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Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 104-107
34-29 25-29 18-21 27-28
Position#18
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#22
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Kaseya Center
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets
14 Feb 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
12 Jan 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
MIA126
BKN110
03 Mar 2026
MIA124
BKN98
23 Dec 2024
MIA110
BKN95
16 Nov 2023
MIA122
BKN115
01 Nov 2023
MIA105
BKN109
18 Oct 2023
MIA104
BKN107
25 Mar 2023
MIA100
BKN129
08 Jan 2023
MIA101
BKN102
26 Mar 2022
MIA95
BKN110
12 Feb 2022
MIA115
BKN111
18 Apr 2021
MIA109
BKN107
29 Feb 2020
MIA116
BKN113
02 Mar 2019
MIA117
BKN88
20 Nov 2018
MIA92
BKN104
31 Mar 2018
MIA109
BKN110
29 Dec 2017
MIA87
BKN111
30 Jan 2017
MIA104
BKN96
28 Mar 2016
MIA110
BKN99
28 Dec 2015
MIA105
BKN111
11 Mar 2015
MIA104
BKN98
04 Jan 2015
MIA88
BKN84
14 May 2014
MIA96
BKN94
08 May 2014
MIA94
BKN82
06 May 2014
MIA107
BKN86
08 Apr 2014
MIA87
BKN88
12 Mar 2014
MIA95
BKN96
01 Dec 2012
MIA102
BKN89
07 Nov 2012
MIA103
BKN73
06 Mar 2012
MIA108
BKN78
06 Nov 2010
MIA101
BKN89
14 Apr 2010
MIA94
BKN86
14 Nov 2009
MIA81
BKN80
03 Jan 2009
MIA101
BKN96
10 Nov 2008
MIA99
BKN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brooklyn Nets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
L
97-110
97
110
-13
90avg 101
A26/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
103-104
103
104
-1
88avg 101
H28/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
103-84
103
84
+19
98avg 101
A30/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
93-104
93
104
-11
81avg 101
A02/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
111-108
111
108
+3
106avg 101
A05/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
94-109
94
109
-15
72avg 101
H08/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
95-108
95
108
-13
88avg 101
H10/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
69avg 101
A13/06
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#5
W
107-90
107
90
+17
no box
A03/07
California Classic
Sacramento Kings
#2
L
83-95
83
95
-12
no box
A06/07
California Classic
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-35
24-26
28-29
25-20
29-34
24-23
19-22
31-25
22-15
30-26
24-25
27-18
20-29
22-30
21-25
30-20
26-23
25-34
24-26
36-25
24-24
24-29
20-29
26-27
21-20
30-35
22-31
22-22
24-22
27-22
20-26
18-24
22-16
36-24
26-27
23-23
14-21
26-26
30-21
13-27
198.1Avg total
97.5Scored
100.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)97.5100.6198.1-3.130%
Last 5 (5)93.699.2192.8-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)102.2104.2206.5-2.038%
vs Similar ◀ (16)113.3108.1221.4+5.269%
vs Weaker (1)107.090.0197.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
124-107
124
107
+17
125avg 106
H31/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
111-110
111
110
+1
100avg 106
H02/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
102-107
102
107
-5
88avg 106
H04/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
123-108
123
108
+15
122avg 106
A05/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
101-84
101
84
+17
93avg 106
H07/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
105-134
105
134
-29
95avg 106
H09/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
101-121
101
121
-20
99avg 106
A15/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
84-96
84
96
-12
71avg 106
A17/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
97-102
97
102
-5
86avg 106
H20/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
88-96
88
96
-8
76avg 106
H22/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-33
34-22
42-24
23-28
30-17
23-25
32-26
26-42
24-31
30-20
24-26
24-30
47-34
27-23
22-33
27-18
27-23
31-16
20-23
23-22
21-36
32-25
39-39
13-34
25-30
33-37
23-26
20-28
25-25
24-19
14-24
21-28
28-32
19-26
35-18
15-26
29-22
19-18
15-26
25-30
210.1Avg total
103.6Scored
106.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)103.6106.5210.1-2.940%
Last 5 (5)95.0109.8204.8-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)112.4112.8225.2-0.440%
vs Similar ◀ (21)107.0113.7220.7-6.829%
vs Weaker (4)116.5101.0217.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -6.9-6.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -6.9-6.9
Miami HeatBrooklyn Nets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A26/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H28/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A30/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A02/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A05/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H08/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H10/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A13/06
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#5
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A03/07
California Classic
Sacramento Kings
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A06/07
California Classic
100.4Avg total
49.0Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.553.2106.7+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.951.7105.6+2.262%-
Last 30 away (17)53.254.4107.6-1.241%-
Last 10 (10)49.051.4100.4-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)49.647.897.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)50.852.8103.5-2.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)55.454.4109.9+1.056%-
vs Weaker (1)58.040.098.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H31/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H02/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H04/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A05/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H07/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H09/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A15/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A17/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H20/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H22/04
NBA
106.7Avg total
55.3Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.357.4112.7-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.352.5106.9+1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)56.362.3118.6-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)55.351.4106.7+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)51.054.0105.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)56.063.4119.4-7.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)53.557.0110.5-3.643%-
vs Weaker (4)64.251.8116.0+12.575%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 101.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.925.2
46.8%
54.4%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.712.2
38.5%
36.3%36.6
🏀 Free throws17.114.2
83.0%
78.2%14.2
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 103.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.625.7
54.0%
54.4%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.512.0
33.8%
36.3%36.0
🏀 Free throws21.016.2
77.1%
78.2%16.2
They take 83.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWLLLWLWLL
Brooklyn Nets
LLLLLWWLWW
#18
League position
#22
-2.9
Net rating
-3.0
108.7
Offensive rating
107.6
111.6
Defensive rating
110.6
50.8%
Effective FG%
52.6%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
10.9%
Turnover %
11.8%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
17.9%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.5%
3-point %
33.8%
60.4%
Assist %
67.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 107.6Defence111.6 · 110.6Shooting50.8% · 52.6%3-point %38.5% · 33.8%Ball care10.9% · 11.8%Off. rebounds21.5% · 17.9%Free throws0.20 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Brooklyn Nets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
6
Brooklyn Nets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/23ASacramento Kings83-95
03/07/23ALos Angeles Lakers107-90
13/06/23ADenver Nuggets89-94
10/06/23HDenver Nuggets95-108
08/06/23HDenver Nuggets94-109
05/06/23ADenver Nuggets111-108
02/06/23ADenver Nuggets93-104
30/05/23ABoston Celtics103-84
28/05/23HBoston Celtics103-104
26/05/23ABoston Celtics97-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/23HPhiladelphia 76ers88-96
20/04/23HPhiladelphia 76ers97-102
17/04/23APhiladelphia 76ers84-96
15/04/23APhiladelphia 76ers101-121
09/04/23HPhiladelphia 76ers105-134
07/04/23HOrlando Magic101-84
05/04/23ADetroit Pistons123-108
04/04/23HMinnesota Timberwolves102-107
02/04/23HUtah Jazz111-110
31/03/23HAtlanta Hawks124-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat34251827104
Brooklyn Nets29292128107
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