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Neptunas vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 13:15
Final 73-94
24-16 12-31 21-24 16-23
Position#6
Record2-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game87.3
vs
Position#3
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game83.3
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas CupKing Mindaugas Cup - 3rd place· Svyturio Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Neptunas v Lietkabelis
17 Feb 2027
NEP v LIE
upcoming
23 Jan 2027
NEP v LIE
upcoming
11 Jun 2026
NEP66
LIE63
06 Jun 2026
NEP86
LIE73
28 Mar 2026
NEP96
LIE87
22 Feb 2026
NEP73
LIE94
24 Jan 2026
NEP97
LIE87
02 Mar 2025
NEP72
LIE91
11 Jan 2025
NEP56
LIE63
13 Apr 2024
NEP88
LIE84
03 Jan 2024
NEP91
LIE89
16 Sep 2023
NEP91
LIE81
03 Apr 2023
NEP73
LIE86
05 Mar 2022
NEP73
LIE83
05 Jan 2022
NEP69
LIE73
06 Oct 2021
NEP53
LIE81
16 May 2021
NEP78
LIE94
01 May 2021
NEP83
LIE73
05 Dec 2020
NEP80
LIE90
29 Feb 2020
NEP78
LIE84
09 Nov 2019
NEP78
LIE74
17 Mar 2019
NEP72
LIE74
30 Sep 2018
NEP76
LIE89
15 Jun 2018
NEP79
LIE71
10 Jun 2018
NEP69
LIE83
27 Jan 2018
NEP83
LIE78
02 Dec 2017
NEP86
LIE76
15 Jan 2017
NEP86
LIE61
19 Nov 2016
NEP67
LIE77
16 Jan 2016
NEP70
LIE74
22 Nov 2015
NEP73
LIE65
01 Feb 2015
NEP102
LIE76
16 Nov 2014
NEP98
LIE86
09 Oct 2013
NEP84
LIE79
03 Oct 2012
NEP84
LIE78
01 Oct 2011
NEP80
LIE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
W
87-67
87
67
+20
no box
H17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Manresa
#10
L
96-97
96
97
-1
88avg 84
A21/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
97-87
97
87
+10
94avg 84
H24/01
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
98-92
98
92
+6
96avg 84
H28/01
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
95-87
95
87
+8
92avg 84
H31/01
LKL
Aris
#13
L
64-83
64
83
-19
55avg 84
A04/02
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-87
76
87
-11
67avg 84
A08/02
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
86-91
86
91
-5
74avg 84
H11/02
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
95-100
95
100
-5
85avg 84
A14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
81-119
81
119
-38
70avg 84
A21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
21-24
30-15
19-15
24-22
29-24
20-16
23-35
29-23
17-21
24-19
27-24
33-25
21-30
23-17
21-20
30-19
22-26
23-22
20-20
21-21
13-19
8-25
22-18
27-19
10-32
18-20
21-16
21-30
24-20
22-20
19-21
23-31
22-25
24-21
26-23
22-31
22-25
20-35
17-28
178.5Avg total
87.5Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.087.3172.3-2.367%
Season at home (1)87.067.0154.0+20.0100%
Season away (2)84.097.5181.5-13.550%
Last 10 (10)87.591.0178.5-3.540%
Last 5 (5)80.496.0176.4-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)90.0102.5192.5-12.527%
vs Similar (9)89.886.3176.1+3.456%
vs Weaker (10)102.793.4196.1+9.380%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
W
81-68
81
68
+13
no box
H18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Trento
#8
L
93-94
93
94
-1
89avg 77
H21/01
Eurocup
Neptunas
#3
L
87-97
87
97
-10
83avg 77
A24/01
LKL
Turk Telekom
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
66avg 77
A27/01
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
L
70-79
70
79
-9
57avg 77
H01/02
LKL
Panionios
#19
W
89-62
89
62
+27
83avg 77
H04/02
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
L
80-81
80
81
-1
72avg 77
A07/02
LKL
London Lions
#17
W
66-58
66
58
+8
65avg 77
A11/02
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
L
75-77
75
77
-2
70avg 77
H18/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
89-106
89
106
-17
82avg 77
A21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-9
18-20
22-17
27-22
15-29
34-23
25-17
19-25
23-29
21-17
19-24
24-27
20-25
18-20
19-21
18-19
18-20
12-16
16-24
24-19
26-16
20-11
19-15
24-20
17-18
28-22
18-21
17-20
12-14
23-11
12-20
19-13
17-17
22-24
24-19
12-17
20-29
17-27
22-26
30-24
161.2Avg total
80.5Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.083.3164.3-2.333%
Season at home (1)81.068.0149.0+13.0100%
Season away (2)81.091.0172.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)80.580.7161.2-0.230%
Last 5 (5)79.876.8156.6+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.288.5167.8-9.28%
vs Similar (9)77.980.1158.0-2.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.677.9159.4+3.756%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
NeptunasLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Manresa
#10
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A21/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H24/01
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H28/01
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H31/01
LKL
Aris
#13
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A04/02
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A08/02
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H11/02
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
92.8Avg total
44.8Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.648.595.1-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.548.796.2-1.236%-
Last 30 away (16)45.848.294.1-2.456%-
Last 10 (10)44.848.092.8-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.050.691.6-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)45.952.798.6-6.827%-
vs Similar (9)45.945.090.9+0.956%-
vs Weaker (10)48.046.994.9+1.160%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Trento
#8
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H21/01
Eurocup
Neptunas
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A24/01
LKL
Turk Telekom
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A27/01
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H01/02
LKL
Panionios
#19
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H04/02
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A07/02
LKL
London Lions
#17
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A11/02
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H18/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
79.2Avg total
39.5Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.742.080.7-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.641.680.2-3.031%-
Last 30 away (17)38.842.381.1-3.535%-
Last 10 (10)39.539.779.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.878.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.345.584.8-6.225%-
vs Similar (9)36.640.677.1-4.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.038.878.8+1.244%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.4
53.3%
55.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.0
35.0%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws26.020.5
78.8%
74.2%20.5
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.8
49.9%
55.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.3
38.3%
35.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.114.2
70.6%
74.2%14.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLLLLWWWLW
Lietkabelis
LLWLWLLLLW
#6
League position
#3
-8.6
Net rating
-3.2
101.6
Offensive rating
97.8
110.2
Defensive rating
101.0
52.9%
Effective FG%
52.8%
60.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
13.6%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.0%
3-point %
38.3%
63.4%
Assist %
59.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 97.8Defence110.2 · 101.0Shooting52.9% · 52.8%3-point %35.0% · 38.3%Ball care13.6% · 16.4%Off. rebounds- · 37.5%Free throws0.41 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Neptunas   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Neptunas wins
4
Lietkabelis wins
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas81-119
14/02/26ARytas95-100
11/02/26HBahcesehir Kol.86-91
08/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas76-87
04/02/26AAris64-83
31/01/26HRytas95-87
28/01/26HHapoel Jerusalem98-92
24/01/26HLietkabelis97-87
21/01/26AManresa96-97
17/01/26HNevezis87-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26ARytas89-106
18/02/26HSiauliai75-77
11/02/26ALondon Lions66-58
07/02/26ANevezis80-81
04/02/26HPanionios89-62
01/02/26HGargzdai70-79
27/01/26ATurk Telekom75-85
24/01/26ANeptunas87-97
21/01/26HTrento93-94
18/01/26HJuventus81-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game85.087.084.0
Allowed / game87.367.097.5
Point differential-2.3+20.0-13.5
Avg total172.3154.0181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lietkabelis
King Mindaugas Cup 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game81.081.081.0
Allowed / game83.368.091.0
Point differential-2.3+13.0-10.0
Avg total164.3149.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas330100%108.772.3+36.3
2 Rytas330100%100.788.3+12.3
3 Neptunas32167%85.087.3-2.3
4 Juventus105550%84.883.0+1.8
5 Nevezis105550%84.787.7-3.0
6 Siauliai104640%87.590.1-2.6
7 Jonava104640%81.290.9-9.7
8 Gargzdai83538%84.584.1+0.4
9 Lietkabelis31233%81.083.3-2.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2412211673
Lietkabelis1631242394
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