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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 118-107
29-25 29-37 38-23 22-22
Position#27
Record19-45
FormLWLLL
Points / game102.2
Allowed / game105.1
vs
Position#12
Record35-28
FormWLLWW
Points / game108.7
Allowed / game107.5
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
31 Mar 2027
DAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
DAL109
DEN118
23 Dec 2025
DAL131
DEN130
14 Jan 2025
DAL99
DEN118
12 Jan 2025
DAL101
DEN112
17 Mar 2024
DAL107
DEN105
20 Nov 2022
DAL97
DEN98
18 Nov 2022
DAL127
DEN99
03 Jan 2022
DAL103
DEN89
15 Nov 2021
DAL111
DEN101
25 Jan 2021
DAL113
DEN117
11 Mar 2020
DAL113
DEN97
08 Jan 2020
DAL106
DEN107
22 Feb 2019
DAL104
DEN114
06 Mar 2018
DAL118
DEN107
04 Dec 2017
DAL122
DEN105
11 Apr 2017
DAL91
DEN109
12 Dec 2016
DAL112
DEN92
26 Feb 2016
DAL122
DEN116
28 Nov 2015
DAL92
DEN81
16 Jan 2015
DAL97
DEN89
21 Mar 2014
DAL122
DEN106
25 Nov 2013
DAL96
DEN110
12 Apr 2013
DAL108
DEN105
28 Dec 2012
DAL85
DEN106
15 Feb 2012
DAL102
DEN84
26 Dec 2011
DAL93
DEN115
06 Apr 2011
DAL96
DEN104
06 Nov 2010
DAL92
DEN103
29 Mar 2010
DAL109
DEN93
11 May 2009
DAL119
DEN117
09 May 2009
DAL105
DEN106
27 Mar 2009
DAL101
DEN103
15 Dec 2008
DAL88
DEN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
103-121
103
121
-18
84avg 91
A09/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
130-123
130
123
+7
127avg 91
H11/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
97-104
97
104
-7
89avg 91
A12/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
109-114
109
114
-5
103avg 91
H14/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
102-124
102
124
-22
84avg 91
A24/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
90-97
90
97
-7
80avg 91
A25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
109-103
109
103
+6
98avg 91
H27/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
110-111 OT
110
111
-1
100avg 91
H01/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
L
100-108
100
108
-8
91avg 91
A03/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
109-126
109
126
-17
99avg 91
H05/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-23
27-37
25-33
18-28
34-36
31-30
35-29
30-28
19-27
36-30
20-30
22-17
16-29
28-36
27-23
38-26
17-32
24-31
35-32
26-29
23-35
27-18
21-21
19-23
23-23
26-20
19-22
41-38
21-32
22-22
33-23
24-23
32-24
17-23
36-31
15-30
25-33
24-32
29-26
31-35
219.0Avg total
105.9Scored
113.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)102.2105.1207.3-2.930%
Season at home (33)103.9103.7207.6+0.236%
Season away (31)100.4106.6207.0-6.323%
Last 10 (10)105.9113.1219.0-7.220%
Last 5 (5)103.6109.0212.6-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)104.3108.2212.5-3.931%
vs Similar (13)106.5106.6213.1-0.238%
vs Weaker (1)88.0102.0190.0-14.00%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
121-104
121
104
+17
123avg 104
H06/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
104-130
104
130
-26
95avg 104
A10/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
123-113
123
113
+10
111avg 104
A11/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
117-109
117
109
+8
107avg 104
H14/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
134-123
134
123
+11
135avg 104
A16/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
122-119
122
119
+3
120avg 104
H24/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
114-119
114
119
-5
106avg 104
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
120-122
120
122
-2
113avg 104
H28/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
108-102
108
102
+6
102avg 104
A03/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
126-117
126
117
+9
126avg 104
A04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-25
27-37
34-22
24-20
23-35
23-28
24-34
34-33
28-23
34-37
32-29
29-24
30-32
28-29
29-29
30-19
35-28
39-34
33-26
27-35
32-30
31-31
33-28
26-30
25-38
27-28
27-26
35-27
33-24
25-28
30-29
32-41
35-29
28-25
28-26
17-22
37-31
36-31
30-35
23-20
234.7Avg total
118.9Scored
115.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)108.7107.5216.2+1.156%
Season at home (33)111.2105.4216.6+5.873%
Season away (30)105.9109.9215.8-4.037%
Last 10 (10)118.9115.8234.7+3.170%
Last 5 (5)118.0115.8233.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)111.8120.2232.0-8.525%
vs Similar (16)112.6110.4223.0+2.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)107.3103.7211.0+3.670%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A09/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H11/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A12/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
44-65
44
65
-21
H14/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
41-63
41
63
-22
A24/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H27/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H01/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A03/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
49-65
49
65
-16
H05/03
NBA
107.8Avg total
50.5Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.655.4107.0-3.827%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.454.1104.5-3.727%-
Last 30 away (15)52.956.7109.6-3.927%-
Last 10 (10)50.557.3107.8-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)48.052.4100.4-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)52.256.6108.8-4.419%-
vs Similar (13)51.453.8105.2-2.538%-
vs Weaker (1)46.057.0103.0-11.00%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H06/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
46-63
46
63
-17
A10/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A11/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H14/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
74-62
74
62
+12
A16/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H24/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
52-66
52
66
-14
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H28/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A03/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A04/03
NBA
121.5Avg total
61.2Scored
60.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.156.2112.4-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (19)55.454.7110.1+0.747%-
Last 30 away (11)57.558.9116.4-1.545%-
Last 10 (10)61.260.3121.5+0.970%-
Last 5 (5)61.859.0120.8+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.562.2114.8-9.80%-
vs Similar (16)57.856.2114.0+1.556%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)55.053.8108.8+1.250%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 105.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.726.9
49.2%
51.0%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.712.5
37.1%
36.1%37.5
🏀 Free throws18.714.6
78.1%
76.5%14.6
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 118.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.732.3
58.0%
51.0%64.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.212.5
40.1%
36.1%37.5
🏀 Free throws20.816.8
80.8%
76.5%16.8
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LLLWLLLLWL
Denver Nuggets
WWLLWWWWLW
#27
League position
#12
-7.2
Net rating
+3.1
105.2
Offensive rating
118.4
112.4
Defensive rating
115.3
51.6%
Effective FG%
58.7%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
12.2%
Turnover %
13.7%
17.9%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.1%
3-point %
40.1%
62.4%
Assist %
64.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 118.4Defence112.4 · 115.3Shooting51.6% · 58.7%3-point %37.1% · 40.1%Ball care12.2% · 13.7%Off. rebounds17.9% · 23.3%Free throws0.21 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Dallas Mavericks wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/18HNew Orleans Pelicans109-126
03/03/18AChicago Bulls100-108
01/03/18HOklahoma City Thunder110-111 OT
27/02/18HIndiana Pacers109-103
25/02/18AUtah Jazz90-97
24/02/18ALos Angeles Lakers102-124
14/02/18HSacramento Kings109-114
12/02/18AHouston Rockets97-104
11/02/18HLos Angeles Lakers130-123
09/02/18AGolden State Warriors103-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/18ACleveland Cavaliers126-117
03/03/18AMemphis Grizzlies108-102
28/02/18HLos Angeles Clippers120-122
26/02/18HHouston Rockets114-119
24/02/18HSan Antonio Spurs122-119
16/02/18AMilwaukee Bucks134-123
14/02/18HSan Antonio Spurs117-109
11/02/18APhoenix Suns123-113
10/02/18AHouston Rockets104-130
06/02/18HCharlotte Hornets121-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeWLWLL36%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643331
Win %30%36%23%
Points / game102.2103.9100.4
Allowed / game105.1103.7106.6
Point differential-2.9+0.2-6.3
Avg total207.3207.6207.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%21%3%
Close games (≤5 pts) won24% (21)10% (10)36% (11)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW56%
HomeWWWLL73%
AwayLWWWW37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633330
Win %56%73%37%
Points / game108.7111.2105.9
Allowed / game107.5105.4109.9
Point differential+1.1+5.8-4.0
Avg total216.2216.6215.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%30%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)58% (12)20% (5)
Overtime %5%3%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets63501379%114.1105.3+8.8
2 Golden State Warriors63491478%116.1107.6+8.5
3 Toronto Raptors63461773%111.8103.1+8.7
4 Boston Celtics65452069%104.4100.1+4.3
5 Portland Trail Blazers64382659%105.2103.4+1.9
6 Cleveland Cavaliers63372659%110.1109.8+0.3
7 New Orleans Pelicans62362658%112.3111.6+0.7
8 San Antonio Spurs64372758%102.399.4+2.9
9 Indiana Pacers64372758%106.4104.8+1.6
10 Minnesota Timberwolves66382858%109.7107.0+2.7
11 Washington Wizards65372857%107.1105.5+1.6
12 Oklahoma City Thunder66372956%106.6104.1+2.6
13 Philadelphia 76ers63352856%107.9105.7+2.1
14 Denver Nuggets63352856%108.7107.5+1.1
15 Los Angeles Clippers62342855%109.1108.0+1.1
16 Utah Jazz64343053%102.7101.0+1.7
17 Milwaukee Bucks64343053%104.7105.1-0.5
18 Miami Heat65343152%101.9102.2-0.3
19 Detroit Pistons64293545%102.9104.1-1.2
20 Los Angeles Lakers63283544%108.3110.0-1.7
21 Charlotte Hornets65283743%106.5107.0-0.5
22 New York Knicks64244038%104.1107.0-2.9
23 Chicago Bulls63214233%103.1109.4-6.3
24 Brooklyn Nets64204431%105.8109.9-4.1
25 Orlando Magic64204431%105.4109.7-4.3
26 Sacramento Kings64204431%99.2107.0-7.8
27 Atlanta Hawks65204531%103.6108.2-4.6
28 Dallas Mavericks64194530%102.2105.1-2.9
29 Phoenix Suns66194729%104.7113.3-8.7
30 Memphis Grizzlies63184529%98.9103.5-4.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks29293822118
Denver Nuggets25372322107
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