PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 92-104
13-20 29-19 35-35 15-30
Position#17
Record6-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game109.3
Allowed / game110.6
vs
Position#15
Record7-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game109.9
Allowed / game111.3
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets
14 Feb 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
12 Jan 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
MIA126
BKN110
03 Mar 2026
MIA124
BKN98
23 Dec 2024
MIA110
BKN95
16 Nov 2023
MIA122
BKN115
01 Nov 2023
MIA105
BKN109
25 Mar 2023
MIA100
BKN129
08 Jan 2023
MIA101
BKN102
26 Mar 2022
MIA95
BKN110
12 Feb 2022
MIA115
BKN111
18 Apr 2021
MIA109
BKN107
29 Feb 2020
MIA116
BKN113
02 Mar 2019
MIA117
BKN88
20 Nov 2018
MIA92
BKN104
31 Mar 2018
MIA109
BKN110
29 Dec 2017
MIA87
BKN111
30 Jan 2017
MIA104
BKN96
28 Mar 2016
MIA110
BKN99
28 Dec 2015
MIA105
BKN111
11 Mar 2015
MIA104
BKN98
04 Jan 2015
MIA88
BKN84
14 May 2014
MIA96
BKN94
08 May 2014
MIA94
BKN82
06 May 2014
MIA107
BKN86
08 Apr 2014
MIA87
BKN88
12 Mar 2014
MIA95
BKN96
01 Dec 2012
MIA102
BKN89
07 Nov 2012
MIA103
BKN73
06 Mar 2012
MIA108
BKN78
06 Nov 2010
MIA101
BKN89
14 Apr 2010
MIA94
BKN86
14 Nov 2009
MIA81
BKN80
03 Jan 2009
MIA101
BKN96
10 Nov 2008
MIA99
BKN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brooklyn Nets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
113-125
113
125
-12
101avg 97
A30/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
118-123
118
123
-5
111avg 97
A03/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
120-115 OT
120
115
+5
106avg 97
A06/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
95-88
95
88
+7
87avg 97
H08/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
102-110
102
110
-8
94avg 97
H10/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
110-116
110
116
-6
100avg 97
H11/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
114-124
114
124
-10
106avg 97
H13/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
120-107
120
107
+13
115avg 97
A15/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
91-99
91
99
-8
79avg 97
A17/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
97-113
97
113
-16
86avg 97
H18/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-31
26-34
18-27
40-33
31-41
37-33
25-28
25-21
28-27
25-26
34-27
18-25
27-20
23-22
25-22
20-24
26-24
33-27
21-33
22-26
35-25
26-33
24-25
25-33
26-32
36-32
28-32
24-28
37-21
24-28
29-23
30-35
27-18
16-32
24-22
24-27
21-34
31-33
24-25
21-21
220.0Avg total
108.0Scored
112.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)109.3110.6219.9-1.338%
Season at home (9)108.1109.4217.6-1.333%
Season away (7)110.9112.1223.0-1.343%
Last 10 (10)108.0112.0220.0-4.030%
Last 5 (5)106.4111.8218.2-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)105.5113.3218.8-7.833%
vs Similar ◀ (19)106.6110.5217.1-3.832%
vs Weaker (5)109.497.2206.6+12.280%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNets
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
120-119 OT
120
119
+1
109avg 98
H31/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
111-119
111
119
-8
100avg 98
H02/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
122-97
122
97
+25
104avg 98
H04/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
104-82
104
82
+22
95avg 98
A07/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
112-110
112
110
+2
95avg 98
A10/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
100-116
100
116
-16
92avg 98
A11/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
113-120
113
120
-7
96avg 98
A13/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
107-120
107
120
-13
85avg 98
H15/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
115-104
115
104
+11
101avg 98
A17/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
119-127
119
127
-8
111avg 98
H17/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
26-38
23-23
33-27
32-25
29-31
25-35
25-28
18-21
33-26
41-28
30-22
24-22
28-20
24-24
28-16
34-24
21-23
27-29
30-34
30-36
23-29
21-29
26-22
31-30
22-27
32-36
28-27
21-37
28-24
23-29
35-30
26-30
30-24
35-25
24-25
37-32
30-28
30-30
22-37
223.7Avg total
112.3Scored
111.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)109.9111.3221.2-1.441%
Season at home (7)114.3115.3229.6-1.043%
Season away (10)106.9108.5215.4-1.640%
Last 10 (10)112.3111.4223.7+0.950%
Last 5 (5)110.8117.4228.2-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)106.9116.6223.5-9.812%
vs Similar ◀ (18)113.0111.3224.3+1.756%
vs Weaker (4)102.297.0199.2+5.275%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.3+1.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.3+1.3
Miami HeatBrooklyn Nets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A30/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A03/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A06/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H08/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H10/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H11/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H13/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A15/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A17/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
52-67
52
67
-15
H18/11
NBA
113.7Avg total
56.4Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.553.6108.0+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.552.8107.3+1.865%-
Last 30 away (13)54.454.6109.0-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)56.457.3113.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)55.857.6113.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)55.752.7108.3+3.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)54.253.8108.0+0.347%-
vs Weaker (5)54.253.6107.8+0.660%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H31/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H02/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H04/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A07/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A10/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A11/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A13/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H15/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A17/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H17/11
NBA
110.0Avg total
55.1Scored
54.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.254.9110.1+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.456.6114.0+0.869%-
Last 30 away (17)53.553.6107.2-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)55.154.9110.0+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)55.659.4115.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)54.558.0112.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)56.855.3112.1+1.561%-
vs Weaker (4)49.547.296.8+2.250%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 108.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.826.7
48.7%
51.7%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.912.3
38.6%
35.4%36.9
🏀 Free throws24.217.7
73.1%
76.6%17.7
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.629.5
49.5%
51.7%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.211.2
33.7%
35.4%33.6
🏀 Free throws27.619.7
71.4%
76.6%19.7
They take 92.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LLWLLLWWLL
Brooklyn Nets
LWLLLWWWLW
#17
League position
#15
-3.9
Net rating
+0.9
104.8
Offensive rating
109.4
108.7
Defensive rating
108.6
52.1%
Effective FG%
49.9%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
15.6%
Turnover %
11.4%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.6%
3-point %
33.7%
58.7%
Assist %
55.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 109.4Defence108.7 · 108.6Shooting52.1% · 49.9%3-point %38.6% · 33.7%Ball care15.6% · 11.4%Off. rebounds23.8% · 28.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Brooklyn Nets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Miami Heat wins
3
Brooklyn Nets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/18HLos Angeles Lakers97-113
17/11/18AIndiana Pacers91-99
15/11/18ABrooklyn Nets120-107
13/11/18HPhiladelphia 76ers114-124
11/11/18HWashington Wizards110-116
10/11/18HIndiana Pacers102-110
08/11/18HSan Antonio Spurs95-88
06/11/18ADetroit Pistons120-115 OT
03/11/18AAtlanta Hawks118-123
30/10/18ACharlotte Hornets113-125
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/18HLos Angeles Clippers119-127
17/11/18AWashington Wizards115-104
15/11/18HMiami Heat107-120
13/11/18AMinnesota Timberwolves113-120
11/11/18AGolden State Warriors100-116
10/11/18ADenver Nuggets112-110
07/11/18APhoenix Suns104-82
04/11/18HPhiladelphia 76ers122-97
02/11/18HHouston Rockets111-119
31/10/18HDetroit Pistons120-119 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %38%33%43%
Points / game109.3108.1110.9
Allowed / game110.6109.4112.1
Point differential-1.3-1.3-1.3
Avg total219.9217.6223.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %6%0%14%
Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL41%
HomeWLWLL43%
AwayWWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %41%43%40%
Points / game109.9114.3106.9
Allowed / game111.3115.3108.5
Point differential-1.4-1.0-1.6
Avg total221.2229.6215.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%14%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %6%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors1814478%115.4107.4+8.0
2 Milwaukee Bucks1612475%120.1109.0+11.1
3 Portland Trail Blazers1611569%114.9107.9+6.9
4 Memphis Grizzlies1611569%103.0100.0+3.0
5 Golden State Warriors1812667%116.6110.4+6.1
6 Indiana Pacers1711665%105.7100.9+4.8
7 Los Angeles Clippers1711665%117.9113.5+4.4
8 Philadelphia 76ers1912763%113.2112.9+0.3
9 Oklahoma City Thunder1610662%111.1106.2+4.8
10 Denver Nuggets1710759%110.5104.5+6.0
11 New Orleans Pelicans1710759%119.5116.8+2.7
12 Detroit Pistons148657%110.0110.1-0.1
13 Los Angeles Lakers169756%116.7115.4+1.3
14 Houston Rockets158753%105.3105.7-0.3
15 Boston Celtics179853%105.8103.4+2.4
16 Sacramento Kings179853%113.9116.1-2.2
17 Charlotte Hornets168850%115.0110.4+4.6
18 San Antonio Spurs168850%108.8109.7-0.9
19 Orlando Magic189950%106.6108.6-2.1
20 Utah Jazz178947%106.0108.5-2.5
21 Dallas Mavericks167944%109.4108.6+0.8
22 Brooklyn Nets1771041%109.9111.3-1.4
23 Minnesota Timberwolves1771041%109.6114.1-4.5
24 Miami Heat1661038%109.3110.6-1.3
25 Washington Wizards1761135%111.8116.9-5.2
26 New York Knicks1741324%107.8114.7-6.9
27 Chicago Bulls1741324%103.1113.5-10.4
28 Phoenix Suns1631319%102.8113.5-10.7
29 Atlanta Hawks1731418%107.4118.2-10.9
30 Cleveland Cavaliers1521313%103.3111.9-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat1329351592
Brooklyn Nets20193530104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.