0200.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%35%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (15)75% (8)43% (7)
Overtime %4%4%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors50401080%116.0107.2+8.7
2 Houston Rockets48351373%114.1106.4+7.7
3 Boston Celtics50351570%102.998.5+4.4
4 Toronto Raptors48331569%111.1103.8+7.3
5 San Antonio Spurs52331963%100.897.4+3.4
6 Cleveland Cavaliers48291960%109.9109.4+0.5
7 Minnesota Timberwolves53322160%109.0105.9+3.1
8 Oklahoma City Thunder50302060%106.3102.0+4.3
9 Miami Heat50292158%100.4101.1-0.6
10 Washington Wizards49272255%107.1105.6+1.6
11 Portland Trail Blazers49272255%104.6103.1+1.5
12 New Orleans Pelicans49272255%110.9110.7+0.2
13 Milwaukee Bucks49272255%105.2105.3-0.2
14 Indiana Pacers51282355%106.5105.4+1.2
15 Denver Nuggets49262353%106.1105.5+0.7
16 Philadelphia 76ers47242351%107.9106.7+1.2
17 Los Angeles Clippers49252451%107.8107.3+0.5
18 Detroit Pistons48222646%102.3102.9-0.6
19 New York Knicks50222844%105.0106.2-1.1
20 Utah Jazz49212843%101.4102.2-0.8
21 Charlotte Hornets49202941%105.4105.5-0.1
22 Los Angeles Lakers49193039%106.7110.0-3.3
23 Memphis Grizzlies49183137%99.8102.5-2.7
24 Brooklyn Nets50183236%105.2108.8-3.6
25 Chicago Bulls50183236%103.5109.0-5.5
26 Phoenix Suns51173433%105.0112.3-7.3
27 Dallas Mavericks51163531%101.7103.7-2.1
28 Sacramento Kings49153431%97.8106.5-8.7
29 Atlanta Hawks50153530%103.5108.0-4.5
30 Orlando Magic48143429%105.2110.4-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets21243728110
Boston Celtics32242431111
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