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Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 144-128
35-29 34-37 43-37 32-25
Position#18
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#25
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Kaseya Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets
14 Feb 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
12 Jan 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
14 Oct 2026
MIA144
BKN128
05 Mar 2026
MIA126
BKN110
03 Mar 2026
MIA124
BKN98
23 Dec 2024
MIA110
BKN95
16 Nov 2023
MIA122
BKN115
01 Nov 2023
MIA105
BKN109
25 Mar 2023
MIA100
BKN129
08 Jan 2023
MIA101
BKN102
26 Mar 2022
MIA95
BKN110
12 Feb 2022
MIA115
BKN111
18 Apr 2021
MIA109
BKN107
29 Feb 2020
MIA116
BKN113
02 Mar 2019
MIA117
BKN88
20 Nov 2018
MIA92
BKN104
31 Mar 2018
MIA109
BKN110
29 Dec 2017
MIA87
BKN111
30 Jan 2017
MIA104
BKN96
28 Mar 2016
MIA110
BKN99
28 Dec 2015
MIA105
BKN111
11 Mar 2015
MIA104
BKN98
04 Jan 2015
MIA88
BKN84
14 May 2014
MIA96
BKN94
08 May 2014
MIA94
BKN82
06 May 2014
MIA107
BKN86
08 Apr 2014
MIA87
BKN88
12 Mar 2014
MIA95
BKN96
01 Dec 2012
MIA102
BKN89
07 Nov 2012
MIA103
BKN73
06 Mar 2012
MIA108
BKN78
06 Nov 2010
MIA101
BKN89
14 Apr 2010
MIA94
BKN86
14 Nov 2009
MIA81
BKN80
03 Jan 2009
MIA101
BKN96
10 Nov 2008
MIA99
BKN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brooklyn Nets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
128-149
128
149
-21
118avg 114
A27/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
118-135
118
135
-17
106avg 114
A29/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
119-109
119
109
+10
114avg 114
H30/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
129-147
129
147
-18
115avg 114
H01/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
152-136
152
136
+16
160avg 114
H04/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
95-121
95
121
-26
84avg 114
A07/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
114-128
114
128
-14
114avg 114
A09/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
140-117
140
117
+23
146avg 114
A10/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
143-117
143
117
+26
138avg 114
H12/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
126-127 OT
126
127
-1
119avg 114
A14/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-40
19-41
41-28
41-40
36-34
39-45
32-29
11-27
38-34
20-27
33-26
28-22
33-53
24-27
45-32
27-35
36-32
41-25
45-34
30-45
27-32
24-32
25-30
19-27
26-32
24-37
40-33
24-26
34-23
38-29
33-33
35-32
33-24
37-37
29-23
44-33
24-26
30-26
29-37
31-25
255.0Avg total
126.4Scored
128.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)126.4128.6255.0-2.240%
Last 5 (5)123.6122.0245.6+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)120.3131.0251.3-10.733%
vs Similar ◀ (15)120.3120.9241.2-0.740%
vs Weaker (12)128.4117.1245.5+11.375%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
106-109
106
109
-3
93avg 97
A26/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
99-116
99
116
-17
82avg 97
A28/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
116-99
116
99
+17
112avg 97
H29/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
86-117
86
117
-31
69avg 97
H31/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
107-141
107
141
-34
93avg 97
H03/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
121-115
121
115
+6
106avg 97
H05/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
96-90
96
90
+6
76avg 97
H07/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
94-123
94
123
-29
68avg 97
H09/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
108-125
108
125
-17
94avg 97
A11/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
101-136
101
136
-35
80avg 97
A12/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
28-25
28-27
20-32
30-35
29-26
25-24
15-31
31-18
37-27
18-28
30-26
18-35
27-23
18-31
23-28
25-35
30-36
30-27
22-43
35-23
24-31
26-30
36-31
30-29
19-14
21-19
26-28
14-31
23-32
35-35
22-25
24-38
30-28
30-33
24-26
27-32
34-38
23-30
17-36
220.5Avg total
103.4Scored
117.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)103.4117.1220.5-13.730%
Last 5 (5)104.0117.8221.8-13.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)99.9119.1219.0-19.35%
vs Similar ◀ (8)111.6113.5225.1-1.950%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -7.1-7.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -7.1-7.1
Miami HeatBrooklyn Nets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
46-81
46
81
-35
A27/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A29/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H30/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
57-80
57
80
-23
H01/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H04/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A07/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A09/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
72-52
72
52
+20
A10/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H12/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A14/04
NBA
126.6Avg total
61.0Scored
65.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.361.3122.6+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)63.161.1124.3+2.060%-
Last 30 away (15)59.561.4120.9-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)61.065.6126.6-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)59.459.6119.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.768.0128.7-7.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)57.061.6118.6-4.633%-
vs Weaker (12)66.959.2126.1+7.875%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A26/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A28/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
68-45
68
45
+23
H29/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H31/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
55-71
55
71
-16
H03/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H05/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H07/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
37-63
37
63
-26
H09/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A11/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
61-70
61
70
-9
A12/04
NBA
112.6Avg total
54.5Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.560.0111.5-8.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.358.6109.9-7.347%-
Last 30 away (15)51.761.3113.1-9.613%-
Last 10 (10)54.558.1112.6-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)52.059.2111.2-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)49.461.9111.3-12.514%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)57.254.8112.0+2.575%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 126.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.0 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.930.5
57.7%
53.9%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.315.7
39.0%
35.0%47.1
🏀 Free throws23.218.3
78.9%
76.9%18.3
They take 93.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 103.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.0 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.425.7
53.1%
53.9%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.911.7
32.6%
35.0%35.1
🏀 Free throws21.316.9
79.3%
76.9%16.9
They take 84.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWWLLWLWLL
Brooklyn Nets
LLLWWLLWLL
#18
League position
#25
-2.1
Net rating
-13.3
120.8
Offensive rating
100.2
122.9
Defensive rating
113.5
58.0%
Effective FG%
51.3%
58.3%
Opp. effective FG%
60.3%
10.9%
Turnover %
13.4%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
10.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.0%
3-point %
32.6%
67.3%
Assist %
62.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence120.8 · 100.2Defence122.9 · 113.5Shooting58.0% · 51.3%3-point %39.0% · 32.6%Ball care10.9% · 13.4%Off. rebounds26.0% · 10.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Brooklyn Nets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Miami Heat wins
3
Brooklyn Nets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/26ACharlotte Hornets126-127 OT
12/04/26HAtlanta Hawks143-117
10/04/26AWashington Wizards140-117
09/04/26AToronto Raptors114-128
07/04/26AToronto Raptors95-121
04/04/26HWashington Wizards152-136
01/04/26HBoston Celtics129-147
30/03/26HPhiladelphia 76ers119-109
29/03/26AIndiana Pacers118-135
27/03/26ACleveland Cavaliers128-149
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26AToronto Raptors101-136
11/04/26AMilwaukee Bucks108-125
09/04/26HIndiana Pacers94-123
07/04/26HMilwaukee Bucks96-90
05/04/26HWashington Wizards121-115
03/04/26HAtlanta Hawks107-141
31/03/26HCharlotte Hornets86-117
29/03/26HSacramento Kings116-99
28/03/26ALos Angeles Lakers99-116
26/03/26AGolden State Warriors106-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat35344332144
Brooklyn Nets29373725128
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