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Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Oct 2015
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 95-92 (OT)
20-17 25-23 17-16 19-25 14-11
Position#20
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game103.8
Allowed / game104.8
vs
Position#9
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game94.7
USANBA· Amway Center
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Miami Heat
05 Apr 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
12 Feb 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
16 Oct 2026
ORL136
MIA115
05 Dec 2025
ORL106
MIA105
22 Oct 2025
ORL125
MIA121
12 Oct 2025
ORL120
MIA104
26 Dec 2024
ORL88
MIA89
21 Dec 2024
ORL121
MIA114
21 Jan 2024
ORL105
MIA87
20 Dec 2023
ORL106
MIA115
11 Mar 2023
ORL126
MIA114
11 Feb 2023
ORL103
MIA107
10 Apr 2022
ORL125
MIA111
17 Dec 2021
ORL105
MIA115
14 Mar 2021
ORL97
MIA102
23 Dec 2020
ORL113
MIA107
01 Feb 2020
ORL89
MIA102
03 Jan 2020
ORL105
MIA85
17 Oct 2019
ORL98
MIA107
23 Dec 2018
ORL91
MIA115
17 Oct 2018
ORL104
MIA101
30 Dec 2017
ORL111
MIA117
18 Oct 2017
ORL116
MIA109
07 Oct 2017
ORL93
MIA90
03 Mar 2017
ORL110
MIA99
26 Oct 2016
ORL96
MIA108
08 Apr 2016
ORL112
MIA109
26 Dec 2015
ORL101
MIA108
13 Oct 2015
ORL95
MIA92
25 Feb 2015
ORL90
MIA93
22 Nov 2014
ORL92
MIA99
04 Jan 2014
ORL94
MIA110
20 Nov 2013
ORL92
MIA120
09 Jul 2013
ORL80
MIA94
25 Mar 2013
ORL94
MIA108
31 Dec 2012
ORL110
MIA112
13 Mar 2012
ORL104
MIA98
08 Feb 2012
ORL102
MIA89
21 Dec 2011
ORL104
MIA100
03 Feb 2011
ORL100
MIA104
24 Nov 2010
ORL104
MIA95
28 Feb 2010
ORL96
MIA80
25 Nov 2009
ORL98
MIA99
22 Feb 2009
ORL122
MIA99
02 Jan 2009
ORL86
MIA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#16
W
97-90
97
90
+7
A05/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#10
W
105-103
105
103
+2
H08/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#9
L
99-101
99
101
-2
H10/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#29
L
79-80
79
80
-1
H11/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#21
L
93-100
93
100
-7
A13/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#19
L
88-101
88
101
-13
A16/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
100-106
100
106
-6
H03/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
W
100-97
100
97
+3
A07/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
92-97
92
97
-5
A08/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
W
123-119
123
119
+4
A12/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
29-22
21-20
25-17
21-29
31-30
27-28
26-16
19-29
32-20
25-27
23-25
24-30
7-8
19-23
29-19
22-33
17-24
27-27
27-16
28-23
24-25
23-27
13-26
29-24
22-24
25-37
24-21
23-24
28-24
23-18
26-31
24-27
31-20
16-27
21-23
21-38
32-33
37-20
33-28
197.0Avg total
97.6Scored
99.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)103.8104.8208.5-1.050%
Season at home (1)100.0106.0206.0-6.00%
Season away (3)105.0104.3209.3+0.767%
Last 10 (10)97.699.4197.0-1.840%
Last 5 (5)100.6104.0204.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)96.4102.1198.5-5.829%
vs Similar ◀ (13)97.5100.5197.9-3.038%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#7
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H06/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H08/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Detroit Pistons
#7
W
91-68
91
68
+23
H10/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Utah Jazz
#17
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Boston Celtics
#3
L
69-101
69
101
-32
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
77-90
77
90
-13
H04/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
97-100
97
100
-3
H07/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H12/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
15-21
20-12
20-18
20-28
21-11
29-18
17-28
17-15
24-9
29-26
21-18
19-18
20-17
20-20
23-24
21-16
20-20
24-25
18-25
16-22
21-26
18-17
14-36
19-23
21-19
13-18
11-15
22-26
24-23
17-20
14-21
24-23
24-28
18-23
31-26
22-25
31-33
18-26
26-10
167.6Avg total
82.5Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.394.7185.0-4.333%
Season at home (3)90.394.7185.0-4.333%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.585.1167.6-2.650%
Last 5 (5)80.892.0172.8-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)87.595.2182.7-7.631%
vs Similar ◀ (11)94.595.9190.4-1.545%
vs Weaker (6)87.378.8166.2+8.5100%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
Orlando MagicMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#16
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A05/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#10
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H08/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#9
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H10/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#29
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H11/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#21
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A13/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#19
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A16/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H03/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A07/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A08/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A12/10
NBA
100.4Avg total
48.6Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.651.2100.8-1.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.250.699.8-1.447%-
Last 30 away (13)50.052.1102.1-2.154%-
Last 10 (10)48.651.8100.4-3.250%-
Last 5 (5)52.452.4104.8+0.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)49.852.1101.9-2.341%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)49.250.199.3-0.862%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H06/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H08/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Detroit Pistons
#7
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H10/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Utah Jazz
#17
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Denver Nuggets
#5
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Boston Celtics
#3
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H04/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H07/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H12/10
NBA
84.9Avg total
42.4Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.445.492.8+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.944.693.6+4.350%-
Last 30 away (14)45.746.291.9-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)42.442.584.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.849.694.4-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)45.647.593.1-1.831%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)51.147.598.5+3.655%-
vs Weaker (6)44.737.081.7+7.783%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 96.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.526.0
47.7%
49.0%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.5
38.9%
35.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.012.5
78.1%
75.5%12.5
They take 81.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.3 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.725.7
43.8%
49.0%51.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.75.3
27.1%
35.3%16.0
🏀 Free throws29.023.0
79.3%
75.5%23.0
They take 78.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/3 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
WLWLLLLLWW
Miami Heat
WLLLLLWWWW
#20
League position
#9
-1.1
Net rating
-4.5
101.4
Offensive rating
94.1
102.4
Defensive rating
98.6
51.2%
Effective FG%
43.0%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.37
38.9%
3-point %
27.1%
64.4%
Assist %
62.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 94.1Defence102.4 · 98.6Shooting51.2% · 43.0%3-point %38.9% · 27.1%Ball care16.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds22.1% · 25.2%Free throws0.20 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Orlando Magic wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/15AHouston Rockets123-119
08/10/15AIndiana Pacers92-97
07/10/15AMiami Heat100-97
03/10/15HCharlotte Hornets100-106
16/04/15ABrooklyn Nets88-101
13/04/15AMiami Heat93-100
11/04/15HNew York Knicks79-80
10/04/15HToronto Raptors99-101
08/04/15HChicago Bulls105-103
05/04/15AMilwaukee Bucks97-90
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/15HSan Antonio Spurs97-94
07/10/15HOrlando Magic97-100
04/10/15HCharlotte Hornets77-90
15/07/15AAtlanta Hawks64-75
14/07/15ABoston Celtics69-101
14/07/15ADenver Nuggets83-86
12/07/15AUtah Jazz82-79
10/07/15HDetroit Pistons91-68
08/07/15HLos Angeles Clippers87-85
06/07/15HDetroit Pistons78-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%0%67%
Points / game103.8100.0105.0
Allowed / game104.8106.0104.3
Point differential-1.0-6.0+0.7
Avg total208.5206.0209.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLLW33%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %33%33%-
Points / game90.390.3-
Allowed / game94.794.7-
Point differential-4.3-4.3-
Avg total185.0185.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder110100%122.099.0+23.0
2 Charlotte Hornets330100%100.790.3+10.3
3 Phoenix Suns220100%101.591.5+10.0
4 New York Knicks220100%104.596.0+8.5
5 Memphis Grizzlies220100%91.585.0+6.5
6 Atlanta Hawks220100%100.594.5+6.0
7 Toronto Raptors43175%99.292.5+6.8
8 Sacramento Kings43175%99.097.2+1.8
9 Denver Nuggets32167%101.394.3+7.0
10 Indiana Pacers32167%105.7104.7+1.0
11 New Orleans Pelicans32167%108.7107.7+1.0
12 Washington Wizards21150%116.5105.0+11.5
13 Brooklyn Nets21150%94.090.0+4.0
14 Portland Trail Blazers42250%100.296.2+4.0
15 Utah Jazz42250%93.293.5-0.2
16 Orlando Magic42250%103.8104.8-1.0
17 Chicago Bulls42250%107.0108.8-1.8
18 Golden State Warriors21150%98.0102.5-4.5
19 Philadelphia 76ers42250%98.8108.0-9.2
20 Houston Rockets31233%105.799.0+6.7
21 Detroit Pistons31233%104.098.7+5.3
22 Miami Heat31233%90.394.7-4.3
23 Los Angeles Clippers31233%90.098.3-8.3
24 San Antonio Spurs2020%93.096.0-3.0
25 Cleveland Cavaliers3030%97.0101.3-4.3
26 Los Angeles Lakers3030%94.0104.0-10.0
27 Minnesota Timberwolves3030%103.0116.0-13.0
28 Dallas Mavericks2020%84.0102.5-18.5
29 Milwaukee Bucks2020%91.5111.0-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Orlando Magic202517191495
Miami Heat172316251192
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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