PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Mar 2009
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 135-129
40-29 27-32 37-34 31-34
Position#14
Record31-28
FormLWLWL
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game97.1
vs
Position#12
Record34-26
FormWLWWL
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game105.2
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Miami Heat v Phoenix Suns
08 Mar 2027
MIA v PHX
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
MIA127
PHX121
07 Dec 2024
MIA121
PHX111
29 Jan 2024
MIA105
PHX118
14 Nov 2022
MIA113
PHX112
09 Mar 2022
MIA90
PHX111
23 Mar 2021
MIA100
PHX110
08 Aug 2020
MIA112
PHX119
25 Feb 2019
MIA121
PHX124
05 Mar 2018
MIA125
PHX103
21 Mar 2017
MIA112
PHX97
03 Mar 2016
MIA108
PHX92
02 Mar 2015
MIA115
PHX98
25 Nov 2013
MIA107
PHX92
05 Nov 2012
MIA124
PHX99
20 Mar 2012
MIA99
PHX95
17 Nov 2010
MIA123
PHX96
03 Nov 2009
MIA96
PHX104
04 Mar 2009
MIA135
PHX129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#19
W
96-92
96
92
+4
H08/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
82-99
82
99
-17
H11/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
95-93
95
93
+2
A13/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
104-111
104
111
-7
H19/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
97-91
97
91
+6
H21/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
99-122
99
122
-23
A22/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
103-91
103
91
+12
H25/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A28/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
120-115
120
115
+5
H01/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
100-107
100
107
-7
H03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
25-19
26-22
27-31
20-32
20-24
25-18
17-25
23-24
27-15
26-26
19-28
31-20
18-26
24-36
31-29
20-16
20-24
27-23
30-28
24-39
22-25
26-27
27-31
24-25
28-26
28-17
23-23
15-19
17-17
21-28
30-27
22-34
37-33
24-31
37-17
26-30
29-28
27-18
18-31
199.1Avg total
97.9Scored
101.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)96.897.1193.9-0.353%
Season at home (31)97.494.0191.4+3.465%
Season away (28)96.2100.5196.7-4.339%
Last 10 (10)97.9101.2199.1-3.350%
Last 5 (5)101.0105.2206.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)95.7101.9197.6-6.129%
vs Similar ◀ (17)94.997.1192.0-2.147%
vs Weaker (6)106.397.0203.3+9.383%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
92-109
92
109
-17
A12/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
140-100
140
100
+40
H18/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
142-119
142
119
+23
A19/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
140-118
140
118
+22
H21/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
108-128
108
128
-20
H22/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#19
W
112-102
112
102
+10
H25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
106-132
106
132
-26
A27/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
W
133-113
133
113
+20
H28/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
118-111
118
111
+7
H01/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
99-111
99
111
-12
A04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
23-35
19-23
21-22
41-26
40-23
37-23
22-28
30-29
37-24
36-37
39-29
38-23
41-34
24-36
37-25
33-38
21-30
29-28
25-32
29-27
30-28
35-29
18-18
26-39
29-31
26-32
25-30
37-30
31-37
28-25
37-21
34-26
32-30
25-25
27-30
29-24
27-32
25-22
18-33
233.3Avg total
119.0Scored
114.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)107.0105.2212.2+1.957%
Season at home (30)110.2104.7214.9+5.663%
Season away (30)103.8105.7209.5-1.850%
Last 10 (10)119.0114.3233.3+4.760%
Last 5 (5)113.6113.8227.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)102.2116.8219.0-14.620%
vs Similar ◀ (12)105.2107.1212.2-1.942%
vs Weaker (13)119.8106.2226.0+13.777%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
Miami HeatPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#19
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H08/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H11/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A13/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H19/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H21/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
46-64
46
64
-18
A22/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H25/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A28/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H01/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H03/03
NBA
96.2Avg total
46.6Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.948.995.8-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.847.294.0-0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)47.050.997.9-3.921%-
Last 10 (10)46.649.696.2-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)48.855.2104.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)48.051.499.4-3.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)44.847.792.5-2.924%-
vs Weaker (6)51.549.3100.8+2.267%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A12/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
81-49
81
49
+32
H18/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
67-53
67
53
+14
A19/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
79-57
79
57
+22
H21/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
54-68
54
68
-14
H22/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#19
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
55-70
55
70
-15
A27/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H28/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H01/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A04/03
NBA
123.2Avg total
63.7Scored
59.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.656.9115.6+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.755.4118.1+7.373%-
Last 30 away (15)54.558.5113.0-3.940%-
Last 10 (10)63.759.5123.2+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)60.860.8121.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)52.264.4116.6-12.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)55.256.0111.2-0.842%-
vs Weaker (13)64.354.9119.2+9.485%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Miami Heat wins
0
Phoenix Suns wins
DateGameScore
29/11/08Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat92-107
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/09HCleveland Cavaliers100-107
01/03/09HNew York Knicks120-115
28/02/09AAtlanta Hawks83-91
25/02/09HDetroit Pistons103-91
22/02/09AOrlando Magic99-122
21/02/09HPhiladelphia 76ers97-91
19/02/09HMinnesota Timberwolves104-111
13/02/09AChicago Bulls95-93
11/02/09HDenver Nuggets82-99
08/02/09HCharlotte Hornets96-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/09AOrlando Magic99-111
01/03/09HLos Angeles Lakers118-111
28/02/09HToronto Raptors133-113
27/02/09ALos Angeles Lakers106-132
25/02/09HCharlotte Hornets112-102
22/02/09HBoston Celtics108-128
21/02/09HOklahoma City Thunder140-118
19/02/09ALos Angeles Clippers142-119
18/02/09HLos Angeles Clippers140-100
12/02/09ACleveland Cavaliers92-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL53%
HomeLWWWL65%
AwayLLWLL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593128
Win %53%65%39%
Points / game96.897.496.2
Allowed / game97.194.0100.5
Point differential-0.3+3.4-4.3
Avg total193.9191.4196.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%26%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won76% (17)100% (6)64% (11)
Overtime %5%3%7%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWLWWW63%
AwayLLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games603030
Win %57%63%50%
Points / game107.0110.2103.8
Allowed / game105.2104.7105.7
Point differential+1.9+5.6-1.8
Avg total212.2214.9209.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%37%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (15)57% (7)62% (8)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers61491280%108.7100.6+8.1
2 Cleveland Cavaliers60481280%100.090.3+9.7
3 Boston Celtics61471477%101.592.3+9.1
4 Orlando Magic60441673%102.395.3+7.0
5 San Antonio Spurs59401968%97.393.5+3.9
6 Houston Rockets61392264%98.894.7+4.0
7 Denver Nuggets61392264%102.8100.4+2.4
8 Portland Trail Blazers59372263%99.094.8+4.2
9 New Orleans Pelicans59372263%96.293.7+2.5
10 Utah Jazz60372362%103.199.3+3.9
11 Dallas Mavericks60362460%100.999.3+1.6
12 Phoenix Suns60342657%107.0105.2+1.9
13 Atlanta Hawks60342657%98.497.1+1.2
14 Miami Heat59312853%96.897.1-0.3
15 Detroit Pistons59302951%93.394.1-0.7
16 Philadelphia 76ers59293049%96.696.0+0.5
17 Milwaukee Bucks64293545%99.299.6-0.3
18 Brooklyn Nets60273345%98.2100.4-2.3
19 Chicago Bulls61273444%100.5102.2-1.7
20 Indiana Pacers63273643%104.8106.4-1.6
21 Charlotte Hornets61263543%92.894.4-1.6
22 New York Knicks59243541%106.0108.1-2.1
23 Toronto Raptors62233937%97.4101.0-3.6
24 Golden State Warriors60213935%108.2111.3-3.1
25 Minnesota Timberwolves60184230%99.1103.8-4.7
26 Memphis Grizzlies59154425%93.299.7-6.5
27 Oklahoma City Thunder60154525%98.3104.1-5.8
28 Los Angeles Clippers61154625%94.8103.4-8.6
29 Washington Wizards60144623%94.8102.2-7.5
30 Sacramento Kings62134921%99.2108.4-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat40273731135
Phoenix Suns29323434129
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.