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Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2013
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 91-108
19-27 24-28 30-21 18-32
Position#19
Record31-41
FormWLWLW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game98.6
vs
Position#1
Record54-18
FormWWWWW
Points / game102.3
Allowed / game95.5
USANBA
NBA2012-13
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Miami Heat
15 Jan 2027
TOR v MIA
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
TOR105
MIA129
09 Apr 2026
TOR128
MIA114
07 Apr 2026
TOR121
MIA95
21 Feb 2025
TOR111
MIA120
01 Dec 2024
TOR119
MIA116
17 Jan 2024
TOR121
MIA97
06 Dec 2023
TOR103
MIA112
28 Mar 2023
TOR106
MIA92
16 Nov 2022
TOR112
MIA104
15 Jul 2022
TOR88
MIA78
03 Apr 2022
TOR109
MIA114
01 Feb 2022
TOR110
MIA106
22 Jan 2021
TOR101
MIA81
20 Jan 2021
TOR102
MIA111
18 Dec 2020
TOR105
MIA117
03 Dec 2019
TOR110
MIA121
07 Apr 2019
TOR117
MIA109
25 Nov 2018
TOR125
MIA115
13 Feb 2018
TOR115
MIA112
09 Jan 2018
TOR89
MIA90
07 Apr 2017
TOR96
MIA94
04 Nov 2016
TOR96
MIA87
15 May 2016
TOR116
MIA89
11 May 2016
TOR99
MIA91
05 May 2016
TOR96
MIA92
03 May 2016
TOR96
MIA102
12 Mar 2016
TOR112
MIA104
22 Jan 2016
TOR101
MIA81
13 Mar 2015
TOR102
MIA92
29 Nov 2013
TOR83
MIA90
05 Nov 2013
TOR95
MIA104
13 Jul 2013
TOR72
MIA81
17 Mar 2013
TOR91
MIA108
03 Feb 2013
TOR85
MIA100
30 Mar 2012
TOR101
MIA113
13 Apr 2011
TOR79
MIA97
16 Feb 2011
TOR95
MIA103
27 Jan 2010
TOR111
MIA103
20 Nov 2009
TOR120
MIA113
06 Mar 2009
TOR102
MIA108
16 Nov 2008
TOR107
MIA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#25
L
84-90
84
90
-6
H26/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
L
92-103
92
103
-11
A28/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
81-93
81
93
-12
H02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
L
114-122 OT
114
122
-8
A03/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
118-125
118
125
-7
A05/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
98-71
98
71
+27
A07/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#17
L
116-118 OT
116
118
-2
A09/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
100-96
100
96
+4
H10/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
88-112
88
112
-24
A13/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H15/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
16-23
22-23
30-27
25-20
23-37
23-23
21-23
13-17
21-22
17-25
30-29
32-23
23-31
19-28
30-22
28-31
26-31
36-21
28-42
28-24
26-16
18-15
26-16
37-25
22-28
30-26
20-30
20-27
26-28
33-19
21-22
22-21
18-28
22-32
26-31
22-17
26-25
21-26
23-10
199.1Avg total
98.3Scored
100.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)98.098.6196.6-0.643%
Season at home (37)97.494.2191.6+3.157%
Season away (35)98.7103.2201.9-4.529%
Last 10 (10)98.3100.8199.1-2.530%
Last 5 (5)98.895.0193.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)97.496.9194.3+0.657%
vs Similar (17)100.2104.6204.9-4.424%
vs Weaker (6)96.290.3186.5+5.867%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
141-129 OT
141
129
+12
H27/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
W
98-91
98
91
+7
H02/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
W
99-93
99
93
+6
A03/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#22
W
97-81
97
81
+16
A05/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
97-96
97
96
+1
H07/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#18
W
102-93
102
93
+9
H09/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
105-91
105
91
+14
H10/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H12/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#18
W
98-94
98
94
+4
A13/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
107-94
107
94
+13
A16/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
24-31
33-32
28-27
16-20
26-21
25-25
31-25
23-22
22-37
28-18
26-16
22-16
28-27
19-20
28-18
25-18
30-22
22-34
20-22
28-24
19-27
29-24
26-18
29-20
27-26
23-19
26-26
26-18
31-26
22-21
19-16
21-22
30-17
20-27
27-28
26-27
25-15
33-26
23-26
198.5Avg total
104.2Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)102.395.5197.8+6.875%
Season at home (38)105.896.6202.5+9.284%
Season away (34)98.494.2192.6+4.265%
Last 10 (10)104.294.3198.5+9.9100%
Last 5 (5)102.090.6192.6+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)104.593.2197.8+11.2100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)105.294.5199.7+10.788%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +3.2+3.2
Toronto RaptorsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#25
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H26/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A28/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A03/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A05/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A07/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#17
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A09/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H10/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A13/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H15/03
NBA
96.1Avg total
47.0Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.347.796.0+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.846.292.0-0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)51.149.5100.6+1.657%-
Last 10 (10)47.049.196.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)49.447.897.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)46.344.690.9+1.757%-
vs Similar (17)48.949.097.9-0.147%-
vs Weaker (6)49.047.896.8+1.267%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H27/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H02/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A03/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#22
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A05/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H07/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#18
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H09/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H10/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H12/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#18
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A13/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A16/03
NBA
96.3Avg total
50.5Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.047.899.8+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.649.3103.9+5.464%-
Last 30 away (16)49.746.496.1+3.250%-
Last 10 (10)50.545.896.3+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)52.444.496.8+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)53.049.0102.0+4.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)51.847.699.4+4.354%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toronto Raptors wins
10
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/13HCharlotte Hornets92-78
13/03/13ABoston Celtics88-112
10/03/13HCleveland Cavaliers100-96
09/03/13ALos Angeles Lakers116-118 OT
07/03/13APhoenix Suns98-71
05/03/13AGolden State Warriors118-125
03/03/13AMilwaukee Bucks114-122 OT
02/03/13HIndiana Pacers81-93
28/02/13ACleveland Cavaliers92-103
26/02/13HWashington Wizards84-90
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/13AMilwaukee Bucks107-94
13/03/13APhiladelphia 76ers98-94
12/03/13HAtlanta Hawks98-81
10/03/13HIndiana Pacers105-91
09/03/13HPhiladelphia 76ers102-93
07/03/13HOrlando Magic97-96
05/03/13AMinnesota Timberwolves97-81
03/03/13ANew York Knicks99-93
02/03/13HMemphis Grizzlies98-91
27/02/13HSacramento Kings141-129 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW43%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723735
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game98.097.498.7
Allowed / game98.694.2103.2
Point differential-0.6+3.1-4.5
Avg total196.6191.6201.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%27%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (23)58% (12)36% (11)
Overtime %12%8%17%
Miami Heat
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW84%
AwayWWWWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723834
Win %75%84%65%
Points / game102.3105.898.4
Allowed / game95.596.694.2
Point differential+6.8+9.2+4.2
Avg total197.8202.5192.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%47%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (15)88% (8)57% (7)
Overtime %8%11%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami Heat72541875%102.395.5+6.8
2 San Antonio Spurs73541974%104.296.7+7.5
3 Oklahoma City Thunder73532073%106.097.0+9.0
4 Los Angeles Clippers74502468%100.394.2+6.1
5 Memphis Grizzlies72472565%94.190.4+3.6
6 Denver Nuggets74482665%104.6100.7+3.9
7 Indiana Pacers73442960%93.990.2+3.7
8 New York Knicks69412859%98.996.6+2.3
9 Brooklyn Nets71413058%95.495.0+0.4
10 Chicago Bulls72413157%92.291.4+0.8
11 Golden State Warriors74423257%100.199.9+0.1
12 Houston Rockets73413256%106.6102.9+3.7
13 Atlanta Hawks72393354%97.396.5+0.9
14 Boston Celtics71383354%96.095.6+0.4
15 Utah Jazz74393553%98.297.8+0.4
16 Milwaukee Bucks72353749%98.499.6-1.2
17 Dallas Mavericks71343748%100.7101.1-0.5
18 Portland Trail Blazers72343847%98.499.5-1.2
19 Los Angeles Lakers75354047%100.6101.1-0.5
20 Toronto Raptors72314143%98.098.6-0.6
21 Philadelphia 76ers72314143%93.595.8-2.2
22 Sacramento Kings73284538%99.3103.8-4.5
23 Minnesota Timberwolves69264338%94.196.5-2.3
24 Washington Wizards73264736%92.995.5-2.6
25 Detroit Pistons76274936%94.098.0-4.0
26 New Orleans Pelicans74264835%93.397.1-3.8
27 Phoenix Suns74264835%94.8100.3-5.5
28 Cleveland Cavaliers72244833%97.2101.1-3.9
29 Orlando Magic74205427%94.7101.1-6.4
30 Charlotte Hornets74155920%92.3102.3-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors1924301891
Miami Heat27282132108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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