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Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 117-88
28-23 26-21 30-20 33-24
Position#17
Record30-37
FormLLLWL
Points / game106.3
Allowed / game107.3
vs
Position#14
Record34-34
FormLWWLL
Points / game111.6
Allowed / game112.5
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets
14 Feb 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
12 Jan 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
14 Oct 2026
MIA144
BKN128
05 Mar 2026
MIA126
BKN110
03 Mar 2026
MIA124
BKN98
23 Dec 2024
MIA110
BKN95
16 Nov 2023
MIA122
BKN115
01 Nov 2023
MIA105
BKN109
18 Oct 2023
MIA104
BKN107
25 Mar 2023
MIA100
BKN129
08 Jan 2023
MIA101
BKN102
26 Mar 2022
MIA95
BKN110
12 Feb 2022
MIA115
BKN111
18 Apr 2021
MIA109
BKN107
29 Feb 2020
MIA116
BKN113
02 Mar 2019
MIA117
BKN88
20 Nov 2018
MIA92
BKN104
31 Mar 2018
MIA109
BKN110
29 Dec 2017
MIA87
BKN111
30 Jan 2017
MIA104
BKN96
11 Oct 2016
MIA121
BKN100
28 Mar 2016
MIA110
BKN99
28 Dec 2015
MIA105
BKN111
05 Jul 2015
MIA71
BKN70
11 Mar 2015
MIA104
BKN98
04 Jan 2015
MIA88
BKN84
14 May 2014
MIA96
BKN94
08 May 2014
MIA94
BKN82
06 May 2014
MIA107
BKN86
08 Apr 2014
MIA87
BKN88
12 Mar 2014
MIA95
BKN96
25 Oct 2013
MIA87
BKN108
08 Jul 2013
MIA93
BKN86
01 Dec 2012
MIA102
BKN89
07 Nov 2012
MIA103
BKN73
06 Mar 2012
MIA108
BKN78
06 Nov 2010
MIA101
BKN89
14 Apr 2010
MIA94
BKN86
14 Nov 2009
MIA81
BKN80
03 Jan 2009
MIA101
BKN96
10 Nov 2008
MIA99
BKN94
09 Oct 2008
MIA98
BKN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brooklyn Nets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
118-108
118
108
+10
A06/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
96-102
96
102
-6
A09/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
L
118-120
118
120
-2
A11/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
87-103
87
103
-16
A12/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
112-101
112
101
+11
A14/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
102-106
102
106
-4
A22/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#18
L
96-119
96
119
-23
H24/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
121-124
121
124
-3
H26/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
W
126-125
126
125
+1
H28/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
118-121
118
121
-3
A01/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-30
28-25
32-24
24-29
28-17
31-33
24-25
13-27
34-24
25-30
23-36
36-30
27-35
22-19
21-29
17-20
29-25
28-33
32-16
23-27
21-29
29-28
25-16
27-33
29-20
17-34
30-30
20-35
29-23
34-29
24-32
34-40
32-22
42-37
26-33
26-33
32-33
37-22
29-31
20-35
222.3Avg total
109.4Scored
112.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)106.3107.3213.6-1.045%
Season at home (33)106.3107.7214.0-1.445%
Season away (34)106.3106.9213.2-0.644%
Last 10 (10)109.4112.9222.3-3.530%
Last 5 (5)112.6119.0231.6-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)110.4119.2229.6-8.820%
vs Similar ◀ (17)103.1105.4208.4-2.335%
vs Weaker (8)106.2101.9208.1+4.462%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
94-113
94
113
-19
H05/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
135-130
135
130
+5
H07/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
106-125
106
125
-19
H09/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
125-127
125
127
-2
A12/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
148-139 OT
148
139
+9
A14/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
99-113
99
113
-14
H22/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
117-115
117
115
+2
A24/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
101-85
101
85
+16
H26/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
L
116-125
116
125
-9
H28/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
112-123
112
123
-11
H02/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
25-28
22-36
30-26
30-35
42-25
36-27
27-43
27-32
21-23
32-38
26-32
29-21
31-35
32-36
33-35
30-29
25-29
29-26
25-25
21-23
29-27
22-34
27-29
34-20
29-30
27-34
27-31
28-20
24-18
29-21
20-26
28-34
32-34
19-33
37-24
32-31
18-37
36-30
26-25
234.8Avg total
115.3Scored
119.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)111.6112.5224.1-1.050%
Season at home (35)113.6113.3226.9+0.451%
Season away (33)109.4111.8221.2-2.448%
Last 10 (10)115.3119.5234.8-4.240%
Last 5 (5)109.0112.2221.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)112.6120.6233.2-8.030%
vs Similar ◀ (13)112.2110.7222.9+1.562%
vs Weaker (7)118.4111.9230.3+6.686%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -6.9-6.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
Miami HeatBrooklyn Nets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A06/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A09/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A11/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A12/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A14/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A22/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#18
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H24/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H26/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H28/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
69-55
69
55
+14
A01/03
NBA
113.6Avg total
58.8Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.653.5108.1+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.954.0110.9+2.964%-
Last 30 away (16)52.653.0105.6-0.438%-
Last 10 (10)58.854.8113.6+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)60.455.4115.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)61.056.2117.2+4.880%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)53.954.1108.1-0.247%-
vs Weaker (8)52.150.4102.5+1.838%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H05/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H07/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H09/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A12/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A14/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H22/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
63-50
63
50
+13
A24/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H26/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H28/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H02/03
NBA
110.6Avg total
55.2Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.155.8109.9-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.255.4110.7-0.238%-
Last 30 away (14)52.756.3109.0-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)55.255.4110.6-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)55.054.8109.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)53.256.7109.9-3.540%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)54.554.8109.3-0.446%-
vs Weaker (7)54.656.4111.0-1.914%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.830.9
54.4%
51.7%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.2
36.4%
35.4%33.6
🏀 Free throws19.714.0
71.1%
76.6%14.0
They take 87.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 115.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.927.4
52.8%
51.7%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.913.6
34.1%
35.4%40.8
🏀 Free throws25.419.7
77.6%
76.6%19.7
They take 91.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWLLLWLLLW
Brooklyn Nets
LLWWLWLLWL
#17
League position
#14
-3.5
Net rating
-3.7
108.9
Offensive rating
107.2
112.4
Defensive rating
110.9
54.5%
Effective FG%
52.1%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
14.3%
Turnover %
12.9%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
19.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.4%
3-point %
34.1%
58.7%
Assist %
65.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 107.2Defence112.4 · 110.9Shooting54.5% · 52.1%3-point %36.4% · 34.1%Ball care14.3% · 12.9%Off. rebounds24.8% · 19.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Brooklyn Nets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Brooklyn Nets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/19AHouston Rockets118-121
28/02/19HGolden State Warriors126-125
26/02/19HPhoenix Suns121-124
24/02/19HDetroit Pistons96-119
22/02/19APhiladelphia 76ers102-106
14/02/19ADallas Mavericks112-101
12/02/19ADenver Nuggets87-103
11/02/19AGolden State Warriors118-120
09/02/19ASacramento Kings96-102
06/02/19APortland Trail Blazers118-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/19HCharlotte Hornets112-123
28/02/19HWashington Wizards116-125
26/02/19HSan Antonio Spurs101-85
24/02/19ACharlotte Hornets117-115
22/02/19HPortland Trail Blazers99-113
14/02/19ACleveland Cavaliers148-139 OT
12/02/19AToronto Raptors125-127
09/02/19HChicago Bulls106-125
07/02/19HDenver Nuggets135-130
05/02/19HMilwaukee Bucks94-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL45%
HomeLLLLW45%
AwayLLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673334
Win %45%45%44%
Points / game106.3106.3106.3
Allowed / game107.3107.7106.9
Point differential-1.0-1.4-0.6
Avg total213.6214.0213.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%12%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (22)55% (11)27% (11)
Overtime %1%0%3%
Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLLWLL51%
AwayLLLWW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683533
Win %50%51%48%
Points / game111.6113.6109.4
Allowed / game112.5113.3111.8
Point differential-1.0+0.4-2.4
Avg total224.1226.9221.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%17%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (24)69% (13)64% (11)
Overtime %10%11%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks66511577%118.0108.0+10.0
2 Toronto Raptors67491873%114.4108.6+5.8
3 Denver Nuggets65452069%112.0106.9+5.2
4 Golden State Warriors67442366%118.1112.1+5.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers65422365%115.6112.2+3.4
6 Indiana Pacers68432563%108.4103.8+4.6
7 Oklahoma City Thunder65412463%115.3110.5+4.8
8 Portland Trail Blazers67412661%113.5109.8+3.7
9 Houston Rockets66402661%113.5110.8+2.7
10 Utah Jazz64382659%110.6106.2+4.3
11 Boston Celtics67392858%111.5106.7+4.8
12 Los Angeles Clippers67382957%113.9112.9+1.0
13 San Antonio Spurs68373154%111.7110.7+1.0
14 Brooklyn Nets68343450%111.6112.5-1.0
15 Charlotte Hornets67333449%111.5111.5+0.0
16 Los Angeles Lakers68333549%112.5113.8-1.4
17 Detroit Pistons66323448%107.1107.7-0.6
18 Sacramento Kings67323548%113.3115.6-2.3
19 Orlando Magic68313746%105.5106.2-0.8
20 Miami Heat67303745%106.3107.3-1.0
21 Minnesota Timberwolves67303745%112.1113.3-1.1
22 Dallas Mavericks64283644%109.0109.6-0.6
23 Washington Wizards66283842%113.7116.3-2.6
24 New Orleans Pelicans69284141%115.7115.8-0.1
25 Memphis Grizzlies68264238%101.4104.8-3.4
26 Atlanta Hawks68234534%112.1118.9-6.7
27 Chicago Bulls68204829%104.6112.0-7.3
28 Cleveland Cavaliers67175025%103.7113.4-9.6
29 New York Knicks67165124%106.1113.7-7.6
30 Phoenix Suns67135419%105.9116.1-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat28263033117
Brooklyn Nets2321202488
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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