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Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 87-91
26-17 19-23 18-29 24-22
Position#19
Record5-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game99.9
vs
Position#7
Record7-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game102.6
USANBA· Amway Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets
20 Mar 2027
ORL v DEN
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
ORL127
DEN126
19 Jan 2025
ORL100
DEN113
22 Nov 2023
ORL124
DEN119
09 Feb 2023
ORL115
DEN104
01 Dec 2021
ORL108
DEN103
23 Mar 2021
ORL99
DEN110
02 Nov 2019
ORL87
DEN91
05 Dec 2018
ORL118
DEN124
08 Dec 2017
ORL89
DEN103
10 Dec 2016
ORL113
DEN121
15 Mar 2016
ORL116
DEN110
22 Mar 2015
ORL100
DEN119
12 Mar 2014
ORL112
DEN120
02 Nov 2012
ORL102
DEN89
01 Apr 2012
ORL101
DEN104
18 Mar 2011
ORL85
DEN82
28 Mar 2010
ORL103
DEN97
11 Feb 2009
ORL73
DEN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
115-91
115
91
+24
A07/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
97-88
97
88
+9
A09/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
75-100
75
100
-25
H11/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
94-126
94
126
-32
H13/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
L
98-107
98
107
-9
H17/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H23/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
99-103
99
103
-4
A26/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
95-104
95
104
-9
A28/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H30/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
91-123
91
123
-32
H01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
28-25
27-23
31-20
18-20
28-24
24-23
27-21
11-35
23-27
21-21
20-17
14-26
31-31
27-33
22-36
26-27
23-23
26-33
23-24
28-24
27-17
16-24
23-20
26-23
24-29
25-25
24-26
22-31
24-20
21-27
28-26
22-25
20-19
30-23
23-16
27-31
14-31
30-26
20-35
196.3Avg total
95.3Scored
101.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)98.099.9197.9-1.945%
Season at home (6)91.2104.0195.2-12.833%
Season away (5)106.295.0201.2+11.260%
Last 10 (10)95.3101.0196.3-5.740%
Last 5 (5)94.899.6194.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)92.7107.5200.3-14.89%
vs Similar ◀ (10)109.9104.9214.8+5.070%
vs Weaker (9)98.687.6186.1+11.078%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#13
L
96-105
96
105
-9
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
105-94
105
94
+11
A09/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
111-91
111
91
+20
A11/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
107-102
107
102
+5
A15/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
110-104
110
104
+6
H18/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
108-100
108
100
+8
A24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
108-107 OT
108
107
+1
H26/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
101-94
101
94
+7
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
L
106-109
106
109
-3
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
107-122
107
122
-15
A01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
25-32
19-28
30-26
27-22
25-28
26-18
27-26
23-29
29-32
29-15
30-15
39-30
27-22
19-21
22-29
28-32
32-23
27-29
23-20
24-27
30-23
19-24
35-26
15-21
24-24
25-17
31-33
21-28
26-25
30-17
24-24
31-27
30-33
27-23
18-26
30-32
22-24
23-30
32-36
208.7Avg total
105.9Scored
102.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)107.0102.6209.6+4.478%
Season at home (3)108.0106.7214.7+1.367%
Season away (6)106.5100.5207.0+6.083%
Last 10 (10)105.9102.8208.7+3.170%
Last 5 (5)106.0106.4212.4-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.382.3160.7-4.033%
vs Similar ◀ (26)107.8106.3214.1+1.554%
vs Weaker (1)99.095.0194.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
Orlando MagicDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A07/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A09/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
34-62
34
62
-28
H11/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H13/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H17/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H23/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A26/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A28/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H30/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
41-62
41
62
-21
H01/11
NBA
97.6Avg total
46.5Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.451.7101.1-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.651.1100.7-1.531%-
Last 30 away (17)49.252.2101.4-3.135%-
Last 10 (10)46.551.197.6-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)46.850.096.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)45.855.3101.1-9.518%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)50.954.5105.4-3.630%-
vs Weaker (9)52.044.396.3+7.756%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#13
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A09/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A11/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
66-52
66
52
+14
A15/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H18/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H26/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A01/11
NBA
106.3Avg total
53.0Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.451.4102.8+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.748.197.8+1.664%-
Last 30 away (16)52.954.2107.1-1.425%-
Last 10 (10)53.053.3106.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)50.652.8103.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.035.074.0+4.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (26)52.853.3106.2-0.538%-
vs Weaker (1)51.050.0101.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 95.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.825.3
44.5%
52.3%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.39.7
30.0%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws22.015.6
70.9%
77.2%15.6
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 105.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.729.6
49.6%
52.3%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.9
31.3%
35.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws25.820.0
77.5%
77.2%20.0
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
LWLLWLLLWW
Denver Nuggets
LLWWWWWWWL
#19
League position
#7
-5.5
Net rating
+3.5
92.2
Offensive rating
102.2
97.7
Defensive rating
98.7
44.7%
Effective FG%
48.8%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.8%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.0%
3-point %
31.3%
63.1%
Assist %
58.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence92.2 · 102.2Defence97.7 · 98.7Shooting44.7% · 48.8%3-point %30.0% · 31.3%Ball care14.9% · 14.8%Off. rebounds21.6% · 23.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Orlando Magic wins
8
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/19HMilwaukee Bucks91-123
30/10/19HNew York Knicks95-83
28/10/19AToronto Raptors95-104
26/10/19AAtlanta Hawks99-103
23/10/19HCleveland Cavaliers94-85
17/10/19HMiami Heat98-107
13/10/19HPhiladelphia 76ers94-126
11/10/19HBoston Celtics75-100
09/10/19AAtlanta Hawks97-88
07/10/19ADetroit Pistons115-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/19ANew Orleans Pelicans107-122
30/10/19HDallas Mavericks106-109
29/10/19ASacramento Kings101-94
26/10/19HPhoenix Suns108-107 OT
24/10/19APortland Trail Blazers108-100
18/10/19HPortland Trail Blazers110-104
15/10/19APhoenix Suns107-102
11/10/19ALos Angeles Clippers111-91
09/10/19APortland Trail Blazers105-94
14/07/19AHouston Rockets96-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL45%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%33%60%
Points / game98.091.2106.2
Allowed / game99.9104.095.0
Point differential-1.9-12.8+11.2
Avg total197.9195.2201.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%17%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL78%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %78%67%83%
Points / game107.0108.0106.5
Allowed / game102.6106.7100.5
Point differential+4.4+1.3+6.0
Avg total209.6214.7207.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %11%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%109.695.9+13.7
2 Philadelphia 76ers87188%108.997.6+11.2
3 Milwaukee Bucks108280%120.6108.7+11.9
4 Miami Heat108280%115.3104.9+10.4
5 Denver Nuggets97278%107.0102.6+4.4
6 Toronto Raptors96367%114.7109.4+5.2
7 Los Angeles Lakers117464%109.1101.9+7.2
8 Houston Rockets106460%124.2123.5+0.7
9 San Antonio Spurs106460%110.5111.6-1.1
10 Phoenix Suns95456%112.4107.4+5.0
11 Indiana Pacers95456%111.2107.9+3.3
12 New Orleans Pelicans116555%121.6120.5+1.1
13 Dallas Mavericks105550%111.0108.0+3.0
14 Brooklyn Nets84450%114.4114.4+0.0
15 Minnesota Timberwolves84450%112.9116.8-3.9
16 Orlando Magic115645%98.099.9-1.9
17 Detroit Pistons115645%106.5111.6-5.2
18 Los Angeles Clippers94544%106.6108.8-2.2
19 Portland Trail Blazers94544%110.8113.1-2.3
20 Utah Jazz104640%106.5107.9-1.4
21 Washington Wizards83538%113.9110.9+3.0
22 Chicago Bulls114736%107.3109.3-2.0
23 Oklahoma City Thunder93633%103.8105.1-1.3
24 Charlotte Hornets103730%105.7111.8-6.1
25 Sacramento Kings103730%106.5114.4-7.9
26 Golden State Warriors103730%112.7121.1-8.4
27 Atlanta Hawks103730%99.4107.9-8.5
28 Memphis Grizzlies72529%106.0118.0-12.0
29 Cleveland Cavaliers82625%98.9110.0-11.1
30 New York Knicks102820%102.0107.9-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic2619182487
Denver Nuggets1723292291
← all games of the day
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