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Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 113-112
35-31 23-26 26-34 29-21
Position#10
Record6-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game110.5
Allowed / game109.8
vs
Position#9
Record8-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game112.5
Allowed / game105.5
USANBA· Miami-Dade Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Miami Heat v Phoenix Suns
08 Mar 2027
MIA v PHX
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
MIA127
PHX121
07 Dec 2024
MIA121
PHX111
29 Jan 2024
MIA105
PHX118
14 Nov 2022
MIA113
PHX112
09 Mar 2022
MIA90
PHX111
23 Mar 2021
MIA100
PHX110
08 Aug 2020
MIA112
PHX119
25 Feb 2019
MIA121
PHX124
05 Mar 2018
MIA125
PHX103
21 Mar 2017
MIA112
PHX97
03 Mar 2016
MIA108
PHX92
02 Mar 2015
MIA115
PHX98
25 Nov 2013
MIA107
PHX92
05 Nov 2012
MIA124
PHX99
20 Mar 2012
MIA99
PHX95
17 Nov 2010
MIA123
PHX96
03 Nov 2009
MIA96
PHX104
04 Mar 2009
MIA135
PHX129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
90-98
90
98
-8
79avg 102
H24/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
119-98
119
98
+21
121avg 102
A27/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
110-123
110
123
-13
95avg 102
A28/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
113-119
113
119
-6
94avg 102
A29/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
116-109
116
109
+7
112avg 102
H01/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
110-107
110
107
+3
106avg 102
H02/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
99-101
99
101
-2
88avg 102
A04/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
107-110
107
110
-3
99avg 102
H08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
117-112 OT
117
112
+5
100avg 102
H11/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
132-115
132
115
+17
131avg 102
H13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
20-21
33-23
14-27
28-31
33-25
33-25
25-17
30-31
29-32
28-29
23-31
23-32
26-39
33-19
31-29
33-24
25-32
28-38
30-15
33-32
20-19
24-25
33-31
29-28
21-34
27-18
22-21
28-28
32-25
21-20
26-37
32-27
26-23
27-23
19-31
34-33
23-26
45-25
30-31
220.5Avg total
111.3Scored
109.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)110.5109.8220.4+0.746%
Season at home (9)110.7109.7220.3+1.056%
Season away (4)110.2110.2220.5+0.025%
Last 10 (10)111.3109.2220.5+2.150%
Last 5 (5)113.0109.0222.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.097.3175.3-19.30%
vs Similar ◀ (22)103.8104.4208.2-0.550%
vs Weaker (5)113.8101.0214.8+12.880%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
112-95
112
95
+17
108avg 108
A24/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
134-105
134
105
+29
132avg 108
H26/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
124-111
124
111
+13
125avg 108
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
124-109
124
109
+15
118avg 108
H31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
116-107
116
107
+9
107avg 108
H02/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
106-108
106
108
-2
100avg 108
H05/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
102-82
102
82
+20
93avg 108
H06/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
88-100
88
100
-12
80avg 108
A08/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
129-117
129
117
+12
119avg 108
A10/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
97-114
97
114
-17
80avg 108
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-18
28-23
25-31
26-23
37-29
35-37
33-20
29-19
21-27
36-25
36-31
31-28
29-24
36-32
25-30
34-23
24-20
30-27
30-26
32-34
28-25
21-34
31-27
26-22
35-26
26-14
23-21
18-21
20-33
27-23
23-19
18-25
39-25
30-26
35-31
25-35
23-30
29-28
22-29
23-27
218.0Avg total
113.2Scored
104.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)112.5105.5218.0+7.067%
Season at home (7)116.1103.9220.0+12.386%
Season away (5)107.4107.8215.2-0.440%
Last 10 (10)113.2104.8218.0+8.470%
Last 5 (5)104.4104.2208.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)110.1106.5216.7+3.667%
vs Weaker (15)109.5109.4218.9+0.147%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
Miami HeatPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H24/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A27/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A28/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
49-71
49
71
-22
A29/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H01/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H02/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
50-62
50
62
-12
A04/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H11/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H13/11
NBA
111.7Avg total
54.8Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.152.5103.6-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (19)52.551.9104.5+0.653%-
Last 30 away (11)48.753.5102.2-4.745%-
Last 10 (10)54.856.9111.7-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)55.655.0110.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.747.785.3-10.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)51.553.5105.0-1.945%-
vs Weaker (5)57.451.2108.6+6.280%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
61-41
61
41
+20
A24/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H26/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H02/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H05/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
61-40
61
40
+21
H06/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A08/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
69-51
69
51
+18
A10/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A12/11
NBA
111.3Avg total
58.7Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.953.9107.8-0.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.853.9109.7+1.969%-
Last 30 away (14)51.654.0105.6-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)58.752.6111.3+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)55.652.8108.4+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)53.855.3109.1-1.547%-
vs Weaker (15)53.952.5106.5+1.467%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 111.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.826.7
53.6%
54.5%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.412.6
33.7%
35.8%37.8
🏀 Free throws23.020.1
87.4%
78.1%20.1
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 113.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.328.6
53.7%
54.5%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.712.6
36.3%
35.8%37.8
🏀 Free throws21.818.2
83.5%
78.1%18.2
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWLLWWLLWL
Phoenix Suns
LWLWLWWWWW
#10
League position
#9
+2.1
Net rating
+8.5
110.0
Offensive rating
114.8
107.9
Defensive rating
106.3
52.3%
Effective FG%
54.0%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
12.4%
Turnover %
12.4%
20.0%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.7%
3-point %
36.3%
64.4%
Assist %
66.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 114.8Defence107.9 · 106.3Shooting52.3% · 54.0%3-point %33.7% · 36.3%Ball care12.4% · 12.4%Off. rebounds20.0% · 25.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Phoenix Suns wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/22HCharlotte Hornets132-115
11/11/22HCharlotte Hornets117-112 OT
08/11/22HPortland Trail Blazers107-110
04/11/22AIndiana Pacers99-101
02/11/22HSacramento Kings110-107
01/11/22HGolden State Warriors116-109
29/10/22ASacramento Kings113-119
28/10/22AGolden State Warriors110-123
27/10/22APortland Trail Blazers119-98
24/10/22HToronto Raptors90-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/22AOrlando Magic97-114
10/11/22AMinnesota Timberwolves129-117
08/11/22APhiladelphia 76ers88-100
06/11/22HPortland Trail Blazers102-82
05/11/22HPortland Trail Blazers106-108
02/11/22HMinnesota Timberwolves116-107
31/10/22HHouston Rockets124-109
29/10/22HNew Orleans Pelicans124-111
26/10/22HGolden State Warriors134-105
24/10/22ALos Angeles Clippers112-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW46%
HomeWWLWW56%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %46%56%25%
Points / game110.5110.7110.2
Allowed / game109.8109.7110.2
Point differential+0.7+1.0+0.0
Avg total220.4220.3220.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%11%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %8%11%0%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL67%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%86%40%
Points / game112.5116.1107.4
Allowed / game105.5103.9107.8
Point differential+7.0+12.3-0.4
Avg total218.0220.0215.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks1210283%111.9105.8+6.1
2 Boston Celtics1310377%119.5113.5+6.0
3 Denver Nuggets139469%117.1114.8+2.3
4 Portland Trail Blazers139469%109.3107.4+1.9
5 Phoenix Suns128467%112.5105.5+7.0
6 Utah Jazz1510567%116.9112.7+4.2
7 Memphis Grizzlies149564%114.8113.4+1.4
8 Cleveland Cavaliers138562%116.0108.9+7.1
9 Atlanta Hawks138562%115.2113.6+1.5
10 Dallas Mavericks127558%110.5107.2+3.3
11 Washington Wizards148657%108.1109.4-1.3
12 New Orleans Pelicans137654%116.5113.0+3.5
13 Los Angeles Clippers137654%103.9107.2-3.3
14 Toronto Raptors158753%111.9109.5+2.5
15 Philadelphia 76ers147750%108.5106.5+2.0
16 Indiana Pacers126650%117.3117.2+0.2
17 Sacramento Kings126650%116.8116.7+0.1
18 Miami Heat136746%110.5109.8+0.7
19 Oklahoma City Thunder136746%115.8115.5+0.3
20 New York Knicks136746%114.7116.8-2.2
21 San Antonio Spurs136746%113.5118.8-5.3
22 Brooklyn Nets146843%110.1108.7+1.4
23 Chicago Bulls146843%110.8110.9-0.1
24 Minnesota Timberwolves146843%114.3116.2-1.9
25 Golden State Warriors135838%116.2119.2-3.0
26 Orlando Magic1441029%110.0112.4-2.4
27 Charlotte Hornets1541127%108.9114.1-5.1
28 Los Angeles Lakers1331023%108.8115.4-6.5
29 Detroit Pistons1531220%108.5118.2-9.7
30 Houston Rockets1321115%109.9117.8-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat35232629113
Phoenix Suns31263421112
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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