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Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 118-124 (OT)
28-31 26-25 32-32 26-24 6-12
Position#16
Record13-15
FormWLLWW
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game106.2
vs
Position#4
Record19-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game110.1
Allowed / game103.1
USANBA· Amway Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets
20 Mar 2027
ORL v DEN
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
ORL127
DEN126
19 Jan 2025
ORL100
DEN113
22 Nov 2023
ORL124
DEN119
09 Feb 2023
ORL115
DEN104
01 Dec 2021
ORL108
DEN103
23 Mar 2021
ORL99
DEN110
02 Nov 2019
ORL87
DEN91
05 Dec 2018
ORL118
DEN124
08 Dec 2017
ORL89
DEN103
10 Dec 2016
ORL113
DEN121
15 Mar 2016
ORL116
DEN110
22 Mar 2015
ORL100
DEN119
12 Mar 2014
ORL112
DEN120
02 Nov 2012
ORL102
DEN89
01 Apr 2012
ORL101
DEN104
18 Mar 2011
ORL85
DEN82
28 Mar 2010
ORL103
DEN97
11 Feb 2009
ORL73
DEN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
111-106
111
106
+5
H15/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
130-117
130
117
+13
H18/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
131-117
131
117
+14
H18/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
91-93
91
93
-2
H21/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
87-112
87
112
-25
A24/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
108-104
108
104
+4
A25/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
L
110-116
110
116
-6
A27/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
112-115
112
115
-3
A29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
99-85
99
85
+14
A01/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
105-90
105
90
+15
A05/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
26-22
23-35
35-19
25-31
37-22
38-28
30-36
44-31
23-35
31-26
33-25
17-29
20-18
38-26
16-20
19-21
22-33
27-26
19-32
19-29
32-23
35-19
22-33
25-26
39-21
19-32
27-37
30-33
33-22
21-40
28-20
21-25
30-23
24-23
24-14
27-25
19-25
30-12
29-28
213.9Avg total
108.4Scored
105.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)104.5106.2210.6-1.746%
Season at home (14)104.4107.6211.9-3.250%
Season away (14)104.6104.8209.4-0.243%
Last 10 (10)108.4105.5213.9+2.960%
Last 5 (5)106.8102.0208.8+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)97.3107.3204.7-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (22)103.2106.7209.9-3.541%
vs Weaker (5)103.493.2196.6+10.280%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#5
L
99-109
99
109
-10
H14/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
138-93
138
93
+45
H16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
115-125
115
125
-10
A18/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
98-104
98
104
-6
A20/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
103-101
103
101
+2
A22/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
112-87
112
87
+25
H24/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
105-98
105
98
+7
A25/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
117-85
117
85
+32
H28/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
113-112
113
112
+1
A01/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
106-103
106
103
+3
A04/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
25-27
21-32
23-23
35-23
38-34
36-16
29-20
35-37
32-33
21-28
27-27
29-25
27-21
21-32
21-26
23-25
27-31
35-18
18-27
21-19
33-22
26-27
32-19
33-23
30-19
16-24
26-32
30-26
28-24
31-21
28-14
38-26
30-27
23-32
22-27
27-24
32-23
27-31
20-25
212.3Avg total
110.6Scored
101.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)110.1103.1213.2+7.070%
Season at home (12)114.1101.2215.2+12.975%
Season away (15)106.9104.6211.5+2.367%
Last 10 (10)110.6101.7212.3+8.970%
Last 5 (5)110.697.0207.6+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)93.297.8191.0-4.525%
vs Similar ◀ (10)106.3100.9207.2+5.480%
vs Weaker (16)110.9102.1213.1+8.869%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
Orlando MagicDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H15/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H18/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H18/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H21/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A24/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A25/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
W
64-47
64
47
+17
A27/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A01/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A05/12
NBA
105.9Avg total
53.5Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.551.9102.4-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.151.3100.4-2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)51.952.5104.4-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)53.552.4105.9+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)55.050.4105.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)50.753.0103.7-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)49.752.5102.2-2.836%-
vs Weaker (5)54.048.4102.4+5.680%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#5
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H14/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A18/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A20/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A22/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H24/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
63-42
63
42
+21
A25/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H28/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
68-53
68
53
+15
A01/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A04/12
NBA
111.9Avg total
60.3Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.951.1107.0+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.449.9104.3+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)57.552.3109.8+5.167%-
Last 10 (10)60.351.6111.9+8.780%-
Last 5 (5)60.446.6107.0+13.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)50.549.8100.2+0.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)57.050.3107.3+6.780%-
vs Weaker (16)56.651.9108.6+4.762%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 108.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.229.2
52.9%
51.7%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.3
37.7%
35.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws19.716.1
81.7%
76.6%16.1
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.731.0
51.9%
51.7%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.8
37.8%
35.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws17.513.0
74.3%
76.6%13.0
They take 90.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
WWLLWLLWWW
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWWLLWL
#16
League position
#4
+2.9
Net rating
+8.7
109.5
Offensive rating
110.2
106.6
Defensive rating
101.5
54.2%
Effective FG%
53.6%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
12.8%
Turnover %
14.0%
18.3%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.19
37.7%
3-point %
37.8%
65.7%
Assist %
69.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 110.2Defence106.6 · 101.5Shooting54.2% · 53.6%3-point %37.7% · 37.8%Ball care12.8% · 14.0%Off. rebounds18.3% · 27.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Orlando Magic wins
8
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/18AMiami Heat105-90
01/12/18APhoenix Suns99-85
29/11/18APortland Trail Blazers112-115
27/11/18AGolden State Warriors110-116
25/11/18ALos Angeles Lakers108-104
24/11/18ADenver Nuggets87-112
21/11/18HToronto Raptors91-93
18/11/18HNew York Knicks131-117
18/11/18HLos Angeles Lakers130-117
15/11/18HPhiladelphia 76ers111-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/18AToronto Raptors106-103
01/12/18APortland Trail Blazers113-112
28/11/18HLos Angeles Lakers117-85
25/11/18AOklahoma City Thunder105-98
24/11/18HOrlando Magic112-87
22/11/18AMinnesota Timberwolves103-101
20/11/18AMilwaukee Bucks98-104
18/11/18ANew Orleans Pelicans115-125
16/11/18HAtlanta Hawks138-93
14/11/18HHouston Rockets99-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW46%
HomeWWWWL50%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %46%50%43%
Points / game104.5104.4104.6
Allowed / game106.2107.6104.8
Point differential-1.7-3.2-0.2
Avg total210.6211.9209.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%21%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %70%75%67%
Points / game110.1114.1106.9
Allowed / game103.1101.2104.6
Point differential+7.0+12.9+2.3
Avg total213.2215.2211.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)67% (3)86% (7)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors2923679%116.5107.8+8.7
2 Los Angeles Clippers2619773%117.2111.1+6.1
3 Denver Nuggets2719870%110.1103.1+7.0
4 Milwaukee Bucks2618869%121.9110.7+11.2
5 Oklahoma City Thunder2618869%110.7103.3+7.3
6 Philadelphia 76ers2819968%114.5112.1+2.4
7 Los Angeles Lakers29171259%112.7111.6+1.1
8 Detroit Pistons26151158%109.2108.6+0.6
9 Indiana Pacers28161257%105.4102.4+3.1
10 Golden State Warriors30171357%115.6111.8+3.8
11 Memphis Grizzlies27151256%104.8105.0-0.2
12 Portland Trail Blazers29161355%112.6110.9+1.7
13 Charlotte Hornets28151354%114.4110.5+3.9
14 Utah Jazz28151354%108.4106.8+1.6
15 Dallas Mavericks25131252%111.4109.7+1.7
16 Boston Celtics27141352%107.6104.7+2.9
17 Houston Rockets27141352%110.1108.9+1.2
18 San Antonio Spurs29141548%109.1111.5-2.4
19 Orlando Magic28131546%104.5106.2-1.7
20 Washington Wizards28131546%111.9115.5-3.6
21 Sacramento Kings28131546%113.1117.3-4.1
22 Minnesota Timberwolves29131645%109.4112.1-2.7
23 Miami Heat29121741%108.5110.1-1.6
24 New Orleans Pelicans30121840%117.3118.0-0.8
25 New York Knicks30111937%108.8113.5-4.7
26 Brooklyn Nets29101934%107.9110.9-2.9
27 Cleveland Cavaliers2772026%103.2110.3-7.1
28 Atlanta Hawks2972224%108.4118.1-9.7
29 Chicago Bulls3072323%102.7111.2-8.5
30 Phoenix Suns2852318%102.4113.7-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Orlando Magic282632266118
Denver Nuggets3125322412124
← all games of the day
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