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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 01 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 110-105
36-17 25-30 27-30 22-28
Position#8
Record45-32
FormLLWWL
Points / game112.4
Allowed / game108.1
vs
Position#17
Record38-38
FormLWLWW
Points / game105.6
Allowed / game105.6
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Miami Heat
02 Apr 2027
BOS v MIA
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
BOS v MIA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
BOS98
MIA96
19 Dec 2025
BOS129
MIA116
02 Apr 2025
BOS103
MIA124
02 Dec 2024
BOS108
MIA89
01 May 2024
BOS118
MIA84
24 Apr 2024
BOS101
MIA111
21 Apr 2024
BOS114
MIA94
27 Oct 2023
BOS119
MIA111
29 May 2023
BOS84
MIA103
25 May 2023
BOS110
MIA97
19 May 2023
BOS105
MIA111
17 May 2023
BOS116
MIA123
02 Dec 2022
BOS116
MIA120
30 Nov 2022
BOS134
MIA121
27 May 2022
BOS103
MIA111
23 May 2022
BOS102
MIA82
21 May 2022
BOS103
MIA109
30 Mar 2022
BOS98
MIA106
31 Jan 2022
BOS122
MIA92
11 May 2021
BOS121
MIA129
09 May 2021
BOS124
MIA130
25 Sep 2020
BOS121
MIA108
17 Sep 2020
BOS101
MIA106
15 Sep 2020
BOS114
MIA117
04 Dec 2019
BOS112
MIA93
01 Apr 2019
BOS110
MIA105
21 Jan 2019
BOS107
MIA99
20 Dec 2017
BOS89
MIA90
26 Mar 2017
BOS112
MIA108
30 Dec 2016
BOS117
MIA114
13 Apr 2016
BOS98
MIA88
27 Feb 2016
BOS101
MIA89
25 Mar 2015
BOS86
MIA93
01 Feb 2015
BOS75
MIA83
19 Mar 2014
BOS101
MIA96
18 Mar 2013
BOS103
MIA105
27 Jan 2013
BOS100
MIA98
07 Jun 2012
BOS79
MIA98
03 Jun 2012
BOS93
MIA91
01 Jun 2012
BOS101
MIA91
24 Apr 2012
BOS78
MIA66
01 Apr 2012
BOS91
MIA72
09 May 2011
BOS90
MIA98
07 May 2011
BOS97
MIA81
13 Feb 2011
BOS85
MIA82
26 Oct 2010
BOS88
MIA80
27 Apr 2010
BOS96
MIA86
20 Apr 2010
BOS106
MIA77
17 Apr 2010
BOS85
MIA76
03 Feb 2010
BOS107
MIA102
10 Apr 2009
BOS105
MIA98
18 Mar 2009
BOS112
MIA108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
115-140
115
140
-25
99avg 101
A12/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
126-120
126
120
+6
123avg 101
H14/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
129-120
129
120
+9
122avg 101
H16/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
105-114
105
114
-9
no box
H18/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
115-118
115
118
-3
no box
A20/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
117-124
117
124
-7
110avg 101
A23/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
96-115
96
115
-19
83avg 101
H24/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
116-106
116
106
+10
no box
A26/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
114-112
114
112
+2
110avg 101
H29/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
96-110
96
110
-14
no box
A30/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
30-37
36-39
30-39
25-38
31-24
37-29
33-29
43-36
31-26
31-30
24-28
22-24
30-31
28-25
25-34
39-30
30-28
21-27
25-33
35-29
29-34
34-26
19-35
24-31
23-23
25-30
24-31
32-27
25-24
31-30
28-25
35-25
28-35
26-31
25-21
21-17
27-32
22-33
26-28
230.8Avg total
112.9Scored
117.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)112.4108.1220.5+4.358%
Season at home (39)114.4107.2221.5+7.269%
Season away (38)110.3109.0219.4+1.347%
Last 10 (10)112.9117.9230.8-5.040%
Last 5 (5)107.8113.4221.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)97.098.0195.0-1.00%
vs Similar (13)110.2115.4225.6-5.231%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)116.3109.6225.9+6.875%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
108-74
108
74
+34
104avg 97
H13/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
98-113
98
113
-15
81avg 97
H16/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
93-75
93
75
+18
89avg 97
H17/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
116-107
116
107
+9
no box
A19/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
110-105
110
105
+5
no box
A21/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
87-116
87
116
-29
70avg 97
A23/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
113-108
113
108
+5
109avg 97
A23/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
99-104
99
104
-5
no box
H26/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
105-99
105
99
+6
100avg 97
H28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
100-92
100
92
+8
no box
A30/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-18
24-31
33-8
21-17
37-19
25-23
18-37
18-34
19-20
20-19
22-21
32-15
27-25
31-30
28-20
30-32
24-22
38-25
28-31
20-27
32-33
19-30
18-31
18-22
25-27
27-26
26-26
35-29
32-18
19-24
19-34
29-28
26-29
23-30
26-23
30-17
29-33
26-28
24-18
21-13
202.2Avg total
102.9Scored
99.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)105.6105.6211.2+0.050%
Season at home (39)105.7105.8211.5-0.146%
Season away (37)105.5105.4210.9+0.154%
Last 10 (10)102.999.3202.2+3.670%
Last 5 (5)100.8103.8204.6-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)108.5120.0228.5-11.517%
vs Similar (17)103.199.8202.9+3.459%
vs Weaker (7)108.0105.0213.0+3.071%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
Boston CelticsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A12/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H14/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H16/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H18/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
69-58
69
58
+11
A20/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A23/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H24/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A26/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H29/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A30/03
NBA
115.5Avg total
57.9Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.154.7111.7+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.555.4113.9+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)55.453.9109.3+1.657%-
Last 10 (10)57.957.6115.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)55.855.4111.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.053.0100.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (13)56.556.1112.5+0.446%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)58.253.6111.8+4.675%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H13/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
62-42
62
42
+20
H16/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H17/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A19/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
62-47
62
47
+15
A21/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A23/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A23/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H26/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A30/03
NBA
104.3Avg total
53.3Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.853.9108.7+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.653.4108.0+1.247%-
Last 30 away (15)55.154.4109.5+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)53.351.0104.3+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)51.655.6107.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)61.556.8118.3+4.767%-
vs Similar (17)52.552.0104.5+0.547%-
vs Weaker (7)54.956.0110.9-1.114%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 112.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.630.8
51.7%
51.7%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.8
36.8%
35.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws20.715.6
75.4%
76.6%15.6
They take 91.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 102.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.627.8
49.1%
51.7%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.6
33.3%
35.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.914.9
71.3%
76.6%14.9
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
LWWLLLLWWL
Miami Heat
WWLWLWWWLW
#8
League position
#17
-4.9
Net rating
+3.2
108.8
Offensive rating
103.9
113.8
Defensive rating
100.6
52.9%
Effective FG%
49.4%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
11.4%
Turnover %
11.4%
20.6%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.8%
3-point %
33.3%
60.3%
Assist %
63.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 103.9Defence113.8 · 100.6Shooting52.9% · 49.4%3-point %36.8% · 33.3%Ball care11.4% · 11.4%Off. rebounds20.6% · 22.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Boston Celtics wins
3
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/19ABrooklyn Nets96-110
29/03/19HIndiana Pacers114-112
26/03/19ACleveland Cavaliers116-106
24/03/19HSan Antonio Spurs96-115
23/03/19ACharlotte Hornets117-124
20/03/19APhiladelphia 76ers115-118
18/03/19HDenver Nuggets105-114
16/03/19HAtlanta Hawks129-120
14/03/19HSacramento Kings126-120
12/03/19ALos Angeles Clippers115-140
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/19ANew York Knicks100-92
28/03/19HDallas Mavericks105-99
26/03/19HOrlando Magic99-104
23/03/19AWashington Wizards113-108
23/03/19AMilwaukee Bucks87-116
21/03/19ASan Antonio Spurs110-105
19/03/19AOklahoma City Thunder116-107
17/03/19HCharlotte Hornets93-75
16/03/19HMilwaukee Bucks98-113
13/03/19HDetroit Pistons108-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL58%
HomeWWLLW69%
AwayLLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773938
Win %58%69%47%
Points / game112.4114.4110.3
Allowed / game108.1107.2109.0
Point differential+4.3+7.2+1.3
Avg total220.5221.5219.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)50% (8)44% (9)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Miami Heat
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeWLWLW46%
AwayWWLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763937
Win %50%46%54%
Points / game105.6105.7105.5
Allowed / game105.6105.8105.4
Point differential+0.0-0.1+0.1
Avg total211.2211.5210.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%18%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (24)50% (12)42% (12)
Overtime %1%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks77572074%117.8108.4+9.3
2 Toronto Raptors77542370%114.3108.4+5.9
3 Golden State Warriors76522468%117.7111.5+6.2
4 Denver Nuggets76512567%110.9106.7+4.1
5 Philadelphia 76ers76492764%115.2112.1+3.2
6 Houston Rockets77492864%112.9109.4+3.6
7 Portland Trail Blazers76482863%114.3110.4+4.0
8 Utah Jazz76463061%111.2106.2+5.0
9 Los Angeles Clippers78473160%115.1113.4+1.6
10 Indiana Pacers78463259%108.0104.3+3.7
11 Boston Celtics77453258%112.4108.1+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder77443357%113.9110.9+3.0
13 San Antonio Spurs77443357%111.8110.4+1.4
14 Detroit Pistons77393851%107.4107.5-0.1
15 Brooklyn Nets77393851%112.0112.3-0.3
16 Miami Heat76383850%105.6105.6+0.0
17 Orlando Magic77383949%106.4106.3+0.1
18 Sacramento Kings77383949%114.1114.7-0.6
19 Charlotte Hornets76354146%110.6112.2-1.6
20 Los Angeles Lakers77354245%112.2113.6-1.5
21 Minnesota Timberwolves76344245%112.6113.8-1.1
22 New Orleans Pelicans78324641%115.3116.5-1.2
23 Washington Wizards78324641%114.2116.9-2.7
24 Memphis Grizzlies77314640%102.9105.6-2.6
25 Dallas Mavericks76304639%108.4110.0-1.5
26 Atlanta Hawks77284936%113.0118.8-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls77215627%105.1113.4-8.3
28 Cleveland Cavaliers77195825%104.5113.8-9.2
29 Phoenix Suns77176022%107.0116.3-9.3
30 New York Knicks76146218%104.8114.2-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics36252722110
Miami Heat17303028105
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