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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 17 May 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 136-121
38-22 38-38 37-35 23-26
Position#25
Record23-51
FormLWWLL
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game117.7
vs
Position#9
Record44-30
FormWWLWW
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game110.0
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks
24 Mar 2027
MIN v DAL
upcoming
12 Nov 2026
MIN v DAL
upcoming
20 Feb 2026
MIN122
DAL111
17 Nov 2025
MIN120
DAL96
29 Oct 2024
MIN114
DAL120
30 May 2024
MIN103
DAL124
24 May 2024
MIN108
DAL109
22 May 2024
MIN105
DAL108
31 Jan 2024
MIN121
DAL87
28 Dec 2023
MIN118
DAL110
21 Dec 2022
MIN99
DAL104
19 Dec 2022
MIN116
DAL106
25 Mar 2022
MIN116
DAL95
19 Dec 2021
MIN111
DAL105
16 May 2021
MIN136
DAL121
24 Mar 2021
MIN108
DAL128
01 Apr 2020
MIN v DAL
upcoming
01 Mar 2020
MIN91
DAL111
11 Jan 2019
MIN115
DAL119
10 Dec 2017
MIN97
DAL92
04 Nov 2017
MIN112
DAL99
24 Feb 2017
MIN97
DAL84
09 Jan 2017
MIN101
DAL92
03 Apr 2016
MIN78
DAL88
10 Jan 2016
MIN87
DAL93
21 Jan 2015
MIN75
DAL98
30 Dec 2013
MIN98
DAL100
08 Nov 2013
MIN116
DAL108
10 Mar 2013
MIN77
DAL100
15 Dec 2012
MIN114
DAL106
10 Feb 2012
MIN97
DAL104
01 Jan 2012
MIN99
DAL82
07 Mar 2011
MIN105
DAL108
08 Mar 2010
MIN112
DAL125
13 Nov 2009
MIN77
DAL89
31 Mar 2009
MIN88
DAL108
01 Nov 2008
MIN85
DAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#1
W
105-104
105
104
+1
104avg 102
H27/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
114-107
114
107
+7
107avg 102
A28/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
126-114
126
114
+12
124avg 102
H30/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
136-140 OT
136
140
-4
128avg 102
H02/05
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
135-139
135
139
-4
130avg 102
H06/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
112-121
112
121
-9
104avg 102
A08/05
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
128-96
128
96
+32
126avg 102
A09/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
119-100
119
100
+19
109avg 102
A11/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
103-114
103
114
-11
91avg 102
H14/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
108-124
108
124
-16
94avg 102
H15/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-33
32-14
34-23
22-34
28-23
31-27
19-29
36-28
35-25
25-33
29-33
37-23
30-38
35-27
32-33
26-25
29-33
34-40
40-34
32-32
32-28
22-31
24-30
34-32
34-19
40-25
33-25
21-27
30-20
32-20
24-25
33-35
26-35
26-28
37-29
14-22
26-37
21-29
27-23
34-35
234.5Avg total
118.6Scored
115.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)111.8117.7229.5-5.931%
Season at home (37)109.2116.2225.4-7.032%
Season away (37)114.5119.2233.7-4.730%
Last 10 (10)118.6115.9234.5+2.750%
Last 5 (5)114.0111.0225.0+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)113.6121.1234.7-7.529%
vs Similar (8)118.8110.9229.6+7.975%
vs Weaker (1)103.0112.0215.0-9.00%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
115-105
115
105
+10
101avg 104
A29/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
125-124
125
124
+1
119avg 104
H02/05
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
99-111
99
111
-12
85avg 104
H03/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
127-113
127
113
+14
123avg 104
A05/05
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
113-109
113
109
+4
105avg 104
H06/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
110-90
110
90
+20
104avg 104
H08/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
124-97
124
97
+27
122avg 104
A09/05
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
104-133
104
133
-29
90avg 104
A12/05
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
125-107
125
107
+18
115avg 104
H13/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
114-110
114
110
+4
106avg 104
H15/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
34-28
26-29
29-22
38-26
32-39
19-32
36-27
26-36
28-25
18-26
27-24
30-39
33-15
35-23
29-36
37-32
26-30
19-21
31-26
33-19
29-18
24-28
24-25
39-30
25-23
34-19
26-25
27-28
30-32
25-36
22-37
32-30
45-28
34-22
14-27
31-26
35-26
26-31
22-27
225.5Avg total
115.6Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)112.7110.0222.7+2.759%
Season at home (37)111.5111.3222.8+0.257%
Season away (37)114.0108.7222.7+5.262%
Last 10 (10)115.6109.9225.5+5.780%
Last 5 (5)115.4107.4222.8+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)103.0108.0211.0-5.050%
vs Similar (15)112.5108.3220.7+4.273%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)114.4107.7222.1+6.762%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.6-1.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.6-1.6
Minnesota TimberwolvesDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#1
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H27/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A28/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H30/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
D
65-65
65
65
+0
H02/05
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H06/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A08/05
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
74-44
74
44
+30
A09/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
62-40
62
40
+22
A11/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
52-63
52
63
-11
H14/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
47-66
47
66
-19
H15/05
NBA
115.0Avg total
58.5Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.161.2118.3-4.123%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.461.1115.6-6.719%-
Last 30 away (14)60.161.3121.4-1.229%-
Last 10 (10)58.556.5115.0+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)57.854.4112.2+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)56.062.3118.4-6.319%-
vs Similar (8)60.658.8119.4+1.938%-
vs Weaker (1)50.057.0107.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A29/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H02/05
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H03/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A05/05
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H06/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
62-37
62
37
+25
H08/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
64-53
64
53
+11
A09/05
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A12/05
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H13/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H15/05
NBA
119.2Avg total
63.6Scored
55.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.654.0111.6+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.955.9113.8+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)57.351.8109.1+5.564%-
Last 10 (10)63.655.6119.2+8.080%-
Last 5 (5)65.252.0117.2+13.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)49.051.0100.0-2.050%-
vs Similar (15)58.353.4111.7+4.953%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)58.255.2113.3+3.069%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 118.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.728.7
56.6%
52.8%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.814.1
33.7%
36.6%42.3
🏀 Free throws27.018.9
70.0%
77.7%18.9
They take 92.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 115.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.227.9
55.6%
52.8%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.114.2
37.3%
36.6%42.6
🏀 Free throws21.317.2
80.8%
77.7%17.2
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWWLLLWWW
Dallas Mavericks
WWLWWWWLWW
#25
League position
#9
+2.6
Net rating
+5.7
112.0
Offensive rating
116.3
109.5
Defensive rating
110.5
53.9%
Effective FG%
55.7%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
13.3%
Turnover %
11.2%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.7%
3-point %
37.3%
66.6%
Assist %
58.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 116.3Defence109.5 · 110.5Shooting53.9% · 55.7%3-point %33.7% · 37.3%Ball care13.3% · 11.2%Off. rebounds26.2% · 23.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/21HBoston Celtics108-124
14/05/21HDenver Nuggets103-114
11/05/21ADetroit Pistons119-100
09/05/21AOrlando Magic128-96
08/05/21AMiami Heat112-121
06/05/21HMemphis Grizzlies135-139
02/05/21HNew Orleans Pelicans136-140 OT
30/04/21HGolden State Warriors126-114
28/04/21AHouston Rockets114-107
27/04/21HUtah Jazz105-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/21HToronto Raptors114-110
13/05/21HNew Orleans Pelicans125-107
12/05/21AMemphis Grizzlies104-133
09/05/21ACleveland Cavaliers124-97
08/05/21HCleveland Cavaliers110-90
06/05/21HBrooklyn Nets113-109
05/05/21AMiami Heat127-113
03/05/21HSacramento Kings99-111
02/05/21HWashington Wizards125-124
29/04/21ADetroit Pistons115-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL31%
HomeWLLLL32%
AwayWWLWW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743737
Win %31%32%30%
Points / game111.8109.2114.5
Allowed / game117.7116.2119.2
Point differential-5.9-7.0-4.7
Avg total229.5225.4233.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (26)42% (12)43% (14)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW59%
HomeLWWWW57%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743737
Win %59%57%62%
Points / game112.7111.5114.0
Allowed / game110.0111.3108.7
Point differential+2.7+0.2+5.2
Avg total222.7222.8222.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%30%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won61% (18)62% (13)60% (5)
Overtime %3%3%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz74542073%116.4107.0+9.4
2 Philadelphia 76ers74512369%113.6107.9+5.6
3 Brooklyn Nets74502468%118.5113.7+4.8
4 Phoenix Suns76512567%114.7109.7+5.0
5 Denver Nuggets74492566%115.2109.4+5.9
6 Los Angeles Clippers74472764%113.4108.0+5.4
7 Milwaukee Bucks74462862%119.8114.5+5.3
8 Los Angeles Lakers75453060%109.6106.6+3.0
9 Dallas Mavericks74443059%112.7110.0+2.7
10 New York Knicks76443258%106.7103.9+2.7
11 Atlanta Hawks76433357%113.6111.7+2.0
12 Portland Trail Blazers75423356%115.4114.6+0.8
13 Miami Heat74413355%108.0108.1-0.1
14 Golden State Warriors75413455%113.6112.5+1.1
15 Memphis Grizzlies76413554%113.6112.0+1.5
16 Boston Celtics74363849%112.1111.1+1.0
17 Washington Wizards75354047%116.0117.9-1.9
18 Indiana Pacers75344145%114.9115.2-0.3
19 New Orleans Pelicans73334045%115.0114.6+0.4
20 Charlotte Hornets76344245%109.6111.6-1.9
21 Chicago Bulls75334244%110.5111.2-0.7
22 San Antonio Spurs75334244%110.8113.1-2.3
23 Sacramento Kings75334244%113.8117.2-3.5
24 Toronto Raptors75294639%111.2111.6-0.4
25 Cleveland Cavaliers76245232%103.6112.0-8.4
26 Minnesota Timberwolves74235131%111.8117.7-5.9
27 Orlando Magic76235330%104.6113.5-8.9
28 Oklahoma City Thunder74225230%105.0115.6-10.6
29 Detroit Pistons76225429%105.9110.1-4.1
30 Houston Rockets76205626%109.1116.0-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves38383723136
Dallas Mavericks22383526121
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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