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Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 111-117
27-21 27-37 31-32 26-27
Position#8
Record46-28
FormLLWLL
Points / game119.7
Allowed / game116.5
vs
Position#25
Record23-53
FormLLLLL
Points / game112.3
Allowed / game118.7
USANBA· Fiserv Forum (Milwaukee)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Toronto Raptors
06 Nov 2026
MIL107
TOR121
22 Feb 2026
MIL94
TOR122
18 Dec 2025
MIL105
TOR111
17 Jan 2025
MIL130
TOR112
12 Nov 2024
MIL99
TOR85
05 Apr 2024
MIL111
TOR117
19 Mar 2023
MIL118
TOR111
17 Jan 2023
MIL130
TOR122
15 Jan 2022
MIL96
TOR103
05 Jan 2022
MIL111
TOR117
18 Feb 2021
MIL96
TOR110
16 Feb 2021
MIL113
TOR124
10 Aug 2020
MIL106
TOR114
02 Nov 2019
MIL115
TOR105
23 May 2019
MIL v TOR
upcoming
17 May 2019
MIL125
TOR103
15 May 2019
MIL108
TOR100
05 Jan 2019
MIL116
TOR123
29 Oct 2018
MIL124
TOR109
05 Jan 2018
MIL110
TOR129
27 Apr 2017
MIL89
TOR92
22 Apr 2017
MIL76
TOR87
20 Apr 2017
MIL104
TOR77
04 Mar 2017
MIL101
TOR94
25 Nov 2016
MIL99
TOR105
15 Mar 2016
MIL89
TOR107
26 Dec 2015
MIL90
TOR111
19 Jan 2015
MIL89
TOR92
05 Apr 2014
MIL98
TOR102
02 Nov 2013
MIL90
TOR97
06 Apr 2013
MIL100
TOR83
02 Mar 2013
MIL122
TOR114
23 Apr 2012
MIL92
TOR86
11 Apr 2011
MIL93
TOR86
08 Feb 2011
MIL92
TOR74
20 Jan 2010
MIL113
TOR107
09 Dec 2009
MIL117
TOR95
05 Jan 2009
MIL107
TOR97
01 Nov 2008
MIL87
TOR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
114-105
114
105
+9
116avg 111
H15/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
140-129
140
129
+11
137avg 111
H17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
119-122
119
122
-3
112avg 111
A20/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
115-108
115
108
+7
107avg 111
H22/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
118-93
118
93
+25
123avg 111
H24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
124-128 OT
124
128
-4
114avg 111
H26/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
100-107
100
107
-7
92avg 111
A29/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
122-113
122
113
+9
121avg 111
A30/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
113-117
113
117
-4
107avg 111
A02/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
101-111
101
111
-10
88avg 111
H04/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
29-32
27-22
34-22
39-36
43-24
27-34
31-35
28-33
28-36
27-32
36-21
26-19
34-25
21-25
34-39
25-22
23-25
34-17
36-29
32-16
26-26
30-32
13-27
25-26
20-35
28-24
27-22
33-28
26-17
30-29
33-39
28-27
26-31
32-33
27-26
22-26
27-27
29-26
23-32
229.9Avg total
116.6Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)119.7116.5236.2+3.162%
Season at home (36)121.8115.1236.9+6.678%
Season away (38)117.7117.9235.6-0.247%
Last 10 (10)116.6113.3229.9+3.350%
Last 5 (5)112.0115.2227.2-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)118.5107.5226.0+11.050%
vs Similar (18)112.3114.6226.8-2.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)113.9107.2221.1+6.750%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
L
103-113
103
113
-10
96avg 106
H15/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
96-111
96
111
-15
86avg 106
A17/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
89-123
89
123
-34
74avg 106
H20/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
103-123
103
123
-20
106avg 106
H22/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
109-112
109
112
-3
97avg 106
A24/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
88-96
88
96
-8
73avg 106
H25/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
101-145
101
145
-44
93avg 106
H27/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
120-135
120
135
-15
110avg 106
H31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
111-128
111
128
-17
101avg 106
H02/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
85-133
85
133
-48
72avg 106
A04/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
21-26
25-34
30-29
24-26
23-26
26-35
23-24
27-32
18-36
20-31
24-24
35-28
21-35
22-26
25-34
25-23
23-28
33-26
28-35
20-22
25-27
24-19
19-28
33-45
26-35
21-31
21-34
27-35
28-36
38-30
27-34
25-34
33-30
21-36
32-28
19-23
23-35
18-33
25-42
222.4Avg total
100.5Scored
121.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)112.3118.7231.0-6.430%
Season at home (39)109.5115.7225.2-6.233%
Season away (37)115.2121.8237.0-6.627%
Last 10 (10)100.5121.9222.4-21.40%
Last 5 (5)101.0127.4228.4-26.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)109.0125.4234.5-16.418%
vs Similar (8)109.1110.9220.0-1.838%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -7.3-7.3Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -5.8-5.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -7.3-7.3Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -5.8-5.8
Milwaukee BucksToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H15/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A20/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H22/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H26/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A29/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A30/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A02/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H04/04
NBA
110.4Avg total
56.4Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.855.4113.3+2.443%-
Last 30 at home (12)57.250.2107.4+7.158%-
Last 30 away (18)58.258.9117.2-0.733%-
Last 10 (10)56.454.0110.4+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)53.051.8104.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)52.058.0110.0-6.050%-
vs Similar (18)57.258.6115.8-1.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)60.149.2109.3+10.960%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H15/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A17/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
45-68
45
68
-23
H20/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H22/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A24/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H25/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
59-80
59
80
-21
H27/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
55-71
55
71
-16
H31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H02/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A04/04
NBA
110.9Avg total
50.3Scored
60.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.560.0114.6-5.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.161.5116.6-6.438%-
Last 30 away (14)53.958.4112.2-4.536%-
Last 10 (10)50.360.6110.9-10.30%-
Last 5 (5)51.864.4116.2-12.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)55.762.0117.6-6.336%-
vs Similar (8)51.454.8106.1-3.438%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 116.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.329.0
56.5%
54.4%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.715.0
37.8%
36.3%45.0
🏀 Free throws18.213.6
74.7%
78.2%13.6
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 100.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.429.2
53.7%
54.4%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.99.5
30.7%
36.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.613.6
77.3%
78.2%13.6
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWLLWWLWW
Toronto Raptors
LLLLLLLLLL
#8
League position
#25
+3.3
Net rating
-21.3
115.7
Offensive rating
100.2
112.4
Defensive rating
121.5
56.6%
Effective FG%
50.9%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
60.2%
12.4%
Turnover %
16.8%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.21
37.8%
3-point %
30.7%
65.0%
Assist %
66.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence115.7 · 100.2Defence112.4 · 121.5Shooting56.6% · 50.9%3-point %37.8% · 30.7%Ball care12.4% · 16.8%Off. rebounds23.9% · 21.2%Free throws0.20 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 0%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
6
Toronto Raptors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/24HMemphis Grizzlies101-111
02/04/24AWashington Wizards113-117
30/03/24AAtlanta Hawks122-113
29/03/24ANew Orleans Pelicans100-107
26/03/24HLos Angeles Lakers124-128 OT
24/03/24HOklahoma City Thunder118-93
22/03/24HBrooklyn Nets115-108
20/03/24ABoston Celtics119-122
17/03/24HPhoenix Suns140-129
15/03/24HPhiladelphia 76ers114-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/24AMinnesota Timberwolves85-133
02/04/24HLos Angeles Lakers111-128
31/03/24HPhiladelphia 76ers120-135
27/03/24HNew York Knicks101-145
25/03/24HBrooklyn Nets88-96
24/03/24AWashington Wizards109-112
22/03/24HOklahoma City Thunder103-123
20/03/24HSacramento Kings89-123
17/03/24AOrlando Magic96-111
15/03/24HOrlando Magic103-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL62%
HomeWWWLL78%
AwayLLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743638
Win %62%78%47%
Points / game119.7121.8117.7
Allowed / game116.5115.1117.9
Point differential+3.1+6.6-0.2
Avg total236.2236.9235.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%36%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (19)88% (8)27% (11)
Overtime %5%8%3%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL30%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763937
Win %30%33%27%
Points / game112.3109.5115.2
Allowed / game118.7115.7121.8
Point differential-6.4-6.2-6.6
Avg total231.0225.2237.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%15%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (19)71% (7)25% (12)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics76611580%120.9109.0+11.9
2 Minnesota Timberwolves76532370%113.1106.0+7.2
3 Denver Nuggets77532469%114.3109.6+4.7
4 Oklahoma City Thunder77522568%119.8113.4+6.4
5 Los Angeles Clippers76482863%115.8112.5+3.3
6 Milwaukee Bucks74462862%119.7116.5+3.1
7 Dallas Mavericks76463061%118.3115.8+2.5
8 New York Knicks75453060%112.4107.4+4.9
9 Phoenix Suns75453060%117.0114.0+3.1
10 Cleveland Cavaliers77463160%112.6109.9+2.7
11 New Orleans Pelicans74443059%115.3110.2+5.1
12 Orlando Magic77453258%110.6108.4+2.2
13 Sacramento Kings76443258%116.8115.4+1.4
14 Los Angeles Lakers75423356%117.9118.0-0.2
15 Golden State Warriors76423455%118.0115.6+2.4
16 Indiana Pacers76423455%122.7120.4+2.4
17 Miami Heat76423455%109.8108.4+1.4
18 Philadelphia 76ers77423555%114.2112.0+2.2
19 Houston Rockets76383850%114.0112.8+1.2
20 Chicago Bulls76364047%111.9113.6-1.6
21 Atlanta Hawks77364147%118.8120.0-1.2
22 Brooklyn Nets77304739%111.2113.7-2.5
23 Utah Jazz76294738%116.1120.7-4.5
24 Memphis Grizzlies76265034%106.0112.9-6.9
25 Toronto Raptors76235330%112.3118.7-6.4
26 Portland Trail Blazers77215627%106.9115.5-8.5
27 Charlotte Hornets77195825%106.3116.5-10.2
28 San Antonio Spurs76185824%112.1119.1-7.0
29 Washington Wizards78156319%113.3122.7-9.4
30 Detroit Pistons76136317%110.6119.4-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks27273126111
Toronto Raptors21373227117
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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