PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 109-110 (OT)
32-22 23-26 21-32 25-21 8-9
Position#16
Record41-35
FormWLLWW
Points / game103.3
Allowed / game102.6
vs
Position#23
Record24-51
FormWLLLW
Points / game106.5
Allowed / game110.5
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets
14 Feb 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
12 Jan 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
MIA126
BKN110
03 Mar 2026
MIA124
BKN98
23 Dec 2024
MIA110
BKN95
16 Nov 2023
MIA122
BKN115
01 Nov 2023
MIA105
BKN109
25 Mar 2023
MIA100
BKN129
08 Jan 2023
MIA101
BKN102
26 Mar 2022
MIA95
BKN110
12 Feb 2022
MIA115
BKN111
18 Apr 2021
MIA109
BKN107
29 Feb 2020
MIA116
BKN113
02 Mar 2019
MIA117
BKN88
20 Nov 2018
MIA92
BKN104
31 Mar 2018
MIA109
BKN110
29 Dec 2017
MIA87
BKN111
30 Jan 2017
MIA104
BKN96
28 Mar 2016
MIA110
BKN99
28 Dec 2015
MIA105
BKN111
11 Mar 2015
MIA104
BKN98
04 Jan 2015
MIA88
BKN84
14 May 2014
MIA96
BKN94
08 May 2014
MIA94
BKN82
06 May 2014
MIA107
BKN86
08 Apr 2014
MIA87
BKN88
12 Mar 2014
MIA95
BKN96
01 Dec 2012
MIA102
BKN89
07 Nov 2012
MIA103
BKN73
06 Mar 2012
MIA108
BKN78
06 Nov 2010
MIA101
BKN89
14 Apr 2010
MIA94
BKN86
14 Nov 2009
MIA81
BKN80
03 Jan 2009
MIA101
BKN96
10 Nov 2008
MIA99
BKN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brooklyn Nets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#18
W
129-102
129
102
+27
126avg 95
H11/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
99-115
99
115
-16
89avg 95
A13/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
119-123 OT
119
123
-4
110avg 95
A15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
92-91
92
91
+1
77avg 95
A17/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
149-141 OT
149
141
+8
144avg 95
H19/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
119-98
119
98
+21
116avg 95
H21/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
99-105
99
105
-6
87avg 95
A24/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
107-113 OT
107
113
-6
104avg 95
A25/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
98-79
98
79
+19
95avg 95
H28/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
103-92
103
92
+11
96avg 95
H29/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
34-28
43-28
26-26
25-34
22-25
25-29
27-27
31-24
21-35
27-32
32-20
25-24
25-26
24-21
18-20
36-37
28-26
28-28
26-27
27-26
37-21
35-30
20-21
18-24
22-20
26-20
33-41
30-21
23-31
21-30
22-14
29-18
25-16
21-25
23-20
29-21
22-25
27-22
25-24
217.3Avg total
111.4Scored
105.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)103.3102.6205.9+0.654%
Season at home (37)104.6102.0206.6+2.665%
Season away (39)102.0103.3205.2-1.344%
Last 10 (10)111.4105.9217.3+5.560%
Last 5 (5)105.297.4202.6+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)101.7104.3206.0-2.629%
vs Similar ◀ (17)107.2104.6211.8+2.653%
vs Weaker (6)109.8101.2211.0+8.750%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNets
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
125-111
125
111
+14
121avg 98
A09/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
97-120
97
120
-23
82avg 98
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
102-116
102
116
-14
89avg 98
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
116-120
116
120
-4
108avg 98
A16/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
114-106
114
106
+8
109avg 98
H17/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
118-115
118
115
+3
117avg 98
H19/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
105-111
105
111
-6
91avg 98
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
112-116
112
116
-4
100avg 98
A23/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
114-121
114
121
-7
107avg 98
H25/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
111-104
111
104
+7
108avg 98
A28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-29
30-30
31-26
29-26
25-37
35-33
23-26
14-24
40-32
27-25
18-30
17-29
33-30
25-25
23-31
35-34
30-24
29-32
29-33
26-17
32-31
33-32
22-31
31-21
34-22
28-21
25-32
18-36
32-31
32-28
27-25
21-32
30-28
32-32
27-27
25-34
36-33
22-18
27-30
26-23
225.4Avg total
111.4Scored
114.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)106.5110.5217.0-4.032%
Season at home (39)105.9109.1215.0-3.236%
Season away (36)107.1112.1219.2-4.928%
Last 10 (10)111.4114.0225.4-2.640%
Last 5 (5)112.0113.4225.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)110.0117.9227.9-7.98%
vs Similar ◀ (17)105.4108.6214.0-3.241%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.4-3.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.4-3.4
Miami HeatBrooklyn Nets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#18
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H11/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A13/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A17/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H19/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H21/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A24/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A25/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H28/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H29/03
NBA
103.7Avg total
53.5Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.451.2104.6+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.850.9106.8+4.969%-
Last 30 away (14)50.751.5102.2-0.843%-
Last 10 (10)53.550.2103.7+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)52.444.697.0+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)51.950.1102.0+1.743%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)53.551.4104.9+2.159%-
vs Weaker (6)55.251.8107.0+3.367%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
65-59
65
59
+6
A09/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A16/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H17/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H19/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A23/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H25/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A28/03
NBA
119.3Avg total
62.0Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.857.4112.2-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.659.7116.3-3.133%-
Last 30 away (15)53.155.1108.1-2.053%-
Last 10 (10)62.057.3119.3+4.790%-
Last 5 (5)62.255.2117.4+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)58.458.9117.3-0.554%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)52.156.2108.4-4.135%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 111.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.929.2
52.2%
51.0%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.6
38.3%
36.1%37.8
🏀 Free throws19.615.2
77.6%
76.5%15.2
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 111.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.825.8
49.8%
51.0%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.713.4
39.8%
36.1%40.2
🏀 Free throws25.119.6
78.1%
76.5%19.6
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWLLWWWLLW
Brooklyn Nets
WLLLWWLLLW
#16
League position
#23
+5.4
Net rating
-2.6
109.5
Offensive rating
111.7
104.1
Defensive rating
114.3
54.2%
Effective FG%
53.7%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
12.1%
Turnover %
12.2%
19.2%
Off. rebound %
21.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.3%
3-point %
39.8%
63.4%
Assist %
62.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 111.7Defence104.1 · 114.3Shooting54.2% · 53.7%3-point %38.3% · 39.8%Ball care12.1% · 12.2%Off. rebounds19.2% · 21.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Brooklyn Nets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Miami Heat wins
3
Brooklyn Nets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/18HChicago Bulls103-92
28/03/18HCleveland Cavaliers98-79
25/03/18AIndiana Pacers107-113 OT
24/03/18AOklahoma City Thunder99-105
21/03/18HNew York Knicks119-98
19/03/18HDenver Nuggets149-141 OT
17/03/18ALos Angeles Lakers92-91
15/03/18ASacramento Kings119-123 OT
13/03/18APortland Trail Blazers99-115
11/03/18HWashington Wizards129-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/18AOrlando Magic111-104
25/03/18HCleveland Cavaliers114-121
23/03/18AToronto Raptors112-116
21/03/18HCharlotte Hornets105-111
19/03/18HMemphis Grizzlies118-115
17/03/18HDallas Mavericks114-106
16/03/18APhiladelphia 76ers116-120
13/03/18HToronto Raptors102-116
11/03/18HPhiladelphia 76ers97-120
09/03/18ACharlotte Hornets125-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW54%
HomeWWWWW65%
AwayLLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763739
Win %54%65%44%
Points / game103.3104.6102.0
Allowed / game102.6102.0103.3
Point differential+0.6+2.6-1.3
Avg total205.9206.6205.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (25)70% (10)47% (15)
Overtime %9%8%10%
Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW32%
HomeLWWLL36%
AwayLWLLW28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753936
Win %32%36%28%
Points / game106.5105.9107.1
Allowed / game110.5109.1112.1
Point differential-4.0-3.2-4.9
Avg total217.0215.0219.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (26)50% (14)33% (12)
Overtime %7%5%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets76621482%113.5104.2+9.3
2 Toronto Raptors76552172%112.3104.5+7.8
3 Golden State Warriors75542172%113.9107.1+6.8
4 Boston Celtics76532370%104.2100.1+4.1
5 Portland Trail Blazers76472962%106.0103.2+2.8
6 Cleveland Cavaliers76463061%110.7109.9+0.7
7 Philadelphia 76ers75453060%108.8105.3+3.5
8 Indiana Pacers76453159%105.6103.9+1.7
9 San Antonio Spurs76443258%102.599.4+3.1
10 Oklahoma City Thunder77443357%107.4104.3+3.1
11 Minnesota Timberwolves77443357%109.7107.5+2.2
12 Utah Jazz76433357%103.4100.1+3.3
13 New Orleans Pelicans76433357%111.2110.9+0.3
14 Washington Wizards76423455%106.9105.8+1.2
15 Denver Nuggets76413554%110.0108.8+1.2
16 Los Angeles Clippers76413554%109.3108.3+1.0
17 Miami Heat76413554%103.3102.6+0.6
18 Milwaukee Bucks76413554%106.3106.4-0.2
19 Detroit Pistons76364047%103.2103.7-0.4
20 Charlotte Hornets77344344%107.6107.8-0.2
21 Los Angeles Lakers75334244%108.5109.9-1.4
22 New York Knicks77275035%104.5108.1-3.6
23 Chicago Bulls76255133%102.8109.8-6.9
24 Brooklyn Nets75245132%106.5110.5-4.0
25 Sacramento Kings76245232%99.4106.7-7.3
26 Dallas Mavericks76235330%102.5105.0-2.5
27 Orlando Magic75225329%104.0108.9-4.8
28 Atlanta Hawks76215528%103.5109.1-5.6
29 Memphis Grizzlies76215528%98.8104.7-5.9
30 Phoenix Suns77195825%103.8113.5-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Miami Heat322321258109
Brooklyn Nets222632219110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.