PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Aug 2020
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 112-119
32-25 28-35 26-28 26-31
Position#7
Record44-28
FormLWLWL
Points / game111.9
Allowed / game109.1
vs
Position#14
Record32-40
FormWWWWW
Points / game112.6
Allowed / game113.3
USANBA· VISA Athletic Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Miami Heat v Phoenix Suns
08 Mar 2027
MIA v PHX
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
MIA127
PHX121
07 Dec 2024
MIA121
PHX111
29 Jan 2024
MIA105
PHX118
14 Nov 2022
MIA113
PHX112
09 Mar 2022
MIA90
PHX111
23 Mar 2021
MIA100
PHX110
08 Aug 2020
MIA112
PHX119
25 Feb 2019
MIA121
PHX124
05 Mar 2018
MIA125
PHX103
21 Mar 2017
MIA112
PHX97
03 Mar 2016
MIA108
PHX92
02 Mar 2015
MIA115
PHX98
25 Nov 2013
MIA107
PHX92
05 Nov 2012
MIA124
PHX99
20 Mar 2012
MIA99
PHX95
17 Nov 2010
MIA123
PHX96
03 Nov 2009
MIA96
PHX104
04 Mar 2009
MIA135
PHX129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
104-110
104
110
-6
96avg 107
A07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
100-89
100
89
+11
102avg 107
A08/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
98-109
98
109
-11
95avg 107
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
104-98
104
98
+6
100avg 107
H23/07
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
99-101
99
101
-2
92avg 107
A25/07
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
110-128
110
128
-18
107avg 107
H28/07
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
125-105
125
105
+20
128avg 107
A01/08
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
103-107
103
107
-4
97avg 107
H03/08
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
112-106
112
106
+6
104avg 107
H04/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
116-130
116
130
-14
110avg 107
A06/08
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
25-33
23-24
30-21
29-23
28-31
15-18
28-17
40-22
11-37
26-28
21-22
27-21
29-23
17-27
31-27
25-28
22-19
26-28
26-26
33-41
19-28
32-37
26-22
28-26
28-31
38-22
31-26
17-23
27-25
35-36
24-23
33-28
30-23
28-32
21-23
34-25
39-31
25-36
18-38
215.4Avg total
107.1Scored
108.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)111.9109.1221.0+2.861%
Season at home (36)115.4107.4222.8+8.081%
Season away (36)108.4110.8219.2-2.442%
Last 10 (10)107.1108.3215.4-1.240%
Last 5 (5)113.2115.2228.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)110.5109.5220.0+1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (12)112.2113.0225.2-0.833%
vs Weaker (16)113.3109.6222.9+3.762%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
127-117
127
117
+10
125avg 106
H07/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
140-131
140
131
+9
142avg 106
H08/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
105-121
105
121
-16
97avg 106
A11/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
101-88
101
88
+13
95avg 106
A24/07
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
103-117
103
117
-14
93avg 106
A26/07
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
117-106
117
106
+11
106avg 106
H28/07
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
125-112
125
112
+13
124avg 106
A31/07
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
117-115
117
115
+2
108avg 106
H03/08
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
117-115
117
115
+2
106avg 106
A04/08
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
114-99
114
99
+15
112avg 106
H06/08
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-22
33-36
28-24
32-35
47-28
30-31
25-32
38-40
28-36
25-18
25-28
27-39
28-19
22-20
23-27
28-22
32-29
27-34
22-31
22-23
35-29
31-31
31-26
20-20
38-31
29-21
22-29
36-31
23-35
37-38
36-19
21-23
27-23
36-33
32-35
22-24
28-23
24-25
34-27
28-24
228.7Avg total
116.6Scored
112.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)112.6113.3225.9-0.744%
Season at home (38)113.8113.0226.9+0.842%
Season away (34)111.3113.6224.9-2.347%
Last 10 (10)116.6112.1228.7+4.580%
Last 5 (5)118.0109.4227.4+8.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)110.2118.4228.7-8.233%
vs Similar ◀ (18)111.9109.5221.4+2.450%
vs Weaker (3)112.0111.0223.0+1.067%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
Miami HeatPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A08/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H23/07
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A25/07
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
52-69
52
69
-17
H28/07
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A01/08
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H03/08
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H04/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
73-56
73
56
+17
A06/08
NBA
110.0Avg total
55.0Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.154.1112.2+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.253.8112.0+4.471%-
Last 30 away (13)58.154.4112.5+3.762%-
Last 10 (10)55.055.0110.0+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)57.656.2113.8+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.054.0117.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)54.655.2109.8-0.650%-
vs Weaker (16)60.253.2113.4+6.975%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H07/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H08/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A11/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A24/07
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A26/07
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H28/07
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
67-52
67
52
+15
A31/07
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H03/08
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A04/08
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H06/08
NBA
117.6Avg total
61.4Scored
56.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.957.0113.9-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.057.3116.3+1.760%-
Last 30 away (15)54.856.8111.6-2.033%-
Last 10 (10)61.456.2117.6+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)61.657.8119.4+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)58.860.9119.7-2.144%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)54.955.6110.4-0.739%-
vs Weaker (3)63.354.3117.7+9.0100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 107.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.8
55.3%
52.3%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.014.0
35.0%
35.7%42.0
🏀 Free throws26.521.5
81.1%
77.2%21.5
They take 79.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 116.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.027.7
53.3%
52.3%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.513.2
37.2%
35.7%39.6
🏀 Free throws24.421.6
88.5%
77.2%21.6
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Aug 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWLWLLWLWL
Phoenix Suns
WWWWWLWLWW
#7
League position
#14
-1.2
Net rating
+4.3
106.9
Offensive rating
112.7
108.1
Defensive rating
108.3
53.9%
Effective FG%
54.3%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
15.9%
Turnover %
13.5%
17.6%
Off. rebound %
20.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.0%
3-point %
37.2%
75.7%
Assist %
62.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 112.7Defence108.1 · 108.3Shooting53.9% · 54.3%3-point %35.0% · 37.2%Ball care15.9% · 13.5%Off. rebounds17.6% · 20.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Miami Heat wins
2
Phoenix Suns wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/08/20AMilwaukee Bucks116-130
04/08/20HBoston Celtics112-106
03/08/20HToronto Raptors103-107
01/08/20ADenver Nuggets125-105
28/07/20HMemphis Grizzlies110-128
25/07/20AUtah Jazz99-101
23/07/20HSacramento Kings104-98
11/03/20HCharlotte Hornets98-109
08/03/20AWashington Wizards100-89
07/03/20ANew Orleans Pelicans104-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/08/20HIndiana Pacers114-99
04/08/20ALos Angeles Clippers117-115
03/08/20HDallas Mavericks117-115
31/07/20AWashington Wizards125-112
28/07/20HToronto Raptors117-106
26/07/20ABoston Celtics103-117
24/07/20AUtah Jazz101-88
11/03/20APortland Trail Blazers105-121
08/03/20HMilwaukee Bucks140-131
07/03/20HPortland Trail Blazers127-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL61%
HomeLWLLW81%
AwayLWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723636
Win %61%81%42%
Points / game111.9115.4108.4
Allowed / game109.1107.4110.8
Point differential+2.8+8.0-2.4
Avg total221.0222.8219.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%39%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (21)67% (12)44% (9)
Overtime %12%14%11%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW44%
HomeWWWWW42%
AwayLWLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723834
Win %44%42%47%
Points / game112.6113.8111.3
Allowed / game113.3113.0113.6
Point differential-0.7+0.8-2.3
Avg total225.9226.9224.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%21%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (20)27% (11)67% (9)
Overtime %4%3%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks72571579%118.6108.1+10.5
2 Los Angeles Lakers72531974%113.2107.2+6.0
3 Toronto Raptors71512072%112.2106.2+6.0
4 Los Angeles Clippers72492368%115.7109.2+6.5
5 Boston Celtics72472565%113.4107.6+5.8
6 Denver Nuggets73472664%110.8108.5+2.3
7 Houston Rockets71452663%118.1114.1+4.0
8 Oklahoma City Thunder71452663%110.4107.8+2.6
9 Utah Jazz73452862%110.7108.3+2.4
10 Indiana Pacers73452862%109.6107.6+2.0
11 Miami Heat72442861%111.9109.1+2.8
12 Philadelphia 76ers72432960%109.6107.5+2.2
13 Dallas Mavericks74433158%116.5111.3+5.2
14 Brooklyn Nets72343847%110.8112.1-1.3
15 Memphis Grizzlies73343947%112.5113.5-1.0
16 New Orleans Pelicans72333946%115.8115.9-0.1
17 Orlando Magic73334045%106.8107.9-1.1
18 Phoenix Suns72324044%112.6113.3-0.7
19 San Antonio Spurs71314044%113.7115.3-1.7
20 Portland Trail Blazers74324243%113.9115.4-1.5
21 Sacramento Kings72304242%109.6111.9-2.2
22 Charlotte Hornets65234235%102.9109.6-6.8
23 Chicago Bulls65224334%106.8109.9-3.1
24 Washington Wizards72244833%114.2118.8-4.6
25 New York Knicks66214532%105.8112.3-6.5
26 Detroit Pistons66204630%107.2110.8-3.6
27 Atlanta Hawks67204730%111.8119.7-8.0
28 Minnesota Timberwolves64194530%113.2117.5-4.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers65194629%106.9114.8-7.9
30 Golden State Warriors65155023%106.3115.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat32282626112
Phoenix Suns25352831119
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.