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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Nov 2015
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 84-96
15-22 24-27 22-24 23-23
Position#26
Record4-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game97.4
Allowed / game103.4
vs
Position#9
Record6-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game96.0
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat
06 Feb 2027
MIN v MIA
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
MIN122
MIA94
10 Nov 2024
MIN94
MIA95
28 Oct 2023
MIN106
MIA90
21 Nov 2022
MIN105
MIA101
24 Nov 2021
MIN113
MIA101
16 Apr 2021
MIN119
MIA111
27 Oct 2019
MIN116
MIA109
10 Jul 2019
MIN90
MIA87
05 Apr 2019
MIN111
MIA109
24 Nov 2017
MIN97
MIA109
06 Feb 2017
MIN113
MIA115
05 Nov 2015
MIN84
MIA96
04 Feb 2015
MIN102
MIA101
07 Dec 2013
MIN82
MIA103
04 Mar 2013
MIN81
MIA97
30 Dec 2011
MIN101
MIA103
01 Apr 2011
MIN92
MIA111
03 Apr 2010
MIN84
MIA97
13 Jan 2009
MIN96
MIA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
99-122
99
122
-23
H08/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
105-114
105
114
-9
H11/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
105-112
105
112
-7
A12/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H14/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
68-90
68
90
-22
A18/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
L
88-106
88
106
-18
A21/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
W
112-108
112
108
+4
H24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
112-111
112
111
+1
A29/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
95-78
95
78
+17
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
101-106
101
106
-5
H03/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-42
28-21
29-33
14-26
16-34
39-31
22-24
28-25
26-25
33-35
31-36
15-16
23-25
20-29
17-13
29-20
15-20
17-25
22-22
14-23
20-28
30-24
17-35
21-19
30-28
26-25
27-30
29-25
22-31
29-29
37-35
24-16
26-16
23-23
30-24
16-15
34-21
19-32
27-30
21-23
200.8Avg total
97.4Scored
103.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)97.4103.4200.8-6.040%
Season at home (5)101.2107.4208.6-6.240%
Season away (5)93.699.4193.0-5.840%
Last 10 (10)97.4103.4200.8-6.040%
Last 5 (5)101.6101.8203.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)96.4108.8205.2-12.312%
vs Similar (13)91.996.1188.0-4.231%
vs Weaker (1)112.0111.0223.0+1.0100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H12/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
A13/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
W
105-100
105
100
+5
A18/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
101-92
101
92
+9
A18/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
110-105
110
105
+5
H22/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
90-93
90
93
-3
A24/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
104-94
104
94
+10
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
92-102
92
102
-10
A30/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
W
109-89
109
89
+20
H01/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
92-98
92
98
-6
H04/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
31-33
18-26
26-10
17-20
23-25
16-17
25-19
27-33
29-29
20-22
29-16
24-24
19-27
31-16
27-25
17-29
36-23
19-29
38-24
26-23
28-25
9-18
27-27
23-27
31-17
19-16
31-34
23-29
19-18
25-29
25-26
30-35
14-28
31-12
34-14
24-25
16-26
25-28
27-19
195.4Avg total
99.2Scored
96.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)97.296.0193.2+1.250%
Season at home (7)98.095.7193.7+2.357%
Season away (5)96.096.4192.4-0.440%
Last 10 (10)99.296.2195.4+3.060%
Last 5 (5)97.495.2192.6+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.993.3176.2-10.422%
vs Similar (14)97.997.8195.7+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.780.9168.6+6.986%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +7.5+7.5
Minnesota TimberwolvesMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H08/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H11/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
59-60
59
60
-1
A12/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H14/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A18/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A21/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A29/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H03/11
NBA
104.8Avg total
50.4Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.852.899.6-6.117%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.755.0101.7-8.314%-
Last 30 away (16)46.850.997.8-4.119%-
Last 10 (10)50.454.4104.8-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)51.851.4103.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)47.555.6103.1-8.16%-
vs Similar (13)45.548.994.5-3.431%-
vs Weaker (1)51.060.0111.0-9.00%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H12/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A13/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A18/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A18/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H22/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A24/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A30/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
L
44-63
44
63
-19
H01/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H04/11
NBA
100.0Avg total
47.9Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.146.693.7+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.646.293.8+1.444%-
Last 30 away (14)46.547.093.5-0.543%-
Last 10 (10)47.952.1100.0-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)46.850.697.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)45.746.392.0-0.733%-
vs Similar (14)48.650.799.3-2.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)46.038.684.6+7.486%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 101.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.1 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws27.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.727.6
47.0%
49.0%55.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.96.6
36.8%
35.3%19.7
🏀 Free throws33.627.0
80.4%
75.5%27.0
They take 76.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 23% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 96.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.627.5
46.9%
49.0%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.3
32.2%
35.3%21.8
🏀 Free throws24.019.4
80.7%
75.5%19.4
They take 81.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/8 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWLLWLLL
Miami Heat
LWLWLWWWLW
#26
League position
#9
-1.9
Net rating
+1.3
102.8
Offensive rating
99.7
104.7
Defensive rating
98.4
48.9%
Effective FG%
47.3%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
19.7%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.8%
3-point %
32.2%
63.6%
Assist %
59.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 99.7Defence104.7 · 98.4Shooting48.9% · 47.3%3-point %36.8% · 32.2%Ball care15.0% · 15.1%Off. rebounds19.7% · 23.1%Free throws0.44 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/15HPortland Trail Blazers101-106
31/10/15ADenver Nuggets95-78
29/10/15ALos Angeles Lakers112-111
24/10/15HMilwaukee Bucks112-108
21/10/15AMilwaukee Bucks88-106
18/10/15AMemphis Grizzlies68-90
14/10/15HToronto Raptors89-87
12/10/15AToronto Raptors105-112
11/10/15HChicago Bulls105-114
08/10/15HOklahoma City Thunder99-122
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/15HAtlanta Hawks92-98
01/11/15HHouston Rockets109-89
30/10/15ACleveland Cavaliers92-102
28/10/15HCharlotte Hornets104-94
24/10/15ANew Orleans Pelicans90-93
22/10/15HWashington Wizards110-105
18/10/15AAtlanta Hawks101-92
18/10/15AHouston Rockets105-100
13/10/15AOrlando Magic92-95 OT
12/10/15HSan Antonio Spurs97-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL40%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game97.4101.293.6
Allowed / game103.4107.499.4
Point differential-6.0-6.2-5.8
Avg total200.8208.6193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWWWL57%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%57%40%
Points / game97.298.096.0
Allowed / game96.095.796.4
Point differential+1.2+2.3-0.4
Avg total193.2193.7192.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors1210283%99.491.7+7.8
2 Memphis Grizzlies118373%89.690.1-0.5
3 Oklahoma City Thunder107370%109.5102.9+6.6
4 Atlanta Hawks139469%96.094.5+1.5
5 Golden State Warriors128467%109.2101.3+7.9
6 Charlotte Hornets128467%100.192.8+7.3
7 Phoenix Suns117464%103.398.8+4.5
8 Los Angeles Clippers117464%102.3101.9+0.4
9 Washington Wizards106460%107.0104.7+2.3
10 Indiana Pacers127558%99.198.3+0.8
11 Boston Celtics95456%99.496.0+3.4
12 Denver Nuggets116555%99.698.4+1.3
13 Sacramento Kings116555%103.7104.3-0.5
14 Chicago Bulls137654%101.1103.8-2.7
15 Detroit Pistons126650%100.294.9+5.2
16 Portland Trail Blazers126650%103.0101.1+1.9
17 Miami Heat126650%97.296.0+1.2
18 New York Knicks105550%99.899.2+0.6
19 Orlando Magic126650%102.8102.2+0.6
20 Utah Jazz115645%96.393.5+2.8
21 San Antonio Spurs115645%96.394.0+2.3
22 Cleveland Cavaliers125742%97.296.3+0.9
23 Minnesota Timberwolves104640%97.4103.4-6.0
24 Houston Rockets135838%104.2108.5-4.3
25 Milwaukee Bucks114736%99.9105.2-5.3
26 New Orleans Pelicans113827%102.5110.0-7.5
27 Brooklyn Nets102820%93.9101.3-7.4
28 Dallas Mavericks112918%92.699.5-6.9
29 Los Angeles Lakers112918%99.5108.5-9.0
30 Philadelphia 76ers112918%92.9103.7-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves1524222384
Miami Heat2227242396
← all games of the day
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