PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 May 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 103-114
26-35 26-28 37-29 14-22
Position#25
Record23-49
FormLLLWW
Points / game112.0
Allowed / game117.7
vs
Position#6
Record47-25
FormLWLLW
Points / game115.4
Allowed / game109.7
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
125-128
125
128
-3
119avg 102
A22/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
101-96
101
96
+5
83avg 102
A25/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
105-104
105
104
+1
104avg 102
H27/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
114-107
114
107
+7
107avg 102
A28/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
126-114
126
114
+12
124avg 102
H30/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
136-140 OT
136
140
-4
128avg 102
H02/05
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
135-139
135
139
-4
130avg 102
H06/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
112-121
112
121
-9
104avg 102
A08/05
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
128-96
128
96
+32
126avg 102
A09/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
119-100
119
100
+19
109avg 102
A11/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-44
25-26
39-25
27-33
26-40
26-18
30-16
19-22
17-33
32-14
34-23
22-34
28-23
31-27
19-29
36-28
35-25
25-33
29-33
37-23
30-38
35-27
32-33
26-25
29-33
34-40
40-34
32-32
32-28
22-31
24-30
34-32
34-19
40-25
33-25
21-27
30-20
32-20
24-25
33-35
234.6Avg total
120.1Scored
114.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)112.0117.7229.7-5.732%
Season at home (35)109.4116.0225.4-6.734%
Season away (37)114.5119.2233.7-4.730%
Last 10 (10)120.1114.5234.6+5.660%
Last 5 (5)126.0119.2245.2+6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)115.1122.0237.1-6.833%
vs Similar (8)118.8110.9229.6+7.975%
vs Weaker (1)103.0112.0215.0-9.00%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#30
W
129-116
129
116
+13
132avg 108
H25/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
120-96
120
96
+24
112avg 108
H27/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
114-112
114
112
+2
107avg 108
H29/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
121-111
121
111
+10
110avg 108
H30/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
110-104
110
104
+6
109avg 108
A02/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
89-93
89
93
-4
80avg 108
A04/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
113-97
113
97
+16
105avg 108
H06/05
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
120-127
120
127
-7
119avg 108
A08/05
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
119-125
119
125
-6
102avg 108
H09/05
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
117-112
117
112
+5
111avg 108
A11/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-26
36-24
30-32
27-34
21-18
37-35
27-22
35-21
35-25
25-26
27-27
27-34
30-33
29-24
28-28
34-26
27-28
25-19
31-26
27-31
24-20
18-25
23-25
24-23
34-12
30-31
25-26
24-28
41-40
32-29
26-29
21-29
37-24
34-32
33-41
15-28
38-26
25-34
28-26
26-26
224.5Avg total
115.2Scored
109.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)115.4109.7225.2+5.765%
Season at home (38)117.6109.8227.4+7.871%
Season away (34)112.9109.6222.6+3.359%
Last 10 (10)115.2109.3224.5+5.970%
Last 5 (5)111.6110.8222.4+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)109.9108.1218.0+1.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)119.6111.6231.2+8.188%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A22/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A25/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H27/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A28/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H30/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
D
65-65
65
65
+0
H02/05
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H06/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A08/05
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
74-44
74
44
+30
A09/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
62-40
62
40
+22
A11/05
NBA
116.1Avg total
59.7Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.961.2119.1-3.323%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.160.6115.8-5.521%-
Last 30 away (16)60.261.7121.9-1.425%-
Last 10 (10)59.756.4116.1+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)63.656.2119.8+7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)57.262.3119.5-5.119%-
vs Similar (8)60.658.8119.4+1.938%-
vs Weaker (1)50.057.0107.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#30
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H25/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H27/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H29/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H30/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A02/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
64-43
64
43
+21
H06/05
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A08/05
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
71-56
71
56
+15
H09/05
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A11/05
NBA
114.5Avg total
61.4Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.353.4112.7+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (18)59.852.4112.2+7.478%-
Last 30 away (12)58.455.0113.4+3.467%-
Last 10 (10)61.453.1114.5+8.390%-
Last 5 (5)62.654.6117.2+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)59.552.4111.9+7.179%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)59.154.3113.4+4.869%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 120.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.729.7
57.4%
52.8%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.214.4
35.0%
36.6%43.2
🏀 Free throws24.617.5
71.1%
77.7%17.5
They take 92.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.929.7
56.1%
52.8%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.412.3
35.8%
36.6%36.9
🏀 Free throws22.618.9
83.6%
77.7%18.9
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWLLLWWWWL
Denver Nuggets
WLLWLWWWWW
#25
League position
#6
+5.3
Net rating
+5.8
113.9
Offensive rating
113.6
108.6
Defensive rating
107.8
55.2%
Effective FG%
55.2%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
12.9%
Turnover %
13.2%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
20.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.0%
3-point %
35.8%
65.3%
Assist %
61.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.9 · 113.6Defence108.6 · 107.8Shooting55.2% · 55.2%3-point %35.0% · 35.8%Ball care12.9% · 13.2%Off. rebounds24.9% · 20.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/21ADetroit Pistons119-100
09/05/21AOrlando Magic128-96
08/05/21AMiami Heat112-121
06/05/21HMemphis Grizzlies135-139
02/05/21HNew Orleans Pelicans136-140 OT
30/04/21HGolden State Warriors126-114
28/04/21AHouston Rockets114-107
27/04/21HUtah Jazz105-104
25/04/21AUtah Jazz101-96
22/04/21ASacramento Kings125-128
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/21ACharlotte Hornets117-112
09/05/21HBrooklyn Nets119-125
08/05/21AUtah Jazz120-127
06/05/21HNew York Knicks113-97
04/05/21ALos Angeles Lakers89-93
02/05/21ALos Angeles Clippers110-104
30/04/21HToronto Raptors121-111
29/04/21HNew Orleans Pelicans114-112
27/04/21HMemphis Grizzlies120-96
25/04/21HHouston Rockets129-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW32%
HomeWWWLL34%
AwayWWLWW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723537
Win %32%34%30%
Points / game112.0109.4114.5
Allowed / game117.7116.0119.2
Point differential-5.7-6.7-4.7
Avg total229.7225.4233.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (26)42% (12)43% (14)
Overtime %8%9%8%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW65%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLWLLW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723834
Win %65%71%59%
Points / game115.4117.6112.9
Allowed / game109.7109.8109.6
Point differential+5.7+7.8+3.3
Avg total225.2227.4222.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (21)55% (11)60% (10)
Overtime %8%11%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz73532073%116.5107.2+9.3
2 Philadelphia 76ers72492368%113.2107.9+5.3
3 Brooklyn Nets72482467%118.6114.1+4.5
4 Phoenix Suns73482566%114.2109.5+4.7
5 Denver Nuggets72472565%115.4109.7+5.7
6 Los Angeles Clippers73472664%113.3107.8+5.6
7 Milwaukee Bucks73452862%119.8114.6+5.2
8 Los Angeles Lakers74443059%109.4106.5+3.0
9 Dallas Mavericks73433059%112.7110.0+2.7
10 New York Knicks74423257%106.6104.0+2.6
11 Portland Trail Blazers74423257%115.3114.5+0.8
12 Atlanta Hawks75423356%113.5111.9+1.6
13 Miami Heat72403256%107.8107.9-0.1
14 Memphis Grizzlies73393453%113.8112.1+1.7
15 Golden State Warriors73393453%113.5112.5+1.0
16 Boston Celtics72353749%112.2111.4+0.8
17 Charlotte Hornets74344046%109.6111.4-1.8
18 New Orleans Pelicans72333946%114.9114.5+0.4
19 Indiana Pacers73334045%114.8115.2-0.4
20 San Antonio Spurs73334045%110.8112.6-1.8
21 Washington Wizards73334045%115.9118.2-2.3
22 Sacramento Kings73334045%113.9117.4-3.5
23 Chicago Bulls73324144%110.7111.5-0.7
24 Toronto Raptors72294340%111.3111.4-0.1
25 Cleveland Cavaliers74245032%103.5111.8-8.2
26 Minnesota Timberwolves72234932%112.0117.7-5.7
27 Orlando Magic74235131%104.5113.2-8.7
28 Oklahoma City Thunder73225130%105.2115.6-10.5
29 Detroit Pistons74225230%106.1110.0-3.9
30 Houston Rockets74195526%109.1115.9-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves26263714103
Denver Nuggets35282922114
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.