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Illawarra Hawks vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 99-106
30-25 24-23 20-32 25-26
Position#8
Record10-17
FormLLWWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game96.8
vs
Perth 🏆
Australia
Position#5
Record17-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game85.9
AustraliaNBLRound 19· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Perth
30 Jan 2027
ILLA v PERT
upcoming
06 Jan 2027
ILLA v PERT
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
ILLA99
PERT106
22 Dec 2024
ILLA120
PERT88
15 Feb 2024
ILLA108
PERT92
08 Dec 2023
ILLA100
PERT82
31 Dec 2022
ILLA97
PERT107
27 Jan 2022
ILLA80
PERT94
22 Jan 2022
ILLA78
PERT94
12 Jun 2021
ILLA71
PERT79
01 Jun 2021
ILLA81
PERT79
07 Mar 2021
ILLA70
PERT87
10 Jan 2020
ILLA77
PERT99
27 Oct 2019
ILLA76
PERT81
23 Dec 2018
ILLA81
PERT77
11 Nov 2018
ILLA81
PERT90
23 Dec 2017
ILLA96
PERT84
10 Dec 2017
ILLA91
PERT99
01 Mar 2017
ILLA77
PERT89
31 Dec 2016
ILLA87
PERT95
28 Oct 2016
ILLA81
PERT76
21 Feb 2016
ILLA104
PERT87
11 Nov 2015
ILLA96
PERT99
25 Oct 2015
ILLA99
PERT106
31 Dec 2014
ILLA77
PERT86
31 Oct 2014
ILLA64
PERT83
30 Mar 2014
ILLA61
PERT80
04 Jan 2014
ILLA96
PERT91
17 Nov 2013
ILLA76
PERT89
31 Mar 2013
ILLA81
PERT85
14 Dec 2012
ILLA78
PERT75
04 Nov 2012
ILLA100
PERT67
11 Dec 2011
ILLA70
PERT98
20 Nov 2011
ILLA70
PERT86
12 Feb 2011
ILLA105
PERT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
66avg 86
H20/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
84-108
84
108
-24
72avg 86
A25/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
92-90
92
90
+2
89avg 86
H31/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
96-78
96
78
+18
90avg 86
H03/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
113-124 OT
113
124
-11
108avg 86
A08/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
96-101
96
101
-5
91avg 86
H11/01
NBL
Perth
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
no box
A16/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
101-91
101
91
+10
102avg 86
A24/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
113-75
113
75
+38
117avg 86
A26/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
104-122
104
122
-18
94avg 86
A29/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
18-20
20-19
19-24
19-34
22-28
17-21
26-25
23-18
27-21
23-26
19-25
22-18
23-31
27-15
24-14
25-23
25-32
29-24
27-27
25-28
18-21
23-22
30-30
13-18
24-26
21-21
29-27
27-26
33-22
22-26
19-17
22-11
33-20
41-21
17-23
22-28
23-35
29-28
30-31
192.9Avg total
96.4Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)92.096.8188.7-4.837%
Season at home (13)91.893.7185.5-1.946%
Season away (14)92.199.6191.8-7.529%
Last 10 (10)96.496.5192.9-0.140%
Last 5 (5)100.296.2196.4+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)90.1100.7190.9-10.620%
vs Similar (6)87.298.7185.8-11.533%
vs Weaker (9)97.484.8182.2+12.767%
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
L
76-77
76
77
-1
66avg 86
H18/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
94-85
94
85
+9
82avg 86
A21/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
84-95
84
95
-11
71avg 86
A28/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
95-75
95
75
+20
85avg 86
A01/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
99-91
99
91
+8
94avg 86
A04/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
107-97
107
97
+10
104avg 86
A10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
92-87
92
87
+5
no box
H16/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
106-69
106
69
+37
113avg 86
H22/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
73-74
73
74
-1
58avg 86
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
101-93
101
93
+8
97avg 86
H28/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
18-9
20-31
16-20
19-18
25-24
27-22
23-21
29-20
20-26
9-29
26-20
25-16
15-28
31-11
24-20
28-23
20-22
32-29
19-17
32-26
26-24
21-25
28-22
18-13
26-24
21-21
27-29
30-25
24-18
38-13
14-13
24-12
16-26
12-12
21-24
24-32
25-19
26-26
26-16
177.0Avg total
92.7Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)90.385.9176.2+4.461%
Season at home (14)89.186.5175.6+2.650%
Season away (14)91.585.4176.9+6.171%
Last 10 (10)92.784.3177.0+8.470%
Last 5 (5)95.884.0179.8+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.5101.0176.5-25.50%
vs Similar (12)92.491.3183.8+1.142%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)92.281.9174.1+10.481%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
Illawarra HawksPerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H20/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A25/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H31/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H03/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A08/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H11/01
NBL
Perth
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A16/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A24/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
55-31
55
31
+24
A26/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-63
45
63
-18
A29/01
NBL
94.6Avg total
46.5Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.847.092.8-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.246.191.4-0.936%-
Last 30 away (16)46.347.894.1-1.538%-
Last 10 (10)46.548.194.6-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)48.047.095.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)44.148.993.1-4.827%-
vs Similar (6)46.849.596.3-2.733%-
vs Weaker (9)47.942.290.1+5.756%-
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H18/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A28/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A01/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A04/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H16/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H22/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H28/01
NBL
88.8Avg total
46.6Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.443.990.3+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.142.687.7+2.567%-
Last 30 away (15)47.645.392.9+2.353%-
Last 10 (10)46.642.288.8+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)49.043.892.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.547.090.5-3.50%-
vs Similar (12)48.545.794.2+2.858%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.142.287.4+2.969%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 94.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.727.2
57.0%
54.6%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.8
33.3%
33.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.613.4
72.0%
74.8%13.4
They take 74.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.723.8
54.5%
54.6%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.3
34.8%
33.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.115.7
74.4%
74.8%15.7
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
LWWLLLWWLL
Perth
WLWWWWWLWL
#8
League position
#5
-2.1
Net rating
+11.3
107.9
Offensive rating
109.3
110.0
Defensive rating
98.0
54.5%
Effective FG%
53.6%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
14.2%
Turnover %
13.1%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.3%
3-point %
34.8%
57.8%
Assist %
55.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 109.3Defence110.0 · 98.0Shooting54.5% · 53.6%3-point %33.3% · 34.8%Ball care14.2% · 13.1%Off. rebounds33.6% · 31.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Illawarra Hawks wins
4
Perth wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26ASydney104-122
26/01/26ABrisbane Bullets113-75
24/01/26ATasmania JackJumpers101-91
16/01/26APerth87-92
11/01/26HNew Zealand Breakers96-101
08/01/26ASouth East Melbourne113-124 OT
03/01/26HCairns Taipans96-78
31/12/25HTasmania JackJumpers92-90
25/12/25ASydney84-108
20/12/25HAdelaide78-84
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/26HSouth East Melbourne101-93
25/01/26HMelbourne United73-74
22/01/26HCairns Taipans106-69
16/01/26HIllawarra Hawks92-87
10/01/26ASouth East Melbourne107-97
04/01/26ANew Zealand Breakers99-91
01/01/26ABrisbane Bullets95-75
28/12/25AAdelaide84-95
21/12/25ATasmania JackJumpers94-85
18/12/25HSouth East Melbourne76-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL37%
HomeWLWWL46%
AwayLLWWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %37%46%29%
Points / game92.091.892.1
Allowed / game96.893.799.6
Point differential-4.8-1.9-7.5
Avg total188.7185.5191.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%31%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Perth
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW61%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%50%71%
Points / game90.389.191.5
Allowed / game85.986.585.4
Point differential+4.4+2.6+6.1
Avg total176.2175.6176.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%21%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)17% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide2921872%92.887.6+5.2
2 South East Melbourne2920969%100.491.9+8.5
3 Sydney2819968%97.087.3+9.8
4 Melbourne United29181162%92.887.7+5.1
5 Perth28171161%90.385.9+4.4
6 Tasmania JackJumpers29121741%86.086.3-0.3
7 New Zealand Breakers28111739%90.792.2-1.5
8 Illawarra Hawks27101737%92.096.8-4.8
9 Cairns Taipans2882029%83.196.9-13.8
10 Brisbane Bullets2962321%83.396.2-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks3024202599
Perth25233226106
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