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Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 110-99
27-27 30-25 25-23 28-24
Position#8
Record42-30
FormLWWLW
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game98.1
vs
Position#28
Record21-51
FormLLLWW
Points / game98.7
Allowed / game104.7
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets
14 Feb 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
12 Jan 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
MIA126
BKN110
03 Mar 2026
MIA124
BKN98
23 Dec 2024
MIA110
BKN95
16 Nov 2023
MIA122
BKN115
01 Nov 2023
MIA105
BKN109
25 Mar 2023
MIA100
BKN129
08 Jan 2023
MIA101
BKN102
26 Mar 2022
MIA95
BKN110
12 Feb 2022
MIA115
BKN111
18 Apr 2021
MIA109
BKN107
29 Feb 2020
MIA116
BKN113
02 Mar 2019
MIA117
BKN88
20 Nov 2018
MIA92
BKN104
31 Mar 2018
MIA109
BKN110
29 Dec 2017
MIA87
BKN111
30 Jan 2017
MIA104
BKN96
28 Mar 2016
MIA110
BKN99
28 Dec 2015
MIA105
BKN111
11 Mar 2015
MIA104
BKN98
04 Jan 2015
MIA88
BKN84
14 May 2014
MIA96
BKN94
08 May 2014
MIA94
BKN82
06 May 2014
MIA107
BKN86
08 Apr 2014
MIA87
BKN88
12 Mar 2014
MIA95
BKN96
01 Dec 2012
MIA102
BKN89
07 Nov 2012
MIA103
BKN73
06 Mar 2012
MIA108
BKN78
06 Nov 2010
MIA101
BKN89
14 Apr 2010
MIA94
BKN86
14 Nov 2009
MIA81
BKN80
03 Jan 2009
MIA101
BKN96
10 Nov 2008
MIA99
BKN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brooklyn Nets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
103-98
103
98
+5
95avg 92
H06/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
108-114
108
114
-6
104avg 92
A10/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
118-96
118
96
+22
113avg 92
A12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
104-112 OT
104
112
-8
85avg 92
A13/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
124-119
124
119
+5
118avg 92
H14/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
106-109
106
109
-3
102avg 92
H17/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
122-101
122
101
+21
121avg 92
H19/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
113-99
113
99
+14
108avg 92
A23/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
88-112
88
112
-24
81avg 92
A24/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
108-97
108
97
+11
103avg 92
H26/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
17-24
22-20
34-29
22-29
32-28
31-23
23-34
23-31
31-27
30-23
34-15
24-28
22-25
25-17
26-27
36-33
28-29
26-29
34-28
29-26
23-28
21-28
33-27
31-19
34-25
33-26
24-31
35-21
24-19
27-33
27-26
21-26
26-30
16-32
25-24
28-31
26-26
31-12
23-28
215.1Avg total
109.4Scored
105.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)99.598.1197.6+1.358%
Season at home (37)102.598.1200.6+4.465%
Season away (35)96.398.2194.5-1.951%
Last 10 (10)109.4105.7215.1+3.760%
Last 5 (5)107.4103.6211.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)105.8112.5218.2-6.825%
vs Similar (17)101.9100.1202.0+1.859%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)108.3100.7209.0+7.789%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
118-132
118
132
-14
101avg 90
A06/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
99-104
99
104
-5
89avg 90
A09/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
89-95
89
95
-6
76avg 90
A12/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
100-109
100
109
-9
98avg 90
H14/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
131-114
131
114
+17
127avg 90
H15/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
102-118
102
118
-16
91avg 90
A18/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
103-115
103
115
-12
98avg 90
A19/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
100-105
100
105
-5
97avg 90
H22/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
104-95
104
95
+9
99avg 90
H24/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
120-110
120
110
+10
118avg 90
H26/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-37
21-31
28-29
39-35
23-28
35-14
22-36
19-26
21-27
24-26
22-19
22-23
25-27
26-23
28-28
21-31
32-15
39-36
29-32
31-31
14-24
23-31
37-24
28-39
23-29
29-25
25-23
26-38
14-25
22-21
28-21
36-38
26-23
33-26
21-34
24-12
26-29
34-37
25-27
35-17
216.3Avg total
106.6Scored
109.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)98.7104.7203.4-6.029%
Season at home (38)99.0103.6202.6-4.637%
Season away (34)98.4106.0204.4-7.621%
Last 10 (10)106.6109.7216.3-3.130%
Last 5 (5)105.8108.6214.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)101.4106.0207.4-4.536%
vs Similar (8)107.0108.9215.9-1.925%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
Miami HeatBrooklyn Nets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H06/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A10/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A13/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H14/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H17/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
65-44
65
44
+21
H19/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
59-40
59
40
+19
A23/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A24/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H26/03
NBA
107.2Avg total
54.2Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.650.3101.9+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.749.5103.2+4.254%-
Last 30 away (17)49.950.9100.9-1.041%-
Last 10 (10)54.253.0107.2+1.230%-
Last 5 (5)55.450.2105.6+5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)53.551.2104.8+2.250%-
vs Similar (17)49.650.6100.2-1.135%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)54.449.3103.8+5.167%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
51-68
51
68
-17
A06/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A09/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A12/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H14/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
71-51
71
51
+20
H15/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A18/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A19/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H22/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H24/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H26/03
NBA
105.4Avg total
52.0Scored
53.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.052.4103.4-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.252.9105.1-0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)49.651.9101.4-2.336%-
Last 10 (10)52.053.4105.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)48.854.0102.8-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)50.252.9103.1-2.641%-
vs Similar (8)53.051.2104.2+1.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.4 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.034.2
51.8%
49.0%68.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.37.4
42.8%
35.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws24.218.8
77.7%
75.5%18.8
They take 83.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 21% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 106.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.2 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.533.1
52.1%
49.0%66.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.27.4
38.5%
35.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.418.2
81.2%
75.5%18.2
They take 82.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 23% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLWWLWLWLW
Brooklyn Nets
WWLLLWLLLL
#8
League position
#28
+3.8
Net rating
-3.2
113.2
Offensive rating
110.1
109.4
Defensive rating
113.3
54.4%
Effective FG%
53.4%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
13.0%
Turnover %
14.1%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
42.8%
3-point %
38.5%
55.3%
Assist %
57.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 110.1Defence109.4 · 113.3Shooting54.4% · 53.4%3-point %42.8% · 38.5%Ball care13.0% · 14.1%Off. rebounds26.6% · 23.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Brooklyn Nets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Miami Heat wins
2
Brooklyn Nets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/16HOrlando Magic108-97
24/03/16ASan Antonio Spurs88-112
23/03/16ANew Orleans Pelicans113-99
19/03/16HCleveland Cavaliers122-101
17/03/16HCharlotte Hornets106-109
14/03/16HDenver Nuggets124-119
13/03/16AToronto Raptors104-112 OT
12/03/16AChicago Bulls118-96
10/03/16AMilwaukee Bucks108-114
06/03/16HPhiladelphia 76ers103-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/16HIndiana Pacers120-110
24/03/16HCleveland Cavaliers104-95
22/03/16HCharlotte Hornets100-105
19/03/16ADetroit Pistons103-115
18/03/16AChicago Bulls102-118
15/03/16HPhiladelphia 76ers131-114
14/03/16HMilwaukee Bucks100-109
12/03/16APhiladelphia 76ers89-95
09/03/16AToronto Raptors99-104
06/03/16AMinnesota Timberwolves118-132

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW58%
HomeWWLWW65%
AwayLWLWL51%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723735
Win %58%65%51%
Points / game99.5102.596.3
Allowed / game98.198.198.2
Point differential+1.3+4.4-1.9
Avg total197.6200.6194.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%35%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (17)78% (9)88% (8)
Overtime %7%8%6%
Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW29%
HomeLWLWW37%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723834
Win %29%37%21%
Points / game98.799.098.4
Allowed / game104.7103.6106.0
Point differential-6.0-4.6-7.6
Avg total203.4202.6204.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%13%3%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (20)50% (10)40% (10)
Overtime %4%3%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors7366790%115.5104.3+11.1
2 San Antonio Spurs73611284%104.392.6+11.7
3 Cleveland Cavaliers73522171%103.997.9+6.1
4 Oklahoma City Thunder73512270%110.2102.8+7.5
5 Toronto Raptors72492368%102.998.2+4.7
6 Los Angeles Clippers72452762%104.4101.0+3.4
7 Atlanta Hawks74443059%102.998.9+4.0
8 Boston Celtics73433059%105.8102.0+3.8
9 Miami Heat72423058%99.598.1+1.3
10 Charlotte Hornets73423158%103.2100.8+2.4
11 Memphis Grizzlies73413256%99.2100.7-1.5
12 Indiana Pacers73393453%101.8100.4+1.4
13 Detroit Pistons74393553%102.4101.6+0.7
14 Portland Trail Blazers74383651%104.5104.0+0.5
15 Chicago Bulls72363650%101.5103.2-1.6
16 Utah Jazz73363749%97.596.4+1.1
17 Washington Wizards73363749%103.5104.4-0.9
18 Houston Rockets74363849%105.9106.8-0.9
19 Dallas Mavericks73353848%103.3104.2-0.9
20 Denver Nuggets74314342%102.3104.9-2.6
21 Orlando Magic73304341%100.9103.2-2.3
22 New York Knicks74304441%98.8101.5-2.7
23 Milwaukee Bucks74304441%98.9102.9-4.0
24 Sacramento Kings73294440%106.9109.0-2.2
25 New Orleans Pelicans72264636%102.8106.4-3.6
26 Minnesota Timberwolves73244933%102.1105.9-3.8
27 Brooklyn Nets72215129%98.7104.7-6.0
28 Phoenix Suns73205327%100.4107.6-7.3
29 Los Angeles Lakers73155821%98.0106.8-8.8
30 Philadelphia 76ers7496512%97.2107.6-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat27302528110
Brooklyn Nets2725232499
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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