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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 128-125 (OT)
28-24 23-33 30-27 32-29 15-12
Position#2
Record20-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game115.6
Allowed / game113.7
vs
Position#9
Record19-14
FormWWWLL
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game111.1
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Phoenix Suns
05 Jan 2027
DEN v PHX
upcoming
16 Nov 2026
DEN v PHX
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
DEN133
PHX111
07 Mar 2025
DEN149
PHX141
23 Dec 2024
DEN117
PHX90
27 Mar 2024
DEN97
PHX104
05 Mar 2024
DEN107
PHX117
09 May 2023
DEN118
PHX102
01 May 2023
DEN97
PHX87
29 Apr 2023
DEN125
PHX107
11 Jan 2023
DEN126
PHX97
25 Dec 2022
DEN128
PHX125
24 Mar 2022
DEN130
PHX140
13 Jun 2021
DEN118
PHX125
11 Jun 2021
DEN102
PHX116
01 Jan 2021
DEN103
PHX106
24 Nov 2019
DEN116
PHX104
25 Oct 2019
DEN108
PHX107
25 Jan 2019
DEN132
PHX95
20 Oct 2018
DEN119
PHX91
19 Jan 2018
DEN100
PHX108
03 Jan 2018
DEN134
PHX111
26 Jan 2017
DEN127
PHX120
16 Nov 2016
DEN120
PHX104
10 Mar 2016
DEN116
PHX98
20 Nov 2015
DEN107
PHX114
25 Feb 2015
DEN96
PHX110
28 Nov 2014
DEN122
PHX97
18 Feb 2014
DEN107
PHX112
20 Dec 2013
DEN99
PHX103
17 Apr 2013
DEN118
PHX98
06 Apr 2012
DEN105
PHX99
14 Feb 2012
DEN109
PHX92
20 Dec 2011
DEN127
PHX110
11 Jan 2011
DEN132
PHX98
28 Nov 2010
DEN138
PHX133
03 Feb 2010
DEN97
PHX109
12 Dec 2009
DEN105
PHX99
15 Jan 2009
DEN119
PHX113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
109-117
109
117
-8
103avg 112
A03/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
106-121
106
121
-15
101avg 112
A04/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
115-116
115
116
-1
113avg 112
H07/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
121-120
121
120
+1
117avg 112
A09/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
115-110
115
110
+5
112avg 112
H11/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
141-128
141
128
+13
146avg 112
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
108-126
108
126
-18
101avg 112
A17/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
119-115
119
115
+4
116avg 112
H19/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
105-91
105
91
+14
98avg 112
H21/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
120-107
120
107
+13
119avg 112
H24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
21-32
35-30
28-27
31-27
29-32
21-28
25-34
29-36
29-28
28-27
29-25
30-36
33-28
26-35
32-21
28-26
33-26
31-38
23-20
38-31
34-36
30-28
39-33
32-33
33-31
23-29
20-33
20-25
35-27
39-28
25-35
35-14
20-26
29-31
21-20
32-27
26-37
35-16
27-27
231.0Avg total
115.9Scored
115.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)115.6113.7229.3+1.865%
Season at home (14)117.9108.1226.0+9.779%
Season away (17)113.7118.4232.1-4.653%
Last 10 (10)115.9115.1231.0+0.860%
Last 5 (5)118.6113.4232.0+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)115.2114.5229.8+0.858%
vs Weaker (18)116.6112.7229.3+3.872%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
111-130
111
130
-19
100avg 109
A06/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
98-125
98
125
-27
84avg 109
H08/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
117-128
117
128
-11
112avg 109
A10/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
124-129 OT
124
129
-5
113avg 109
A11/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
97-111
97
111
-14
75avg 109
A14/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
111-95
111
95
+16
106avg 109
A16/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
118-114
118
114
+4
105avg 109
H18/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
130-104
130
104
+26
121avg 109
H20/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
110-113
110
113
-3
103avg 109
H21/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
100-125
100
125
-25
84avg 109
H24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-33
26-34
34-29
36-34
21-31
21-38
23-35
33-21
27-26
25-29
30-40
35-33
36-29
22-28
35-41
24-19
20-27
15-27
32-30
30-27
29-18
35-19
25-33
22-25
27-34
19-29
38-26
34-25
38-24
30-20
31-33
31-27
30-27
18-26
30-27
32-33
20-39
18-20
31-38
31-28
229.0Avg total
111.6Scored
117.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)115.2111.1226.3+4.158%
Season at home (19)116.0109.3225.3+6.774%
Season away (14)114.1113.6227.7+0.436%
Last 10 (10)111.6117.4229.0-5.830%
Last 5 (5)113.8110.2224.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)98.0125.0223.0-27.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)118.3113.6232.0+4.762%
vs Weaker (8)111.0105.4216.4+5.650%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +3.6+3.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +3.6+3.6
Denver NuggetsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A03/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A04/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H07/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A09/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H11/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A17/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H19/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H21/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H24/12
NBA
117.9Avg total
59.3Scored
58.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.957.7118.6+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.155.5116.6+5.657%-
Last 30 away (16)60.659.7120.3+0.956%-
Last 10 (10)59.358.6117.9+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)61.057.4118.4+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)60.255.6115.8+4.758%-
vs Weaker (18)61.359.2120.4+2.156%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
41-67
41
67
-26
A06/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
42-69
42
69
-27
H08/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A10/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A11/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A14/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
64-37
64
37
+27
A16/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
46-63
46
63
-17
H18/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
68-44
68
44
+24
H20/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H21/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
38-59
38
59
-21
H24/12
NBA
105.0Avg total
49.2Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.255.4111.6+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (18)56.254.9111.2+1.356%-
Last 30 away (12)56.256.0112.2+0.233%-
Last 10 (10)49.255.8105.0-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)52.851.2104.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.069.0111.0-27.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)56.955.9112.8+1.048%-
vs Weaker (8)56.252.4108.6+3.950%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.434.6
60.3%
54.5%69.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.7
35.3%
35.8%29.1
🏀 Free throws25.117.6
70.1%
78.1%17.6
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 111.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.427.5
50.6%
54.5%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.113.5
35.4%
35.8%40.5
🏀 Free throws21.616.1
74.5%
78.1%16.1
They take 92.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWWWLLL
Phoenix Suns
LLWWWLLLLL
#2
League position
#9
+0.8
Net rating
-5.8
114.8
Offensive rating
111.5
114.0
Defensive rating
117.3
57.9%
Effective FG%
51.6%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
15.1%
Turnover %
12.0%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.3%
3-point %
35.4%
65.2%
Assist %
61.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 111.5Defence114.0 · 117.3Shooting57.9% · 51.6%3-point %35.3% · 35.4%Ball care15.1% · 12.0%Off. rebounds24.0% · 28.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Denver Nuggets wins
7
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/22HPortland Trail Blazers120-107
21/12/22HMemphis Grizzlies105-91
19/12/22HCharlotte Hornets119-115
17/12/22ALos Angeles Lakers108-126
15/12/22HWashington Wizards141-128
11/12/22HUtah Jazz115-110
09/12/22APortland Trail Blazers121-120
07/12/22HDallas Mavericks115-116
04/12/22ANew Orleans Pelicans106-121
03/12/22AAtlanta Hawks109-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/22HMemphis Grizzlies100-125
21/12/22HWashington Wizards110-113
20/12/22HLos Angeles Lakers130-104
18/12/22HNew Orleans Pelicans118-114
16/12/22ALos Angeles Clippers111-95
14/12/22AHouston Rockets97-111
11/12/22ANew Orleans Pelicans124-129 OT
10/12/22ANew Orleans Pelicans117-128
08/12/22HBoston Celtics98-125
06/12/22ADallas Mavericks111-130

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW65%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayWLLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %65%79%53%
Points / game115.6117.9113.7
Allowed / game113.7108.1118.4
Point differential+1.8+9.7-4.6
Avg total229.3226.0232.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%57%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)50% (6)100% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL58%
HomeLWWLL74%
AwayLLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331914
Win %58%74%36%
Points / game115.2116.0114.1
Allowed / game111.1109.3113.6
Point differential+4.1+6.7+0.4
Avg total226.3225.3227.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%47%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)50% (6)20% (5)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics34241071%118.7112.4+6.3
2 Milwaukee Bucks33221167%112.6110.1+2.5
3 Cleveland Cavaliers34221265%110.9104.9+6.0
4 Denver Nuggets31201165%115.6113.7+1.8
5 Brooklyn Nets33211264%114.1111.1+3.0
6 New Orleans Pelicans32201262%117.9113.0+4.9
7 Memphis Grizzlies32201262%115.5111.2+4.2
8 Philadelphia 76ers32201262%111.7107.7+4.0
9 Phoenix Suns33191458%115.2111.1+4.1
10 Los Angeles Clippers34191556%107.8107.9-0.1
11 Sacramento Kings31171455%118.1116.2+1.9
12 Utah Jazz35191654%117.0115.9+1.1
13 New York Knicks34181653%114.4112.1+2.4
14 Dallas Mavericks34181653%111.4109.5+1.8
15 Portland Trail Blazers33171652%112.0112.0+0.0
16 Atlanta Hawks33171652%114.6114.9-0.3
17 Indiana Pacers33171652%114.6115.2-0.7
18 Minnesota Timberwolves33161748%114.8115.7-0.9
19 Miami Heat33161748%108.0109.2-1.2
20 Golden State Warriors34161847%116.7117.6-0.9
21 Toronto Raptors33151845%111.4110.8+0.5
22 Chicago Bulls32141844%113.2114.5-1.3
23 Oklahoma City Thunder33141942%115.4116.8-1.5
24 Los Angeles Lakers33132039%115.7118.0-2.3
25 Washington Wizards34132138%111.2113.7-2.5
26 Orlando Magic34132138%110.3113.1-2.9
27 San Antonio Spurs32102231%110.6120.2-9.5
28 Houston Rockets3292328%109.4115.3-5.8
29 Charlotte Hornets3392427%111.3118.1-6.8
30 Detroit Pistons3582723%110.6118.3-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Denver Nuggets2823303215128
Phoenix Suns2433272912125
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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