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Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 May 2019
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 125-103
35-21 29-18 31-39 30-25
Position#1
Record69-23
FormWWWWW
Points / game117.9
Allowed / game108.4
Milwaukee Bucks 🏆
USA
vs
Toronto Raptors
USA
Position#3
Record66-29
FormWWLWL
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game106.8
USANBANBA - Semi-finals· Fiserv Forum
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Toronto Raptors
06 Nov 2026
MIL v TOR
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
MIL94
TOR122
18 Dec 2025
MIL105
TOR111
17 Jan 2025
MIL130
TOR112
12 Nov 2024
MIL99
TOR85
05 Apr 2024
MIL111
TOR117
19 Mar 2023
MIL118
TOR111
17 Jan 2023
MIL130
TOR122
15 Jan 2022
MIL96
TOR103
05 Jan 2022
MIL111
TOR117
18 Feb 2021
MIL96
TOR110
16 Feb 2021
MIL113
TOR124
10 Aug 2020
MIL106
TOR114
02 Nov 2019
MIL115
TOR105
23 May 2019
MIL v TOR
upcoming
17 May 2019
MIL125
TOR103
15 May 2019
MIL108
TOR100
05 Jan 2019
MIL116
TOR123
29 Oct 2018
MIL124
TOR109
05 Jan 2018
MIL110
TOR129
27 Apr 2017
MIL89
TOR92
22 Apr 2017
MIL76
TOR87
20 Apr 2017
MIL104
TOR77
04 Mar 2017
MIL101
TOR94
25 Nov 2016
MIL99
TOR105
15 Mar 2016
MIL89
TOR107
26 Dec 2015
MIL90
TOR111
19 Jan 2015
MIL89
TOR92
05 Apr 2014
MIL98
TOR102
02 Nov 2013
MIL90
TOR97
06 Apr 2013
MIL100
TOR83
02 Mar 2013
MIL122
TOR114
23 Apr 2012
MIL92
TOR86
11 Apr 2011
MIL93
TOR86
08 Feb 2011
MIL92
TOR74
20 Jan 2010
MIL113
TOR107
09 Dec 2009
MIL117
TOR95
05 Jan 2009
MIL107
TOR97
01 Nov 2008
MIL87
TOR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
121-86
121
86
+35
121avg 113
H14/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
120-99
120
99
+21
123avg 113
H18/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
119-103
119
103
+16
117avg 113
A21/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
127-104
127
104
+23
131avg 113
A23/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
90-112
90
112
-22
no box
H28/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
123-102
123
102
+21
116avg 113
H01/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
123-116
123
116
+7
115avg 113
A04/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
113-101
113
101
+12
no box
A06/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
116-91
116
91
+25
113avg 113
H09/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
108-100
108
100
+8
101avg 113
H16/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-18
32-25
27-18
24-25
38-27
20-32
35-17
27-23
32-24
35-30
33-24
19-25
26-28
30-34
39-23
32-19
17-26
33-26
21-36
19-24
25-30
34-25
39-18
25-29
25-30
30-26
40-31
28-29
22-30
25-19
33-23
33-29
22-19
30-20
28-23
36-29
23-34
28-25
25-24
32-17
217.4Avg total
116.0Scored
101.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (92)117.9108.4226.3+9.575%
Season at home (47)119.0106.6225.6+12.481%
Season away (45)116.8110.3227.1+6.469%
Last 10 (10)116.0101.4217.4+14.690%
Last 5 (5)116.6102.0218.6+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)108.0100.0208.0+8.0100%
vs Weaker (29)118.9109.5228.3+9.469%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
W
107-85
107
85
+22
108avg 105
A21/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
115-96
115
96
+19
118avg 105
H23/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
108-95
108
95
+13
no box
H27/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
89-94
89
94
-5
70avg 105
H30/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
95-116
95
116
-21
77avg 105
A03/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
101-96
101
96
+5
95avg 105
A05/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
125-89
125
89
+36
118avg 105
H08/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
101-112
101
112
-11
90avg 105
A10/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
92-90
92
90
+2
78avg 105
H12/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
100-108
100
108
-8
83avg 105
A16/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
30-16
24-28
25-15
35-19
32-28
32-23
16-26
39-31
22-21
31-29
16-14
17-26
21-25
25-18
26-25
29-32
24-32
28-25
14-27
24-21
23-24
28-30
26-21
27-26
37-17
28-27
33-19
21-29
22-29
24-29
34-25
18-13
26-27
23-24
25-26
34-23
25-28
24-25
17-32
201.4Avg total
103.3Scored
98.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (95)112.9106.8219.7+6.169%
Season at home (48)113.8105.4219.2+8.477%
Season away (47)112.0108.2220.2+3.962%
Last 10 (10)103.398.1201.4+5.260%
Last 5 (5)103.899.0202.8+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)104.3103.0207.3+1.350%
vs Weaker (20)114.1102.0216.1+12.075%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +8.3+8.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +8.3+8.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
Milwaukee BucksToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
70-43
70
43
+27
H14/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H18/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A21/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A23/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H28/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H01/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A04/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A06/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H09/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H16/05
NBA
109.3Avg total
56.5Scored
52.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.154.9112.0+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.654.1112.7+4.559%-
Last 30 away (13)55.156.0111.1-0.946%-
Last 10 (10)56.552.8109.3+3.740%-
Last 5 (5)52.851.6104.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)51.059.0110.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker (29)57.354.8112.1+2.555%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A21/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
67-47
67
47
+20
H23/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H27/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H30/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A03/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A05/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
64-43
64
43
+21
H08/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A10/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H12/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A16/05
NBA
102.7Avg total
53.4Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.150.8107.9+6.373%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.849.5106.3+7.371%-
Last 30 away (16)57.451.9109.2+5.575%-
Last 10 (10)53.449.3102.7+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)51.447.498.8+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)53.050.7103.7+2.370%-
vs Weaker (20)59.150.8109.9+8.475%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 116.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.627.9
55.1%
51.7%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.613.2
34.2%
35.4%39.6
🏀 Free throws27.720.6
74.4%
76.6%20.6
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 103.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.825.9
52.0%
51.7%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.410.9
32.6%
35.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws22.818.8
82.5%
76.6%18.8
They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWWLWWWW
Toronto Raptors
LWLWWLLWWW
#1
League position
#3
+14.2
Net rating
+5.5
111.5
Offensive rating
106.1
97.2
Defensive rating
100.5
53.5%
Effective FG%
50.8%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
12.1%
Turnover %
11.8%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
18.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.2%
3-point %
32.6%
61.1%
Assist %
57.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 106.1Defence97.2 · 100.5Shooting53.5% · 50.8%3-point %34.2% · 32.6%Ball care12.1% · 11.8%Off. rebounds21.6% · 18.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
5
Toronto Raptors wins
DateGameScore
16/05/19Milwaukee Bucks v Toronto Raptors108-100
01/02/19Toronto Raptors v Milwaukee Bucks92-105
06/01/19Milwaukee Bucks v Toronto Raptors116-123
09/12/18Toronto Raptors v Milwaukee Bucks99-104
30/10/18Milwaukee Bucks v Toronto Raptors124-109
24/02/18Toronto Raptors v Milwaukee Bucks119-122 OT
06/01/18Milwaukee Bucks v Toronto Raptors110-129
02/01/18Toronto Raptors v Milwaukee Bucks131-127 OT
27/04/17Milwaukee Bucks v Toronto Raptors89-92
24/04/17Toronto Raptors v Milwaukee Bucks118-93
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/05/19HToronto Raptors108-100
09/05/19HBoston Celtics116-91
06/05/19ABoston Celtics113-101
04/05/19ABoston Celtics123-116
01/05/19HBoston Celtics123-102
28/04/19HBoston Celtics90-112
23/04/19ADetroit Pistons127-104
21/04/19ADetroit Pistons119-103
18/04/19HDetroit Pistons120-99
14/04/19HDetroit Pistons121-86
Toronto Raptorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/05/19AMilwaukee Bucks100-108
12/05/19HPhiladelphia 76ers92-90
10/05/19APhiladelphia 76ers101-112
08/05/19HPhiladelphia 76ers125-89
05/05/19APhiladelphia 76ers101-96
03/05/19APhiladelphia 76ers95-116
30/04/19HPhiladelphia 76ers89-94
27/04/19HPhiladelphia 76ers108-95
23/04/19HOrlando Magic115-96
21/04/19AOrlando Magic107-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWLWWW81%
AwayWWWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games924745
Win %75%81%69%
Points / game117.9119.0116.8
Allowed / game108.4106.6110.3
Point differential+9.5+12.4+6.4
Avg total226.3225.6227.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%64%49%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (17)33% (6)36% (11)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL69%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayWLWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954847
Win %69%77%62%
Points / game112.9113.8112.0
Allowed / game106.8105.4108.2
Point differential+6.1+8.4+3.9
Avg total219.7219.2220.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%46%34%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (28)57% (14)57% (14)
Overtime %7%4%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks92692375%117.9108.4+9.5
2 Golden State Warriors96672970%117.7111.2+6.5
3 Toronto Raptors95662969%112.9106.8+6.1
4 Denver Nuggets96613564%110.4106.8+3.6
5 Portland Trail Blazers96613564%114.0110.5+3.5
6 Houston Rockets93593463%113.3108.7+4.6
7 Philadelphia 76ers94583662%114.4111.6+2.7
8 Boston Celtics91543759%111.4107.5+3.9
9 Utah Jazz87513659%110.9106.5+4.4
10 Oklahoma City Thunder87503757%113.9111.1+2.9
11 San Antonio Spurs89513857%111.0109.6+1.4
12 Los Angeles Clippers88503857%115.1115.0+0.1
13 Indiana Pacers86483856%107.3104.4+2.8
14 Orlando Magic87434449%106.4106.6-0.2
15 Brooklyn Nets87434449%112.2112.9-0.7
16 Detroit Pistons86414548%106.6108.0-1.3
17 Miami Heat82394348%105.7105.9-0.2
18 Charlotte Hornets82394348%110.7111.8-1.1
19 Sacramento Kings82394348%114.2115.3-1.1
20 Los Angeles Lakers82374545%111.8113.5-1.7
21 Minnesota Timberwolves82364644%112.5114.0-1.5
22 Dallas Mavericks82334940%108.9110.1-1.3
23 New Orleans Pelicans82334940%115.4116.8-1.3
24 Memphis Grizzlies82334940%103.5106.1-2.6
25 Washington Wizards82325039%114.0116.9-2.9
26 Atlanta Hawks82295335%113.3119.4-6.0
27 Chicago Bulls82226027%104.9113.4-8.4
28 Phoenix Suns82196323%107.5116.8-9.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers82196323%104.5114.1-9.6
30 New York Knicks82176521%104.6113.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks35293130125
Toronto Raptors21183925103
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