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Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 96-104
23-30 23-21 27-27 23-26
Position#9
Record20-19
FormWLLLL
Points / game113.5
Allowed / game111.2
vs
Position#10
Record20-19
FormWLWWL
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game109.5
USANBA· Footprint Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat
19 Mar 2027
PHX v MIA
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
PHX102
MIA111
06 Nov 2024
PHX115
MIA112
05 Jan 2024
PHX113
MIA97
06 Jan 2023
PHX96
MIA104
08 Jan 2022
PHX100
MIA123
13 Apr 2021
PHX106
MIA86
07 Nov 2019
PHX108
MIA124
07 Dec 2018
PHX98
MIA115
08 Nov 2017
PHX115
MIA126
03 Jan 2017
PHX99
MIA90
08 Jan 2016
PHX95
MIA103
09 Dec 2014
PHX97
MIA103
11 Feb 2014
PHX97
MIA103
17 Nov 2012
PHX88
MIA97
23 Dec 2010
PHX83
MIA95
08 Jan 2010
PHX105
MIA109
28 Nov 2008
PHX92
MIA107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
118-114
118
114
+4
105avg 108
H18/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
130-104
130
104
+26
121avg 108
H20/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
110-113
110
113
-3
103avg 108
H21/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
100-125
100
125
-25
84avg 108
H24/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
125-128 OT
125
128
-3
119avg 108
A26/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
125-108
125
108
+17
122avg 108
A28/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
102-127
102
127
-25
87avg 108
A29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
104-113
104
113
-9
106avg 108
A31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
83-102
83
102
-19
68avg 108
A02/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
88-90
88
90
-2
84avg 108
A05/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-34
19-29
38-26
34-25
38-24
30-20
31-33
31-27
30-27
18-26
30-27
32-33
20-39
18-20
31-38
31-28
24-28
33-23
27-30
29-32
23-22
42-27
32-31
28-28
21-36
34-28
29-29
18-34
24-33
27-20
28-33
25-27
11-23
20-31
27-25
25-23
14-15
29-18
21-26
24-31
220.9Avg total
108.5Scored
112.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)113.5111.2224.7+2.451%
Season at home (19)116.0109.3225.3+6.774%
Season away (20)111.2113.0224.2-1.830%
Last 10 (10)108.5112.4220.9-3.930%
Last 5 (5)100.4108.0208.4-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)98.0125.0223.0-27.00%
vs Similar ◀ (24)114.1113.8227.9+0.346%
vs Weaker (5)111.2108.8220.0+2.440%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#28
W
111-108
111
108
+3
97avg 101
A16/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
111-101
111
101
+10
105avg 101
A17/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
103-113
103
113
-10
95avg 101
H21/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
108-111
108
111
-3
93avg 101
H24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
113-110
113
110
+3
98avg 101
H27/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
112-98
112
98
+14
96avg 101
H29/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
119-124
119
124
-5
105avg 101
A31/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
126-123
126
123
+3
120avg 101
A01/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
110-100
110
100
+10
104avg 101
A03/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
109-112
109
112
-3
96avg 101
A05/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
37-23
20-33
25-23
25-28
27-27
28-29
31-17
21-31
36-21
20-36
26-25
28-31
30-25
24-28
26-27
33-31
26-25
34-30
20-24
33-25
28-27
34-26
17-20
19-23
38-37
33-25
29-39
31-30
38-33
27-35
30-25
34-28
33-21
14-34
29-17
23-32
25-20
30-27
31-33
222.2Avg total
112.2Scored
110.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)109.0109.5218.5-0.451%
Season at home (19)110.0109.7219.7+0.358%
Season away (20)108.1109.2217.3-1.245%
Last 10 (10)112.2110.0222.2+2.260%
Last 5 (5)115.2111.4226.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)111.8121.8233.5-10.025%
vs Similar ◀ (19)107.3106.1213.3+1.258%
vs Weaker (7)112.1111.0223.1+1.157%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
Phoenix SunsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
46-63
46
63
-17
H18/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
68-44
68
44
+24
H20/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H21/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
38-59
38
59
-21
H24/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A26/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
65-49
65
49
+16
A28/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A02/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A05/01
NBA
102.5Avg total
50.2Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.454.8109.2-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (12)54.555.8110.2-1.242%-
Last 30 away (18)54.354.2108.5+0.139%-
Last 10 (10)50.252.3102.5-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)49.050.699.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.069.0111.0-27.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)54.854.7109.4+0.142%-
vs Weaker (5)55.052.8107.8+2.240%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#28
W
66-52
66
52
+14
A16/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A17/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H21/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H27/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H29/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A31/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A01/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
67-49
67
49
+18
A03/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A05/01
NBA
114.1Avg total
59.4Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.355.0112.3+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.553.6111.1+3.877%-
Last 30 away (17)57.256.0113.2+1.247%-
Last 10 (10)59.454.7114.1+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)60.455.2115.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)54.562.2116.8-7.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)57.953.9111.9+4.074%-
vs Weaker (7)57.153.6110.7+3.657%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 108.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.025.4
48.8%
54.5%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.913.8
40.7%
35.8%41.4
🏀 Free throws21.916.3
74.4%
78.1%16.3
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 112.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.929.1
56.1%
54.5%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.712.6
33.4%
35.8%37.8
🏀 Free throws20.616.2
78.6%
78.1%16.2
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLLLWLLLWW
Miami Heat
LWWLWWLLWW
#9
League position
#10
-4.0
Net rating
+2.2
111.2
Offensive rating
113.8
115.2
Defensive rating
111.6
53.7%
Effective FG%
53.6%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
13.6%
Turnover %
11.5%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
40.7%
3-point %
33.4%
63.3%
Assist %
57.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 113.8Defence115.2 · 111.6Shooting53.7% · 53.6%3-point %40.7% · 33.4%Ball care13.6% · 11.5%Off. rebounds25.6% · 25.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Phoenix Suns wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/23ACleveland Cavaliers88-90
02/01/23ANew York Knicks83-102
31/12/22AToronto Raptors104-113
29/12/22AWashington Wizards102-127
28/12/22AMemphis Grizzlies125-108
26/12/22ADenver Nuggets125-128 OT
24/12/22HMemphis Grizzlies100-125
21/12/22HWashington Wizards110-113
20/12/22HLos Angeles Lakers130-104
18/12/22HNew Orleans Pelicans118-114
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/23ALos Angeles Lakers109-112
03/01/23ALos Angeles Clippers110-100
01/01/23AUtah Jazz126-123
31/12/22ADenver Nuggets119-124
29/12/22HLos Angeles Lakers112-98
27/12/22HMinnesota Timberwolves113-110
24/12/22HIndiana Pacers108-111
21/12/22HChicago Bulls103-113
17/12/22ASan Antonio Spurs111-101
16/12/22AHouston Rockets111-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL51%
HomeLWWLL74%
AwayWLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %51%74%30%
Points / game113.5116.0111.2
Allowed / game111.2109.3113.0
Point differential+2.4+6.7-1.8
Avg total224.7225.3224.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%47%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won31% (13)50% (6)14% (7)
Overtime %8%0%15%
Miami Heat
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL51%
HomeLLLWW58%
AwayWLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %51%58%45%
Points / game109.0110.0108.1
Allowed / game109.5109.7109.2
Point differential-0.4+0.3-1.1
Avg total218.5219.7217.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%11%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (20)70% (10)50% (10)
Overtime %8%5%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics39271269%118.7112.9+5.8
2 Brooklyn Nets39261367%114.9110.8+4.1
3 Denver Nuggets39261367%116.7113.8+2.9
4 Memphis Grizzlies38251366%116.1111.1+4.9
5 Milwaukee Bucks39251464%112.4111.2+1.2
6 Cleveland Cavaliers40251562%111.5106.8+4.7
7 New Orleans Pelicans39241562%117.1112.7+4.4
8 Philadelphia 76ers38231561%112.6109.2+3.4
9 Dallas Mavericks39221756%112.1110.6+1.5
10 New York Knicks40221855%114.2111.3+2.9
11 Indiana Pacers40221855%115.6115.7-0.1
12 Sacramento Kings37201754%117.9116.8+1.2
13 Phoenix Suns39201951%113.5111.2+2.4
14 Golden State Warriors39201951%117.2117.6-0.4
15 Miami Heat39201951%109.0109.5-0.4
16 Los Angeles Clippers41212051%109.2110.2-1.0
17 Portland Trail Blazers38191950%112.4111.9+0.5
18 Utah Jazz41202149%117.5116.5+1.0
19 Minnesota Timberwolves40192148%115.0115.5-0.6
20 Atlanta Hawks38182047%115.4116.3-0.9
21 Chicago Bulls39182146%114.8115.4-0.6
22 Los Angeles Lakers38172145%116.0117.4-1.4
23 Oklahoma City Thunder39172244%116.4116.9-0.5
24 Washington Wizards40172342%112.1113.1-1.0
25 Toronto Raptors39162341%111.0111.3-0.3
26 Orlando Magic39142536%110.3114.2-3.9
27 San Antonio Spurs39132633%111.9120.6-8.7
28 Charlotte Hornets40112928%112.0118.2-6.2
29 Detroit Pistons42113126%111.8119.0-7.2
30 Houston Rockets39102926%109.4116.2-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns2323272396
Miami Heat30212726104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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