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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 101-104
31-22 26-26 27-29 17-27
Position-
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA - Las Vegas Summer League· Cox Pavilion
Other2025
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets
20 Jan 2027
MIN v HOU
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
MIN110
HOU108
19 Jul 2025
MIN101
HOU104
06 Feb 2025
MIN127
HOU114
26 Nov 2024
MIN111
HOU117
02 Apr 2024
MIN113
HOU106
04 Feb 2024
MIN111
HOU90
21 Jan 2023
MIN113
HOU104
05 Nov 2022
MIN129
HOU117
20 Oct 2021
MIN124
HOU106
27 Mar 2021
MIN107
HOU129
26 Mar 2021
MIN107
HOU101
24 Jan 2020
MIN124
HOU131
16 Nov 2019
MIN105
HOU125
13 Feb 2019
MIN121
HOU111
03 Dec 2018
MIN103
HOU91
23 Apr 2018
MIN100
HOU119
21 Apr 2018
MIN121
HOU105
18 Mar 2018
MIN120
HOU129
13 Feb 2018
MIN108
HOU126
11 Jan 2017
MIN119
HOU105
17 Dec 2016
MIN109
HOU111
11 Apr 2016
MIN105
HOU129
05 Dec 2014
MIN112
HOU114
12 Nov 2014
MIN101
HOU113
11 Apr 2014
MIN112
HOU110
10 Feb 2014
MIN89
HOU107
19 Jan 2013
MIN92
HOU79
26 Dec 2012
MIN84
HOU87
04 Feb 2012
MIN100
HOU91
23 Jan 2012
MIN92
HOU107
13 Apr 2011
MIN102
HOU121
24 Jan 2011
MIN125
HOU129
06 Mar 2010
MIN98
HOU112
18 Nov 2009
MIN84
HOU97
01 Mar 2009
MIN94
HOU105
20 Dec 2008
MIN102
HOU109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
88-99
88
99
-11
74avg 107
H07/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
117-93
117
93
+24
114avg 107
H09/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
102-97
102
97
+5
99avg 107
A11/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
117-110
117
110
+7
110avg 107
A13/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
121-110
121
110
+11
129avg 107
H15/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
88-114
88
114
-26
73avg 107
A21/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
103-118
103
118
-15
89avg 107
A23/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
143-101
143
101
+42
142avg 107
H25/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
126-128
126
128
-2
124avg 107
H27/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
94-124
94
124
-30
78avg 107
A29/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
11-26
29-36
28-19
29-15
27-24
29-26
32-28
21-21
19-21
29-31
33-24
27-28
31-32
39-17
20-33
30-23
32-24
31-25
28-38
23-20
25-24
18-32
22-38
25-29
25-29
21-35
32-25
34-14
38-27
35-29
36-31
30-37
27-28
28-25
41-38
9-26
23-39
30-23
32-36
219.3Avg total
109.9Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)109.9109.4219.3+0.550%
Last 5 (5)110.8117.0227.8-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)110.8117.0227.8-6.220%
vs Similar (16)113.9108.8222.6+5.169%
vs Weaker (9)119.0103.2222.2+15.889%
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
117-134
117
134
-17
107avg 104
A10/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
109-140
109
140
-31
95avg 104
A12/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
111-126
111
126
-15
102avg 104
H13/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
85-95
85
95
-10
73avg 104
H21/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
109-94
109
94
+15
101avg 104
H24/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
93-104
93
104
-11
81avg 104
A27/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
106-109
106
109
-3
96avg 104
A29/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
131-116
131
116
+15
127avg 104
H30/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
115-107
115
107
+8
108avg 104
A03/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
89-103
89
103
-14
77avg 104
H05/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-36
23-35
33-34
26-29
32-38
24-40
31-29
22-33
23-36
29-29
19-37
40-24
21-18
13-29
26-22
25-26
28-18
32-28
27-25
22-23
22-18
27-28
22-23
22-35
26-28
31-22
23-32
26-27
40-24
36-25
31-31
24-36
25-21
28-27
33-36
29-23
19-23
20-28
23-19
27-33
219.3Avg total
106.5Scored
112.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)106.5112.8219.3-6.330%
Last 5 (5)106.8107.8214.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)126.5124.0250.5+2.550%
vs Similar (14)105.9111.4217.2-5.529%
vs Weaker (14)122.2107.6229.8+14.693%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
Minnesota TimberwolvesHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H07/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H09/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A11/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A13/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H15/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A21/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A23/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
72-41
72
41
+31
H25/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H27/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
32-65
32
65
-33
A29/05
NBA
101.1Avg total
50.6Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.252.4106.7+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.952.3109.2+4.662%-
Last 30 away (14)51.152.6103.7-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)50.650.5101.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)51.854.6106.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)51.854.6106.4-2.840%-
vs Similar (16)52.952.9105.8-0.138%-
vs Weaker (9)58.050.3108.3+7.789%-
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A10/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
56-78
56
78
-22
A12/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
52-65
52
65
-13
H13/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H21/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H24/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A27/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A29/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
76-49
76
49
+27
H30/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A03/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H05/05
NBA
108.5Avg total
53.4Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.655.5113.0+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.954.6113.4+4.356%-
Last 30 away (14)56.156.5112.6-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)53.455.1108.5-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)54.848.8103.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.558.0123.5+7.550%-
vs Similar (14)53.455.2108.6-1.943%-
vs Weaker (14)60.655.4116.0+5.364%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 109.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.726.1
54.7%
50.3%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.013.9
37.6%
31.5%41.7
🏀 Free throws20.616.0
77.7%
72.4%16.0
They take 84.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 106.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.126.4
49.7%
50.3%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.312.4
38.4%
31.5%37.2
🏀 Free throws23.616.5
69.9%
72.4%16.5
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jul 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWLLWWWWL
Houston Rockets
LWWLLWLLLL
+0.5
Net rating
-6.5
111.5
Offensive rating
110.1
111.0
Defensive rating
116.6
55.4%
Effective FG%
52.7%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
16.9%
Turnover %
13.3%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.6%
3-point %
38.4%
63.0%
Assist %
55.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 110.1Defence111.0 · 116.6Shooting55.4% · 52.7%3-point %37.6% · 38.4%Ball care16.9% · 13.3%Off. rebounds27.9% · 28.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder94-124
27/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder126-128
25/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder143-101
23/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder103-118
21/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder88-114
15/05/25HGolden State Warriors121-110
13/05/25AGolden State Warriors117-110
11/05/25AGolden State Warriors102-97
09/05/25HGolden State Warriors117-93
07/05/25HGolden State Warriors88-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/25HGolden State Warriors89-103
03/05/25AGolden State Warriors115-107
30/04/25HGolden State Warriors131-116
29/04/25AGolden State Warriors106-109
27/04/25AGolden State Warriors93-104
24/04/25HGolden State Warriors109-94
21/04/25HGolden State Warriors85-95
13/04/25HDenver Nuggets111-126
12/04/25ALos Angeles Lakers109-140
10/04/25ALos Angeles Clippers117-134

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Houston Rockets
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves31262717101
Houston Rockets22262927104
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