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Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 100-110
20-25 23-33 30-27 27-25
Position#15
Record23-22
FormWWLLL
Points / game106.3
Allowed / game107.6
vs
Position#3
Record28-17
FormLWLWW
Points / game113.2
Allowed / game108.1
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Miami Heat v Phoenix Suns
08 Mar 2027
MIA v PHX
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
MIA127
PHX121
07 Dec 2024
MIA121
PHX111
29 Jan 2024
MIA105
PHX118
14 Nov 2022
MIA113
PHX112
09 Mar 2022
MIA90
PHX111
23 Mar 2021
MIA100
PHX110
08 Aug 2020
MIA112
PHX119
25 Feb 2019
MIA121
PHX124
05 Mar 2018
MIA125
PHX103
21 Mar 2017
MIA112
PHX97
03 Mar 2016
MIA108
PHX92
02 Mar 2015
MIA115
PHX98
25 Nov 2013
MIA107
PHX92
05 Nov 2012
MIA124
PHX99
20 Mar 2012
MIA99
PHX95
17 Nov 2010
MIA123
PHX96
03 Nov 2009
MIA96
PHX104
04 Mar 2009
MIA135
PHX129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
109-99
109
99
+10
105avg 102
H01/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
80-94
80
94
-14
59avg 102
H03/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
103-93
103
93
+10
104avg 102
A05/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
111-103
111
103
+8
101avg 102
H12/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
101-90
101
90
+11
96avg 102
A13/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
102-97
102
97
+5
95avg 102
A14/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
113-98
113
98
+15
114avg 102
H17/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
85-89
85
89
-4
71avg 102
A18/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
110-137
110
137
-27
95avg 102
H20/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
106-109 OT
106
109
-3
96avg 102
H21/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
28-23
24-33
31-22
17-23
20-21
29-19
14-31
31-15
24-30
22-25
26-23
30-32
33-26
19-24
29-21
29-21
13-21
28-26
31-22
22-19
26-26
25-32
29-20
37-26
25-22
33-28
18-22
22-25
25-21
16-26
22-17
30-32
28-36
24-31
28-38
26-32
23-25
21-22
28-19
202.9Avg total
102.0Scored
100.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)106.3107.6213.9-1.451%
Season at home (23)106.8108.6215.4-1.752%
Season away (22)105.7106.7212.4-1.050%
Last 10 (10)102.0100.9202.9+1.160%
Last 5 (5)103.2106.0209.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)104.6113.9218.4-9.314%
vs Similar (18)104.0104.1208.1-0.156%
vs Weaker (5)107.097.2204.2+9.8100%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
106-97
106
97
+9
100avg 109
A27/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
118-99
118
99
+19
115avg 109
A01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
114-104
114
104
+10
113avg 109
A03/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
120-98
120
98
+22
119avg 109
H05/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
127-121
127
121
+6
126avg 109
A12/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
111-122
111
122
-11
102avg 109
H14/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
122-99
122
99
+23
122avg 109
H16/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
119-123
119
123
-4
119avg 109
H19/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
113-101
113
101
+12
109avg 109
H20/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
111-94
111
94
+17
111avg 109
H22/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
20-32
28-23
32-16
30-26
23-22
33-28
32-23
29-21
31-32
26-30
28-21
34-23
28-28
25-22
33-25
30-33
30-27
30-34
37-27
33-29
24-33
20-35
34-25
24-25
36-27
36-25
26-22
25-25
33-28
33-30
28-40
34-29
30-25
19-24
30-23
31-26
28-18
29-32
23-18
221.9Avg total
116.1Scored
105.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)113.2108.1221.3+5.162%
Season at home (25)114.8107.8222.7+7.060%
Season away (20)111.2108.4219.6+2.865%
Last 10 (10)116.1105.8221.9+10.380%
Last 5 (5)115.2107.8223.0+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)117.1108.5225.6+8.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)113.9107.2221.1+6.869%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +6.3+6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +6.3+6.3
Miami HeatPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H01/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H03/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A05/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H12/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A13/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A14/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H17/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A18/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H20/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H21/03
NBA
101.2Avg total
51.5Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.552.1105.5+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.753.3109.1+2.467%-
Last 30 away (15)51.250.8102.0+0.453%-
Last 10 (10)51.549.7101.2+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)52.852.8105.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)49.354.3103.6-5.043%-
vs Similar (18)55.251.3106.6+3.967%-
vs Weaker (5)53.051.6104.6+1.460%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A27/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
60-53
60
53
+7
A03/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H05/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A12/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H14/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H16/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H19/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H20/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H22/03
NBA
111.4Avg total
57.9Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.652.8110.4+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (19)59.253.0112.2+6.279%-
Last 30 away (11)54.752.5107.3+2.236%-
Last 10 (10)57.953.5111.4+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)59.653.0112.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)58.952.2111.1+6.664%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)56.453.4109.8+3.162%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 102.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.126.4
53.8%
52.8%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.610.8
29.5%
36.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.816.8
80.8%
77.7%16.8
They take 85.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 116.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.732.8
56.8%
52.8%65.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.811.6
40.3%
36.6%34.8
🏀 Free throws19.015.7
82.6%
77.7%15.7
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LLLWWWWWLW
Phoenix Suns
WWLWLWWWWW
#15
League position
#3
+1.1
Net rating
+10.1
104.9
Offensive rating
114.3
103.8
Defensive rating
104.2
49.7%
Effective FG%
58.0%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
11.3%
Turnover %
14.2%
19.9%
Off. rebound %
18.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.22
29.5%
3-point %
40.3%
66.1%
Assist %
66.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 114.3Defence103.8 · 104.2Shooting49.7% · 58.0%3-point %29.5% · 40.3%Ball care11.3% · 14.2%Off. rebounds19.9% · 18.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Miami Heat wins
3
Phoenix Suns wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/21HIndiana Pacers106-109 OT
20/03/21HIndiana Pacers110-137
18/03/21AMemphis Grizzlies85-89
17/03/21HCleveland Cavaliers113-98
14/03/21AOrlando Magic102-97
13/03/21AChicago Bulls101-90
12/03/21HOrlando Magic111-103
05/03/21ANew Orleans Pelicans103-93
03/03/21HAtlanta Hawks80-94
01/03/21HAtlanta Hawks109-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/21HLos Angeles Lakers111-94
20/03/21HMinnesota Timberwolves113-101
19/03/21HMinnesota Timberwolves119-123
16/03/21HMemphis Grizzlies122-99
14/03/21HIndiana Pacers111-122
12/03/21APortland Trail Blazers127-121
05/03/21HGolden State Warriors120-98
03/03/21ALos Angeles Lakers114-104
01/03/21AMinnesota Timberwolves118-99
27/02/21AChicago Bulls106-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL51%
HomeLWWLL52%
AwayWWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452322
Win %51%52%50%
Points / game106.3106.8105.7
Allowed / game107.6108.6106.7
Point differential-1.4-1.7-1.0
Avg total213.9215.4212.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%26%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)33% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %9%9%9%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWWWWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452520
Win %62%60%65%
Points / game113.2114.8111.2
Allowed / game108.1107.8108.4
Point differential+5.1+7.0+2.8
Avg total221.3222.7219.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%36%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (15)20% (10)40% (5)
Overtime %7%8%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz45341176%116.9108.0+8.9
2 Philadelphia 76ers45321371%114.9109.4+5.5
3 Brooklyn Nets45311469%120.0114.6+5.4
4 Los Angeles Lakers48321667%111.5106.3+5.2
5 Milwaukee Bucks45281762%119.2113.1+6.1
6 Phoenix Suns45281762%113.2108.1+5.1
7 Denver Nuggets46281861%116.0109.7+6.3
8 Los Angeles Clippers47281960%113.7109.6+4.0
9 Portland Trail Blazers46262057%113.7115.9-2.1
10 Dallas Mavericks44242055%112.8111.4+1.4
11 Memphis Grizzlies44232152%112.0110.7+1.3
12 Golden State Warriors46242252%112.8112.7+0.0
13 New York Knicks48252352%104.9103.7+1.2
14 San Antonio Spurs43222151%109.6110.8-1.3
15 Miami Heat45232251%106.3107.6-1.4
16 Atlanta Hawks47242351%112.6111.2+1.4
17 Chicago Bulls46222448%113.1113.2-0.1
18 Charlotte Hornets46222448%111.8113.2-1.4
19 New Orleans Pelicans45212447%115.8114.5+1.3
20 Boston Celtics45212447%111.2111.3-0.0
21 Oklahoma City Thunder46202643%106.5112.0-5.4
22 Sacramento Kings47202743%114.3118.9-4.6
23 Indiana Pacers45192642%112.6113.2-0.6
24 Toronto Raptors46192741%111.8112.2-0.4
25 Cleveland Cavaliers47182938%103.7111.5-7.8
26 Washington Wizards45162936%113.9119.2-5.3
27 Orlando Magic47163134%105.2111.8-6.5
28 Houston Rockets46153133%107.7112.5-4.8
29 Detroit Pistons46143230%106.0109.1-3.2
30 Minnesota Timberwolves46113524%109.6117.2-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat20233027100
Phoenix Suns25332725110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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