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Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Nov 2009
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 96-104
26-23 26-21 29-31 15-29
Position#13
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game87.7
vs
Position#4
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game117.3
Allowed / game106.7
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Miami Heat v Phoenix Suns
08 Mar 2027
MIA v PHX
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
MIA127
PHX121
07 Dec 2024
MIA121
PHX111
29 Jan 2024
MIA105
PHX118
14 Nov 2022
MIA113
PHX112
09 Mar 2022
MIA90
PHX111
23 Mar 2021
MIA100
PHX110
08 Aug 2020
MIA112
PHX119
25 Feb 2019
MIA121
PHX124
05 Mar 2018
MIA125
PHX103
21 Mar 2017
MIA112
PHX97
03 Mar 2016
MIA108
PHX92
02 Mar 2015
MIA115
PHX98
25 Nov 2013
MIA107
PHX92
05 Nov 2012
MIA124
PHX99
20 Mar 2012
MIA99
PHX95
17 Nov 2010
MIA123
PHX96
03 Nov 2009
MIA96
PHX104
04 Mar 2009
MIA135
PHX129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
64-90
64
90
-26
A20/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
108-93
108
93
+15
A23/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
107-78
107
78
+29
H25/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H28/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
91-106
91
106
-15
A30/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
98-72
98
72
+26
H02/05
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A03/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
115-93
115
93
+22
H28/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A31/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
18-35
18-17
7-14
24-18
30-23
29-31
25-21
22-12
28-17
25-32
32-17
17-24
25-22
13-17
16-18
20-24
20-39
30-22
21-21
32-18
19-24
27-14
20-16
18-20
18-29
16-19
26-23
27-23
29-24
34-15
25-31
28-16
21-31
30-16
17-20
24-27
25-21
20-22
26-17
179.7Avg total
92.3Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)102.087.7189.7+14.3100%
Season at home (2)105.090.0195.0+15.0100%
Season away (1)96.083.0179.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.387.4179.7+4.960%
Last 5 (5)96.485.2181.6+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)102.0104.2206.2-2.225%
vs Similar ◀ (22)95.894.4190.2+1.450%
vs Weaker (4)105.890.5196.2+15.2100%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
139-111
139
111
+28
H04/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
116-140
116
140
-24
A05/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
105-100
105
100
+5
A09/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
L
89-106
89
106
-17
A11/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
110-97
110
97
+13
A12/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
W
119-110
119
110
+9
H14/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
W
117-113
117
113
+4
H16/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
109-107
109
107
+2
A29/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
123-101
123
101
+22
H31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
120-112
120
112
+8
H02/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-25
30-40
37-28
33-18
33-39
26-42
25-33
32-26
26-32
23-19
26-14
30-35
27-23
20-32
21-29
21-22
31-8
26-35
24-21
29-33
32-25
27-32
27-27
33-26
24-36
32-20
30-34
31-23
24-31
29-22
24-26
32-28
28-24
34-27
30-22
31-28
35-34
32-27
29-24
24-27
224.4Avg total
114.7Scored
109.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)117.3106.7224.0+10.7100%
Season at home (2)121.5106.5228.0+15.0100%
Season away (1)109.0107.0216.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)114.7109.7224.4+5.080%
Last 5 (5)117.6108.6226.2+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)111.7120.7232.3-9.033%
vs Similar ◀ (14)112.3115.4227.7-3.143%
vs Weaker (13)120.4109.0229.4+11.485%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +3.0+3.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +3.0+3.0
Miami HeatPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A20/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A23/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H25/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H28/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
40-63
40
63
-23
A30/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H02/05
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A03/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H28/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A31/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H01/11
NBA
93.7Avg total
46.6Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.647.795.3-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.946.496.3+3.657%-
Last 30 away (16)45.648.994.5-3.244%-
Last 10 (10)46.647.193.7-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)48.246.694.8+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)48.551.099.5-2.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)46.047.393.3-1.345%-
vs Weaker (4)55.846.5102.2+9.2100%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H04/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A05/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A09/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A11/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A12/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H14/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H16/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A29/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H02/11
NBA
115.1Avg total
57.8Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.959.4117.3-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.158.4119.5+2.869%-
Last 30 away (14)54.160.6114.8-6.514%-
Last 10 (10)57.857.3115.1+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)59.455.6115.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)61.063.0124.0-2.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)55.359.9115.2-4.629%-
vs Weaker (13)59.958.1118.0+1.862%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Miami Heat wins
0
Phoenix Suns wins
DateGameScore
05/03/09Miami Heat v Phoenix Suns135-129
29/11/08Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat92-107
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/09HChicago Bulls95-87
31/10/09AIndiana Pacers96-83
28/10/09HNew York Knicks115-93
03/05/09AAtlanta Hawks78-91
02/05/09HAtlanta Hawks98-72
30/04/09AAtlanta Hawks91-106
28/04/09HAtlanta Hawks71-81
25/04/09HAtlanta Hawks107-78
23/04/09AAtlanta Hawks108-93
20/04/09AAtlanta Hawks64-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/09HMinnesota Timberwolves120-112
31/10/09HGolden State Warriors123-101
29/10/09ALos Angeles Clippers109-107
16/04/09HGolden State Warriors117-113
14/04/09HMemphis Grizzlies119-110
12/04/09AMinnesota Timberwolves110-97
11/04/09AMemphis Grizzlies89-106
09/04/09ANew Orleans Pelicans105-100
05/04/09ADallas Mavericks116-140
04/04/09HSacramento Kings139-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game102.0105.096.0
Allowed / game87.790.083.0
Point differential+14.3+15.0+13.0
Avg total189.7195.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game117.3121.5109.0
Allowed / game106.7106.5107.0
Point differential+10.7+15.0+2.0
Avg total224.0228.0216.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics550100%101.479.8+21.6
2 Miami Heat330100%102.087.7+14.3
3 Orlando Magic330100%113.3102.3+11.0
4 Phoenix Suns330100%117.3106.7+10.7
5 Denver Nuggets440100%113.8103.8+10.0
6 Houston Rockets43175%104.8101.5+3.2
7 San Antonio Spurs32167%103.794.0+9.7
8 Atlanta Hawks32167%110.0105.3+4.7
9 Dallas Mavericks32167%92.788.7+4.0
10 Oklahoma City Thunder32167%89.085.0+4.0
11 Los Angeles Lakers32167%99.098.7+0.3
12 Cleveland Cavaliers53260%95.290.4+4.8
13 Portland Trail Blazers42250%95.092.2+2.8
14 Washington Wizards42250%101.099.2+1.8
15 Milwaukee Bucks21150%91.092.0-1.0
16 Philadelphia 76ers42250%105.0109.5-4.5
17 Charlotte Hornets42250%79.887.5-7.8
18 Detroit Pistons31233%88.087.0+1.0
19 Toronto Raptors31233%108.0110.3-2.3
20 Utah Jazz31233%104.0108.3-4.3
21 Chicago Bulls31233%89.799.3-9.7
22 Minnesota Timberwolves41325%96.0102.5-6.5
23 Sacramento Kings41325%100.5107.0-6.5
24 New Orleans Pelicans41325%97.8104.8-7.0
25 New York Knicks41325%109.2117.2-8.0
26 Memphis Grizzlies41325%107.0115.8-8.8
27 Los Angeles Clippers51420%94.8100.4-5.6
28 Brooklyn Nets4040%87.598.0-10.5
29 Golden State Warriors2020%104.0115.5-11.5
30 Indiana Pacers3030%95.0109.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2626291596
Phoenix Suns23213129104
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