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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2009
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 107-99
31-32 19-23 32-18 25-26
Position#14
Record34-29
FormLWWLW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game98.2
vs
Position#3
Record49-15
FormWLWWL
Points / game101.4
Allowed / game92.5
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Miami Heat v Boston Celtics
27 Mar 2027
MIA v BOS
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
MIA129
BOS147
15 Jan 2026
MIA114
BOS119
14 Mar 2025
MIA91
BOS103
10 Feb 2025
MIA85
BOS103
29 Apr 2024
MIA88
BOS102
27 Apr 2024
MIA84
BOS104
11 Feb 2024
MIA106
BOS110
25 Jan 2024
MIA110
BOS143
27 May 2023
MIA103
BOS104
23 May 2023
MIA99
BOS116
21 May 2023
MIA128
BOS102
24 Jan 2023
MIA98
BOS95
21 Oct 2022
MIA104
BOS111
29 May 2022
MIA96
BOS100
25 May 2022
MIA80
BOS93
19 May 2022
MIA102
BOS127
17 May 2022
MIA118
BOS107
04 Nov 2021
MIA78
BOS95
06 Jan 2021
MIA105
BOS107
27 Sep 2020
MIA125
BOS113
23 Sep 2020
MIA112
BOS109
19 Sep 2020
MIA106
BOS117
04 Aug 2020
MIA112
BOS106
11 Apr 2020
MIA v BOS
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
MIA101
BOS109
03 Apr 2019
MIA102
BOS112
10 Jan 2019
MIA115
BOS99
22 Nov 2017
MIA104
BOS98
28 Oct 2017
MIA90
BOS96
18 Dec 2016
MIA95
BOS105
28 Nov 2016
MIA104
BOS112
30 Nov 2015
MIA95
BOS105
09 Mar 2015
MIA90
BOS100
21 Dec 2014
MIA100
BOS84
21 Jan 2014
MIA93
BOS86
09 Nov 2013
MIA110
BOS111
12 Apr 2013
MIA109
BOS101
30 Oct 2012
MIA120
BOS107
09 Jun 2012
MIA101
BOS88
05 Jun 2012
MIA90
BOS94
30 May 2012
MIA115
BOS111
28 May 2012
MIA93
BOS79
10 Apr 2012
MIA107
BOS115
27 Dec 2011
MIA115
BOS107
11 May 2011
MIA97
BOS87
03 May 2011
MIA102
BOS91
01 May 2011
MIA99
BOS90
10 Apr 2011
MIA100
BOS77
11 Nov 2010
MIA107
BOS112
25 Apr 2010
MIA101
BOS92
23 Apr 2010
MIA98
BOS100
06 Jan 2010
MIA106
BOS112
29 Nov 2009
MIA85
BOS92
11 Mar 2009
MIA107
BOS99
21 Jan 2009
MIA83
BOS98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
97-91
97
91
+6
H21/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
99-122
99
122
-23
A22/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
103-91
103
91
+12
H25/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A28/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
120-115
120
115
+5
H01/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
100-107
100
107
-7
H03/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
W
135-129
135
129
+6
H05/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
W
108-102
108
102
+6
A07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
89-99
89
99
-10
A08/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
130-127 OT
130
127
+3
H09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
20-24
27-23
30-28
24-39
22-25
26-27
27-31
24-25
28-26
28-17
23-23
15-19
17-17
21-28
30-27
22-34
37-33
24-31
37-17
26-30
29-28
27-18
18-31
40-29
27-32
37-34
31-34
22-24
34-26
30-26
22-26
14-28
22-22
25-20
28-29
22-26
32-26
30-22
20-30
213.8Avg total
106.4Scored
107.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)98.098.2196.2-0.254%
Season at home (33)99.596.1195.6+3.567%
Season away (30)96.4100.5196.9-4.140%
Last 10 (10)106.4107.4213.8-1.060%
Last 5 (5)112.4112.8225.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)96.5105.2201.7-8.717%
vs Similar (18)100.1101.2201.3-1.156%
vs Weaker (6)106.397.0203.3+9.383%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
99-92
99
92
+7
A13/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A20/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
W
128-108
128
108
+20
A22/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
W
114-76
114
76
+38
A24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
L
91-93
91
93
-2
A26/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
104-99
104
99
+5
H28/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
95-105
95
105
-10
H01/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
W
115-111
115
111
+4
A05/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
105-94
105
94
+11
H07/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H08/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
23-30
29-24
30-17
22-13
17-25
27-22
19-30
38-33
30-21
28-29
32-25
29-20
31-17
26-21
28-18
22-27
28-19
22-25
19-22
26-18
22-31
29-26
27-24
22-20
25-35
23-22
25-28
27-20
31-31
34-30
23-30
21-19
24-24
33-26
27-25
15-22
18-29
23-18
23-17
196.9Avg total
101.5Scored
95.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)101.492.5193.9+8.877%
Season at home (32)104.393.8198.1+10.681%
Season away (32)98.491.3189.7+7.172%
Last 10 (10)101.595.4196.9+6.160%
Last 5 (5)99.699.0198.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)95.592.2187.8+3.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)103.795.7199.4+8.077%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
Miami HeatBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H21/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
46-64
46
64
-18
A22/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H25/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A28/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H01/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H03/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H05/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A08/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H09/03
NBA
102.6Avg total
49.7Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.350.598.8-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.549.999.5-0.460%-
Last 30 away (15)47.151.198.2-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)49.752.9102.6-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)53.654.2107.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)46.355.2101.5-8.833%-
vs Similar (18)47.949.497.3-1.539%-
vs Weaker (6)51.549.3100.8+2.267%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A13/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A20/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
W
68-54
68
54
+14
A22/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
W
60-37
60
37
+23
A24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A26/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H28/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H01/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A05/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H07/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H08/03
NBA
96.3Avg total
48.8Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.646.398.0+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.148.5101.5+4.654%-
Last 30 away (17)50.544.795.2+5.871%-
Last 10 (10)48.847.596.3+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)46.249.896.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)46.947.494.2-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)53.446.099.3+7.468%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Miami Heat wins
1
Boston Celtics wins
DateGameScore
22/01/09Miami Heat v Boston Celtics83-98
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/09HChicago Bulls130-127 OT
08/03/09ACleveland Cavaliers89-99
07/03/09AToronto Raptors108-102
05/03/09HPhoenix Suns135-129
03/03/09HCleveland Cavaliers100-107
01/03/09HNew York Knicks120-115
28/02/09AAtlanta Hawks83-91
25/02/09HDetroit Pistons103-91
22/02/09AOrlando Magic99-122
21/02/09HPhiladelphia 76ers97-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/09HOrlando Magic79-86
07/03/09HCleveland Cavaliers105-94
05/03/09ABrooklyn Nets115-111
01/03/09HDetroit Pistons95-105
28/02/09HIndiana Pacers104-99
26/02/09ALos Angeles Clippers91-93
24/02/09ADenver Nuggets114-76
22/02/09APhoenix Suns128-108
20/02/09AUtah Jazz85-90
13/02/09ADallas Mavericks99-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW54%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633330
Win %54%67%40%
Points / game98.099.596.4
Allowed / game98.296.1100.5
Point differential-0.2+3.5-4.1
Avg total196.2195.6196.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%24%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (18)100% (7)64% (11)
Overtime %6%6%7%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL77%
HomeLWLWL81%
AwayLWWLW72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643232
Win %77%81%72%
Points / game101.4104.398.4
Allowed / game92.593.891.3
Point differential+8.8+10.6+7.1
Avg total193.9198.1189.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%53%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)60% (5)70% (10)
Overtime %8%6%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers63501379%99.790.4+9.3
2 Los Angeles Lakers63501379%108.5100.6+7.9
3 Boston Celtics64491577%101.492.5+8.8
4 Orlando Magic64471773%102.094.9+7.1
5 San Antonio Spurs63432068%97.693.4+4.2
6 Houston Rockets65422365%98.894.9+3.9
7 Portland Trail Blazers63402363%99.195.1+4.0
8 New Orleans Pelicans63402363%96.493.6+2.9
9 Utah Jazz65412463%103.199.1+4.0
10 Denver Nuggets65402562%102.6100.3+2.3
11 Dallas Mavericks64392561%101.499.8+1.6
12 Atlanta Hawks65372857%98.196.8+1.3
13 Miami Heat63342954%98.098.2-0.2
14 Phoenix Suns64343053%107.5106.0+1.4
15 Detroit Pistons62323052%93.593.9-0.4
16 Philadelphia 76ers62313150%96.796.2+0.5
17 Milwaukee Bucks67303745%99.9100.4-0.6
18 Chicago Bulls65293645%100.9102.5-1.5
19 Brooklyn Nets63283544%98.5100.7-2.2
20 Charlotte Hornets64283644%93.194.6-1.5
21 Indiana Pacers66283842%104.8106.5-1.7
22 New York Knicks63263741%106.2108.2-2.0
23 Toronto Raptors65234235%97.7101.5-3.8
24 Golden State Warriors63214233%107.8111.5-3.7
25 Minnesota Timberwolves63184529%98.8103.8-5.0
26 Oklahoma City Thunder64184628%97.9103.2-5.4
27 Memphis Grizzlies62164626%93.699.7-6.0
28 Los Angeles Clippers64154923%94.8103.5-8.7
29 Washington Wizards65155023%94.7102.3-7.6
30 Sacramento Kings64145022%99.5108.2-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat31193225107
Boston Celtics3223182699
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