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Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 May 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 121-112
28-32 31-22 30-24 32-34
Position#15
Record36-32
FormLWWWL
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game107.6
vs
Position#25
Record21-48
FormWWWLL
Points / game111.7
Allowed / game118.2
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves
21 Oct 2026
MIA106
MIN131
03 Jan 2026
MIA115
MIN125
07 Mar 2025
MIA104
MIN106
18 Dec 2023
MIA108
MIN112
26 Dec 2022
MIA113
MIN110
12 Mar 2022
MIA104
MIN113
07 May 2021
MIA121
MIN112
26 Feb 2020
MIA126
MIN129
30 Dec 2018
MIA104
MIN113
30 Oct 2017
MIA122
MIN125
17 Mar 2017
MIA123
MIN105
17 Nov 2015
MIA91
MIN103
08 Nov 2014
MIA102
MIN92
04 Apr 2014
MIA121
MIN122
18 Dec 2012
MIA103
MIN92
02 Nov 2010
MIA129
MIN97
23 Feb 2010
MIA88
MIN91
18 Feb 2009
MIA104
MIN111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
109-107
109
107
+2
108avg 102
H18/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
113-91
113
91
+22
112avg 102
H20/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
107-87
107
87
+20
104avg 102
A22/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
103-118
103
118
-15
94avg 102
A23/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
106-101
106
101
+5
97avg 102
H25/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
102-110
102
110
-8
86avg 102
H27/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
116-111
116
111
+5
115avg 102
H29/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
124-107
124
107
+17
120avg 102
A02/05
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
121-111
121
111
+10
117avg 102
A03/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
113-127
113
127
-14
109avg 102
H05/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-31
32-29
22-24
23-23
30-28
24-27
35-19
24-17
27-27
24-26
26-19
30-15
30-31
31-31
28-33
14-23
33-18
28-23
19-22
26-38
26-20
27-32
29-24
20-34
31-20
24-34
27-20
34-37
29-36
38-24
32-26
25-21
35-32
30-26
35-22
21-31
39-30
15-33
23-35
36-29
218.4Avg total
111.4Scored
107.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)107.0107.6214.6-0.653%
Season at home (35)108.3109.1217.4-0.754%
Season away (33)105.6106.1211.7-0.552%
Last 10 (10)111.4107.0218.4+4.470%
Last 5 (5)115.2113.2228.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)100.2111.5211.8-11.225%
vs Similar (19)106.9107.1214.1-0.253%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)112.7102.3215.0+10.486%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#15
W
119-111
119
111
+8
119avg 101
H17/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
105-124
105
124
-19
93avg 101
A19/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
134-120
134
120
+14
138avg 101
A21/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
125-128
125
128
-3
119avg 101
A22/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
101-96
101
96
+5
83avg 101
A25/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
105-104
105
104
+1
104avg 101
H27/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
114-107
114
107
+7
107avg 101
A28/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
126-114
126
114
+12
124avg 101
H30/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
136-140 OT
136
140
-4
128avg 101
H02/05
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
135-139
135
139
-4
130avg 101
H06/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-37
35-24
27-32
31-18
26-29
27-43
16-32
36-20
39-43
35-31
25-29
35-17
34-44
25-26
39-25
27-33
26-40
26-18
30-16
19-22
17-33
32-14
34-23
22-34
28-23
31-27
19-29
36-28
35-25
25-33
29-33
37-23
30-38
35-27
32-33
26-25
29-33
34-40
40-34
32-32
238.3Avg total
120.0Scored
118.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)111.7118.2229.8-6.530%
Season at home (35)109.4116.0225.4-6.734%
Season away (34)114.0120.4234.4-6.426%
Last 10 (10)120.0118.3238.3+1.760%
Last 5 (5)123.2120.8244.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)116.3121.0237.3-4.639%
vs Similar (6)117.2115.2232.3+2.067%
vs Weaker (1)103.0112.0215.0-9.00%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +4.9+4.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +4.9+4.9
Miami HeatMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H18/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H20/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A22/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A23/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H25/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H27/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H29/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A02/05
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A03/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H05/05
NBA
114.3Avg total
58.5Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.555.0109.6-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.956.2113.2+0.750%-
Last 30 away (14)51.853.6105.4-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)58.555.8114.3+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)58.857.4116.2+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)51.558.5110.0-7.025%-
vs Similar (19)53.154.5107.6-1.537%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)60.354.4114.7+5.971%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#15
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H17/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
53-72
53
72
-19
A19/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
D
74-74
74
74
+0
A21/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A22/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A25/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H27/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A28/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H30/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
D
65-65
65
65
+0
H02/05
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H06/05
NBA
122.3Avg total
59.5Scored
62.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.262.3119.5-5.020%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.860.2115.0-5.519%-
Last 30 away (14)60.164.6124.6-4.521%-
Last 10 (10)59.562.8122.3-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)59.258.6117.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)57.362.0119.3-4.722%-
vs Similar (6)58.264.3122.5-6.217%-
vs Weaker (1)50.057.0107.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 111.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.226.8
55.6%
52.8%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.813.8
37.5%
36.6%41.4
🏀 Free throws20.016.4
82.0%
77.7%16.4
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 120.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.228.3
56.4%
52.8%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.615.4
37.9%
36.6%46.2
🏀 Free throws24.017.2
71.7%
77.7%17.2
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWWWLWLWWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWWWWLWLW
#15
League position
#25
+4.6
Net rating
+1.6
117.1
Offensive rating
115.5
112.5
Defensive rating
113.8
55.9%
Effective FG%
56.6%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
11.2%
Turnover %
13.6%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.5%
3-point %
37.9%
65.8%
Assist %
66.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.1 · 115.5Defence112.5 · 113.8Shooting55.9% · 56.6%3-point %37.5% · 37.9%Ball care11.2% · 13.6%Off. rebounds22.0% · 24.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/21HDallas Mavericks113-127
03/05/21ACharlotte Hornets121-111
02/05/21ACleveland Cavaliers124-107
29/04/21HSan Antonio Spurs116-111
27/04/21HChicago Bulls102-110
25/04/21HChicago Bulls106-101
23/04/21AAtlanta Hawks103-118
22/04/21ASan Antonio Spurs107-87
20/04/21HHouston Rockets113-91
18/04/21HBrooklyn Nets109-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/21HMemphis Grizzlies135-139
02/05/21HNew Orleans Pelicans136-140 OT
30/04/21HGolden State Warriors126-114
28/04/21AHouston Rockets114-107
27/04/21HUtah Jazz105-104
25/04/21AUtah Jazz101-96
22/04/21ASacramento Kings125-128
21/04/21ASacramento Kings134-120
19/04/21ALos Angeles Clippers105-124
17/04/21HMiami Heat119-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL53%
HomeWWLWL54%
AwayLWLWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683533
Win %53%54%52%
Points / game107.0108.3105.6
Allowed / game107.6109.1106.1
Point differential-0.6-0.7-0.5
Avg total214.6217.4211.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%23%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (18)50% (10)50% (8)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL30%
HomeWWWLL34%
AwayLWLWW26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693534
Win %30%34%26%
Points / game111.7109.4114.0
Allowed / game118.2116.0120.4
Point differential-6.5-6.7-6.4
Avg total229.8225.4234.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%11%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (26)42% (12)43% (14)
Overtime %9%9%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz69511874%116.6106.8+9.8
2 Philadelphia 76ers69482170%113.7108.1+5.6
3 Phoenix Suns70472367%114.0109.2+4.8
4 Denver Nuggets69462367%115.3109.2+6.0
5 Brooklyn Nets69452465%118.4114.1+4.3
6 Los Angeles Clippers70452564%113.5108.2+5.3
7 Milwaukee Bucks69422761%119.1113.8+5.3
8 Los Angeles Lakers70412959%109.3106.3+3.0
9 Dallas Mavericks69402958%112.5110.2+2.3
10 New York Knicks70403057%106.9103.9+3.0
11 Portland Trail Blazers70383254%115.1114.9+0.2
12 Atlanta Hawks72393354%113.2111.9+1.3
13 Miami Heat68363253%107.0107.6-0.6
14 Memphis Grizzlies70363451%113.6112.5+1.1
15 Golden State Warriors70363451%112.9112.6+0.3
16 Boston Celtics69353451%112.2111.0+1.2
17 Charlotte Hornets70333747%109.7111.3-1.6
18 New Orleans Pelicans69323746%115.1114.4+0.7
19 Washington Wizards70323846%115.6117.9-2.3
20 San Antonio Spurs68313746%110.5112.3-1.9
21 Indiana Pacers69313845%114.5115.0-0.5
22 Sacramento Kings70313944%113.8117.9-4.1
23 Chicago Bulls71314044%110.8111.6-0.8
24 Toronto Raptors70294141%111.7111.3+0.4
25 Cleveland Cavaliers70234733%103.9111.9-8.0
26 Orlando Magic70234733%104.7112.8-8.1
27 Oklahoma City Thunder70224831%105.4115.1-9.7
28 Detroit Pistons71224931%106.4109.8-3.4
29 Minnesota Timberwolves69214830%111.7118.2-6.5
30 Houston Rockets70195127%108.2114.9-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat28313032121
Minnesota Timberwolves32222434112
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