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Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 107-99
26-27 32-26 23-20 26-26
Position#1
Record30-17
FormLWWLW
Points / game113.2
Allowed / game111.8
vs
Position#2
Record34-14
FormWWWLW
Points / game116.9
Allowed / game112.6
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets
12 Jan 2027
MIL v DEN
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
MIL100
DEN102
27 Feb 2025
MIL121
DEN112
12 Feb 2024
MIL112
DEN95
25 Jan 2023
MIL107
DEN99
30 Jan 2022
MIL100
DEN136
02 Mar 2021
MIL97
DEN128
31 Jan 2020
MIL115
DEN127
19 Nov 2018
MIL104
DEN98
15 Feb 2018
MIL123
DEN134
01 Mar 2017
MIL98
DEN110
30 Nov 2015
MIL92
DEN74
20 Feb 2015
MIL89
DEN81
20 Feb 2014
MIL90
DEN101
15 Apr 2013
MIL111
DEN112
17 Jan 2012
MIL95
DEN105
16 Feb 2011
MIL87
DEN94
11 Nov 2009
MIL108
DEN102
22 Feb 2009
MIL120
DEN117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
104-101 OT
104
101
+3
108avg 107
A05/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
109-138
109
138
-29
99avg 107
H07/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
111-107
111
107
+4
106avg 107
A10/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
114-105
114
105
+9
110avg 107
A12/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
102-108
102
108
-6
87avg 107
A13/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
95-111
95
111
-16
82avg 107
A14/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
132-119
132
119
+13
130avg 107
H16/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
130-122
130
122
+8
125avg 107
H18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
102-114
102
114
-12
92avg 107
A22/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
150-130
150
130
+20
152avg 107
A24/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-12
26-26
24-21
34-38
28-51
32-33
27-28
22-26
22-22
24-29
27-27
38-29
39-19
28-27
22-36
25-23
23-14
22-31
28-33
29-30
20-28
25-25
26-24
24-34
32-38
33-38
28-22
39-21
44-34
23-40
38-23
25-25
26-23
21-27
34-36
21-28
49-24
34-31
32-37
35-38
230.4Avg total
114.9Scored
115.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)113.2111.8225.0+1.464%
Season at home (23)118.3111.4229.7+6.978%
Season away (24)108.3112.1220.4-3.850%
Last 10 (10)114.9115.5230.4-0.660%
Last 5 (5)121.8119.2241.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)113.6115.0228.6-1.457%
vs Weaker (9)115.3112.2227.6+3.167%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
121-108
121
108
+13
124avg 114
H07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
122-109
122
109
+13
118avg 114
H10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
126-97
126
97
+29
123avg 114
H12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
115-103
115
103
+12
110avg 114
A14/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
119-116
119
116
+3
115avg 114
H16/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
122-113
122
113
+9
119avg 114
H18/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
122-118
122
118
+4
113avg 114
H19/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
134-111
134
111
+23
139avg 114
H21/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
99-101
99
101
-2
86avg 114
H23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
99-98
99
98
+1
93avg 114
A25/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
36-30
32-24
27-26
29-23
33-25
32-31
28-30
34-28
36-26
30-21
26-22
32-34
25-24
29-23
29-22
31-25
38-29
25-34
25-28
34-31
39-36
28-22
21-24
30-27
25-33
33-35
34-23
37-28
24-25
38-29
35-29
18-27
29-25
27-29
25-20
28-24
35-23
20-27
16-24
225.3Avg total
117.9Scored
107.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)116.9112.6229.4+4.371%
Season at home (26)119.7109.0228.7+10.785%
Season away (22)113.5116.8230.3-3.355%
Last 10 (10)117.9107.4225.3+10.590%
Last 5 (5)115.2108.2223.4+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)114.7110.0224.7+4.767%
vs Weaker (18)120.7112.5233.2+8.283%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
Milwaukee BucksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A05/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
60-84
60
84
-24
H07/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A10/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
67-46
67
46
+21
A12/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A13/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A14/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H16/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A22/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
83-55
83
55
+28
A24/01
NBA
113.6Avg total
56.4Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.656.8112.4-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (12)60.363.6123.9-3.242%-
Last 30 away (18)52.452.3104.7+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)56.457.2113.6-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)61.461.6123.0-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)53.956.4110.3-2.538%-
vs Weaker (9)59.457.7117.1+1.856%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A14/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
69-54
69
54
+15
H16/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H18/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H19/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H21/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
63-47
63
47
+16
A25/01
NBA
117.0Avg total
61.9Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.156.0117.2+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (20)62.055.0117.0+7.075%-
Last 30 away (10)59.358.1117.4+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)61.955.1117.0+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)59.855.8115.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)59.954.2114.2+5.775%-
vs Weaker (18)61.957.2119.2+4.761%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 114.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀50%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers57.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.622.3
52.3%
54.5%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.519.0
40.9%
35.8%57.0
🏀 Free throws18.113.3
73.5%
78.1%13.3
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 46.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.931.3
59.2%
54.5%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.512.8
39.4%
35.8%38.4
🏀 Free throws23.716.9
71.3%
78.1%16.9
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWWLLWWLW
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWWWWWW
#1
League position
#2
-0.6
Net rating
+10.7
113.3
Offensive rating
120.4
113.9
Defensive rating
109.6
57.0%
Effective FG%
59.1%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
14.0%
Turnover %
12.9%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.28
40.9%
3-point %
39.4%
64.6%
Assist %
65.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 120.4Defence113.9 · 109.6Shooting57.0% · 59.1%3-point %40.9% · 39.4%Ball care14.0% · 12.9%Off. rebounds22.9% · 26.6%Free throws0.20 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/23ADetroit Pistons150-130
22/01/23ACleveland Cavaliers102-114
18/01/23HToronto Raptors130-122
16/01/23HIndiana Pacers132-119
14/01/23AMiami Heat95-111
13/01/23AMiami Heat102-108
12/01/23AAtlanta Hawks114-105
10/01/23ANew York Knicks111-107
07/01/23HCharlotte Hornets109-138
05/01/23AToronto Raptors104-101 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/23ANew Orleans Pelicans99-98
23/01/23HOklahoma City Thunder99-101
21/01/23HIndiana Pacers134-111
19/01/23HMinnesota Timberwolves122-118
18/01/23HPortland Trail Blazers122-113
16/01/23HOrlando Magic119-116
14/01/23ALos Angeles Clippers115-103
12/01/23HPhoenix Suns126-97
10/01/23HLos Angeles Lakers122-109
07/01/23HCleveland Cavaliers121-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW64%
HomeLWLWW78%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472324
Win %64%78%50%
Points / game113.2118.3108.3
Allowed / game111.8111.4112.1
Point differential+1.4+6.9-3.8
Avg total225.0229.7220.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%52%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)33% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWWL85%
AwayWLLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482622
Win %71%85%55%
Points / game116.9119.7113.5
Allowed / game112.6109.0116.8
Point differential+4.3+10.7-3.3
Avg total229.4228.7230.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%54%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won72% (18)64% (11)86% (7)
Overtime %4%4%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics49351471%117.6112.0+5.7
2 Denver Nuggets48341471%116.9112.6+4.3
3 Memphis Grizzlies47311666%117.0112.4+4.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers47311666%114.6110.7+3.9
5 Milwaukee Bucks47301764%113.2111.8+1.4
6 Brooklyn Nets47291862%114.1111.2+2.9
7 Cleveland Cavaliers49292059%111.5107.2+4.3
8 Sacramento Kings46271959%120.3116.7+3.6
9 Miami Heat49272255%108.4108.2+0.3
10 New Orleans Pelicans48262254%115.6113.1+2.5
11 New York Knicks49262353%114.1112.1+2.0
12 Los Angeles Clippers50262452%110.2110.6-0.4
13 Phoenix Suns49252451%113.0111.7+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks49252451%112.9112.5+0.4
15 Utah Jazz50252550%117.6116.3+1.3
16 Atlanta Hawks48242450%115.6116.2-0.5
17 Minnesota Timberwolves49242549%115.3115.6-0.3
18 Oklahoma City Thunder47232449%116.6115.5+1.1
19 Golden State Warriors47232449%117.6118.0-0.4
20 Indiana Pacers50242648%115.1116.8-1.7
21 Portland Trail Blazers47222547%113.6113.1+0.5
22 Chicago Bulls47222547%114.6114.7-0.1
23 Los Angeles Lakers48222646%117.1118.3-1.2
24 Washington Wizards47212645%112.8113.6-0.8
25 Toronto Raptors48212744%112.6112.4+0.2
26 Orlando Magic48192940%111.3114.5-3.2
27 San Antonio Spurs47143330%113.1122.0-8.9
28 Charlotte Hornets49133627%112.0119.1-7.0
29 Detroit Pistons49123724%112.4120.3-7.9
30 Houston Rockets47113623%109.9117.4-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks26322326107
Denver Nuggets2726202699
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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