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Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Mar 2012
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 101-113
27-31 24-28 32-24 18-30
Position#25
Record17-36
FormLWLLW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game94.6
vs
Position#4
Record37-14
FormWWLLW
Points / game101.3
Allowed / game93.5
USANBA
NBA2011-12
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Miami Heat
15 Jan 2027
TOR v MIA
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
TOR128
MIA114
07 Apr 2026
TOR121
MIA95
21 Feb 2025
TOR111
MIA120
01 Dec 2024
TOR119
MIA116
17 Jan 2024
TOR121
MIA97
06 Dec 2023
TOR103
MIA112
28 Mar 2023
TOR106
MIA92
16 Nov 2022
TOR112
MIA104
03 Apr 2022
TOR109
MIA114
01 Feb 2022
TOR110
MIA106
22 Jan 2021
TOR101
MIA81
20 Jan 2021
TOR102
MIA111
18 Dec 2020
TOR105
MIA117
03 Dec 2019
TOR110
MIA121
07 Apr 2019
TOR117
MIA109
25 Nov 2018
TOR125
MIA115
13 Feb 2018
TOR115
MIA112
09 Jan 2018
TOR89
MIA90
07 Apr 2017
TOR96
MIA94
04 Nov 2016
TOR96
MIA87
15 May 2016
TOR116
MIA89
11 May 2016
TOR99
MIA91
05 May 2016
TOR96
MIA92
03 May 2016
TOR96
MIA102
12 Mar 2016
TOR112
MIA104
22 Jan 2016
TOR101
MIA81
13 Mar 2015
TOR102
MIA92
29 Nov 2013
TOR83
MIA90
05 Nov 2013
TOR95
MIA104
17 Mar 2013
TOR91
MIA108
03 Feb 2013
TOR85
MIA100
30 Mar 2012
TOR101
MIA113
13 Apr 2011
TOR79
MIA97
16 Feb 2011
TOR95
MIA103
27 Jan 2010
TOR111
MIA103
20 Nov 2009
TOR120
MIA113
06 Mar 2009
TOR102
MIA108
16 Nov 2008
TOR107
MIA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
96-88
96
88
+8
A13/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A14/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#7
W
114-110 OT
114
110
+4
A17/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
L
103-107
103
107
-4
A17/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
L
87-106
87
106
-19
A20/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
L
82-94
82
94
-12
H21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
96-79
96
79
+17
H23/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
L
101-102 OT
101
102
-1
A25/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
101-117
101
117
-16
H26/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
105-96
105
96
+9
H28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
33-24
21-19
21-23
22-19
24-22
15-27
23-30
26-24
21-22
25-23
31-34
29-20
24-23
14-38
36-26
24-27
20-26
24-26
19-27
23-27
28-16
18-19
13-32
25-16
14-20
31-17
26-26
30-20
25-30
18-21
21-23
26-28
23-33
24-32
28-24
27-22
28-31
30-32
20-11
196.6Avg total
96.9Scored
99.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)90.894.6185.4-3.832%
Season at home (26)92.993.4186.3-0.535%
Season away (27)88.895.8184.6-7.030%
Last 10 (10)96.999.7196.6-2.840%
Last 5 (5)97.097.6194.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)91.897.0188.8-5.231%
vs Similar (15)96.196.1192.2-0.140%
vs Weaker (2)97.0102.5199.5-5.50%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
H11/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
98-104 OT
98
104
-6
A13/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
L
102-106
102
106
-4
A15/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H18/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
99-95
99
95
+4
H20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#22
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A23/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
87-103
87
103
-16
A26/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
90-105
90
105
-15
A26/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
106-85
106
85
+21
H30/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
22-17
21-18
25-24
27-30
29-15
17-27
21-22
23-19
19-34
28-28
32-25
31-18
26-12
12-26
15-22
31-22
19-25
17-16
24-18
28-22
21-31
23-22
27-20
27-20
32-16
13-21
16-16
24-25
25-35
20-20
18-23
24-24
22-25
19-29
25-27
24-29
36-24
20-19
26-13
185.9Avg total
93.8Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)101.393.5194.8+7.873%
Season at home (24)103.490.2193.6+13.292%
Season away (27)99.596.4195.9+3.156%
Last 10 (10)93.892.1185.9+1.760%
Last 5 (5)94.092.2186.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)95.391.8187.1+3.570%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)100.991.5192.4+9.575%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
Toronto RaptorsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A13/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A14/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A17/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A17/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A20/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H23/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A25/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H26/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H28/03
NBA
96.5Avg total
49.3Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.848.495.2-1.653%-
Last 30 at home (18)47.647.595.1+0.156%-
Last 30 away (12)45.749.895.5-4.250%-
Last 10 (10)49.347.296.5+2.180%-
Last 5 (5)49.848.698.4+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)45.847.593.3-1.662%-
vs Similar (15)47.349.797.1-2.447%-
vs Weaker (2)49.045.094.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H11/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A13/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A15/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
57-30
57
30
+27
A16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H18/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#22
W
59-36
59
36
+23
A23/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A26/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A26/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H30/03
NBA
97.6Avg total
50.7Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.846.198.9+6.670%-
Last 30 at home (13)51.546.598.1+5.077%-
Last 30 away (17)53.745.899.5+7.965%-
Last 10 (10)50.746.997.6+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)52.650.2102.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)51.445.897.2+5.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)53.546.399.8+7.280%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Toronto Raptors wins
8
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/12HDenver Nuggets105-96
26/03/12HOrlando Magic101-117
25/03/12AChicago Bulls101-102 OT
23/03/12HNew York Knicks96-79
21/03/12HChicago Bulls82-94
20/03/12ANew York Knicks87-106
17/03/12ACharlotte Hornets103-107
17/03/12AMemphis Grizzlies114-110 OT
14/03/12ABrooklyn Nets84-98
13/03/12ACleveland Cavaliers96-88
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/12HDallas Mavericks106-85
26/03/12AIndiana Pacers90-105
26/03/12AOklahoma City Thunder87-103
23/03/12ADetroit Pistons88-73
20/03/12HPhoenix Suns99-95
18/03/12HOrlando Magic91-81
16/03/12APhiladelphia 76ers84-78
15/03/12AChicago Bulls102-106
13/03/12AOrlando Magic98-104 OT
11/03/12HIndiana Pacers93-91 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW32%
HomeLLWLW35%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532627
Win %32%35%30%
Points / game90.892.988.8
Allowed / game94.693.495.8
Point differential-3.8-0.5-7.0
Avg total185.4186.3184.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%27%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (15)0% (7)50% (8)
Overtime %8%0%15%
Miami Heat
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW73%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512427
Win %73%92%56%
Points / game101.3103.499.5
Allowed / game93.590.296.4
Point differential+7.8+13.2+3.1
Avg total194.8193.6195.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+49%62%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)100% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %10%4%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chicago Bulls54431180%97.488.8+8.6
2 Oklahoma City Thunder53411277%103.496.7+6.7
3 Miami Heat51371473%101.393.5+7.8
4 San Antonio Spurs51361571%100.996.4+4.4
5 Orlando Magic53332062%94.192.8+1.3
6 Los Angeles Clippers52312160%97.695.2+2.3
7 Los Angeles Lakers53312258%96.194.4+1.7
8 Philadelphia 76ers52302258%94.387.5+6.8
9 Indiana Pacers52302258%95.793.3+2.4
10 Boston Celtics52302258%90.989.8+1.2
11 Atlanta Hawks54312357%94.292.5+1.7
12 Denver Nuggets53292455%104.1102.1+2.0
13 Memphis Grizzlies50272354%94.893.9+0.9
14 Dallas Mavericks54292554%94.493.5+1.0
15 New York Knicks53282553%97.194.2+2.8
16 Houston Rockets53282553%98.197.4+0.7
17 Utah Jazz53282553%98.598.8-0.3
18 Minnesota Timberwolves54272750%99.098.4+0.6
19 Portland Trail Blazers53252847%96.895.8+1.1
20 Phoenix Suns53252847%96.898.4-1.7
21 Milwaukee Bucks52232944%97.898.8-1.0
22 Golden State Warriors51213041%97.899.8-2.0
23 Detroit Pistons52193337%89.895.2-5.4
24 Cleveland Cavaliers50183236%93.798.5-4.8
25 Sacramento Kings52183435%98.2103.6-5.4
26 Toronto Raptors53173632%90.894.6-3.8
27 Brooklyn Nets54173731%92.398.3-6.1
28 New Orleans Pelicans53153828%89.593.5-4.0
29 Washington Wizards52114121%92.7100.3-7.6
30 Charlotte Hornets5084216%87.199.8-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors27243218101
Miami Heat31282430113
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