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Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 111-115
32-26 20-35 30-24 29-30
Position#17
Record28-25
FormLWLLW
Points / game119.9
Allowed / game117.3
vs
Position#26
Record16-37
FormLLWLL
Points / game118.3
Allowed / game126.7
USANBA· Kaseya Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Miami Heat v Utah Jazz
25 Mar 2027
MIA v UTA
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
MIA111
UTA115
04 Jan 2025
MIA100
UTA136
02 Mar 2024
MIA126
UTA120
13 Mar 2023
MIA119
UTA115
06 Nov 2021
MIA118
UTA115
26 Feb 2021
MIA124
UTA116
23 Dec 2019
MIA107
UTA104
02 Dec 2018
MIA102
UTA100
07 Jan 2018
MIA103
UTA102
12 Nov 2016
MIA91
UTA102
12 Nov 2015
MIA92
UTA91
17 Dec 2014
MIA87
UTA105
16 Dec 2013
MIA117
UTA94
22 Dec 2012
MIA105
UTA89
09 Nov 2010
MIA114
UTA116
23 Dec 2009
MIA80
UTA70
14 Mar 2009
MIA140
UTA129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
110-127
110
127
-17
99avg 107
A23/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
147-116
147
116
+31
144avg 107
A25/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
111-102
111
102
+9
104avg 107
A26/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
124-133
124
133
-9
122avg 107
H29/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
116-113
116
113
+3
111avg 107
A30/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
118-125
118
125
-7
106avg 107
H01/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
134-91
134
91
+43
136avg 107
H01/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
115-127
115
127
-12
107avg 107
H04/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
96-98
96
98
-2
86avg 107
A07/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
132-101
132
101
+31
132avg 107
A08/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-38
32-26
29-39
18-24
35-34
38-18
35-37
39-27
32-21
26-27
24-29
29-25
27-34
41-25
20-40
36-34
34-31
28-20
29-34
25-28
25-31
38-25
21-35
34-34
34-13
28-27
39-22
33-29
23-33
27-34
31-31
34-29
29-15
30-23
15-36
22-24
37-33
37-19
33-23
25-26
233.6Avg total
120.3Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)119.9117.3237.2+2.653%
Season at home (26)121.9117.6239.5+4.362%
Season away (27)118.0117.1235.1+0.944%
Last 10 (10)120.3113.3233.6+7.050%
Last 5 (5)119.0108.4227.4+10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)114.7119.1233.9-4.429%
vs Similar (12)114.0120.3234.3-6.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)123.6111.8235.5+11.873%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
127-122
127
122
+5
127avg 108
H21/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
109-126
109
126
-17
106avg 108
H23/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
116-147
116
147
-31
109avg 108
H25/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
103-115
103
115
-12
98avg 108
H28/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
124-140
124
140
-16
122avg 108
H29/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
99-109
99
109
-10
92avg 108
H31/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
100-107
100
107
-7
89avg 108
A01/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
131-122
131
122
+9
132avg 108
A04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
119-121
119
121
-2
102avg 108
A06/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
117-120
117
120
-3
117avg 108
A08/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-34
30-24
25-38
43-26
31-31
22-34
39-32
17-29
34-35
18-38
37-35
27-39
29-18
25-35
20-36
29-26
24-34
31-34
38-33
31-39
26-27
26-27
29-29
18-26
23-28
33-23
28-35
16-21
25-32
31-24
40-33
35-33
31-30
29-31
36-31
23-29
30-33
35-21
29-33
23-33
237.4Avg total
114.5Scored
122.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)118.3126.7244.9-8.430%
Season at home (27)121.8129.0250.8-7.237%
Season away (26)114.6124.2238.8-9.623%
Last 10 (10)114.5122.9237.4-8.420%
Last 5 (5)113.2115.8229.0-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)116.7127.0243.8-10.319%
vs Similar (9)123.6127.9251.4-4.344%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +8.1+8.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -3.9-3.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +8.1+8.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -3.9-3.9
Miami HeatUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A23/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A25/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A26/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H29/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A30/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H01/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
62-40
62
40
+22
H01/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H04/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
59-38
59
38
+21
A07/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
74-52
74
52
+22
A08/02
NBA
115.9Avg total
63.2Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.756.6117.3+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.457.5116.9+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)61.955.8117.7+6.162%-
Last 10 (10)63.252.7115.9+10.580%-
Last 5 (5)61.650.6112.2+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)60.755.6116.3+5.157%-
vs Similar (12)58.557.5116.0+1.042%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)63.156.3119.4+6.873%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H21/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-65
53
65
-12
H23/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
52-73
52
73
-21
H25/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H28/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H29/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H31/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A01/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A06/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A08/02
NBA
115.5Avg total
56.2Scored
59.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.363.6121.9-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.165.1124.3-6.036%-
Last 30 away (16)57.662.3119.9-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)56.259.3115.5-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)57.855.2113.0+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)57.863.0120.8-5.338%-
vs Similar (9)59.665.0124.6-5.411%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 120.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.130.3
54.0%
54.8%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.113.3
33.2%
35.8%39.9
🏀 Free throws24.419.8
81.1%
78.1%19.8
They take 96.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 114.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.031.7
54.7%
54.8%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.1
35.8%
35.8%33.3
🏀 Free throws23.417.8
76.1%
78.1%17.8
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLLWLWLWWL
Utah Jazz
LLWLLLLLLW
#17
League position
#26
+6.6
Net rating
-8.1
113.2
Offensive rating
109.8
106.6
Defensive rating
117.8
52.2%
Effective FG%
54.3%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
12.7%
Turnover %
14.8%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.2%
3-point %
35.8%
66.7%
Assist %
69.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 109.8Defence106.6 · 117.8Shooting52.2% · 54.3%3-point %33.2% · 35.8%Ball care12.7% · 14.8%Off. rebounds29.4% · 26.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Miami Heat wins
2
Utah Jazz wins
DateGameScore
25/01/26Utah Jazz v Miami Heat116-147
10/01/25Utah Jazz v Miami Heat92-97
05/01/25Miami Heat v Utah Jazz100-136
02/03/24Miami Heat v Utah Jazz126-120
30/12/23Utah Jazz v Miami Heat117-109
13/03/23Miami Heat v Utah Jazz119-115
01/01/23Utah Jazz v Miami Heat123-126
13/11/21Utah Jazz v Miami Heat105-111
06/11/21Miami Heat v Utah Jazz118-115
27/02/21Miami Heat v Utah Jazz124-116
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26AWashington Wizards132-101
07/02/26ABoston Celtics96-98
04/02/26HAtlanta Hawks115-127
01/02/26HChicago Bulls134-91
01/02/26HChicago Bulls118-125
30/01/26AChicago Bulls116-113
29/01/26HOrlando Magic124-133
26/01/26APhoenix Suns111-102
25/01/26AUtah Jazz147-116
23/01/26APortland Trail Blazers110-127
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26AOrlando Magic117-120
06/02/26AAtlanta Hawks119-121
04/02/26AIndiana Pacers131-122
01/02/26AToronto Raptors100-107
31/01/26HBrooklyn Nets99-109
29/01/26HGolden State Warriors124-140
28/01/26HLos Angeles Clippers103-115
25/01/26HMiami Heat116-147
23/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs109-126
21/01/26HMinnesota Timberwolves127-122

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW53%
HomeWLLWL62%
AwayWWWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532627
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game119.9121.9118.0
Allowed / game117.3117.6117.1
Point differential+2.6+4.3+0.9
Avg total237.2239.5235.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%31%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)75% (8)40% (5)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL30%
HomeLLLLL37%
AwayLLWLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532726
Win %30%37%23%
Points / game118.3121.8114.6
Allowed / game126.7129.0124.2
Point differential-8.4-7.2-9.6
Avg total244.9250.8238.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%7%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)62% (8)29% (7)
Overtime %9%15%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder51391276%119.8108.3+11.5
2 Detroit Pistons52391375%117.3109.6+7.8
3 San Antonio Spurs50341668%117.5112.2+5.3
4 Boston Celtics53341964%115.1108.4+6.7
5 Denver Nuggets53341964%120.4116.3+4.1
6 Los Angeles Lakers50321864%116.1115.5+0.6
7 New York Knicks51321963%117.1111.9+5.2
8 Houston Rockets51321963%115.1110.0+5.1
9 Cleveland Cavaliers53322160%119.7115.9+3.7
10 Toronto Raptors53322160%114.4112.2+2.2
11 Phoenix Suns52312160%114.1110.9+3.2
12 Minnesota Timberwolves54322259%119.1114.8+4.3
13 Philadelphia 76ers52302258%116.7115.1+1.5
14 Orlando Magic49262353%115.0115.4-0.4
15 Miami Heat53282553%119.9117.3+2.6
16 Golden State Warriors53282553%115.6113.5+2.1
17 Atlanta Hawks54262848%117.5118.4-0.9
18 Los Angeles Clippers52252748%112.4112.7-0.4
19 Portland Trail Blazers53252847%115.8118.0-2.2
20 Charlotte Hornets54252946%115.8113.9+1.9
21 Chicago Bulls53242945%117.0120.5-3.5
22 Milwaukee Bucks50212942%112.0115.7-3.7
23 Memphis Grizzlies51203139%115.3117.5-2.2
24 Dallas Mavericks52193337%114.2117.2-3.0
25 Utah Jazz53163730%118.3126.7-8.4
26 Brooklyn Nets51143727%107.3114.9-7.6
27 Washington Wizards52143827%112.1122.8-10.7
28 New Orleans Pelicans54144026%114.6120.9-6.3
29 Indiana Pacers53134025%110.6118.5-7.9
30 Sacramento Kings54124222%110.8120.6-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat32203029111
Utah Jazz26352430115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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